Associate Professorial Research Fellow at LSE IDEAS coordinating PeaceRep's Ukraine programme. Book: Authoritarian Contagion, co-host Another Europe pod.
Tory MP Lee Anderson says benefits shouldn’t rise in line with inflation because it’s unfair to those in work. When the BBC reporter points out the majority of ppl on benefits are in work he says we should scrap the license fee 🤡 🤡 🤡 🤡
The truckers don’t have toilet facilities and are dependent on volunteers for food. And we’re expected to believe this crisis shows we’re “ready” for a no deal exit. Honestly, whatever you’re smoking Britain, I want some.
I have plenty of criticisms of Corbyn. But he has consistently opposed no deal. He *always* called for it to be taken off the table. The idea Corbyn isn’t part of an alliance to stop no deal is barmy. It’s neither practical or desirable to exclude the Labour leadership.
The BBC lunchtime news leading for 10 minutes and counting on the Bashir interview and the royals, when Israel has broken the ceasefire by storming the Al Aqsa mosque is as offensive as it is bizarre
The maps don’t lie. The UK is about 30 or 40 years behind Spain and Italy when it comes to high speed rail infrastructure. Even when the (now slimed down) HS2 is complete in 2035 we won’t be in the same league. An utter embarrassment.
Your regular reminder that 87 per cent of Afghans support schooling for girls and the Taliban have never won the genuine political support of more than about 1 in 10 people. What we are witnessing in Afghanistan is a military coup sui generis and should be labelled as such.
The govt could actually purchase the entire UK private rental market for £1.3 trillion (2018 data). In all seriousness, buying up housing stock as the market crashes to then let out is probably the simplest way to help private renters (ie de facto convert them to social renters)
Easy to mock this but it’s a big deal. Former UK PM goes full MAGA appears to call for a type of fascist revolution. Even deliberately parroting the Bannon line on dismantling the “administrative state” and nodding along as he calls Tommy Robinson a “hero”
Union members Brexit poll:
💥64% back new referendum
💥71% would vote remain
💥60% want Labour to campaign for Remain
😬 81% think Labour’s current position on Brexit is unclear
😬 Only 39 per cent currently intending to vote Labour
Good to see that this is happening after the shocking summary arrest of the organiser and invasive police search of a vehicle containing placards. Republicans have a right to peacefully protest. Solidarity to all the protestors.
Starmer's approval ratings amongst Labour voters are a sign that the left should 'play the ball, not the man'.
Focus on campaigning for left wing policies because he could be a good advocate for them judging by this.
Approve 77%
Disapprove 6%
Net approval +71
Opinium 25/07
First
@AyoCaesar
contemplates substituting Kosher salt with more readily available alternatives, then
@OwenJones84
says Carling tastes like piss. How low is too low for these liberal communist snowflakes?
Good that Labour have decided to vote against the authoritarian Policing Bill. But doesn't change the fact that 5 days ago they argued the Bill does "not go far enough".
Either they didn't read it (incompetent), or they read it and liked it (outrageous). Not a good place to be.
According to the Observer, Arcadia and Debenhams occupy 1.4m square feet of retail space situ that now has no takers. I wonder what would happen if you turned it over to the Arts Council and creative industries and just put out a call for proposals on what to do with these spaces
Fundamentally unserious. I would like to say that it’s absolutely shocking that this guy was ever in the Labour Party (a councillor, to boot), but sadly I can’t.
There is an… *actual hate march* in London and it’s the one that Suella Braverman and the right wing media called onto the streets. What a disgrace.
@lowles_nick
is reporting from the scene for
@hopenothate
.
57% of Leave voters and 46% of Remain voters would blame Jeremy Corbyn for a no deal exit from the transition period 😂🤯🤦
Oh my days. Go home Britain, you’re drunk mate.
The Scottish LP seem to think it’s sensible to hammer the SNP for voting against a deal they don’t agree with. And their voters oppose.
The grounds? The “threat” of no deal. It suits some ppl to present the vote in Parliament as a deal versus no deal choice but it’s not true /1
The UCU position - no return to face to face teaching without a systematic testing regime on campuses - is perfectly sensible. These are spaces that are notorious for viral infection (“freshers flu”). It defies reason that the govt hasn’t created a special uni testing policy.
70,000 people took to the streets of Prague in a mass protest against the EU and NATO. They demanded neutrality in the war and action on energy prices. This is the future for all governments that act against the interests of their people.
Don’t feel enough attention has been given to how well the Welsh government have done on coronavirus. In March, South Wales was widely reported as a pandemic hotspot. Today we know if England had the same death rate 24,000 people would still be with us
Mark Drakeford tells BBC News unequivocally that if there was a majority in Senedd for a Welsh independence referendum, he would support holding one. Says the Scotland policy is a matter for Scottish Labour but I think the wry smile on his face made his position fairly clear...
It shouldn't need to be said but
@OwenJones84
is a truly loving person who gives up so much of his time to make the world a better place.
The haters have won for now but can't even be gracious in victory. We'll win in the end.
#SolidarityWithOwenJonesDay
Putting ideology to one side for a moment ask yourself this... If the Lib Dems rule out going into Coalition with or supporting... anyone then's what's the actual point of people voting for them? What's the case? "Vote for us, we'll refuse to govern".
Don't doubt many people find the "don't judge the past by the standards of today" argument convincing. But it falls apart once you know that slavery and colonialism were resisted and subject to huge moral debate at the time. Lack of knowledge of this is ofc part of the problem.
Getting rid of free Covid testing is a wild but telling policy. Hugely unpopular with public but opposite on Tory benches. YouGov polled it in Dec and found 86% support for keeping it with just 7% backing gov. Tories are v. ideological and not the great strategists ppl imagine.
Viktor Orbán will be repeatedly referred to as a 'populist' in the UK media today. This description is not technically wrong, but on it's own it's misleading. His populism is simply an adjunct of his racism, authoritarianism and ethnic nationalism.
So who is he? A thread
"I feel the spirit of Enoch Powell", Ken Clarke says of the *post-2016 Conservative Party*. "I'm afraid on that, I haven't followed them and I don't intend to do so".
He's not a Black British intellectual writing for a US liberal newspaper. So it's allowed, you know the rules.
The UK uses 69 per cent of its land area for food production and produces less than 60 per cent of the food we eat. We are net food importers- the last time we weren’t was WW2 and it required rationing. No amount of saying “buy British” changes the facts, we need a trade deal
The 19 Labour MPs who wrote to Johnson saying they would back any deal should lose the whip if they vote with him.
Even if Johnson caves on the backstop, his deal means a neoliberal, hardline deregulatory Brexit for the rest of the UK.
It’s a Q life and death for Labour.
In the recent UNSC debate on "Russophobia", the Ghanaian ambassador made a fine speech attacking Russia's aggression against Ukraine and violations of international law. "Our condemnation of such actions is the same whether they occur in the East or in the West."
Came across this from referendum night, 2016. How times change. Daniel Hannan promised:
❌ A national consensus taking account of the 48%, Scotland and Northern Ireland
❌ "85% of our relations with Europe will remain the same"
❌ "No one is talking about new trade barriers"
A ps. As an illustration of the constitutionally illiterate arguments animating the Scottish Labour Party's attack on the SNP check out the below. And I say this as a Labour member. Honestly the absolute state of this illogical tweet... 🤦♂️
My constituents & I are overwhelmingly against, & would be harmed by, a no deal Brexit - so I will NOT vote for no deal.
YOUR constituents & U are overwhelmingly against, & would be harmed by, a no deal Brexit - but you will vote FOR a no deal.
That what your constituents want?🤔
There have been a lot of criticisms of the license fee in recent years, so it's great to see the BBC's Industry has produced a moment to unite the nation: semi-naked investment bankers reading
@OwenJones84
after sex.
I know he's a racist, but I don't think you should get a prison sentence, however short, for pissing in public whether you're next to a memorial or not. The photograph exposed the hypocrisy of the far right but the sentence might be helpful to the tabloid's 'lock em up' campaign
A simple UK version of what France has done would have been capping the energy price rise at 4% and issuing govt loans to the energy companies to cover the cost with an option to convert to these to equity later. So shifting cost to shareholders, not taxpayers or consumers.
I’ve a co-authored a new report, ‘The Devastating Defeat: Why Labour lost and how it can win again’ with
@ChristabelCoops
.
We put to together data profiles of the seats switching from Labour to Tory and vice versus. It reveals pretty stark patterns...
No, no, no!
It's much worse than that. They will be yes/no questions on whether to support or not support these 2 candidates.
An absolute travesty of democracy and another sign that the Momentum leadership fear their members would deliver the 'wrong' answer.
I’ve read the book, for my sins - it’s absurd to describe it as an anti-Semitic text. How many making this criticism would say you can’t read David Hume because he thought black people inferior? We should challenge these histories but Hobson is widely seen as a liberal thinker
I learnt about Hobson from
@TristramHuntVA
’s documentary. It contextualises his antisemitism, which Corbyn should’ve done, but clear it’s not a necessary or core part of his theory. That
#newsnight
introduce it just as an “antisemitic book” is ridiculous.
Absolutely heart breaking report on BBC News this lunchtime on Bame deaths from Covid 19 incl the case of a British Filipino health worker. He was given totally inadequate PPE despite having severe asthma. This should be a Windrush-level national scandal.
People in the poorest parts of the country are more than twice as likely to die from coronavirus. The most deprived bits of London have been the hardest hit parts of the city.
It’s easy to posture when you’re insulated from the worst of the crisis because of your class.
Great news. Exit polls show massive collapse of far right FPÖ in Vienna city elections - in addition, new far right party of former FPÖ leader Strache will not make it into the assembly.
Good day for Democracy: First projected results of
#Vienna
city
#elections
(+/- 2%). Collapse of far-right
#FP
Ö (-23%),
#Strache
's new party will not make it into the city assembly (3.6%). Current governing Socialdemocrat-Green coalition strengthened (together 56%)
Long Brexit survey from YouGov with some interesting findings. Full results well worth looking at. It confirms the now standard pattern of a consistent Remain lead but with a still stubbornly high Leave vote (53 vs 47%). However... /1
Two totally dominant ideas in the media and political elite:
a. Today Parliament will vote on the UK-EU trade deal.
b. The choice is between deal and no deal.
These claims are both entirely false.
@SamFowles
and I explain why👇for
@LSEpoliticsblog
Extraordinary thread exposing the links between
@afneil
and a think tank founded by the party of far right Hungarian leader, Victor Orbán. To get a handle on *just how extreme* Orbán is read his closing election speech from earlier this year here:
Could you please explain why you praised the research of an anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant foundation linked to Orban's far-right government?
Or why you are hosting events at the Hungarian Embassy for this foundation?
The whole point of data anonymization is privacy protection.
Once data is anonymised it can’t be traced to individuals. Data that has been anonymised is outside the scope of GDPR-based data protection law - as anyone who has done the training knows!
I’ve had BBC News on for a while... and it’s very striking that, despite all the discussion of “how did we get here” and some abstract comments on the need for a “functioning test and trace system”, there has not been a single mention of the £12bn Serco test and trace catastrophe
This “stop refugees” video is a good example of how vulgar anti imperialism easily slips into Orientalism. “Nothing happens in the global south except events caused by the west. Those pesky refugees? That was the West. Movements fighting for democracy? Just puppets of the West”.
👏 👏 👏 👏 👏
Polish left party withdraws from Progressive International and DiEM25 due to “lack of unconditional recognition of Ukrainian sovereignty and condemnation of Russian imperialism”. Quite right. Support the Ukrainian national liberation struggle.
#StandWithUkraine
W związku z brakiem jednoznacznej deklaracji uznania suwerenności Ukrainy i bezwzględnego potępienia imperializmu rosyjskiego przez
@ProgIntl
i
@DiEM_25
, Rada Krajowa Razem postanowiła wczoraj zakończyć współpracę z tymi organizacjami.
Rather amazingly Spain has the second largest high speed rail network in the world, which was estimated to have cost a cumulative total of €40 billion by 2015 - far less than the projected bill for HS2. A remarkable policy achievement we should be systematically studying.
One of these - the election - is obviously to Labour's liking. So they need to hold their nerve. Put ratification referendum in their manifesto. Win the election. And play their small part in consigning Brexit to the dustbin of history.
Language John Bercow and Dominic Grieve, both Tories ofc, are using makes you realise what an extraordinary moment this is in British politics. “A consitititional outrage” - Bercow; “the government will come down” - Grieve. This is happening... a constitutional crisis in Britain.
Even before “partygate”, I don’t think criminalising household mixing could ever be a justifiable long term pandemic response. Do we want to live in a society where it’s against the law to see friends or family? Turning the state of exception into an irregular norm just isn’t on.
I must confess I was stunned by this fact in my good friend
@KojoKoram
’s much needed guardian article today:
“The percentage of black people in Britain who are in prison is higher than the corresponding figure in the US”
Away from the appalling treatment of Nancy Fraser, it seems like something very interesting is happening in the German public opinion and national debate.
A thread🧵 /1
In the end will an infuriated Remain voter with young kids back the party that offers a way out of Brexit and free university education or the party that is hardline, ‘performatively’ anti Brexit and tripled fees to £9k a year?
EU trade bill landed:
🤬 It's 85 pages long, highly technical
🤬 It's all about implementation - there's no yes/no vote on deal
🤬 Deal itself 1240 pages long and published Boxing Day
🤬 MPs get a few hours to debate and vote tomorrow
What a total anti-democratic piss take
Call me crazy, but if I had just overseen mass resignations, a huge breakdown in trust, a global PR disaster and been ratio’ed to boot I would simply not email
#UCU
members saying, “This weekend has seen our union's democracy at its best. We leave Congress more united than ever”.
A quite extraordinary finding (in an excellent thread all round) ...
Despite the mass defection of Remainers to Greens and Lib Dems in the European Elections the poll found 83 per cent of the voters who stuck with Labour would back Remain in a new referendum.
83% of LAB 2019 EP voters favour Remain - which is pretty remarkable when you consider that some LAB-Remainers defected to the Lib Dems for the Euro elections, making this an underestimate (!) of Remain support among likely LAB voters!
Food for thought, eh
@JeremyCorbyn
?
It really does shame the Biden administration that they were *alone*, ie even the authoritarian populist U.K. govt wouldn’t support them, in vetoing the proposed Security Council resolution on the Israel-Palestine conflict this week.
Listening to panellists refer to immigrants as “rapists“, hearing how the Nationality and Borders Bill isn’t enough, we have to dump the human rights act, then BBC jumps into impartiality mode, rounding on the person that called this out as racism.
Seems notable that the UK far right have started to argue that Israel’s exclusionary racial laws are a model for the West. When Netanyahu passed the ‘Nation State Law’, he was hosting a visit of Hungary’s Viktor Orbán. So, these ideas are all circulating through the ecosystem.
Biden administration backs COVID-19 vaccine patent suspension at WTO. Huge breakthrough for
#peoplesvaccine
campaign. Now watch as an embarrassed Europe runs to catch up.
As my good friend
@AnnPettifor
argues here, the state needs to invest in assets to make up for the large liabilities that it will accumulate in the crisis. Housing stock is an obvious area where it can make a profitable investment and help renters
According to the leaks he’s going to announce school closures, after only *yesterday* telling parents to send their children to school on Monday because they are “perfectly safe”. Just a completely mad way to run the country 🤯
The Guardian has it right. Assange should have faced the rape charge. Instead he put himself under de facto house arrest in London. He is an unpleasant person, with incredibly dodgy links to Farage and Putin. But we should still oppose the US extradition
The Liberal “bollocks to Brexit” Democrats have put forward Ken Clarke as a caretaker PM even though he is a long standing opponent of a Brexit reversal referendum who voted for May’s deal several times.
I mean, like, guys, do your homework...
All politicians - esp Labour politicians - get lost in this "we'll build xyz number of houses" discourse. Building houses is important. It's good Sadiq Kahn has built 10k social houses in London. But the state can also buy the housing stock already built.
An excellent account of the issues at stake in the non-controversy of the 2014 service in Tunis: “There is nothing immoral about laying a wreath to remember the victims of an attack that even Margaret Thatcher condemned.”
The “no deal threat” has been a powerful myth. You can see why - no deal would have been bad even if never plausible. But now there is a U.K.-EU deal, the only way to get “no deal” outcome is for U.K. to renounce their own deal or be replaced by a no deal govt /10
Britain is going to stay in the EU. About a quarter to a third of the country will go nuts. But appeasement isn’t an option.
We have to fight for our values.
If this report in the Metro is right it seems inevitable the shift in govt policy announced on the cuff last night will see another spike in the infection rate in London and SE. Even with the problems with testing, there are still 4K new cases per day...
If this had been the rule in 2020 there would have been no election because no other candidate apart from Starmer would have reached the MP nomination threshold...💩
A group of courageous german civil servants are demanding an immediate end to arms sales to Israel. Significantly rhose with "international experience" outside the "German bubble" are the ones pushing this call. /3
@AyoCaesar
Farage invented this method originally in the European Parliament, very ahead of game, some of his YouTube videos of speeches had massive audience. Left has caught up in last five or ten years. AOC helped ofc.
When you google Labour Party manifesto the first hit is a link to (see image below) created by the Conservative Party. So that’s a ruffling feathers digital campaign
#GE2019
Senior police officers coming out today to condemn the new law on wearing masks in shops (‘unenforceable’) is quite disgraceful.
Drugs laws are ‘unenforceable’ but they wouldn’t dream of saying so.
🤬
A warning to Remain voters considering the Lib Dems in
#GE2019
. Sometimes they are the right choice. But check the data. To win more than 5 seats from the Tories they need swings of in excess of 5%.
Labour can take 54 Tory seats with local swings of 5%
The huge irony of Brexit is that a fair few EU states have shown it’s pretty easy to get around any rules you don’t like as a member. But once you’re outside you’re locked in a negotiation with this much bigger actor and it’s all ‘ratchet clauses’ and tariffs if you don’t comply.
With the U.K. and EU agreeing a deal, the only way to get to a “no deal” would be to replace the U.K. govt with one committed to it.
Why? Parliament has extremely limited power in relation to trade deals and international treaties more broadly /2
Hopefully a sign that the Russian elite is turning against Putin. The director of the state-run think tank and Kremlin adviser, Andrey Kortunov, tells BBC his advice was that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was not justifiable. Get Putin out, get the troops out
#FreeUkraine
Cannot believe
@EdRooksby
has been taken from us. A really lovely, truly good guy, and great mind. I first met him at an academic conf panel, many years ago when I nervously gave my 1st ever paper. He was predictably reassuring and supportive. RIP Ed, what a terrible loss.
The NHS guidance on data anonymisation can be read here and includes this flow chart.
The key point is it can’t be traced back to an individual. I don’t see how the number of deaths figure requires consent of families. Happy to be corrected if mistaken!
Wise words from from
@OwenJones84
👇
✅ Attempts at a Brexit compromise are over because Brexiters hardliners won’t accept it
✅ Recover the many not the few narrative to pick fights with vested interests to solve Corbyn’s visibility problem
In the *extremely unlikely*, hypothetical event parliament voted against the enabling act it would cause a political crisis for the Johnson govt but it wouldn’t lead to a “no deal” as U.K. parliamentary support not ultimately required to sign off on the deal /9
Out for my exercise. Russell Square empty and people in it clearly socially distancing. Thank you Camden and Islington for not shutting the parks recognising many residents (like me!) don’t have luxury of gardens. Don’t attack ordinary people for our governments’ failures.
"We have seen the scapegoating of migrants by mainstream politicians and much of the media... demonising them for all the problems in our society."
Spot on👍
(Also, I have to say Owen's calm patience on this show was impeccable.)
The Tories' 'hostile environment' led to black Britons being denied cancer treatment, being kicked out on the street, and being deported: never let them forget it.