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Natal Conference

6 months

@elonmusk Thanks Elon! Your advocacy on this issue was a huge inspiration to us in starting the conference & we'd love to see you at NatalCon later this year Anyone interested should sign up for the newsletter at

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

By 2100, every country on earth will have a shrinking population Live births in Italy & South Korea will have collapsed by 96%, with the rest of the developed world close behind So much will be lost, unless we act now

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

6 months

Huge thanks to Politico for getting us on Elon's radar Your writer was lovely & we can't wait to have you back for NatalCon 2024

POLITICO

@politico

6 months

The far right is so obsessed with making babies, they just held a whole conference about it. Behind the scenes at the first “NatalCon” ⬇️

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@natalismorg

1 year

People rarely consider how the choice to wait impacts the back end of the relationship

Deseret News

@Deseret

1 year

Chris Pratt is opening up about fatherhood and his belief that people should “rush” to have children. | By Margaret Darby

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

when people say this, they imagine a depopulated world as cleaner, freer, wealthier, when the opposite is true depopulation won't even solve the problem of density, since the collapse of outlying infrastructure will demand consolidation of the remaining population to the cities

Nic Etryfed

@etryfed

1 year

@natalismorg This is a good thing, too many people around

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The strict biological window of fertility is much larger for men than women but for most men the *practical* window - in which they'll be able to find an attractive woman of childbearing age who is interested in starting a family with them - is only five or ten years longer

Brittany Martinez

@BritMartinez

1 year

This is extremely sad. We often hear about regret from older women because women have an innate maternal instinct and a much shorter childbearing biological clock. But the truth is, both of the sexes age at the same rate. Men being told that they’ll have countless options as

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Koreans are going extinct despite conservative sexual norms & relatively high rates of religiosity

Birth Gauge

@BirthGauge

1 year

April brought another massive decline of births in South Korea. Compared to 2022, births declined by 12.7%, bringing the annual decline to 7.6%. In Seoul, the figures are even bleaker: -15.3% for April and -8.9% for 2023 so far.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Why are young men not taking the chance? Is it purely endocrine? Is rejection more humiliating or higher-stakes than it used to be? Are there too many attractive alternatives to a sexual relationship with a woman?

Chris Williamson

@ChrisWillx

1 year

Why are so many young men single? Are men excluded from a brutal mating market by society? It seems not. Men were asked: “When was the last time you asked a woman in person for a date on the street/in a bar or club/at school or class/at work/at a hobby or social

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Antinatalist policies and culture accelerate, because they produce people who are unable or unwilling to maintain the infrastructure that makes childbearing feasible for others

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

1 year

@DesfluraneEd @AmyMek The childless have little stake in the future

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@natalismorg

1 year

Cool idea @elonmusk , want to bring it to the Natalism Conference?

Jezebel

@Jezebel

1 year

Elon Musk Suggests 'Childless' People Should Lose the Right to Vote

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@natalismorg

1 year

Many imagine population decline as a relief of pressure, an opening of space, after which fertility can recover - war, famine, plague sometimes work that way But this decline will lead to further entrenchment, deeper consolidation, heavier burdens on the young to sustain the old

ib

@Indian_Bronson

1 year

Here's Italy's population structure today, and here's Italy's population structure in 2050 at current trends: Public sector pensions are 15% of GDP, and projected to rise to 25% by 2030 - but who will be paying them?

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

We are gathering the brightest minds to address the crisis of our generation Two days focused on improving health & fertility, recovering human connection, revitalizing culture, & investing for our grandchildren The future belongs to those who show up

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@natalismorg

1 year

4.3 great-grandchildren for every 100 living Koreans is an extinction-level event for that culture, & every Western nation is on the same trajectory

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

1 year

@EvaVlaar Birth rates far below replacement are the foundational problem in advanced economy countries

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@natalismorg

1 year

For many people, life is about pristine aesthetic/hedonic experiences - most of which are best enjoyed in your 20s & 30s, & few of which are improved by a having a toddler with you This worldview is basically incompatible with replacement fertility at scale

Tim Carney

@TPCarney

1 year

Pregnancy is contagious, I often say. The reverse is true, too: One thing that causes people to not have babies or to have fewer babies is other people around them having few or no babies.

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@natalismorg

1 year

If it were a disease it would be worse than the Black Death

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The lead in Flint's water was a direct consequence of the collapse of the tax base to maintain public infrastructure as the city depopulated

Kambree

@KamVTV

1 year

KAMALA HARRIS: “When we invest in clean energy and electric vehicles and REDUCE POPULATION, more of our children can breath clean air and drink clean water.”

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@natalismorg

1 year

95% of people (incl young people) say they want children only 60% (& dropping) are realizing fertility & the rate is falling fastest among those who have the fewest economic justifications to wait has something has gone wrong with the way we connect & form families?

The Rabbit Hole

@TheRabbitHole84

1 year

"The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007. This decline cannot be explained by demographic, economic, or policy changes."

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

6 months

We'd love to see you there this year!

Matt Walsh

@MattWalshBlog

6 months

Also, how was there something called "NatalCon" and I didn't get an invite? What the hell. How many kids do I need to have to qualify for this thing?

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@natalismorg

1 year

The religious composition of Israel's 2.9 TFR makes this much less surprising In 50 years, Israel will be populated almost exclusively by the grandchildren of Orthodox & Ultra-Orthodox Jews

Richard Hanania

@RichardHanania

1 year

Israel is the only advanced country with a healthy fertility rate. They allow abortion, give free abortion pills, free IVF for the first two children, and implement genetic screening programs. Meanwhile, countries with more “trad” policies like Italy and Poland are dying.

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@natalismorg

1 year

people like babies

Crémieux

@cremieuxrecueil

1 year

Between 2003 and 2006, 57 schools in Perth were enrolled into an infant simulator intervention designed to reduce teen pregnancy rates. The program backfired and the girls exposed to the fake infants were more likely to get pregnant in the five years after the intervention.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

A preview of some of the exciting speakers you will get to meet at Natal Conference! Not nearly as much engagement on this post as I would like - apparently catching a Guardian hit piece doesn't mean what it once did Check out the rest of our guests at

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

The Guardian

@guardian

1 year

Revealed: US pro-birth conference’s links to far-right eugenicists

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Only ~5% of people say they don't want kids; & that figure is pretty stable long-term But nearly half of Millennials expect to have no children The problem is not that "nobody wants kids anymore": millions of people want kids, but feel like it's just not in the cards for them

Simone & Malcolm Collins

@SimoneHCollins

1 year

"We laugh about it but there's a very serious point." 1-to-2-kid families won't ultimately broker a soft landing on demographic collapse; large fams will. Pronatalism shouldn't be about goading/shaming the childfree; rather, it should be about empowering parenting superfans.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

. @elonmusk sees that demographic collapse is coming in the next 50 years The value of assets like stocks, bonds, real estate, cash, etc. will crash, & may not recover in our lifetimes The smart investment is in high quality people, who will be harder & harder to find

EXIT

@exit_org

1 year

The entire apparatus of ideological control in the US hangs on the fear generated by a random distribution of lawsuits (avg settlement ~$40k) In FY2021, EEOC got $485M in discrimination lawsuits - that's a lot, but with $232B Elon can be a meaningful player if he really wants to

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@natalismorg

1 year

Fertility in migrants' home countries is declining at about the same rate as everywhere else - but the decline accelerates dramatically when they come to developed countries Immigration is not the solution

ib

@Indian_Bronson

1 year

It gets more interesting/bleak when you look at Europe as a whole. Europe's economy *now* is the result of massively expanding the number of able bodied young foreigners - all of whom will age - and those who assimilate, evidently, have the same reduced fertility.

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@natalismorg

1 year

Some have proposed that Japan, South Korea et al should solve their demographic crisis by simply importing workers - but from where? In East Asia, only the Philippines is meaningfully above replacement TFR, and falling just as rapidly as everywhere else Not a long-term solution

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@natalismorg

1 year

Can't tell you how many female speakers we've had drop out because they're having babies

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@natalismorg

1 year

When @TuckerCarlson raised the alarm with The End of Men, he got nothing but derision But it's a fact that birth rates are unsustainable & biological fertility is collapsing Everything these people depend on will be upended by the fertility crisis, & they think it's a joke

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

1 year

Very interesting. Hungary is trying hard to address their birth rate problem.

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@natalismorg

1 year

As it stands, childbearing is an economically irrational decision & will be increasingly exclusive to economically irrational people

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

@lymanstoneky

1 year

No, I've shown that subsidies DO work, but that the costs are so huge that they are prohibitive. Having a baby costs a woman hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars of lost lifetime income! To the extent we offset that, fertility does rise: it's just so huge though!

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@natalismorg

1 year

So true

Propagandopolis

@propagandopolis

2 years

'One child is good, two is better!' — Soviet pro-natalist poster from 1968. Designed by V. Stepanov.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

10 months

2023 Natal Conference replay is finally live! Hear from: @balajis @TheWorthyHouse @razibkhan @KeenanPeachy @britbenjamin @sentientist @JonathanAnomaly @Indian_Bronson @GraduatedBen @SimoneHCollins @StephenJShaw @Babygravy9 Mike Anton Dr. Pat Fagan

Watch 2023 Replay | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

A healthy 35-year-old has a 48% probability of successful live birth with 1 round of IVF (rising to 80% after 3 rounds) Probability at age 40: 25% (up to 52% after 3 rounds) Millions of women have been flat-out lied to about these odds

Live Birth Probabilities After Assisted Reproductive Technology

The following is a summary of

www.physiciansweekly.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Average age of first marriage in the US is 29 for men, 27 for women Which means that if you're going to meet your spouse organically, it'll probably be in college or at work - intensifying the trend toward educational endogamy/stratification

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

And the remaining population isn't just smaller, it's dramatically older, less productive, & saddled with heavier welfare obligations

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

1 year

@ByrneHobart @TurnerNovak All economies are just productivity per person times population. Japan is losing population at twice rate of creation (~1.6M deaths last year vs ~0.8M births). At a granular level, economic output fluctuates dramatically, with Sunday being terrible & Monday being great.

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@natalismorg

1 year

Some demographers predicted a baby boomlet as workers stayed home with nothing better to do during the pandemic - instead we've seen a deepening decline in birth rates since 2019

Fertility rates dip, people having babies later: The state of birth in U.S.

Birth rates have declined in most states across the U.S. in recent years, while women are having babies at an older age, according to new data released by the U.S.

www.abc12.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

A collapse in the population of fighting-age males is surely having an impact on the prosecution of the war Concerns like that seem far away until suddenly they aren't

𑀅𑀫𑀦

@The_Equationist

1 year

Was wondering why Ukrainian soldiers seem so old on average. Then I looked at the population pyramid... I knew the Ukrainian economy collapsed during the 90s but didn't realize the effect on birth rates was so dramatic.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

They got old

meatball times

@meatballtimes

1 year

Japan has an insanely hardcore work culture and extremely efficient govt/infra and their gdp is nearly flat for 40 years. very little exported innovation. America has none of those things and our economy is incredible and literally everything is invented here. How??

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@natalismorg

1 year

One of the clearest correlations anyone has identified But weekly religious attendance involves very different cultures and beliefs in Mississippi, South Dakota, and Utah - so what causes the correlation?

More Births

@MoreBirths

1 year

I plotted total fertility rate by weekly religious attendance for US states. Higher religious attendance is strongly correlated with higher fertility at the state level.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Young people do the innovating, old people do the regulating

More Births

@MoreBirths

1 year

A painful but realistic summation of the fertility crisis and its consequences by brilliant George Mason economist @robinhanson (from a podcast a few days ago). We have to look into the abyss, and then dedicate ourselves to solving this. Please share, and also follow this account

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

December 1-2 we will be meeting (23 minutes from the Gigafactory) to tackle this problem

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

1 year

Having children should be incentivized, not be a financial penalty like it is in most countries! We must create the next generation of humans or spiral into oblivion.

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@natalismorg

1 year

immigration policy could not solve the demographic crisis even in principle, and definitely doesn't solve it as it is currently conducted

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

@lymanstoneky

1 year

The average immigrant women ages 15-50 into the US migrants from a country with below-replacement fertility, suggesting that the average migrant accelerates U.S. population aging.

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@natalismorg

1 year

A Norwegian study indicates that higher-IQ men "had their first child when they were older – but also had more children – compared to those with lower IQs"

More intelligent men tend to become fathers later in life - Earth.com

Intelligent men who score higher in IQ tests tend to become fathers later in life compared to those with lower intelligence

www.earth.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Here's the global picture By 2030 the only region of the world with replacement fertility will be sub-Saharan Africa Eventually, you run out of other people's babies

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Impact of BMI on the likelihood of receiving a message on a dating app (source: ) Obesity dramatically interferes with relationship initiation, & ~40% of Americans are obese (BMI >30) How many potential relationships end this way, before they begin?

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

It's like Vegas The goal is to keep you believing that the big win is just out of reach

ib

@Indian_Bronson

1 year

By far the funniest instance of this is Bumble admitting in its S-1 filing that its business model doesn’t make money by getting people married but relies on them being unhappily single and staying on the app;

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@natalismorg

1 year

What traits are being selected for?

Kitten 💖🐈

@kitten_beloved

1 year

I know people from like five different families where the parents had 4 or 5 kids to end up with 0 or 1 grandkids

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Wearing boxers instead of briefs was associated with 33% greater sperm motility & 25% greater volume let 'em breathe

Why wearing tighty-whities can lower your sperm count

Wearing tight underwear could lower a man's sperm count and even jeopardize the fertility of men who already suffer from low sperm counts.

www.businessinsider.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Corporations in the West subsidize IVF so that employees will delay childbearing as long as possible - they lose money when employees develop competing obligations at home There's no profit incentive to do this: it is Chinese state policy

Chinese travel company pays staff to have babies

Travel group behind Skycanner offers cash incentives in effort to reverse China’s falling birth rate

www.telegraph.co.uk

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

For the record, we sent personal invitations to every flavor of academic & expert that we thought might care about this issue - we wanted every perspective represented More than once we were told, in effect, "I care about this issue, but I can't risk my career talking about it"

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

a "bubble" is when investors build too many houses, too many monkey NFTs, etc - more than anybody needs or wants eventually the price collapses & someone is left holding the bag, desperate to offload inventory & capital for peanuts demographic collapse is an "everything bubble"

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The political consequences of demographic decline go well beyond social security & medicare, & some of them are already here

Geoffrey Miller

@primalpoly

1 year

@extradeadjcb Couples with biological kids together have shared genetic interests, & higher incentives to cooperate. Those without kids, not so much. As birth rates fall, the sexes drift apart....

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Like all high-demand faiths, the ultra-Orthodox are shedding a dramatic percentage of their young people but their fertility is so high - & the contraceptive effect of secular liberalism so extreme - that it overwhelms the effects of deconversion

Haredim are leaving the fold, but the community is growing

***

web.archive.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

"If existing data are extrapolated (a 59% decrease in the sperm levels of the average Western man between 1973 and 2011), by 2045 ... half of all men will produce no sperm at all, while the other half will produce so little as to be functionally sterile."

The Decline is Real

Plummeting testosterone levels will destroy society.

americanmind.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

the sprawling exurbs where people go to "get away" have their infrastructure underwritten by the expectation of growth as the city expands when that expectation fails, the developers who own those contracts go bust, & the value of those properties collapses

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The question of whether our economic system *should* be dependent on endless growth is an interesting one - but either way, it is Economies can only grow in two ways: via population growth, & via technological advance

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Japan is aiming to make up their decline through technological advance, but the population is collapsing too quickly besides which, technological advance requires young, vital, energetic genius with space to innovate - but in Japan a conservative gerontocracy holds all the keys

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

This phenomenon is easy to study in Judaism, where degrees of observance are explicit & concrete But the pattern also appears in Catholic, Evangelical, & Mormon communities, where the more conservative families have virtually all the kids (& struggle to hold on to them)

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@natalismorg

1 year

wow

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@natalismorg

1 year

Korea & Japan have been in demographic decline since the 1970s - it doesn't equilibrate, there's no bottom to it The economic pressures on young families & the collapse of network effects in dating & childrearing make fertility harder, not easier, as decline goes on

George Mack

@george__mack

1 year

3. The Aging Population Crisis 70% of countries are below the required population replacement levels. You need a 2.1 fertility rate to maintain a population: • US = 1.64 • Germany = 1.53 • Japan = 1.34 • China = 1.28 • Korea (image below) = 0.84

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@natalismorg

1 year

There is agreement across the political spectrum that human fertility is collapsing - you can talk about the problem on the BBC - but hard to get anyone to cop to any prospective solutions We're breaking down that barrier this December

How modern life is making men infertile

A new study reveals how an alarming decline in sperm count and quality is threatening the human race.

www.bbc.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Remarkable

ib

@Indian_Bronson

1 year

The data is clear: we have fertility crisis

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@natalismorg

1 year

Hungary's major pro-natalist policies (mainly childcare credits and tax incentives) were enacted in 2015 Their TFR has gone up since, but it was already on the way up - and not out of family with their immediate neighbors

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Here's per capita

Truflation

@truflation

1 year

👀

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@natalismorg

1 year

You can already see similar trends in the US as the Boomers' demographic weight stifles younger entrants in politics, & representatives with de facto lifetime terms try to craft tech regulations when they've never sent their own email

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

"If the cost of raising kids was the real obstacle, people with more money would have more kids, but that’s not the reality ... Americans in the top income quintile generally have fewer children than those in the bottom four."

Baby boom or bust

An America with less religion is an America that makes parenting harder

www.deseret.com

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@natalismorg

1 year

Demographic decline isn't all downside - many technical skill sets will be coming into very high demand as the boomers retire, & certain types of capital will be available for a song

Granite Mtn. Movie Club

@gran1te_mtn

1 year

@BrettWCain @exit_org There’s gonna be a big wave of boomer small biz owners retiring and younger generations don’t seem that interested in taking over. Guessing most just get liquidated or purchased by Indian/Chinese/Latin American immigrants.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The upsides are what I'm most excited to explore at the conference What frontiers will open? What capital will go on sale? What castles will be unguarded?

Dr. hbd nrx 🐸

@HbdNrx

1 year

Population decline has some huge upsides, but there are also two big problems associated with low fertility: 1. Who is declining? You don't want it to be among your people or generally among the high IQ. Currently, low fertility and high IQ are correlated. 2. Older population.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

PM Kishida says "Japan is on the verge of whether we can continue to function as a society" * no means testing for child subsidies * more generous student loans, childcare benefits * propaganda to equalize housework * encouraging paternity leave

Japan eyes annual $22 billion for childcare to tackle birth rate decline, Jiji reports

Japan's government estimates it needs to raise about 3 trillion yen ($22.2 billion) in funds per year for a childcare policy Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has put forward to help reverse the declining...

www.reuters.com

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@natalismorg

1 year

Among the concrete proposals are increased child allowances & tax credits, but the amounts are modest compared with the opportunity cost of having children - especially more than two per family, which would be necessary to reverse demographic decline

Meloni Reiterates Vow To Combat Italy's Demographic Woes

Italy’s birth rate continues to be among the lowest in Europe and while some pro-family policies have been enacted, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has promis ...

europeanconservative.com

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@natalismorg

1 year

Great thread from @MoreBirths examining some historical success stories of reversing demographic decline

More Births

@MoreBirths

1 year

As awareness of the global low fertility crisis has grown, many seem fatalistic, accepting decline because "no country has ever come back from below-replacement fertility." Actually, plenty of countries have done just that! Let's look at those cases! 🧵, please share and follow!

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@natalismorg

1 year

@extradeadjcb When you've built homes, water, sewer, roads, & electric lines for 200K people, & 120K of them leave, all that stuff doesn't just wait for them to come back Have to actively maintain systems many times larger than you need, & homes surrounded by festering ruins collapse in value

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

As Malcolm & @SimoneHCollins point out: pluralist, secular, liberal societies like Israel's are selecting themselves out of existence They'll be joining us to explore these & other issues this December at the Natal Conference in Austin Learn more at .

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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@natalismorg

1 year

this shows the difference between "expected" and "observed" fertility, but virtually every state in the union experienced fertility declines through the pandemic the "baby boom" in red states was a less-drastic-than-expected decline

The Pandemic Caused a Baby Boom in Red States and a Bust in Blue States

The COVID pandemic caused a U.S.-wide decline in fertility rates, but red states actually saw increases

www.scientificamerican.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

An attempt to back into the Latter-day Saint birthrate TL;DR it isn't looking good

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

11 months

We love babies, bring 'em on over

Emma Waters

@emlwaters

11 months

Since our daughter's birth, @jackmat100 & I brought her to... -Philly Soc in Indiana (9 days old :o) -Wedding's in TN, AR, & KY -to visit family in GA, VA, and NC -all over Italy (thx in laws!) -a conference in TN Next: the @natalismorg with @extradeadjcb in TX!

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

A good primer on the coming demographic crisis in South Korea, where there will be 6 great-grandchildren for every 100 living Koreans

Commentary: South Korea has world's lowest fertility rate - that's bad news for its economy

A decline in fertility helped convert South Korea from a very poor country to a very rich one, but the demographic dividend only works in the short term, says this sociology professor from Texas A&M...

www.channelnewsasia.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Great article and thread At this point, reversing the trend is probably less feasible than preparing your family and community to weather it

LindyMan

@PaulSkallas

1 year

Today on the Lindy Newsletter We do not know how to stop population decline

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

people are saying this

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The Natal Conference meets this December in Austin to discuss this and other issues related to the coming demographic collapse, what can be done about it, & how our families can weather it financially, socially, & culturally Get your tickets today:

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

when a bubble pops, there are always winners - somebody gets a screaming deal on the beanie baby plant & refactors it to produce something else This December, The Natal Conference will meet to discuss winning strategies for the coming demographic bubble

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Great thoughts from @kaschuta on demographic collapse, excited to hear from her at the Natal Conference this December

Population Collapse is Coming - Alex Kaschuta

💥Join us on our Journey to 1 Million Subscribers💥 Alex Kaschuta is a writer, cultural critic and podcaster from Romania. She is the host of the Subversive ...

www.youtube.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

A death spiral: residents flee high taxes & poor services, shrinking the tax base, forcing higher taxes & worse services on the remainder Demographic collapse will impose this feedback loop on even well-managed cities, unable to service bonds for infrastructure that lies unused

David Sacks

@DavidSacks

2 years

Update: “The balance-sheet risks for mismanaged states and municipalities have been hiding in plain sight just as they were at Silicon Valley Bank.”

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Due to population collapse, China's GDP will likely never overtake the United States', topping out at 90% of US GDP in 2035 and gradually declining from there

Charles Payne: Our low fertility rate will spell doom for the nation | Fox Business Video

FOX Business host Charles Payne says Americans are not having enough children on 'Making Money.'

www.foxbusiness.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

@elonmusk Hey Elon, want to come to the Natal Conference? December 1-2 in Austin

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

"Egg, embryo and sperm freezing, fertility planning, IVF, IUI and ICSI treatment cycles, contraception, surrogacy & adoption" This incentive package is designed to make employees feel comfortable delaying fertility & staying on the hamster wheel

Fertifa enables companies to offer fertility and reproductive health benefits | TechCrunch

The number of workplaces offering fertility and reproductive healthcare benefits are on the rise. Doing so can help companies become more competitive employers and bolster diversity, equity and...

techcrunch.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

but people sorted by preference/inclination create a culture that suits those preferences - selection feeds on itself is there any way for a professional environment to select in favor of families?

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

@lymanstoneky

1 year

Yes, I'm obviously trolling: people filter into certain jobs based on their preferences. That said, I am EXTREMELY skeptical of the idea that fertility preferences are THAT low in those industries!

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

We're tackling the growing epidemic of infertility at the Natal Conference, precisely because we want to see more people who want to become parents succeed

The Cruelty of Natalism

Personal Perspective: Trying to survive without children within a context of natalism is like trying to survive in a world without gravity; it's not made for you.

www.psychologytoday.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Demographer @StephenJShaw says 80% of childless women intended to have children He cites 3 obstacles: infertility, hypergamy (educated women competing for a shrinking set of higher-status mates), & debt/career concerns during prime fertility window

These Women Are Not Happy

Chris asks Stephen J Shaw why so many women are childless in the modern world? Is population collapse really a concern? Why are so many women single? What is...

www.youtube.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

"25% of young adults will never have kids, and about a third of young adults will never get married" "without these connections, we're much more likely to become unmoored, to succumb to a death of despair"

Sutherland Institute

@SutherlandInst

1 year

. @BradWilcoxIFS , a visiting scholar at Sutherland Institute and professor of sociology at University of Virginia, talks about the issues that could come due to the falling numbers in both marriage and fertility rate in Utah, the nation and the world. #utpol

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

@extradeadjcb Billions of dollars of investment becomes a maintenance albatross worth less than nothing, you literally can't give it away & Detroit's landing has been comparatively soft because the state & federal government pulled resources from other jurisdictions that weren't depopulating

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

At the Natal Conference, we are bringing experts together to discuss these & other obstacles Can we improve biological fertility? Help men & women connect? Organize our economic lives so that career & childrearing are less in conflict? Learn more at

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

realized fertility of women by profession most of this looks like proxy for culture and class

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

@lymanstoneky

1 year

Of the 280 industry classifications the CPS tracked 2016-2018, just *30* of them were the women employed in those sectors able to have =>2.05 children on average by their 40s. Only 11 industries have higher fertility than women with no employment.

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Some point to the vanishing of rural Japanese villages as a "soft landing" version of this, & that's probably the best-case scenario but they've endured decades of economic stagnation so far, & are only just cresting the wave of population decline The worst case is Detroit

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

People who care about the future have to start working together - we can't do it alone That's why we are bringing together demographers, sociologists, geneticists, investors, & other experts to find real solutions to this crisis Join us at

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

10 months

Here's my kickoff speech:

Kevin Dolan - 2023 Natal Conference

We're living through the greatest population bust in human history. Get involved at https://www.natalism.orgView the full replay of NatalCon 2023 at https://...

www.youtube.com

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

@elonmusk Hi Elon, would you like to come to the Natal Conference, December 1-2, 2023 in Austin?

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

The federal government can afford to bail out 1 or 2 mismanaged cities - but demographic collapse will be everywhere, & with no quick turnaround story to attract new investors or residents there's a difference between a panic, a bubble, a "liquidity crunch" - & long-run decline

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

Russia has a similar problem, albeit less dramatic Huge physical differences between a 35yo & a 19yo, both in hard upper physical limits, & the speed & volume of training they can absorb without injury Especially relevant if you're scraping for fresh recruits, as both sides are

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

We're bringing together the brightest minds this December to find solutions to the greatest crisis of our generation Get your ticket today at

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

6 months

@elonmusk If you want to be part of the dastardly plot, reserve your ticket today at December 6-7th Austin, TX We will be announcing some exciting new guests in the coming week!

Home | Natal Conference

www.natalism.org

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Natal Conference

@natalismorg

1 year

80% (!) of Korean schoolchildren participate in expensive private "cram schools" in addition to public education

Cost of private schools in South Korea pushes birth rate down

A reliance on private education has meant South Korea has the world’s highest cost of raising a child, according to a report in 2022

www.businesslive.co.za

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