Are you an African economist interested to get early-career experience working with the World Bank? Then please apply for the
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship Program. We are NOW accepting applications! ▶️
⚠️Deadline: August 25
#WBGFellows
Still a few more days left to apply:
⚠️Deadline: August 25
Are you an early-career African economist interested to get experience at the World Bank? Then please apply for the
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship Program.
▶️
#WBGFellows
After a long journey – we ran our first regressions in 2012 - our paper on the impact of institutional quality on oil drilling is now out in
@JEEA_News
(joint work with
@tfharding
).
📣And its free/open access!
➡️
Thread: 1/n
Are you a PhD economist keen to work on African economic policy issues? We're looking to recruit an economist to work with our new network of 40 African chief economic advisors to heads of state: .
Application details here:
Calling all early-career African economists who might be interested to get experience working with the World Bank
📢Please apply for the
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship Program.
We are NOW accepting applications!
➡️ (link: )
⚠️Deadline: August 23
Come join our team!
Are you an early-career African economist interested to work with us? Then please apply for the
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship Program. We are NOW accepting applications!
▶️
⚠️Deadline: August 25
#WBGFellows
This is a chilling suggestion of how the top 5 Econ journal may system operate - via networks and hidden review/lobbying mechanisms. How many scholars from developing countries, among others, may never have the opportunity to make the case for their paper in person?
#econtwitter
My Econometrica paper on peer effects was rejected at all the other 4 top 5 journals.
We knew we had a good paper (and I guess the citations since then back that up), but we only got it published after I spent an hour-long conversation with the editor at that time ...
The 'eat local' movement for the climate is terribly misguided.
Its so easy to underestimate how efficient the global economy can be.
Food transport responsible for 6% of emissions; while dairy, meat and eggs account for 83%!
Great analysis from
@_HannahRitchie
:
Are you an African economist interested to get early-career experience working with the World Bank? Then please apply for the
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship Program. We are NOW accepting applications!
▶️
⚠️Deadline: August 25
#WBGFellows
We're hiring!
Come join the team at the Office of the Chief Economist for Africa at th World Bank.
We're looking for an economist consultant, providing research support and working with government chief economic advisors across Africa.
Details here:
Very proud of our new
@WorldBank
report on the Changing Wealth of Nations.
We examine how sustainably countries have managed their wealth, and how they can shift to more sustainable development by getting policies and prices right.
Read more:
#CWON2021
Prof Benno Ndulu says most striking result of IMF-DFID research on inequality and growth: not that inequality is bad for growth but that redistribution is good for growth.
#OxCSAE2018
@IMFNews
African network of chief economists of government (CEoG) forum is underway in Abidjan.
As advisors to their Presidents they have fascinating stories to share on how to give good economic advice amidst politics and economic challenges.
“Natural Resource Discoveries, Citizen Expectations and Household Decisions”
📰New WB paper from
@myjumens
and me.
📈We measure how much citizen’s expectations and behavior changes following major oil and gas discoveries
➡️Link to paper:
Thread:1/5
We're busy prepping next edition of the World Bank's Changing Wealth of Nations book and database:
We're looking for a great data vis firm to work with us on a new interactive tool to navigate evolution in natural, human and productive capital
DM's open
Êtes-vous un économiste Africain? Seriez-vous intéressé par une première expérience professionnelle avec la Banque Mondiale? Alors, veuillez postuler au programme
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship.
▶️
⚠️Date limite: 25 Août
#WBGFellows
It was a pleasure to speak at the annual gathering of African Central Bank Governors in Oxford last week at
@BlavatnikSchool
.
How to get the most from the return of commodity price supercycle was high on the agenda.High oil+gas prices plus new discoveries are raising the stakes
Econs agree that an open economy improves welfare, but we also understand that there are losers from liberalizing trade. This new paper shows how hard it is for workers in affected sectors to cope in middle-income countries. Public policy is key to mitigate these shocks.
@florianederer
Thanks for sharing this information publicly but personally I find this chilling that an editor can be lobbied in this way (in a way that is highly exclusionary to people without this access such as scholar in developing countries)
Weekend reading : KY Amoako’s memoirs as a story through five decades African development and policy. Inspiration, commitment and occasional deja vu makes for essential reading for those who care about Africa’s economic transformation
Looking forward to presenting today at
#neudc2018
our paper on the 'Presource curse' (joint work with
@davidmihalyi
). We find evidence that resource discoveries trigger growth disappointment effects - triggering resource curse earlier than prev thought:
Great to have
@toddjmoss
speaking to us today at WB Africa economics seminar. He’s laying out the 5 big mistakes in fighting energy poverty - including the “lure of sexy techno-fixes” such as solar home systems and elec generating soccer balls! Not going to transform Africa 1/n
Thrilled to have been asked to join
@payneinstitute
as a non-resident fellow. Led by inaugural director
@MBazilian
at
@coschoolofmines
it has a great opp to become leading center for research on public policy issues of energy and natural resources:
New DFID Chief Economist
@rglenner
: more, better policy relevant research means theory driven since it’s about testing underlying behaviors- and therefore more generalizable
#OxCSAE2018
We're hiring!
Come join the team at the Office of the Chief Economist for Africa at the World Bank.
We're looking for a consultant Data Scientist, providing data analysis and visualization support to the Think Africa Partnership.
Details here:
We are asking for minerals to be recorded as non-financial non-produced assets, mining to be treated as the sale of non-financial assets, and GDP to exclude mineral depletion.
@IMFNews
#fiscalmonitor
discusses this, finds
@Kazakhstan
Net Operating Balance reduces by 10% of GDP!
Few thoughts on what just happened to Tom. We met very briefly a few years back in Maputo when
@pl_vezina
and I were presenting our work on the consequences of Mozambique's offshore gas discoveries in 2009. It is scary how predictable this was...
Despite full Maoist Communism in China, descendants of former landlords and rich peasants today earn 16% more than descendants of others.
They couldn't inherit wealth from grandparents, parents were barred from university in Cultural Revolution, but they inherited something
Brand new WB flagship study on energy access in Africa launched today. In some countries more than half of connected households reported receiving electricity less than 50 percent of the time in 2014. How do we address this while raising overall access?
Really interesting new paper on the impacts of artisanal mining in Africa - for both livelihoods and the natural environment
Millions of world's poorest people depend on artisanal mining but its proven very hard to study its impacts given very limited data, until now....
New paper&data📢
Artisanal mining provides livelihoods to 130-270 million people
With
@teremolin
& Guillaume Vic we provide the first estimates of the environmental & wealth impacts of
#ASM
#deforestation
#Africa
#EconTwitter
🧵1/n
Important new analysis on the role of national oil companies- the “Hidden Giants” in many of the worlds poorest economies and a key actor in the global fossil fuel industry. A successful carbon transition will depend on how they evolve...
"Hidden Giants: It’s time for more transparency in the management and governance of national
#oil
companies." Article from NRGI's
@prpheller
,
@DavidManleyEcon
and
@davidmihalyi
in the new issue of the IMF's Finance & Development.
Great opportunity for Africa scholars - apply below for 2 year postdoc fellowship
#grants
(up to £150k per year)➕support, training and mentoring ➕network opportunities to develop international collaborations (h/t
@DFID_Research
)
We're hiring!
Come join the team at the Office of the Chief Economist for Africa at the World Bank in Washington DC.
We're looking for a full-time Economist consultant, providing economic analysis and data visualizations
Details here:
So sad to hear of the passing of Prof Benno Ndulu.
A huge loss to African economics and policymaking who played so many roles - Tanzania's CB Governor '08-18, a founder of
@AERCAFRICA
and the Chief Economists network, and professor & teacher to so many.
Important new report launched today by
@NRGInstitute
and
@davidmihalyi
on the issue of 'resource-backed loans'. These deals, often made as exchange of oil for infrastructure, can be opaque, noncompetitive, and potentially bad value for money for citizens of resource-rich nations:
A new NRGI report outlines the many risks, but also opportunities, presented by
#ResourceBackedLoans
. How can borrowers and lenders improve the deals? NRGI researchers have outlined nine recommendations.
The green minerals boom has triggered a scramble for natural resources. Countries rich with raw materials are trying to capitalize on it without falling victim to the “resource curse” (via
@MyStephanomics
@ClaireJiao
@jfarchy
@MollySmithNews
)
Looking forward to contributing to this fantastic course for senior government officials. I’ll be speaking on the challenges faced transforming resources into longterm prosperity. Not an easy feat but definitely possible:
This weekend 53 senior officials and executives from 23 countries will travel to
#Oxford
for the annual NRGI-
@BlavatnikSchool
high-level course on natural resource governance. Read this conversation with a 2018
#OilGasMiningOxford
alum:
It’s an important day for development economics - and for those trying to change the world for the better through applied economics. Congrats Banerjee, Duflo and Kremer!
BREAKING NEWS:
The 2019 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel has been awarded to Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo and Michael Kremer “for their experimental approach to alleviating global poverty.”
#NobelPrize
Estimating the effects of palm oil cultivation expansion on poverty and incomes in Indonesia - by
@ryanbedwards
at
#NEUDC2018
. Expansion explains significant poverty reduction but comes with large forest losses
Getting the most from natural resources means investing resource revenues in a country's assets (people, infrastructure) not just on chasing export diversification.
See the excellent piece in this week's Economist on the challenges faced in Africa:
Mineral foundations of energy transition - day 2 underway. Green tech is metal intensive. Niche metals going to see big demand changes but not only them - nickel, cobalt, lithium, copper, bauxite - all have potential supply shortfalls at current investment levels
@payneinstitute
For anyone interested in economic development in oil rich countries this thread explains the important (but gloomy) new evidence on diversification possibilities:
My paper “What do we know about export diversification in oil-producing countries?” is just out in Extractive Industries and Society. I know the topic sounds obscure, but it’s critical for global climate politics & development. Here’s why.
Thread
New research casts doubt on ESG claims made in developing countries (where regulations may be weaker).
More deforestation occurs where institutions are weaker, even if clearance done by supposedly “responsibly” companies:
The current COVID-19 crisis has increased awareness of how much good policy relies on good data, without which we all pay the price of poor choices.
However, African policymakers are data impoverished - and this does not bode well for their citizens:
There’s alot being made of falling pollution (and public health benefit) from coronavirus in China. However without economic decoupling it’s imp to remember this means a slump in nat resource demand which hits Africa and worlds poorest countries v hard
Fascinating newly accepted QJE paper on church donations as insurance - including evidence from Ghana. "Members enrolled in insurance give sig. less money to their own church compared to [those not]. Enrollment also reduces giving towards other spiritual goods."
Recently accepted by
#QJE
: “God Insures Those Who Pay? Formal Insurance and Religious Offerings in Ghana,” by Auriol, Lassébie, Panin (
@amma_panin
), Raiber (
@evaraiber
), and Seabright:
A sad day. My PhD research wouldn't exist without the great work that came before, especially the classic Corden and Neary paper on resource booms and 'Dutch disease':
The RES is deeply saddened by the passing of Peter Neary. RES President Tim Besley has paid tribute to Peter in this statement. An obituary recognising Peter’s immense contribution to the discipline will be published in the Newsletter.
#EconTwitter
Bad news for Africa's forests as it becomes region with highest rate of deforestation since 2010, racing ahead of South America.
New interactive report from FAO - the Global Forest Resources Assessment 2020:
And main report as pdf:
This article presents a worrying 'degrowth' persp that seems to advocate leaving poorest people of the world in the dark. Decoupling environmental harm from prosperity is a very different approach from reducing overall energy demand (which this advocates).
@_HannahRitchie
Infamously, a study found that lamb imported from New Zealand, had a lower carbon footprint, than Welsh lamb, when consumed in the UK.
Climate is an urgent problem, but will be harder to fix if we blame global trade and become protectionist and parochial in our economic choices
Excited to be attending
@ACETforAfrica
’s African Transformation Forum
#AFT2018
. Two days of discussing with leading policy and thought leaders. How to get transformation - ‘growth with depth’ - in a generation?
Important signal from
@WorldBank
: Fossil-fuel rich developing nations need to now think how they will navigate the carbon transition and avoid becoming 'stranded nations':
@DavidManleyEcon
There's very little point - and a lot of additional risk - investing in oil stocks, when a huge proportion of your national wealth is held in oil reserves under the ground.
And thats before you even consider the climate damages.
This should have happened a long time ago...
Navigating the policy dilemmas thrown up by COVID-19 was a fraught time in Africa. Many countries rose to the challenge.
I'm incredibly proud of the work we did to ensure Presidents were getting the best possible economic advice:
with
@AlbertZeufack
It could be a bad year for the Amazon.
I hope we're wrong, but we have some new empirical work suggesting oil price crashes (like the COVID-19 one we just saw) can drive upswings in tropical deforestation. Joint with
@tfharding
, Hanna Krings &
@alexis_ribal
:
Mr Mitchell, who was in charge of DfID between 2010 and 2012, said abolishing the department would be a "quite extraordinary mistake".
It had been "one of the most effective and respected engines of international development anywhere in the world".
The World Bank Africa Fellowship program is now open for applications.
A great opportunity to get exposure to international development policy and operational work.
Particularly targeting doctoral students/recent PhDs including in economics. Women strongly encouraged to apply!
We are looking for bright PhD candidates or graduates from
#Africa
to join our
@WorldBankAfrica
Fellowship program. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to gain experience in development. Women are encouraged to apply. Deadline? August 23. ➡️
#WBGFellows
NEW REPORT:
#Africa
has the potential to more than double revenues from natural resources. By charging the full cost of environmental and social impacts and attracting new investment, African countries can create a double dividend for people and planet. ➡️
Are the poorest catching up? No is the unfortunate answer.
New FT piece by
@SoumayaKeynes
echoes our recent WB paper with Paul Collier:
We argue previous "global convergence" celebrations were premature, faced data limitations, and overlooked the
“We don’t know exactly how to make sure poorer countries catch up with richer ones. But we do know that there is nothing automatic about it,” writes columnist
@SoumayaKeynes
in the
@FT
. 🇬🇧🌍
We must put nature back into our economics, or else the miraculous economic development gains of the last two+ centuries will be unsustainable and at serious risk.
Newly launched Dasgupta Review on Economics of Biodiversity is a important call to action:
Oil rich countries need to diversify their wealth. One challenge is how to avoid investments that are also subject to carbon risk. In the short run even green stocks like Tesla may see their value linked to the oil price...
I am still in shock at the sudden passing of Prof Benno Ndulu.
We had just been compiling his recollections from time in government for the benefit of the next generation of African economists.
Benno had so much wisdom to share. Read first extract here:
Global launch tomorrow of a fascinating new database feat. 70+ National Oil Companies from
@prpheller
and
@NRGInstitute
. These companies are hugely important actors in many countries.
Check out the livestream or attend in person in DC:(link: )
Tomorrow at 3pm London/5pm Dar/9pm Jakarta, join Mark Robinson (EITI), Zainab Usman (World Bank) and NRGI’s Daniel Kaufmann and Patrick Heller for the webcast launch of the National
#Oil
Company Database.
Here’s a helpful visual reminder of how relatively modest changes or differences in the mean can lead to very different outcomes in the tails. Applies to more than just the climate
How can resource rich countries respond to the covid19 crisis? With almost all commodity prices way down, their fiscal space and options are v. limited - but this blog points to some things they should consider:
Important findings on oil and diversification from
@MichaelRoss7
:
1)Oil exporters have narrowly specialized econs, so vulnerable to price shocks; 2)African states have worst diversification record; 3)Diversification linked with less oil wealth/depletion 4)Good gov doesn’t help
The next (massive) frontier in natural resource exploitation - and the consequences for life are daunting...
"History’s Largest Mining Operation Is About to Begin"
Important new evidence on the disastrous idea of using public funds to subsidize indoor gatherings during a global pandemic.
And a reminder that the consequences of bad public policy are more immediate and devastating than ever.
Today I m sharing another paper on unintended consequences of a UK policy which makes me cringe at how my tax money is spent all the while debating
#FreeSchoolMeals
"Subsidizing the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from the UK’s
#EOHO
scheme". ➡️ a thread🧵⬇️
"The Dodd-Frank Act roughly doubled the probability of conflict...within the DRC... Violence against civilians, rebel group battles, riots and protests, and deadly conflict all increase."
#UnintendedConsequences
#EconJMP
by
@JeffBloem
@ApEcMN
Great new piece in the Economist
Forecasting growth is tricky, but getting it wrong - and doing so systematically - has large repercussions.
We found in our own research such mistakes may be systematic if you overlook impact of weak governance:
In this week's
@TheEconomist
I also wrote about growth forecasting:
Why it matters so much, how hard it is, why forecasters go wrong (human nature, incentives....politics), and the (large!) real world consequences of over-optimistic forecasts
(Thread)
New discussion paper from UNU-INRA on the challenge of stranded assets for Africa
We previously argued it is important for dev. countries to appraise how much they might be exposed to stranding and what they can do to mitigate exposure to carbon risks:
From resource curse to the ‘presource curse’- big problems can begin right after big discoveries - unleashing overly-rosy expectations and growth forecasts for some:
A major reason we worry about climate change is that it will hurt the most vulnerable people who dont have the means to protect themselves from it.
It would be absurd if we fixed CC by slowing economic development in the world's lowest income countries, especially in Africa.
Thread:
I am sure the "more than 100 economists" who signed this earnestly believe they're doing the right thing. Sorta like the road to hell and good intentions, the blanket ban proposed here is misguided and will cause more harm than good.
New edition of Africa's Pulse lays out the case for urgent debt relief/debt standstill for African countries to help them fight COVID-19 and the economic crisis:
AERC has posted a vacancy for its Director of Research - please consider applying, this is important opportunity for those involved in strengthening economics research in Africa: