Matt Busigin @mbusigin Twitter profile

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@McDonnellLab

Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 months

@DrBriefsScratch Sup man. Don't know who you are, but I'm sorry your neurochemistry and life circumstances are giving you such a hard time. You are doing very cool shit. DM me if you ever need someone to talk to

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

This chart is astounding.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 months

I call this technique "grave-to-cradle prompting", and boy does it work. Here's how: 1) When an LLM conversation becomes too long or convoluted, we end up with coherence degradation. Some LLMs degrade more slowly, but we all know this. 2) We tell it that memories are like tears

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 months

IMO this may end up being as important as Attention Is All You Need

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Last night, I wrote a tool which allows you to scrape data out of GPT models using SQL queries. Just make up a relevant database, and use your imagination of what kind of query you'd like, and it will return the data within GPT's parameters. Results are structured. Example:

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

ChatGPT Code Interpreter is *outstanding*. Everyone flipping out about this is right.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

This is basically what I'd expect someone who didn't experience '08 to think it felt like

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 months

GPT-4o is best used in the assistants API. I see it now - it's a function calling monster. It's the only agents platform that matters really.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

@nycsouthpaw These people should be called Constantites -- followers of the state religion. That's all this ever was. Jesus was an anti-establishment pacifist hippie that hung out with social outcasts and degenerates, and there never was (or will be) any mass appeal for that.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 months

@nullpointered It wasn't defeated (The larger defensive system was, of course, but the Maginot line worked, and the Belgians are most at fault. The French were very concerned, but they were ignored.) Comedy of errors really. Hitler doesn't make it past France in most universes

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

Musk has launched rockets into space, built highest rated car in history, guided the creation and explosion of internet payments, and most of you hate him -- and not bc you disagree w/ him, or minimise his accomplishment, but purely bc he needs to raise capital to form capital.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

I'm starting to think @ylecun may be right

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

10 months

gpt-4-turbo represents a HUGE improvement in context utilization. Around 8k tokens, retrieval of facts is double that of prior gpt-4 iterations. a16z guy mostly misses the point, while demonstrating huge progress. But, yeah, longer context lengths are about what you'd expect if

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

FYI this is up at to experiment with. Also includes everything else you need in one spot to build LLM apps: AI-first database (Elastic w/ lots of helpers for stuff like vector search), an embedding generation service, prompt templating, map/reduce, etc.

GitHub - cognosisai/platform

Contribute to cognosisai/platform development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Last night, I wrote a tool which allows you to scrape data out of GPT models using SQL queries. Just make up a relevant database, and use your imagination of what kind of query you'd like, and it will return the data within GPT's parameters. Results are structured. Example:

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

@redrawnoxen Copy and paste to me the full email with headers and I will analyse it

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 years

Rural WNY town.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 months

@GrantSlatton I feel this way looking at almost every AI paper these days. My opinion of CS domain PhDs is not high rn

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

@redrawnoxen Yeah, you'll need desktop browser gmail, I think. My email address is my twitter username @ . With any luck (and it sounds like it might be the case), the sender was sloppy in covering their tracks

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

Actually, gold is an infinite duration TIPS bond with an embedded short call on equities.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

YAML-Runner: a protocol (and executer) for GPT-4 agents to use the file system and execute commands

GitHub - mbusigin/yaml-runner

Contribute to mbusigin/yaml-runner development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Great map from @jturow & @palak_go on the ecosystem around LLMs/FMs: GPT is a cognitive engine, and the apps around them are still CGI scripts. Real intelligence is in connectivity, conversations & flows. This stack is "how" and "who" makes that happen.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Once in a lifetime -- if we're lucky -- all of the stars align: the technology, the people, and the moment. I am starting an AI company with @blennon_ . Think B2C household name.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

I cannot believe how unbelievably fast gpt-3.5-turbo-0613 is.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

It's pretty amazing that, just 4 years ago, Romney was sunk on 49%, a roof rack dog carrier, and binders full of women.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

This chart still blows me away.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

This is my baby girl, Aria. She is healthy, her mother is healthy, and I can't articulate the fullness of my feeling

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

Admittedly fairly minor in the grand scheme of things, but a 2020 thing that pisses me off is that well-advertised site offering "master classes" that are a gentle introductions.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 months

@GrantSlatton Me too, but it never worked well. Two reasons, I think: - Opus is just vastly smarter than any other model - Giving it confidence is actually important to getting high quality outputs in the face of coherence decline

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

I normalised the spread between Used and New autos, and found that Used has practically never been cheaper to new.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

This might be the best photograph I ever take. My wife caught what we think is a eastern lubber grasshopper. He's back where he belongs - he's OK.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

All I read about is robots. All I see in the data is the 2nd lowest productivity growth in history, and accelerating labour share of income.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@ShitcoinSherpa @goodside Good job creating Judgment Day in a bunch of parallel universes, Riley

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

@Popehat @kairyssdal I also think about my grandparents in the 40s as well, but in Soviet Union. My grandfather was only one of thirteen children who survived. And that was barely surviving most of the war in Nazi camps. Significant difference between the lessons Americans and Europeans draw from WW2

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

60% disapproval rating following a 4.3% quarter. Man.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

10 years

Question: who predicted 5% real GDP and $50 oil? Anyone at all?

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

So, maybe @NateSilver538 isn't such a chump after all.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

The real rent chart is pretty spectacular.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

5 years

I can't think of a guy I care less about politically or economically than Ray Dalio. I'd rather listen to your grandmother on these subjects.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

Excited to announce @HeyOllieAi with @blennon_ , @max_fergus & team! Discover the fun side of gift-giving! Ollie tailors unique recommendations for any person in your life for every occasion and holiday. Our first step to a personal shopper for everyone -

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Even if we add another $60B or so from the past few weeks of gas price increases, the % of personal income spent on energy is still lower than any time pre-2014, except extremely brief periods of time in '99 and '01.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

Oooof course, this isn't exactly well publicised

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

5 years

@TheStalwart Our productivity could support 15-hour workweeks at a 1930 standard decades ago. Society has chosen to roll productivity gains into more material gains, instead of trading off for more leisure time. But also make no mistake: most 2019 work is leisure time relative to 1930 work.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

Where does Andrew Cuomo go to get his apology?

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@TheStalwart It's been an adventure, hasn't it?

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@yacineMTB Digital Ocean baby

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@paulg It reallllllly depends on what you're doing, and how good you are at using the new toys. And it will depend highly on the creation of new tools. I've had access to GPT-4 32k since mid-March. We literally have spent ~10k on GPT-4 32k for code gen. It ranges from not helpful at

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

@gwenpasch Tell me you're very experienced in business intelligence without telling me you're very experienced in business intelligence

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

BTW, 1,300 jobs are still going to Mexico.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

My Uber driver, upon realizing that I was flying to Buffalo without a jacket, offered to lend me his leather jacket in his trunk. #humansaregood

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

I've made mid thousands econometric models. In over half of them, one of China WTO, NAFTA, or Termination of Bretton Woods is an epoch, where all of the correlations and independent coefficients flip. Bretton Woods being the most common breakage.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

11 months

@paulkrugman What fraction of consumer spending is left after you take out food, energy, shelter and autos? What happens to demand in the balance of the composition when these components are high?

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 months

@NickADobos OpenAI is demonstrably mid at best at productising their models

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 months

@GrantSlatton A waterloo CS PhD is also a math PhD

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

If you aren't immediately reformulating your life around using GPT-4 for organizing your life, thoughts and endeavors, what are you even doing

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

The average S&P 500 1y total return since '62 is about 8%. When unemployment is >5%, that jumps to 11%. 12.6% for 7%. 16% for 8%. <5% -> 0%.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

With the recent talk about recessions, I think it's useful to clarify what recessions actually are, and what happens during one. The answer, without a lot of reduction, is a drop off in private investment.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 months

Opus is still way smarter than new Turbo

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Bing Chat is amazing. I've built whole bunch of GPT-3 and NeoX-20B chatbots, and it's clear to me that this is a new level of underlying model.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

10 years

There literally have never been this quantity of young, educated people entering the workforce ever. Boomers similar size, far less educated

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@0xjasper @_akhaliq Yeah, but OpenAI has GPT-4, so it's still the only game in town

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

The biggest mistake made in economics and finance is, has been, and continues to be the serial under-estimation of the size of USA economy.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

Chart is nuts. For several reasons (mainly cheap financing), very few people have realised that 5y growth in Real Unit Labor is 96th %ile.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

What a crazy few months. If you had asked me in November whether I'd be doing a webinar on AGI and code gen agents with @hwchase17 and @yoheinakajima , I'd have thought.... yeah, that sounds about right

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

This is why a lotta people here don't think much of what's going on. If you own stocks, you almost certainly still have your job.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

This is pretty shameful. And explains a lot.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

@fed_speak Well, there goes the 90 percent of American millionaires who got their wealth from real estate.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 months

@TweetsOfSumit Bold of you to assume those aren't suicide

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

@sama $300 for a plumbing job? Have you hired a plumber recently? My quote yesterday was very nearly your first number.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

If you think masks are oppression, it's hard for me to say this in anything other than angry, reactive manner, but: no. You clearly know nothing about history. Or oppression. And there *is* oppression in the United States, but you have very clearly never experienced it.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

LLM misbehaving? Unreliable? Break the problem up. You're asking it to do too much cognitive work in one cycle. You should be able to segment practically any problem.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

@ikashnitsky We detect gravitational waves from the early universe. Imaged black holes after discovering them out of pure mathematics. Discovered now more than 4,000 planets outside of our solar system. Just nuts. And JWST going to give us things we can barely imagine.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

Just took this with my telescope using my phone camera

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

@nycsouthpaw Does that mean that the USA has been a captive of Canada all of this time? We definitely didn't take advantage of this properly

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

The degree of both fiscal and monetary policy accommodation verges on unbelievable. This is close to as loose as we've ever seen.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 years

Basically nobody quits government jobs.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

Here it is -- my piece on valuation and expected EPS growth:

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

The past 2 years have seen the highest increase in real hourly compensation since 1998-2001. Yup.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

It definitely feels like most people around LLM application building have matured into realising that data interfaces are the key between bridging differentiable and deterministic worlds. The next big realisation is that we actually need protocols, not just single interfaces.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

Someone asked for a recession model run yesterday while I was in and out of cell coverage, and I can't recall who, but here it is. The economy remains on excellent footing, and Drumpf is lucky to have inherited such a strong foundation to wage supply shocks to via trade wars.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

3 years

This came out of a phone.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

Recession in the next 14 days? Anything is possible, but leading indicators -- which are certainly progressively squishier the longer the forecasting interval -- has *24 month* recession probabilities below 1 in 3.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 years

Reopning and ignoring need for distancing+masks is pissing in the face of every American who lost a job, had their business crushed, had their hours cut, lost a loved one, performs EMT/nursing/physician work. It's all a big fuck you: it didn't matter. Your sacrifice means nothing

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

@TheStalwart Nah, I never post my bangers. I keep that shit to myself

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

Markets have essentially superimposed Obama-level rational stability onto new political structure & policy projections.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 months

@MistralAI is probably a 1st class fine-tuning service with great DX away from really chipping away at OpenAI inferencing share. And especially if they ride @lateinteraction 's DSPy train, which is establishing itself as an inter-LLM compatibility layer. Huge opportunity there.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

10 years

The next time someone tells you that the stock market isn't driven by economic fundamentals, show them this. http://t.co/1MAKMuUwLX QED.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

Households have saved the energy dividend nearly dollar for dollar, and then some.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

Oh, yeah, and because part-time workers are every conspiracy nut's favourite vice, part-time -349k. Full-time +435k.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 months

A little table I did this AM -- I'm drawing Big O notation parallels to different complexities in Agent models.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

5 years

@TheStalwart @jameswester

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

: Cato Institute "With few exceptions, immigrants are less crime prone than natives or have no effect on crime rates"

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

9 years

This shit was settled by Ben Franklin in 1729

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

6 years

I'm seeing the same sort of ideological rejection of empiricism from the left of the excellent economic data the US government produces that I heard from the right when Obama was POTUS. Tribalism makes you stupid. Don't do tribalism.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

4 months

@HingumTringum and I did some hacking over the weekend and created a streaming TypeScript-based agent platform, and the first version of our code gen agent: Apex. This was entirely bootstrapped: we started in Claude console, and quickly ended up here.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

8 years

The Fed is repeating a 1937 mistake -- but not the one you think:

The Fed Is Repeating A 1937 Mistake

(but not the one you think)

medium.com

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

Just in time for Fathers Day, we've released our new Ollie: Some key features: - Generative search UI - Wishlists - User profiles - Improved product search - See more like this (product) I would love to hear your feedback, and if you love it,

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

2 years

Testing some of the best SERP+GPT-3 style examples. vs . tried a little harder, but whiffed, while Perplexity had no clue. Neither got me closer than Google.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

10 months

Perhaps the most crucial factor in intelligence is the ability to hold multiple pieces of knowledge in superposition during an information transformation that uses that knowledge for either rules, or as input for those rules.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

1 year

The first thing I did with this is some oldskool time series analysis. It claims no network access, so I had to upload some CSVs from FRED. It checks it out, makes some observations about it. Cool. I do the same for U3 unemployment rate, too.

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Matt Busigin

@mbusigin

7 months

gpt-4-1106-preview just continues to blow me away with how capable it is at doing useful work on large context lengths.

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