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Luke Arkins Profile
Luke Arkins

@luke_arkins

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Mariners Consigliere newsletter | New York guy in love with a Seattle gal | Retired Naval Officer | Stats nerd | Baseball is the best sport |

Seattle
Joined May 2011
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 years
Some personal news from @lukeslady206 (Mrs Arkins) and me.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Teams hit by a pitch most often this season: SEA - 85 👀 NYM - 80 MIN - 73 OAK - 70 TBR - 69 CIN - 69 LAA - 64 SFG - 64 WSN - 63 Note: #Mariners pitchers have hit the fewest hitters (34) this season. 1/4
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 years
Number of players on each team the Astros have hit with a pitch this year. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
3 months
Fewest runs allowed since April 11. SEA - 26 👀 NYY - 44 MIL - 44 CHC - 45 CIN - 45 LAD - 45 TOR - 46 WSN - 46 PHI - 47 KCR - 50 ATL - 50 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
UPDATE: AL win-loss records since July 1... SEA 31-13 👀 BAL 28-15* BOS 25-16 HOU 25-18 MIN 24-18 TOR 24-18 TEX 23-19 👀 DET 22-21 CLE 20-24 TBR 18-23 LAA 17-24 KCR 17-27 NYY 15-28 OAK 12-27* CHW 12-27* *Still playing #Mariners 1/2
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Luke Arkins
1 year
The #Mariners are… 21-7 without Jarred Kelenic 13-4 without Paul Sewald 13-4 with Dominic Canzone/Josh Rojas 6-3 without JP Crawford 11-3 since Bryan Woo pitched 5-1 since Tom Murphy played I’m just spitballin’. But it appears to me the M’s are playing great *team* baseball.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Fewest home runs allowed by a bullpen this season... SEA - 8 👀 MIN - 15 LAA - 16 BAL - 16 HOU - 16 NYY - 17 PIT - 17 STL - 17 TEX - 18 CHC - 18 CIN - 18 PHI - 18 SDP - 18 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
10 months
Food for thought… SEA hitters - 109 HBP (most in MLB) SEA pitchers - 55 HBP (26th) HOU hitters - 72 HBP (12th) HOU pitchers - 74 HBP (10th) HOU pitchers have hit 10 SEA batters SEA pitchers have hit 5 HOU batters #Mariners
@Chandler_Rome
Chandler Rome
10 months
Dusty Baker: "I’m tired of our guys getting hit. It makes guys a lot bolder when they don’t have to hit.”
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Through 111 games, the #Mariners have the same record (59-52) as the 2022 M’s had though 111 games.
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Luke Arkins
10 months
First two MLB seasons. #Mariners 👀
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Most home runs while playing catcher since the beginning of 2022… Cal Raleigh - 40 👀 JT Realmuto - 37 Sean Murphy - 36 Salvador Perez - 31 Willson Contreras - 29 Will Smith - 28 Travis d'Arnaud - 27 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
38,254 at T-Mobile Park to watch the #Mariners play an NL cellar dweller on a random Tuesday night. It’s almost as if a winning team attracts more fans to the ballpark.
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Luke Arkins
2 years
I know a lot of #Mariners fans don't care for Diego Castillo. But I'd like to point out he faced 222 batters in the regular season and hit two. This ESPN booth failed to mention this point.
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Luke Arkins
11 months
Fun comp...the first two seasons of Ronald Acuña Jr. and Julio Rodríguez. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Since an embarrassing 15-4 loss to Tampa Bay on June 30, the #Mariners have an MLB-best 22-10 record. Games gained by the M’s on their AL competition since June 30… BAL - 0 games HOU - 2.5 MIN - 3.0 TOR - 3.0 TEX - 4.0 BOS - 4.0 CLE - 6.5 NYY - 8.5 LAA - 8.5 TBR - 9.5
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Luke Arkins
11 months
Most wins by a #Mariners team in August… 20 - 2001 19 - 2023 👀 17 - 2022 17 - 2014 16 - 2016 16 - 1999 16 - 1995
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Julio Rodriguez - 21-years-old Jarred Kelenic - 22 Andres Munoz - 23 Matt Brash - 24 Taylor Trammell - 24 Logan Gilbert - 25 Abraham Toro - 25 Cal Raleigh - 25 Future looking bright, #Mariners .
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Luke Arkins
11 months
Most shutouts this season… ATL - 15 SEA - 13 👀 CLE - 13 TOR - 12 TBR - 12 SDP - 12 LAD - 12 MIL - 12 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 months
Highest SO% since 1921... SEA (2024) - 28.3%👀 DET (2020) - 27.3% TBR (2020) - 26.9% CHC (2021) - 26.7% MIL (2020) - 26.6% MIN (2023) - 26.6% DET (2019) - 26.4% SDP (2019) - 26.3% CHW (2018) - 26.3% OAK (2024) - 26.2% MIA (2021) - 26.2% SEA (2023) - 25.9%👀 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
10 months
Dusty Baker expressing irritation about Astros hitters getting plunked by pitches prompted me jump down the HBP rabbit hole... #Mariners 1/8
@brianmctaggart
Brian McTaggart
10 months
Dusty: "I'm tired of our guys getting hit. It makes guy a lot bolder when they don't have to hit, you know what I mean? In the National League could do something about it with the guy who threw the pitch...with the DH, guys get bold."
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Since July 1... Most runs scored/game: HOU - 5.3 BOS - 5.2 SEA - 5.2👀 BAL - 5.1 TEX - 5.0 Lowest runs allowed/game: SEA - 3.6👀 TOR - 3.7 BAL - 3.7 CLE - 3.9 BOS - 4.5 TEX - 4.5 Highest run differential: SEA - 75 👀 BAL - 65 TOR - 35 BOS - 34 TEX - 24 HOU - 13 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Best record in MLB since June 30… SEA (18-10) 👀 BAL (18-10) BOS (16-9) HOU (17-10) SDP (17-10) CHC (17-11) LAD (15-10) ATL (15-10) #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Only the Dodgers have a better record than the #Mariners since the beginning of July... LAD (28-11) SEA (28-13) 👀 BAL (26-15) HOU (25-15) ATL (24-15) CHC (24-16) TEX (23-16) BOS (22-16) PHI (23-17) MIN (22-17) TOR (22-17) MIL (22-18) WSN (22-19) SDP (21-19) 1/2
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
3 months
Josh Rojas since joining the #Mariners ... 62 games 189 PA's 7 doubles 5 HR 7 SB .282 AVG .339 OBP .408 SLG
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 years
NERD ALERT: The #Mariners are averaging 2.4 runs/game. But their .342 xwOBA (quality & quantity of contact) is 67 points above their .275 wOBA. This suggests to me the M's have hit into some bad luck and stellar defense. It also suggests that run production should improve soon.
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 years
First basemen Robinson Canó trying to tag Dee Strange-Gordon on a pickoff attempt by Taijuan Walker. How about that #Mariners fans?
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 months
When Scott Servais pulled Bryan Woo after 66 pitches, I saw a few dissatisfied #Mariners fans suggesting on this website that pulling starters so “early” has led to M’s relievers throwing too many pitches. Fun fact: The M’s bullpen has thrown the fewest pitches in MLB.
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Luke Arkins
10 months
Jarred Kelenic is 23-years-old. He has 11 home runs, 25 doubles, 13 stolen bases in 102 games, and is league-average or better in… AVG OBP SLG OPS wOBA xwOBA wRC+ OPS+ Not a bust…
@TheMooseJaw
Moose Jaw Miller
10 months
@luke_arkins Kelenic is a major bust, what is referred to as a AAAA player, a tweener🤔😉
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Bold prediction: #Mariners fans will eventually be grateful that Luis Torrens made the Opening Day roster.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Highest pitcher bWAR (2007-14)… Félix Hernández - 41.3 👀 Clayton Kershaw - 40.8 Justin Verlander - 37.9 Cole Hamels - 37 Cliff Lee - 36.7 Zack Greinke - 35.2 Roy Halladay - 33.6 Mark Buehrle - 33.3 CC Sabathia - 33.2 Jered Weaver - 31.5 Adam Wainwright - 31 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
#Mariners with most starts of 7+ innings and two-or-fewer earned runs allowed with the M’s scoring two-or-fewer... Félix Hernández - 73 👀 Randy Johnson - 32 Jamie Moyer - 29 Jim Beattie - 19 Mike Moore - 16 Freddy García - 16 Mark Langston - 15 Matt Young - 14 Erik Hanson - 14
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Luke Arkins
1 year
AL West in July… SEA (16-9) HOU (14-10) TEX (11-13) LAA (11-11) OAK (9-14) Number of games the #Mariners have gained on their AL West rivals this month… HOU 1.5 LAA 3.5 TEX 4.5 OAK 6.0
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Taylor Trammell has just 22 PA's with the #Mariners . So, it's way too early to make proclamations. But Trammell's *significantly* lower strikeout rate is a potential good news story, if he can sustain it. 2021 - 42.1 SO% 2022 - 22.7 SO% I'm rooting for Trammell to succeed.
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Luke Arkins
3 years
JP Crawford currently leads *all* MLB positions in defensive runs saved. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 months
In nine plate appearances with the #Mariners , Ryan Bliss has walked four times.
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Ken Griffey Jr. & Julio Rodriguez through their first three games in the majors. LOL! #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
April 8-28: Julio Rodriguez sees 16 called strikes that were outside the Baseball Savant GameDay strike zone. April 28: Scott Servais ejected for protesting strike zone used for Julio. April 29-today: In 10 games, only one outside-the-zone called strike for Julio. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 months
Fun fact: Dylan Moore is the only active player to play 15+ games at 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, LF, CF, RF, and DH since Moore’s MLB debut in 2019. Fun fact II: Moore is the only player in #Mariners franchise history to accomplish this feat. Moore also pitched an inning as a rookie.
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Sending Jarred Kelenic to AAA is the right move for the #Mariners and his development. Having an opportunity to reset in the minors is the right move. To me, this move is more about process than stats. Personally, I'm rooting hard for the kid to succeed. If you aren't, why not?
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Who’s excited about the 2022 #Mariners season?
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Edwin Díaz and Andrés Muñoz through their first 98 games as #Mariners (Muñoz’s current total)…
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Luke Arkins
2 years
#Mariners who’ve pitch 7+ innings without allowing a run in a postseason game: Luis Castillo 10/7/22 - 7.1 innings George Kirby 10/15/22 - 7.0 innings That’s it, that’s the list.
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Luke Arkins
11 months
AL leaders since All-Star break Hits Julio Rodríguez 68 👀 Alex Bregman 65 Teoscar Hernández 62 👀 Bobby Witt Jr. 60 Gleyber Torres 58 Steven Kwan 58 Kerry Carpenter 58 Luis Rengifo 57 Whit Merrifield 56 Marcus Semien 56 Ryan Mountcastle 55 Jeremy Peña 55 #Mariners 1/12
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Luke Arkins
14 days
Most losses despite the rotation delivering a quality start… CWS - 18 SEA - 17 👀 DET - 17 PIT - 17 TOR - 16 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Most wins in July by a #Mariners team… 2001 - 18 2022 - 18 2023 - 17 👀 2000 - 16 1996 - 16
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 months
Joe DiMaggio 13 years 1,736 games 321 pitchers faced Julio Rodríguez 3 years 363 games 493 pitchers faced #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Best July win-loss records in MLB... BOS (14-5) MIL (14-7) SEA (14-8) 👀 BAL (14-8) MIN (13-8) HOU (13-8) TOR (12-8) LAD (12-8) NYM (11-8) CLE (12-9) #Mariners 1/2
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Luke Arkins
1 year
“If Teoscar Hernandez can get going.” Hernández *is* going IMO. Since April 4… 15 games 63 PA 19 hits 2 doubles 4 home runs .317 AVG #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Pitching staffs with the highest strikeout rates in Spring Training: Padres 30.2% #Mariners 29.4% Mets 28.8% Red Sox 28% Brewers 26.8% Twins 26% Angels 25.9% Braves 25.9% Marlins 25.8% Blue Jays 25.6% Tigers 25.2%
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Luke Arkins
2 years
#Mariners thru 87 games… 2021 (45-42) 2022 (45-42)
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Luke Arkins
3 years
When it all began. #Mariners
@Mariners
Seattle Mariners
13 years
#Mariners select the contract of INF Kyle Seager from Triple-A Tacoma (Yepez DFA)...Seager will be activated for Angels series.
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Luke Arkins
8 months
I have my reservations about Blake Snell. But my gosh. How can’t the #Mariners sign him when even Mike Tirico is saying Snell wants to sign with Seattle?
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Luke Arkins
2 months
All three players acquired in the deal that sent Paul Sewald to Arizona last summer is in tonight’s #Mariners starting lineup: Ryan Bliss, Dominic Canzone, and Josh Rojas.
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Luke Arkins
3 years
Yeah, the #Mariners should extend Jerry Dipoto & Scott Servais right now.
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@luke_arkins
Luke Arkins
2 years
Jarred Kelenic was optioned today and is playing LF for the Rainiers this evening. You gotta like his attitude. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
11 months
Most hitters with 150+ plate appearances and an above-average OPS+ SEA - 9 👀 TBR - 9 ATL - 9 MIN - 8 BAL - 8 TEX - 8 SFG - 8 TOR - 8 STL - 8 BOS - 7 ARI - 7 PHI - 7 LAD - 7 CHC - 7 LAA - 6 SDP - 6 CIN - 6 HOU - 6 WSN - 5 NYM - 5 League-average OPS+ always = 100 #Mariners 1/2
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Luke Arkins
11 days
To suggest the #Mariners shouldn’t be buyers is crazy talk, IMO.
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Luke Arkins
10 months
Fun fact: The #Mariners won 54.2% of their games managed by Lou Piniella.
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Jesse Winker over the last 30 days... 84 PA 5 HR 15 BB 14 SO .246 AVG .381 OBP .478 SLG .859 OPS .377 wOBA 153 wRC+ Pretty, pretty good. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Josh Rojas in 2023… Zero HR in 216 PA’s with ARI 2 HR in 47 PA’s with SEA #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
11 months
Stats and MLB rankings of #Mariners second basemen (Mar-Jul) 4 HR (29th) .188 (30th) .286 OBP (25th) .268 SLG (30th) .255 wOBA (29th) 62 wRC+ (28th) August 5 HR (T-2nd) .282 AVG (11th) .365 OBP (9th) .519 SLG (5th) .378 wOBA (7th) 147 wRC+ (4th) 1/2
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Last time the #Mariners scored 11 runs in a game was July 26, 2021 vs the Astros. M’s won 11-8 after being down 6-0 in the first inning. Perhaps you remember it? I’m sure Dylan Moore does.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Highest AL rookie position player fWAR: Gunnar Henderson - 3.1 Josh Jung - 2.7 Luke Raley - 2.5 José Caballero - 2.3 👀 Edouard Julien - 2.0 Highest AL rookie pitcher fWAR: Tanner Bibee - 2.4 Hunter Brown - 2.1 Logan Allen - 1.7 JP France - 1.7 Bryce Miller - 1.5 👀 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Highest average four-seam fastball velocities in Wild Card round: Andres Munoz - 101.9 mph 👀 Ryan Helsley - 100.4 Matt Brash - 99.8 👀 Jacob deGrom - 99.4 Jose Alvarado - 99.2 Edwin Diaz - 99.1 Robert Suarez - 98.9 Luis Castillo - 98.6 👀 George Kirby - 97.8 👀 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Another fun comp. Félix Hernández and George Kirby through their first two seasons. Obviously, Kirby has more season-two remaining. But the number of starts are almost identical. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
I've been mulling over the #Mariners struggles with advancing/scoring base runners. A long, but easily digestible stat thread for your consideration. All stats are via Baseball Reference unless otherwise noted... 1/17
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Luke Arkins
7 months
First two MLB seasons of Julio Rodríguez and Barry Bonds. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
3 years
After today’s outing, Cole Irvin has an 8.78 ERA vs the #Mariners this season.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
AL West June 7… SEA 14-12 👀 HOU 13-14 LAA 12-15 TEX 12-16 OAK 11-15 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
3 years
Jarred Kelenic’s strikeout rate by month: May - 22.4% June - 56.3% July - 38.6% August - 13.2% #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
When JP Crawford returns from the IL, I suspect the #Mariners will make room for him by removing a left-handed hitter from the big-league roster. I know who I’d select.
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Luke Arkins
1 year
#Mariners rotation stats and MLB rankings… 3.81 ERA (5th in MLB) 3.81 FIP (1st) 23.6 SO% (10th) 5.5 BB% (1st) .233 AVG (1st) .279 OBP (1st) .393 SLG (1st) .290 wOBA (1st) .306 xwOBA (3rd) 11.5 fWAR (3rd) Pretty, pretty good.
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Luke Arkins
11 months
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Luke Arkins
1 year
The #Mariners outscored the Orioles 31-18 this season. Yet, the M’s were 2-4 vs Baltimore. Baseball!
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Luke Arkins
1 year
AL West since April 6: SEA 3-3 TEX 3-3 HOU 3-3 LAA 3-3 OAK 1-5 #Perspective #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
The stats of Félix Hernández and Justin Verlander were amazingly similar through their first 12 big-league seasons. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Most #Mariners home run since June 1… Mike Ford - 7 👀 Teoscar Hernández - 6 JP Crawford - 5 👀 👀 Eugenio Suárez - 4 Tom Murphy - 4 Julio Rodríguez - 3 Cal Raleigh - 3 Ty France - 2 Jared Kelenic - 1 José Caballero - 1 AJ Pollock - 1 Kolten Wong - 1 Dylan Moore - 1
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Luke Arkins
2 years
To me, the difference maker in the SEA-HOU ALDS has been effectiveness of the bullpens. SEA - 4.1 innings / 6 runs allowed HOU - 8.1 innings/ 1 run allowed #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Update… #Mariners quality starts in 2022… Robbie Ray - 17 Marco Gonzales - 17 👀 Luis Castillo* - 15 Logan Gilbert - 14 George Kirby - 9 Chris Flexen - 9 * Includes time with Reds
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Luke Arkins
3 years
AL West since infamous Kendall Graveman-Abraham Toro trade on July 27… SEA 20-15 OAK 18-17 HOU 17-17 LAA 18-19 TEX 12-23 The #Mariners also have the fourth best record in the AL since July 27… TBR 26-10 NYY 26-11 TOR 24-15 SEA 20-15 CHW 19-17 CLE 19-17
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Luke Arkins
1 year
JP Crawford’s hard-hit rate, by season… 2017 - 24.2% 2018 - 34.1% 2019 - 24.8% 2020 - 31.1% 2021 - 30.6% 2022 - 29.7% 2023 - 41.3% 👀 👀 MLB average hard-hit rate = 39.6% #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Ever since Robbie Ray reintroduced his 2-seamer, he’s been among the best starters in MLB. SP’s since June 12: Lowest ERA Shohei Ohtani (0.00) Robbie Ray (0.91) 👀 Dylan Cease (0.93) Highest fWAR Shohei Ohtani (1.4) Robbie Ray (1.2) 👀 Justin Verlander (1.0) 1/3
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Luke Arkins
1 year
I’m old enough to remember when some fans wanted the #Mariners to trade Logan Gilbert at the deadline.
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Luke Arkins
3 months
I assume Paul Sewald is still rehabbing. But Eugenio Suárez merits a hearty thank you from the #Mariners this evening. If Sewald is there, he too deserves recognition by the team. Both Sewald and Suárez were so pivotal to the M’s ending the drought. Just my two cents.
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Luke Arkins
7 months
I’ll post a piece about the #Mariners reported signing of Mitch Garver and what it might mean for the team once Christmas is over. For now, a comp of Garver and Tom Murphy over the last three seasons…
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Most quality starts after today’s action… PIT - 19 SEA - 18. 👀 TOR - 18 CHC - 18 MIN - 17 CLE - 17 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
#Mariners with fastest 2022 sprint speeds… Julio Rodriguez 29.8 ft/sec Sam Haggerty 28.9 Cooper Hummel 28.9 👀 Teoscar Hernández 28.6 Dylan Moore 28.3 AJ Pollock 27.8 Jarred Kelenic 27.2 Taylor Trammell 27 JP Crawford 26.8 Cal Raleigh 26.8 Elite = 30+ MLB avg = 27
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Julio Rodríguez’s stats over the last 30 days (and MLB rankings)…. 44 hits (1st in MLB) 11 doubles (T-1st) 8 HR (T-7th) 10 stolen bases (3rd) 29 RBI (T-3rd) .361 AVG (T-4th) .405 OBP (11th) .648 SLG (9th) .438 wOBA (6th) 190 wRC+ (6th) #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
UPDATE: Teams with lowest AVG vs breaking balls. SEA - .191 👀 PIT - .193 NYY - .196 OAK - .202 KCR - .202 MIL - .204 MIN - .209 SFG - .213 CIN - .214 CWS - .215 MLB AVG vs breaking balls = .220 1/2
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Luke Arkins
7 months
An impressive top-3 very few clubs can rival. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
AL West since Memorial Day: HOU (22-9) SEA (21-14) TEX (15-17) LAA (10-22) OAK (7-25) #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
6 months
Longest losing streaks in MLB last year... OAK 11 CWS 10 KCR 10 PIT 10 ARI 9 DET 9 NYY 9 COL 8 MIA 8 STL 8 TEX 8 LAA 7 NYM 7 TBR 7 CIN 6 MIL 6 PHI 6 SDP 6 SFG 6 WSN 6 BOS 5 CHC 5 HOU 5 MIN 5 TOR 5 ATL 4 BAL 4 CLE 4 LAD 4 SEA 4 👀 #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Defensive metrics are best consumed in large samples. But….check out who has the most defensive runs saved (DRS) among MLB right fielders Jarred Kelenic (5) 👀 Kyle Tucker (4) Jackie Bradley Jr (4) Avisail Garcia (3) Wil Myers (3) Anthony Santander (3) Adam Engel (3) #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Entering today, the #Mariners have scored the second-most runs with the bases loaded this season…. LAD - 109 SEA - 100 👀 TEX - 86 HOU - 85 BOS - 82
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Luke Arkins
3 years
Ironic to see people gripe on Twitter about the #Mariners attendance when they’re not at game.
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Luke Arkins
2 years
Who is excited for the #Mariners regular season to begin?
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Luke Arkins
11 months
#Mariners bullpen in September counting today… 5 games 16.1 innings 12 earned runs 10 walks 12 strikeouts 21 hits 6 home runs
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Luke Arkins
9 months
Edgar Martinez and Nelson Cruz played in exactly the same number of games. #Mariners
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Luke Arkins
1 year
Tom Murphy since Memorial Day… 78 PA 26 hits 6 doubles 7 HR .377 AVG .416 OBP .768 SLG 223 wRC+ #Mariners 1/2
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