anton 🔶 @libdembounce Twitter profile

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anton 🔶

6 months

Finally decided to make a priv account If you want to, follow @libdemanton at your own risk, I may post on it at some point

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anton 🔶

@libdembounce

9 months

the arab spring might be one of the saddest events ever there was so much hope that the arab world could finally experience liberal democracy but in the end it lead to millions dying in civil wars and not a single lasting democracy

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@libdembounce

4 months

do you think they want to run away together?

Europe Elects

@EuropeElects

4 months

France: French President Emmanuel Macron (RE-RE) states that he will dissolve the national parliament for snap elections. This decision follows the poor result from the Bd'E list his party was leading in the European Parliament election, which only received 15.2% of the votes per

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@libdembounce

5 months

It's 4th July, you're watching the BBC election coverage and Big Ben strikes 10pm. Suddenly this exit poll flashes up on your TV. How are you reacting?

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@libdembounce

10 months

> most popular british pm ever > just won a major global conflict against nazis > opponent is a left wing socialist > loses in a landslisde

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@libdembounce

6 months

throwback to when this guy lost to a youtuber

Laurence Fox

@LozzaFox

6 months

The Mayor of London is a Muslim. The mayor of Birmingham is a Muslim. The Mayor of Leeds is Muslim. Mayor of Blackburn - Muslim. The mayor of Sheffield is a Muslim. The mayor of Oxford is a Muslim. The mayor of Luton is a Muslim. The mayor of Oldham is Muslim. The mayor

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@libdembounce

10 months

we don't talk enough about how insane this election result is

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@libdembounce

4 months

heartwarming ❤️ 190 year old Conservative Party still collapses the old fashion Canadian way 😊

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

4 months

🚨 NEW: CCHQ now believes they could win less than 100 seats and that Reform could cross them in the polls in the next two days in a Canada ‘93 style wipeout [ @alexwickham ]

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@libdembounce

9 months

@_fat_ugly_rat_ It’s actually so sad what happened to Tunisia they were the only real success story until 2021

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@libdembounce

7 months

@LinkofSunshine look at our Palestinian activists dawg we’re never freeing Palestine

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@libdembounce

2 months

there are 17 people in this image???

Christine Smith

@cocoandboris

2 months

Eighteen Prime Ministers throughout my lifetime and I say again that @Keir_Starmer is the worst one of all of them.

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@libdembounce

6 months

the real opposition to labour in question:

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

6 months

🚨 NEW: Richard Tice claims Reform are now “the real opposition” to Labour [ @BBCNews ]

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@libdembounce

9 months

@FEObsessive Haven’t found anything about opinion shifts on liberal ideas but wow they are definitely becoming more secular

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@libdembounce

3 months

idk why but Tim Walz gives massive Ed Davey vibes

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@libdembounce

9 months

@harrisbparker That’s just not true… Turkey? Albania? They might be more conservative countries but they’re still democracies.

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@libdembounce

3 months

making something silly (uk with spanish electoral system) will post full map when done

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@libdembounce

9 months

@DsaCult Lots and lots of different people NATO is partly to blame for the chaos in Libya Assad and Russia are mainly at fault for the war in Syria Pretty sure Iran had a big role in causing the Houthi uprising but idk enough about it

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@libdembounce

10 months

@WiltonRedfield founder of the national religion 🥱🥱🥱

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@libdembounce

1 month

joining the fidias hate train cause wtf is this 😭

Fidias

@Fidias0

1 month

My Decision Regarding The Ukraine War

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@libdembounce

10 months

@harvey_19_ yeah that makes sense just interesting that Churchill lost on domestic issues after winning a major war while the Falklands War allowed Thatcher to win despite being unpopular on her domestic policies

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@libdembounce

5 months

@keevonia_ ed davey loto tho 🤩

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@libdembounce

5 months

Which message will resonate best with pensioners? Rishi Sunak: Labour want to tax your state pension Keir Starmer: We will bring down NHS waiting lists Ed Davey:

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@libdembounce

4 months

this wasn't a target at all wtf???

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@libdembounce

2 months

What if the UK had county level proportional representation 🌹 Labour - 259 seats (-153) 🌳 Conservative - 158 seats (+37) ➡ Reform - 89 seats (+84) 🔶 Lib Dem - 69 seats (-3) 🌍 Green - 27 seats (+23) 🎗 SNP - 21 seats (+12) ⚫ Others - 27 seats (=) Changes with FPTP

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@libdembounce

10 months

@bladedevaporite Labour's 1945 manifesto described themselves as socialists although arguably they governed like social democrats

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@libdembounce

3 months

This is probably a very smart strategy for two reasons: Firstly there is a real opportunity for the Lib Dems form the Official Opposition after the next election. Here's a map showing the 15 seats where Labour need a 1.5% swing off the Tories in order to win in pink... (1/4)

Guardian politics

@GdnPolitics

3 months

Lib Dems plan to ‘finish the job’ in Tory heartlands, says Ed Davey

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@libdembounce

2 months

@Alixxa01 the new zealand left opposed the flag referendum because of costs and saying it was a distraction from other issues iirc

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@libdembounce

8 months

why is TikTok full of conspiracy theorists and antisemites meanwhile they are COOKING on instagram holy shit

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@libdembounce

10 months

the politics of an independent wessex:

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@libdembounce

5 months

@TrueSlazac 4.1k likes for a tweet complaining about this joke we’re actually cooked

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anton 🔶

@libdembounce

8 months

The person who made this infobox did NOT like this party damn

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anton 🔶

@libdembounce

5 months

made a voter group which has swung to the conservatives

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@libdembounce

10 months

@EquilibristaMor wouldn't be surprised if that record gets broken next election

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@libdembounce

4 months

btw before everyone gets excited for a keir starmer premiership the last time a labour party won a record breaking majority they did absolutely nothing and lost in a landslide the next election

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@libdembounce

6 months

why did (some of) the lib dems vote for the smoking ban wtf

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@libdembounce

9 months

does he know???

BlackRedGuard ☭ 🇵🇸 🔻

@BlackRedGuard1

9 months

anyone else find it dystopian that we just routinely murder people in foreign countries? Imagine if China and Russia were doing this in the streets of LA and NYC every week.

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@libdembounce

2 months

@TrueSlazac Wait until you find out the two major parties in Portugal are socialists and social democrats!

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@libdembounce

2 months

smartest tory

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@libdembounce

6 months

🚨 BREAKING 🚨 SURPRISE WIN FOR HAMAS WIN WEST MIDLANDS MAYORAL ELECTION

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

6 months

🚨 NEW: Labour believe they have LOST the West Midlands Mayoral election because of Gaza A senior party source said: "It's the Middle East, not West Midlands that will have won Street the Mayoralty. Once again Hamas are the real villains." [ @BBCNews ]

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@libdembounce

4 months

halfway through the campaign prediction 🗳❓ 🌹 442 🌳 93 🔶 63 🎗 15 ➡ 10 💣 7 🦁 7 🌻 4 🌉 3 🌍 2 ⚫ 2 ♻ 1 🔊 1

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@libdembounce

4 months

where are my Lib Dem orange believers at?

YouGov

@YouGov

4 months

The question of identity that is tearing the Lib Dems apart: is the party yellow or orange? All Britons Yellow: 57% Orange: 24% Lib Dem voters Yellow: 55% Orange: 41%

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@libdembounce

4 months

@vikbutserious uk just decided to replicate this tweet

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@libdembounce

4 months

> green party who want to reduce co2 emissions > phasing out nuclear energy ??????????????

Kumail Jaffer

@DailyKumail

4 months

Green Party Manifesto Launch: - 4 day working week - Ban on domestic flights - Wealth Tax on assets above £10million - Votes at 16 - Phasing out of nuclear power And much more

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@libdembounce

4 months

what

Survation.

@Survation

4 months

NEW MRP: Labour 99% Certain To Win More Seats Than in 1997 Labour on Course to Win 484 seats. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are in a close race to form the official opposition. Probabilistic seat count: LAB 484 CON 64 LD 61 SNP 10 RFM 7 PC 3 GRN 3 34,558 interviews

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@libdembounce

9 months

@TrueSlazac At least they avoided Spain they are a Sanchez fan 🙏

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@libdembounce

5 months

why is labour targeting my seat are they stupid???

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@libdembounce

1 year

was bored, here's my 2024 election prediction with about a year to go 🌹 LAB - 378 🌳 CON - 163 🔶 LD - 53 🎗️ SNP - 29 🇮🇪 SF - 9 🦁 DUP - 7 🌻 PC - 3 🌍 GRN - 3 🅰️ APNI - 2 ➡️ REF - 1 🕊️ Corbyn - 1 🔊 Speaker - 1

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@libdembounce

4 months

Ed Davey LOTO bros did you ever doubt????

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@libdembounce

6 months

@TrueSlazac they made the coolest archipelago a freezing tundra so no one will live here??? what a waste fr 🙄

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@libdembounce

8 months

insane how they split a peninsula into a communist and capitalist side where both countries turned into the most evil version of their economic system

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@libdembounce

5 months

i think the latest stunt has gone a bit far

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

5 months

🚨 NEW: Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey has been convicted of speeding on the M1 [ @EveningStandard ]

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@libdembounce

6 months

finally able to publish this, here are the electoral likelihoods for each constituency it's not perfect, but hopefully people enjoy looking at this!

anton 🔶

@libdembounce

7 months

i'm really happy with most of the model but the main thing stopping me from releasing it is how badly it underestimates the scottish lib dems it also probably overestimates labour in the central belt seats i think, the glasgow seats give labour about a 90% chance of winning

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@libdembounce

4 months

Enough with the party seat count predictions. Which seat do you guys think will be won with the *lowest* vote share? and will it beat the current record of 24.5%?

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@libdembounce

7 months

alright bit of an update, i've managed to simulate 1000 elections using my projection and then plotted it on a histogram so here it is if anyone is interested by it

anton 🔶

@libdembounce

7 months

first poll with my projection thingy and i fixed a few errors (but it's still slightly flawed) 🌹 494 🌳 72 🔶32 🎗 28 🌻 4 🌍 1 🔊 1 ask me if you want a result for any particular seat

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@libdembounce

5 months

@TrueSlazac worst economy lmao

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@libdembounce

1 year

The only two possible outcomes next election

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@libdembounce

8 months

Alright this is just for fun, but i'm gonna start making county maps for if the UK had a US style senate. First up: Cornwall. Labour wins a progressive primary here, resulting in the Greens and Lib Dems dropping out, leading them to a narrow victory against the Tories.

anton 🔶

@libdembounce

8 months

hey guys does anyone have an svg map for all the wards in england (or the uk) asking so I can make a map for something 😇

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@libdembounce

11 months

i heard ET likes ed miliband and fake election scenarios so here's some stuff i made a while back on the UK with Australian politics

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@libdembounce

6 months

@TrueSlazac The Brexit party and the Lib Dems (and Greens) had a much clearer policy on Brexit than labour or the tories In an EU election where Brexit was the main policy issue, Labour and Tory voters switched to make their support for remaining or leaving more clear

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@libdembounce

8 months

@hodgestick lol the trans flag in the name and then celebrating Galloway is insane

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@libdembounce

9 months

@Mugnocky @DsaCult I really don’t know enough about Egypt’s revolution to tell you

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@libdembounce

9 months

@FiberFluff @harrisbparker Turkey’s democracy is flawed for sure, especially around press freedom, but the elections they hold are still somewhat democratic

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@libdembounce

9 months

@BadEmpanada @carbdiem

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@libdembounce

3 months

He lasted 2.62 Liz Trusses 🥲

BBC Breaking News

@BBCBreaking

3 months

Welsh First Minister Vaughan Gething quits, saying he is beginning "the process of stepping down"

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@libdembounce

1 month

sorry but wtf is going on in canada???

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@libdembounce

2 months

real ones listen to electoral dysfunction instead

Dr David Jeffery

@DrDavidJeffery

2 months

The Rest is Politics.

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@libdembounce

10 months

ngl (some) lib dems are being wild in the replies Replacing derelict land with housing is a good thing. Even if its housing for wealthy people, this will free up other housing and reduce prices/increase housing capacity, which is a good thing.

Labourball

@labourball

10 months

➖LOST: 2🏪commercial sheds 2🚗surface car parks ➕GAINED: Deansgate Square 1508🏠(resi units) 25 000sqft🏪(commercial space) The Blade 855 🏠 2600sqft🏪 Three60 441🏠 2600sqft🏪 Elizabeth Tower 664🏠 8000sqft 🏥NHS centre

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@libdembounce

3 months

@btpanko Actually insane he made Ohio R+6 in a red wave year and they act like he did badly

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@libdembounce

5 months

I know I’m a Lib Dem member so I shouldn’t be saying these things but it’s so silly when we say “14 years of chaos” but 5 of those years were supported by us 💀

Young Liberals 🏳️‍⚧️

@YoungLiberalsUK

5 months

@libdemdaisy absolutely smashed that debate! The country is crying out for change and, in so many seats up and down the country, the @LibDems are the best vote to end 14 years of Conservative chaos!

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@libdembounce

5 months

shout out to all the legends who answered with dead

The Rest Is Politics

@RestIsPolitics

5 months

Thatcher / Major / Blair / Brown / Cameron / May / Johnson / Truss / Sunak. We polled the British public to describe them in one word. Here are our results [ @RestIsPolitics / @JLPartnersPolls ] What do you think? 👇

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@libdembounce

4 months

got the Ed Davey membership card 😎

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@libdembounce

9 months

@CzeburekS @FiberFluff @harrisbparker Russia and Belarus actively rig their elections while Turkey doesn’t which I think is a big difference

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@libdembounce

1 month

Here's my model using numbers from the More in Common poll Labour - 307 seats, 29% Conservative - 197 seats, 25% Reform - 17 seats, 18% Lib Dems - 80 seats, 14% Greens - 5 seats, 8% SNP - 10 seats, 3% PC - 4 seats, 1% Others - 12 seats

Luke Tryl

@LukeTryl

1 month

Our first voting intention since the GE is in today’s Politico Playbook. Labour’s lead sits at 4 points. 🌹LAB 29% (-6) 🌳CON 25% (-) 🔶 LIB DEM 14% (+2) ➡️ REF UK 18% (+3) 💚 GREEN 8% (+2) 🟡 SNP 3% (-) Changes with GE 2024 (GB only) 10-12 September, N = 2,018

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@libdembounce

5 months

@keevonia_ lib dems can't have nice things so we'd squander the opportunity but the five years as official opposition would be fun at least

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@libdembounce

8 months

call me delusional but here is my new updated serious prediction 🌹 LAB - 480 🔶 LD - 66 🌳 CON - 49 🎗️ SNP - 25 🇮🇪 SF - 8 🦁 DUP - 7 ➡️ REF - 4 🌻 PC - 3 🌍 GRN - 3 🅰️ APNI - 3 ⚒ Galloway - 1 🔊 Speaker - 1

anton 🔶

@libdembounce

1 year

was bored, here's my 2024 election prediction with about a year to go 🌹 LAB - 378 🌳 CON - 163 🔶 LD - 53 🎗️ SNP - 29 🇮🇪 SF - 9 🦁 DUP - 7 🌻 PC - 3 🌍 GRN - 3 🅰️ APNI - 2 ➡️ REF - 1 🕊️ Corbyn - 1 🔊 Speaker - 1

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@libdembounce

10 months

how many seats would a corbyn party win?

GB News

@GBNEWS

10 months

Jeremy Corbyn set to launch rival Labour party to 'split left'

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@libdembounce

10 months

@TrueSlazac @_deviantcyborg omg new stat to use against cuba stans thanks 🥰

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@libdembounce

4 months

most unserious MRP yet?

Sam Freedman

@Samfr

4 months

We have another MRP! WeThink with the Economist have Labour 465 Con 76 LD 52 SNP 29 Reform 3 Green 3 PC 3

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@libdembounce

5 months

LMAOOOOO the argument between if the wikipedia maps should have bar charts or dots has reached its natural end point

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@libdembounce

6 months

@jamandabop didn't he rate spain as deep red earlier wtf?????

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@libdembounce

3 months

idk if this is a bold take but a “rainbow” coalition would’ve been way better than working with the conservatives and he should be ashamed of the coalition not trying to defend it

The Rest Is Politics

@RestIsPolitics

3 months

Why did Nick Clegg, former leader of the Liberal Democrats, opt for a coalition with the Tories instead of Labour in the 2010 election? 🤔

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@libdembounce

3 months

does this guy think that Ed Miliband hates the Greens more than the BNP lol?

Ben

@FTLP_FTT

3 months

Ed Miliband shows his nasty side as he attacks Carla Denyer with lies about the Greens not committed to infrastructure. This is a picture perfect illustration of how centrists hate socialists more than fascists.

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@libdembounce

2 months

@mtlcatlover idk counting Harold Wilson as two different PMs seems like a very silly thing to do when he’s one person

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@libdembounce

1 year

@TrueSlazac > "europoors" > selection of the most wealthy countries in europe

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@libdembounce

4 months

very serious MRP

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

4 months

🚨 NEW: The latest MRP in seats 🔴 Lab: 406 (+204) 🔵 Con: 155 (-210) 🟠 Lib Dem: 49 (+38) 🟡 SNP: 18 (-30) ⚪️ Plaid: 2 (-2) 🟢 Green: 1 (= 🟣 Reform UK: 0 (=) Via @Moreincommon_ Changes w/ 2019

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@libdembounce

3 months

@llwtydeer umm the current councils seemed too small and the historic counties seemed larger and also sillier

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@libdembounce

2 months

Obvious caveats here is that people would likely vote very differently under PR and that not every party stood in every seat (which especially impacts Reform)

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@libdembounce

10 months

merry christmas!

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@libdembounce

5 months

test is rigged for the greens and I still got Lib Dem lmao

Jack Lenox 🌍

@GreenPartyJack

5 months

The interesting thing about this simple 10-question quiz is how obvious and uncontroversial the questions are, while highlighting how much the Greens are now outliers as a genuinely progressive party. What result do you get?

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@libdembounce

10 months

ed davey is gonna position us on the left of the labour party and i absolutely love it

Liberal Democrats

@LibDems

10 months

Our political system has been fundamentally broken for generations. And only we – Liberal Democrats – will fix it. Find out more in @EdwardJDavey 's New Year Message

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@libdembounce

6 months

Average PCC election this cycle: 🌳 35.1% 🌹 34.9% 🔶 15% 🌍 10% (Minor party which hates trans people) 5% I hate FPTP so much ffs 😭

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@libdembounce

6 months

> pm facing an upcoming election > behind rivals in polls due to gov infighting > election expected in autumn > bad local election results > call july election instead > surge in polls > hung parliament > unpopular teal party supports you as pm > be Pedro Sanchez, pic unrelated

Politics UK

@PolitlcsUK

6 months

🚨 NEW: Rishi Sunak is refusing to rule out a July election [ @TrevorPTweets ]

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@libdembounce

1 month

just registered to vote in scotland think i'm now eligible to vote in local/devolved elections for 4 years in a row now which is cool

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@libdembounce

5 months

👀

anton 🔶

@libdembounce

5 months

should I improve and update this for the election maybe make a cool graphic for it as well

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@libdembounce

9 months

@spicy1812 @harrisbparker Sure but tbh it’s usually because being a democracy leads to secularisation (in the case of Albania having a communist dictatorship probably helped with that as well)

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@libdembounce

17 days

Lib Dems only 8% on dishonest we are so back from tuition fees

YouGov

@YouGov

18 days

How do party images compare? Britons most associate being 'dishonest' with Conservatives and Labour, being 'nasty' and 'extremist' with Reform UK and being 'likeable' with the Lib Dems or Greens

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@libdembounce

4 months

@TrueSlazac > total trans victory but transphobic parties won 544 seats

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@libdembounce

8 months

Okay Italy this is getting quite embarrassing for you now

BBC News (UK)

@BBCNews

8 months

Greece legalises same-sex marriage

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@libdembounce

3 months

And if the Tories do rebound in the next few years, fighting them will be even more important. Targeting the Tories instead of Labour means they'll win back less Lib Dem seats, and it'll much harder for them to re-enter government without the 60 seats we took off them. (4/4)

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@libdembounce

5 months

funny how page views for the canada 93 election surged yesterday i wonder why that happened

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anton 🔶

@libdembounce

3 months

@valalt11 tbh it depends on the country I understand a volt voter in Germany but Volt UK is actually pointless the Lib Dems are just the same but relevant

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