🚨 CONSOLIDATED EDU:
Wanted to give you guys a one stop shop to the best educational content I’ve put out here. Will be updating as I go along. If you missed anything, give it a read below ⬇️
🧵Thread Thursday: $SPX vs $SPY
One of the most common questions I get asked is whether to trade SPX or SPY. Both have their similarities, but both have very key differences which I'm going to overview here ⬇️
Incredible end to my best week ever. This locked in $55k this week, which I know is normal to see on FinTwit, if not pocket change to many traders - but not to me. Used to work 40 hours to see $700 a week post taxes/benefits. Awesome to finally see the fruits of the labor
“You’ll never be successful until I don’t have to give you a dime to do what you do.” Today marked a milestone - I’ve covered my old yearly salary in the past 3 weeks. What nobody saw was me, a year ago, working just as hard and being excited to have $100 days. Trust the process
Never been one to gas gains because % returns is all that matters, but wanted to share to inspire. It wasn’t long ago I was working a 9-5 I hated, but took a leap of faith in myself to trade full time. Posting this with hopes of inspiring you all who are in my old shoes
🧵Risk Mgmt & Position Sizing:
A thread I've been excited to put together for a while. By far the biggest road block I see to new traders not being profitable is consistent position sizing and their correlation of riskier trades with less sizing.
With 5 years now under my belt, the
#1
thing I've seen stopping traders from finding success is the "hopium" effect. I've dove into the mental side of trading countless times, but here is why..
🧵 Managing expectations could be the single most important aspect outside of charts.
Wanted to repost this for all my new friends here who haven't read it yet - my personal "Trading Strategies 101" to educate any new traders to options fundamentals and the TA techniques I use to enter all the bangers you see live in the discord
When times get tough, remember your why.
Jobs not done until I finish what my dad couldn’t and retire my mom. My tradings been ass recently so tonight I’m spending my bday on the monitors - back to the drawing board.
Never satisfied
The S&P500 will print below COVID lows before bottom is in.
Everything in life has both yin and yang, and the unprecedented returns generated from unprecedented Quantitative Easing will have unprecedented downdraws.
A thread //
🧵Debt & Equity Markets Interrelationship:
While I know macroeconomics isn't the coolest topic to most, I'm of firm belief that every trader should at least have a fundamental understanding of how the financial market relationships work & why.
(Going to be Macro Monday series)
Never got on twitter for any fame or fortune but it’s awesome to see how fast this community is learning and growing! Just here to help my fellow retail traders as best I can. Thank you all for 10k 💚🦎
🚨 How I played TSLA 980c for +1400% overnight:
•Down 12% from last weeks high, saw a lot of bull flow & call volume yesterday as we filled gap back to 930
•TSLA 1000c was top 3 highest volume options chain yday excluding indexes (thanks to
@unusual_whales
)
•open > 950➡️1000
🚨Since I love playing the extremist, let's look at how overvalued stocks got over the last 3 years. In the '02 and '09 recessions, $SPX bottomed 38% and 48% below the weekly 200MA. Call it a 43% avg. Now look at chart 2 to see where that would be today.
Hint: We're at the 200MA
5 years ago I was breaking the bank to get momma mander some CZ earrings 😂 Giving myself 30 seconds of fulfillment before getting hungry again. Happy early Mother’s Day to all the special women out there
Everyone loves my homerun style trading but today is a day where it doesn’t work. 7ema crossovers on SPY. Most plays went over +50% but ended today red. Live and die by the strat. Not every day will be a trend day but I know once I switch to a scalp mindset I’ll miss a 10 bagger
🚨 I will be reworking Money Mander Moves over the weekend to expand, refresh, and update the knowledge in the PDF as well as including recent trades along with charts and what I saw to enter them so you can correlate the TA section with live insight.
Vol. 2 coming next week!
(13/13)
Hope this helped answer some questions! I'll be doing one of these every week, so let me know below what you would like to see covered in next week's Thread Thursday
@Kane_Capital
Getting a lot of hate here so let’s clarify 😂 This is a hypothetical COULD’VE - I, like I always preach, trimmed profits along the way to take off risk. I netted +388%, +165%, +608% and 444% on these trades respectfully with scale outs. Trim 1/2 > +100% = risk free trade
Alerted $SPY 460p live today in discord which went +2750% into close (0.35 to 10.00) 💰
•$35 ➡️ $1,000
•$350 ➡️ $10,000
•$3,500 ➡️ $100,000
We do this all day, every day, for free. Link in bio to join 10k others who are learning and banking with us
@Kane_Capital
I know my old man is smiling up above knowing Mama Mander is taken care of 👼🏻
Making my old monthly salary in 2 hours is cool, but what you do with those bags is what really counts. Always give back to those who gave you the most
🚨 For those wondering: Still alive and well lol. Got hurt on some swings earlier in the week and felt no need to force trades through this Tues-Today. Missed out on puts into close today due to fear honestly, but looking to end 2021 on a high note tomorrow. 0DTE across the board
$SPX multi-timeframe analyses and daily level outlook. Treading lightly & letting the markets decide their fate tomorrow. Expecting a lot of 🗑️ price action with quad witching, but we will have significant confirmation to either side by next week.
🚨 Daily Recap 12/23:
• $TSLA 1050c o/n swings (+1640%) ✅
• $SPY 470c o/n swings (+835%) ✅
• $GM 56c 1/2 position swing (+25%) ✅
• $SPY 472c profit roll lottos (-32%) ❌
Everyone better be giving great Xmas gifts this year 💰 Back to back days w +1000% alert! See u Monday
Can’t wait to go over my $SPY & $QQQ strategies in depth with everyone who got in to the Kane Cap Trading Camp starting next week 💰 Still have a lot of DMs to go through, but shoot me one if you’re interested! Couple spots still open, I will be going through them all this week
So $MSFT...
-4.7% miss on EPS est.
-$230M miss on revenue est.
-0.37% beat on cloud services est.
= +5% in AH and a > 28 multiple valuation. Makes sense
🧵Thread Thursday: Trading Psychology
Coming at you guys early with some morning thoughts. Today I'll be touching on trading psychology - and more specifically, self awareness of your own psyche. The first step in becoming a better trader is better understanding yourself.
$AMZN, on the other hand, has almost no liquidity to chew through on its way to filling the earnings gap. This one looks JUICY through trend line support
• $QQQ > 371 ➡️ 380 with $GOOGL double beat and split
• $AMD huge beat, $NVDA complimentary play running AH
• 3/4 largest names in S&P with earnings double beats, $AMZN to report Thursday AMC
Tomorrow and rest of this week should be fun 🚀
One trade opened today. Only grabbed 6 $SPX 4070p lottos at 2.50 and the week is made. Wish I grabbed more but hindsight trading is easy! Off to dinner with
@DiamondxTrades
and
@RamsayRippers
let’s finish strong tomorrow
🚨 Quick thread on $SPX and current situation from a technical standpoint:
*Not at all giving any predictions here, just historical statistics and levels. Obviously history doesn’t always repeat itself*
💰Daily Recap 12/23:
• $TSLA 12/23 980c o/n swing went +1410%
• $SPY 12/22 465c went +500%
• $MSFT 12/23 332.5c o/n swing went +274%
Dec has been nuts, can’t wait to finish out an insane month/year with you all. It’s never too late to hop aboard the
#KaneTrain
@Kane_Capital
🚨 Weekly Recap 12/13-12/17 🚨
•Average net winner: +122.4%
•Average net loser: -17%
•Profitable trades: 12/23 (52.2%)
Top trades:
• $SPY 468c +1043%
• $SPY 465p +500%
• $QQQ 393p +377%
• $SPY 459p +200%
Today marked 6 straight days with one over +100% & 7 of last 8 days
After an 0/2 open, came back with +1000% SPX lotto calls for PH to save the day (closed +1880% but locked in the profits) Insane feeling hitting this live trading for the team and now making my old post-tax salary just this week. The heater and
#KaneTrain
rolls on.
🚨 1000% SPX Calls LIVE 🚨
Sneak peak of what
@Kane_Capital
gets on voice chat all day every day. Trade thesis discussed w/ team + entries, trims, and exits. You can literally hear my fills through the mic.
This was ELECTRIC. Nothing beats banking with the whole team ⬇️
Current levels on $SPY - Rejected the 38.2 retracement (I draw mine backwards) going into FOMC today. Forming h pattern in after hours which hints towards an inevitable retest of 420.76. Below that ~405 will be swing term bearish PT
A short Kane Cap story:
1.)
@mandertrades
and
@DiamondxTrades
add $SPY and $QQQ puts within seconds of each other.
2.) Those puts close +550% and +500% respectively.
That’s it. That’s the story.
In honor of
@Kane_Capital
hitting 15k today let’s take a trip down money lane of all my trades from the start 💰
•Hit rate: 57.4% (143/249)
•Cumulative net returns: +10,115.55%
With uniform sizing:
•$100 ➡️ $10,215
•$500 ➡️ $51,077
•$1,000 ➡️ $102,150
Monthly Recaps🔻
Came out of college with a 6 figure Economics degree to barely clear 60k at first job. Couldn’t afford to pay attention after loan payments.
Was grinding 100 hour weeks trying to perfect this craft so I could one day quit. Gave up entire social life for a year. Work, charts,
I know it’s a lot to some and a piss in the ocean to others, but it’s a check off my list of “firsts” ✅ and hopefully it provides you all with some fuel in your own trading journeys
Yields down = get long
The System buy signal = get long
VIX back under 30 = get long
You have to stay nimble and trade both sides in these markets as rallies will be aggressive. Lots of overhead gaps still unfilled
Live by the strat, die by the strat - it’s the only way you’ll know if it works.
@Kane_Capital
platinum members saw me give back over $10k in unrealized gains live today, but if you look at that as a $10k loss instead of a $16k win that’s a losing mindset.
Not many know this but I lost my dad at the ripe age of 17. Seeing my mom grind back then to support me is my motivation before open every day. Whatever your reason, never forget it and always stay hungry
This scene always stuck with me. Being in a position 24/7 is the sign of an addict, not a good trader. Wait for the A+ set up to present itself, and capitalize when it does.
🚨 Last week recap:
• 1 trade > +1000%
• 4 trades > +600%
• 7 trades > +200%
• +865% on standard pos. size
• 45% hit rate
Exactly why I’ve never centered my strategy around quick trims for a high hit rate
Went through 4 years of college being conformed to corporate america only to realize I hate being told what to do and kissing ass. Nothing is more freeing than learning to trade!
First week of the year and we’re back where we left off…
🚨 2 plays > +2000% in last 2 hours of the day. Does it get much better than this?
@Kane_Capital
Play the levels not the premium, secure your profits and leave runners, always respect your stop loss, take out 1/2 over +100%… those who follow know how I roll 💰 If you’re new, PDF in my pinned tweet goes over all this. Vol 2 coming this week
I made a conscious effort this week to buy time / swing my trades & use my macro edge instead of getting chopped up intraday with Joe Shmoe. Have I missed multiple 0DTE 10 baggers in hindsight? Yes, but…
• 5/6 Winners ✅
• +181% Average Peak ✅
• 0 Grey Hairs Grown ✅
I’ve somehow grown to be seen as one of the “perma-bears” on here, but that couldn’t be farther from truth. I’m simply a realistic economist who understands the bottom is far from in.
🚨 My 2023 Market Outlook:
•Ultimately wanted to write this for myself to come review in a year, but I thought you all would enjoy the read as well.
•WARNING: Not for the bull of heart.
$SPX 3830P today went +600% but I only netted 200%. Am I upset? Not at all. Only way to hit those 2000% trades is to hold your risk free runners and see what the market gives. Live and die by the strat
🚨 Easy way to cultivate a WL this week:
•With S&P futures testing ATH, find strong names/companies not current at their ATH (ensure it’s not bc of any poor news, guidance/earning report)
•Use
@unusual_whales
to filter for high call flow & popular strikes
•Rinse and repeat
So giving back to my mom & making him proud is what keeps me motivated through the all nighters, the red days, avoiding the FOMOs, etc. A year ago I would’ve laughed at me being able to make this in a day, and there’s nothing but yourself keeping it from being you
One last phrase I'll leave you with.
"The man who enjoys walking will walk farther than the man who enjoys the destination."
Grow to love the process and trading instead of loving the returns, and you'll see your account growing before you know it.
Always put my money where my mouth is - and when I’m wrong, I’m wrong. Got caught in longs targeting the upside gap fill to the 61.8 @ 4130 $SPX. Was lucky to claw back some before the close, but it’s important to show the other side of trading too. Not always sunshine and roses
More than 40% worth of $QQQ holdings report this week. Forward guidance on China focused supply chain issues & chip shortage for big tech will be paramount IMO.
360 or 300 first?
Right now is one of the best entry points the stock market has seen in the last 15 years. If you wished you could go back in time and invest in 2009, now would be that opportunity
But, there are over 2,672 index funds to choose from
Here are the top 5 that can make you rich:
If you bought into the 50bps narrative your bags will get heavy. JPM, others promoting fantasyland to stimulate their monthly exit liquidity. Rally was fun, economic data hasn’t shown any signs of improvement, history warns against premature pivots
Great MDW linking up with the
@Kane_Capital
team - now back to the scheduled program. $SPX write up and weekly game plan coming tonight. Will be covering my top 5 names and favorite potential trades if bullish/bearish
$LAZR has my full and undivided attention this week - Weekly bullish flow is off the charts ( courtesy of
@unusual_whales
) as it approaches major support turned resistance on the daily chart. Break and hold through 11.50 could go vertical to 12.50+
$DOCU biggest joke of a company still valued at 12B when a copy machine is a couple hundred bucks. P/E at -141 with a P/BV of 46... Once this daily trend line support breaks, see you at 42 then bankruptcy
$NFLX 250c trade recap that went +700% in an hour to start the week. Don't overcomplicate things - whales hammering the bullish flow courtesy of
@unusual_whales
+ opening candle bounce off daily key level. Taking Momma Mander to Mexico if we break into this overhead gap
To everyone who DM’ed me! Got a ton of interest in the final spots for our Boot Camp & I will be doing my best to get them all answered in the next couple days 💰
We are about to wipe out YTD gains in a blink. The last time yields rallied this fast we sold over 400 pts straight down. Currently only down 100 pts from FOMC when they started running and they have yet to slow down. Buckle up