J. W. Thiesing Profile Banner
J. W. Thiesing Profile
J. W. Thiesing

@jwthiesing

412
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511
Following
697
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3,507
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{Meteorology, Photography, CFB, CS, Human Geo., Elections, MK8} {SC ➡ TX ➡ OK/OR} {OU '27} {UGRA, ARRC; opinions my own}

Norman, OK
Joined January 2020
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
3/7/2024 - Valeda, KS
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
@USA_Polling checking the % of americans named jolene rq
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Starting to go through my video of the Holdenville, OK wedge tornado. My god.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
@USA_Polling US polls are really: "Do you think it would be a good or bad thing for the US to have a dictator in charge?" Bad: 80% Good: 4% "Do you think Donald Trump will act like a dictator if in office?" Yes: 52% No: 44% (idr numbers) Vote Intention: Donald Trump: 50% Joe Biden: 46%
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Mill226 This sole image single handedly explains modern NM political geography
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
More CINH in the morning -> Less morning/early afternoon convection -> More WAA onto the DL/less washout in OK/KS. Very scary trend. NAMNEST might actually be right
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
@USA_Polling Let me guess, the topline is Trump +3 somehow?
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Can't wait for everyone to lose their mind at the 00z HRRR when literally none of the underlying mesoscale setup has changed
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
With Saturday's tornadoes being put in the DAT, it's becoming apparent just how bad Cleveland and McClain counties have had it in 2023 & 2024. QLCS spam everywhere! Northern McClain Co. has had 16 tornadoes in 16 months, to put it in perspective.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@TrueSlazac Using just data from the last week: MS is Barbie +22, NM is Oppenheimer +16
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Holy. Hell.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
3/22/2024 - Harrisburg, Oregon - Minisupercell Wall Cloud
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
9 months
@notkavi @StatsLime I think you're just Californiapilled on this one - in Oklahoma >50 miles is a very common drive most of the population makes several times a month
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@GoogleColonizer @nearcyan @plx231 Firefox is an abysmal experience after a while. Non-clearable browser cache on my old (nice) machine exceeded 2GB and made Firefox take literally 15 minutes to start. That was when I switched to Chrome.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Zaaant_ @nikicaga Salad is not cheap. Fruit is not cheap. Do you realize how much more nutritive value is in a box of pasta versus a head of lettuce while still being cheaper? Again, too, most impoverished people live in food deserts, where fast food is much more accessible than actual stores.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Big news!!! @theScantman
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J. W. Thiesing
4 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Zaaant_ @nikicaga The problem with telling people to "just eat healthy" is that healthy food is restricted by high cost to be solely for those not in poverty. There's also the facts that most poor Americans live in food deserts & most grocery stores in impoverished areas don't carry organics.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@SickosCommittee The Sooners are taking this one very seriously!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@chase_benton1 40+F drop in ~50 minutes of driving w/o traffic
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
As for why IL is producing more than S AL with largely similar hodos? I can think of two explanations. 1. More substantial 0-500m streamwise vorticity. Similar speed shear as the AL hodo below 1km, but in IL it's almost entirely below 500m. 2. Boundary & local backing in C IL /
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
At first glance, you'd expect this screenshot to be taken during a tornado outbreak. However, none of these cells are close to producing tornadoes ATM. The hodo's largely to blame - poor ML SR inflow and weak, crosswise vorticity above 1km are resulting in weaker mesos overall. /
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
9/23/2023
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Notable things about this RAP forecast sounding: - Incredibly high (3600 J/kg!!!) SR-ECAPE - High LL SRW for very wide updrafts - High 0-500m streamwiseness - Somewhat crosswise 1-2km, may reduce occluding cycles? - 342 0-1km SRH
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
Okay, I know this is a hot take, but the preponderance of evidence suggests the spam was just a single multi-vortex tornado.
@EnhancedRisk
WxStaley
5 months
June 21st was so insane because what 💀
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
░H░A░I░L░I░N░B░I░O░
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@intimate_daze This is OU not OSU it's only R+85
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
A tale as old as time
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
3/21/2022 sim a success, still going through the data. Exact supercells simulated properly, northern being directly N of Round Rock, TX, and the southern being SW of Elgin, TX.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@NWSAtlanta The way this tweet is written makes it sound so sinister
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Up to 6F uptrend in surface temps in SW OK on the HRRR, thanks to early clearing across W TX. SW OK likely to fire now.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@USA_Polling In Texas state elections, the RGV In national elections, Texas
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@ifoundmetonight @US_Stormwatch Yes! Your crappy weather websites are certainly more accurate than actual station data!
@ScottDuncanWX
Scott Duncan
1 year
BREAKING: Palermo in Sicily has just obliterated its all-time heat record by over 2°C. The previous record was +44.8°C in August 1999. The observatory has weather data dating back to 1791. This is a very significant record to fall by such an enormous margin.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
As the founding fathers intended
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
@_fat_ugly_rat_ @wisconsinmapper Mississippi is NOT prettier
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@jennife14018196 @CAStormLover @Brando_WX @GWaldenWFTV Many people would be dead if TWC was the only channel doing weather coverage, frankly.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@ifoundmetonight @US_Stormwatch The temperatures were recorded before the fire... 🤦‍♂️ Unless you're from Palermo and felt it was a brisk 60 degrees today, I'm not inclined to believe you over actual data
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
@SickosCommittee SICKOS WARNING
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@_fat_ugly_rat_ are you forgetting someone
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
8/11/2023 Lightning - Lots of jellyfish around the radio tower!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
BOOOMERRRR
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@AlexODiazNV They're moving left at the same pace, AZ just started off bluer.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@bob_b
Bob Jacobson
2 years
@dougmastriano Looks like. Geese
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
7 months
@RedistrictNet @spartand34 Will be instant denied but it's the thought that counts
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
6 months
Modern problems (pyART making my PC thermal throttle when I run batch data) require modern solutions (fridge)
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
Radar people, what's going on here? This certainly doesn't look like any sort of RF interference I'm familiar with... (KUEX, palette shifted up 25dbz for visibility) @ForecasterJGG
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Not great!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Up to 6F uptrend in surface temps in SW OK on the HRRR, thanks to early clearing across W TX. SW OK likely to fire now.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
░H░A░I░L░I░N░M░Y░H░O░U░S░E░
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
░H░A░I░L░I░N░B░I░O░
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@notkavi It's like those "magic is happening" construction signs at Disney World
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
FBI report?
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@USA_Polling The 8% for DeSantis 😵‍💫
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Dem_Soc_Dem_S The number of counties was a tie, but...
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
Spinny!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
I met so many genuinely awesome people at Momocon this year, and am so thankful I was able to come!!! Big shoutouts to all the TOs and my INT friends for helping make this happen.
@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Momocon post-local went so hard
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
10 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
BOOOMERRRR
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
6/27/2022 Coupland, Texas Anvil Crawler @MikeOlbinski
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@chase_benton1 💀42F in 28 minutes (and this is going the speed limit!)
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
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J. W. Thiesing
9 months
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Zaaant_ @nikicaga Do you notice anything about this map? Perhaps that obesity rates are -extremely highly correlated- with poverty?
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@YouGov Today we took a poll of the British public: whose vision is failing? The results may shock you!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
6 months
@DaveNumber6 This stuff is super interesting to think about but it's genuinely terrifying in real life. Being disoriented in a crowded space is peak nightmare fuel for me.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
The trough is also trending a couple hours slower now, so discrete CI along the dryline around 21-22z is looking increasingly likely!
@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
More CINH in the morning -> Less morning/early afternoon convection -> More WAA onto the DL/less washout in OK/KS. Very scary trend. NAMNEST might actually be right
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
What on earth is happening in Orange County
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
9/23/2023 - Barberpole; Lightning pics soon.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Adjusting for surface observations, C OK has extremely impressive instability and lapses at the moment!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Momocon post-local went so hard
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@soy_eloy @NWSSanAntonio Austin got >3in of rain Saturday... just because you were sleeping doesn't mean it didn't happen 😐
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
You might see this RAP hodograph and wonder why so many tornado warnings are being issued in SE MO right now... KPAH observations show the hodograph is MUCH more favorable than the RAP would suggest, with much more low-level backing, plentiful LL SWV, and lots of ML CWV.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@YIMBYLAND @anothercohen I've been there! It's so pretty! Seeing all the Sonics in the wild was crazy!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Well, at least now we know what an OFD MCS looks like in 500 0-1km SRH. Wow!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@OregonMapGuy Do they have township results?
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Nerd4Cities Counterpoint:
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
#95L seems to already have some semblance of an LLC off surface cloud motions! Not surprising considering its persistent convection and favorable environment. The HRRR has been consistent on it developing before landfall, and current trends are supportive of that solution.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
@maxtmcc I have to wonder why Amherst of all places supports underage drinking... I am truly clueless as to what would compel a voter bloc to approve of it
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
10 months
In Lawrence for OU/KU! Boomer!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
@TownsUsa WHY DID THEY COMPOSITE THE SKY ON???
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@ESPNMcGee There is one SC school who didn't lose a football game this weekend!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@Zaaant_ @nikicaga Green tracts are low income & the majority of residents are more than 1 mile from a supermarket.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
@MaxMaaxMaaax That guy will be Devolder's next campaign chair
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@jennife14018196 @CAStormLover @Brando_WX @GWaldenWFTV Plus - tornadoes seem like "just wind and rain" until it's far too late.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
EML already nearly mixed out in OKC
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@WxTca I'm sorry?
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
8 months
@notkavi If your two criteria for livability are affordability and good weather, NM and OK clean house
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
@TwisterKidMedia My theory is that early on the instability was too high for the relatively linear hodos, so storms kept splitting before they could get wide enough updrafts to modify their nearstorm environment to be more tornadic. Upscale growth killed the rest.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@USA_Polling How on earth does a majority approve of MAS but only 1/5 of normal suicide??? What???
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
1 year
@averyhatestwt These make no sense electorally
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
4/30/24 but even more upscale tomorrow in NE OK, be there or be square
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
11 months
@_fat_ugly_rat_ @OregonMapGuy This tweet will ensure the critical support of North Bend
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@_fat_ugly_rat_ Collin, Denton, Williamson, Hays, and Comal combining to add 0.6% of the current US population in that time is absolutely incredible
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
2 years
@GalenMetzger1 Dream scenario is RDS wins the primary & Trump goes 3rd party - I see Blansas and Blexas in our future!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
3 months
Not really much to comment on here
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
5 months
@AZStormChase The real question is whether or not mixing will over/underperform too. Depends on mid-day cloud cover, in large part - will impact both LL moisture (big influence on buoyancy) as well as EML erosion. Very observation-based setup tomorrow, super excited!
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
4 months
Bad. Very bad.
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@jwthiesing
J. W. Thiesing
7 months
we need to shut down this whole freezing rain thing until we can figure out what the hell is going on
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