@USA_Polling
US polls are really:
"Do you think it would be a good or bad thing for the US to have a dictator in charge?" Bad: 80% Good: 4%
"Do you think Donald Trump will act like a dictator if in office?" Yes: 52% No: 44% (idr numbers)
Vote Intention:
Donald Trump: 50%
Joe Biden: 46%
More CINH in the morning -> Less morning/early afternoon convection -> More WAA onto the DL/less washout in OK/KS. Very scary trend. NAMNEST might actually be right
With Saturday's tornadoes being put in the DAT, it's becoming apparent just how bad Cleveland and McClain counties have had it in 2023 & 2024. QLCS spam everywhere! Northern McClain Co. has had 16 tornadoes in 16 months, to put it in perspective.
@notkavi
@StatsLime
I think you're just Californiapilled on this one - in Oklahoma >50 miles is a very common drive most of the population makes several times a month
@GoogleColonizer
@nearcyan
@plx231
Firefox is an abysmal experience after a while. Non-clearable browser cache on my old (nice) machine exceeded 2GB and made Firefox take literally 15 minutes to start. That was when I switched to Chrome.
@Zaaant_
@nikicaga
Salad is not cheap. Fruit is not cheap. Do you realize how much more nutritive value is in a box of pasta versus a head of lettuce while still being cheaper?
Again, too, most impoverished people live in food deserts, where fast food is much more accessible than actual stores.
@Zaaant_
@nikicaga
The problem with telling people to "just eat healthy" is that healthy food is restricted by high cost to be solely for those not in poverty. There's also the facts that most poor Americans live in food deserts & most grocery stores in impoverished areas don't carry organics.
As for why IL is producing more than S AL with largely similar hodos? I can think of two explanations.
1. More substantial 0-500m streamwise vorticity. Similar speed shear as the AL hodo below 1km, but in IL it's almost entirely below 500m.
2. Boundary & local backing in C IL /
At first glance, you'd expect this screenshot to be taken during a tornado outbreak. However, none of these cells are close to producing tornadoes ATM. The hodo's largely to blame - poor ML SR inflow and weak, crosswise vorticity above 1km are resulting in weaker mesos overall. /
Notable things about this RAP forecast sounding:
- Incredibly high (3600 J/kg!!!) SR-ECAPE
- High LL SRW for very wide updrafts
- High 0-500m streamwiseness
- Somewhat crosswise 1-2km, may reduce occluding cycles?
- 342 0-1km SRH
3/21/2022 sim a success, still going through the data. Exact supercells simulated properly, northern being directly N of Round Rock, TX, and the southern being SW of Elgin, TX.
BREAKING: Palermo in Sicily has just obliterated its all-time heat record by over 2°C. The previous record was +44.8°C in August 1999.
The observatory has weather data dating back to 1791. This is a very significant record to fall by such an enormous margin.
@ifoundmetonight
@US_Stormwatch
The temperatures were recorded before the fire... 🤦♂️
Unless you're from Palermo and felt it was a brisk 60 degrees today, I'm not inclined to believe you over actual data
Radar people, what's going on here? This certainly doesn't look like any sort of RF interference I'm familiar with... (KUEX, palette shifted up 25dbz for visibility)
@ForecasterJGG
I met so many genuinely awesome people at Momocon this year, and am so thankful I was able to come!!! Big shoutouts to all the TOs and my INT friends for helping make this happen.
@DaveNumber6
This stuff is super interesting to think about but it's genuinely terrifying in real life. Being disoriented in a crowded space is peak nightmare fuel for me.
More CINH in the morning -> Less morning/early afternoon convection -> More WAA onto the DL/less washout in OK/KS. Very scary trend. NAMNEST might actually be right
You might see this RAP hodograph and wonder why so many tornado warnings are being issued in SE MO right now... KPAH observations show the hodograph is MUCH more favorable than the RAP would suggest, with much more low-level backing, plentiful LL SWV, and lots of ML CWV.
#95L
seems to already have some semblance of an LLC off surface cloud motions! Not surprising considering its persistent convection and favorable environment. The HRRR has been consistent on it developing before landfall, and current trends are supportive of that solution.
@maxtmcc
I have to wonder why Amherst of all places supports underage drinking... I am truly clueless as to what would compel a voter bloc to approve of it
@TwisterKidMedia
My theory is that early on the instability was too high for the relatively linear hodos, so storms kept splitting before they could get wide enough updrafts to modify their nearstorm environment to be more tornadic. Upscale growth killed the rest.
@AZStormChase
The real question is whether or not mixing will over/underperform too. Depends on mid-day cloud cover, in large part - will impact both LL moisture (big influence on buoyancy) as well as EML erosion. Very observation-based setup tomorrow, super excited!