Rough translation:
"NO MAN, you are making us look bad...if you work, we all need to work..."
Not so fast, Ntshavheni warns new ministers eager to push ahead with department plans
*
#CSIR
: SA MODEL BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF EARLY TALLIES
SOUTH AFRICA MODEL PROJECTS
*
#ANC
MAY WIN 41.5% OF VOTE
*
#DA
WINNING 22.3% OF VOTE
*
#MK
PARTY WINNING 12.8% OF VOTE
*
#EFF
WINNING 9% OF VOTE
*SOUTH AFRICA CSIR MODEL HAS 2% MARGIN OF ERROR
(Bloomberg)
I feel for any SA business/restaurants out there. Imagine planning your staff, shifts, hours, cold stock or whatever, FOR THE DAY using the available schedule (already daily not weekly), only to potentially receive 12min heads-up before all falls down?
#Loadshedding
#EskomCrisis
*
#PFIZER
HAS OFFERED SOUTH AFRICA DISCOUNTED COVID-19 VACCINES
"Pfizer Inc. and BioNTech SE offered to supply South Africa with their Covid-19 vaccine at a discounted $10 a dose, yet the president’s office still described the cost as prohibitive..."
(Bloomberg)
SA inc 🇿🇦 is Flying Today!
Graphs:
1) SA JSE All Share RELATIVE vs MSCI Emerging Markets Index (in USD)
2) SA Bonds (RED is good in Fixed Yield Instruments)
3) SA JSE Sectors (Showing Financials and Props out performing)
Data: BLOOMBERG
*SOUTH AFRICAN REGULATOR CANCELS ZAR X'S EXCHANGE LICENSE WITH IMMEDIATE EFFECT
Reason given:
- NON-COMPLIANCE WITH LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL ADEQUACY REQUIREMENTS OF AN EXCHANGE
(Bloomberg)
#ZAR
moving HARD!
*S. AFRICA RAND DECLINES AFTER POLL SHOWS ANC SUPPORT DROPPING
*SOUTH AFRICA'S ZUMA-BACKED MKP SUPPORT SEEN AT 13%: SRF POLL
*S. AFRICA'S ANC SUPPORT SEEN AT 37% BEFORE MAY VOTE: SRF POLL
(Bloomberg)
#ESKOM
Announcement:
*SOUTH AFRICAN POWER UTILITY TO CUT 2,000MW FROM GRID 9AM-11PM
*ESKOM TO IMPLEMENT STAGE 2
#LOADSHEDDING
FROM 9AM TO 11PM
(Bloomberg)
Hey hey...whats this?!?
I know it's a small drop in a big negative YTD bucket, but lets take the win!
Foreign Investors Net Buyers of South African Shares
BLOOMBERG
BLOOMBERG TV Interview with Investec Bank CEO, Richard Wainwright re
#Eskom
*SA POWER CUTS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
*SA MACRO ENVIRONMENT EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT
*SA NEEDS TO ACCELERATE ESKOM RESTRUCTURE
*GOVT HAS BEEN SLOW ON REFORMS
*SA HAS MOST POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY SINCE 1994
Minister Pravin Gordhan -
#Eskom
*ESKOM'S DEBT REDUCED BY R83B IN 20/21 YEAR TO R401B (R484B)
*LEGAL SEPARATION OF ESKOM'S TRANSMISSION UNIT DUE END-21 & OTHER TWO UNITS SEEN BY END-22
*POWER CONSTRAINTS TO BE EASED BY KOEBERG UNIT RETURN
*FIXING LATENT DEFECTS AT MEDUPI, KUSILE
I have heard people from Pretoria complain about things like the rising price of the Brandy Special at their local pub BUT let me tell you, you my NEVER complain about your weather!
BREAKING - SA Mobile Data UPDATE:
*SA REGULATOR FINDS DATA PRICES HIGH, ESP. MOBILE PREPAID
*FINDS PRICES COMPARE POORLY VS SADC
*MAKES PROV RECOM ON PRICING
*RECOMMENDS IMMEDIATE RELIEF ON DATA PRICING
*FINDS MTN, VODACOM CHARGE LESS IN OTHER COUNTRIES
Watch out
#MTN
&
#VOD
!
Election Guess Update:
South Africa’s ANC Support Slips Before Vote; EFF Backing Slumps: IPSOS
#IPSOS
POLL SEES:
*ANC SUPPORT AT 40.2%
*DA SUPPORT SEEN AT 21.9%
*EFF SUPPORT AT 11.5%
*MK PARTY SUPPORT SEEN AT 8.4%
(Bloomberg)
*
#SIBANYE
CEO SEES SHORTAGE OF GREEN-ENERGY METALS
*SIBANYE CEO SEES
#PLATINUM
RISING ON SWITCH FROM
#PALLADIUM
*SIBANYE CEO SEES PLATINUM RISING EVENTUALLY TO $2,000/OZ
BREAKING:
*
#SOUTHAFRICANAIRWAYS
DENIED FURTHER FUNDING BY GOVERNMENT
*
#SAA
ADMINISTRATORS SAYS THEY WERE NOTIFIED BY GOVERNMENT
*SAA ADMINISTRATORS TOLD TO CONSIDER OPTIONS WITHIN RESOURCES
(Bloomberg)
Following this mornings Foreign Net Purchases/Sales data release, I did a quick CUMULATIVE chart of the "Combined Net Foreign Flows" of the SA Equities and Bonds in R'm. The Chart speaks for itself...staggering outflows. More on this, in tomorrow morning's EASY INVESTING mailer.
*UK SANCTIONS AJAY, ATUL, RAJESH GUPTA FOR SERIOUS CORRUPTION
*UK FOREIGN SECRETARY DOMINIC RAAB MAKES SANCTIONS STATEMENT
*RAAB SAYS MORE SANCTIONS TO FOLLOW ON INDIVIDUALS
I'm recon SA will eventually get to some action, we live in hope I guess...
#Zondo
#Zupta
#Zuma
SA holds so much potential, yet we struggle to fully harness it. If SA was a Company, with shareholders, the management would have been REPLACED years ago.
YOU are the country's "shareholders", the ANC is merely your current "management", remember this next time you vote!
SA GDP contracted 0.7% annualized in 3rd quarter of 2022. It remains a perennial global post-covid UNDERPERFORMER compared to EVERY country grouping IMAGINABLE, but most notably her peers in BRICS and Emerging Markets (EM) in particular, barely posting growth since before Covid.
Sanlam Throws Its Weight Behind South African Health Proposal
Meanwhile:
1) "it’s irrational in its current form"
Adrian Gore (Discovery)
2) "not just unconstitutional, but unaffordable and unimplementable"
Mike Brown (Nedbank)
#NHI
#Gaanngrootfokkopwees
Bloomberg added a dedicated South African Elections 2024 page.
Below is a chart showing the
@MYANC
support during the past SA Elections; versus the 3 latest
#Ipsos
Polls.
We are heading into a what promise to be a very interesting Election!
#SAelections24
#ANC
🗳️
South Africa’s Godongwana Warns of Difficult Budget Next Month
"South Africa’s finance minister warned that next month’s budget will be a “difficult one” as the nation’s ability to service its growing debt remains a challenge."
BLOOMBERG
Oo no!
#ZAR
This is NOT GOOD!
*RAND WEAKENS AFTER US SAYS SOUTH AFRICA SUPPLIED ARMS TO RUSSIA
*US AMBASSADOR SAYS SOUTH AFRICA GAVE WEAPONS TO RUSSIA
(NEWS24/BLOOMBERG)
*ANGLO AMERICAN BEGINS GLOBAL HEAD OFFICE JOB CUTS IN S. AFRICA
*ANGLO AMERICAN CONFIRMS NOTICES SENT OUT IN SOUTH AFRICA
*LABOR UNION NUM SAYS NEGOTIATIONS WITH 181 CORPORATE WORKERS STARTS
(Bloomberg)
Just FYI...😀
IMF 2024 GDP Forecast for:
Russia +2.6%
Ukraine +3.2%
Israel +3.0%
SOUTH AFRICA +1.0%
(you know, countries at war, with possible sanctions, energy, transport and infrastructure disruption...)
Source: IMF Website
*SA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL'S EXPORTS DROP 14.2% Y/Y
*RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL 2022 EXPORTS LOWEST SINCE 1993: CEO Alan Waller
*SA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL EXPORTED 50.35 MT IN '22
(Bloomberg)
#ZONDO
NEWS:
(Bloomberg News)
*EVIDENCE PROVES
#GUPTA
SCHEME TO CAPTURE
#ESKOM
*
#ZUMA
WAS CENTRAL TO GUPTA CAPTURE OF ESKOM
*PROBE FINDS ZUMA WOULD DO WHATEVER GUPTAS WANTED
*SAYS GUPTAS HAD KEY ESKOM OFFICIALS REMOVED
*RECOMMENDS CRIMINAL PROSECUTION OF TONY GUPTA
1/n
Anyone care to bet against "Mr. Fix-It"..? 😉
*SIBANYE CEO WANTS TO DOUBLE SIZE OF COMPANY BEFORE RETIRING
*
#SIBANYE
CEO NEAL
#FRONEMAN
CONSIDERS RETIRING IN 2-3 YEARS
(Bloomberg)
NET Transactions in JSE Equities by Foreigners, YTD to 26 Jan 24 already close to -R10bn, following the horror that was 2023 (ito flows)
SA Inc's valuation is cheap, but how does the saying go about the valuable House in a "dodgy neighbourhood"?
Foreigners just aren't buying...
Why is
#SASOL
down -7.25% you ask?
Slowly, but surely the entire market is figuring out this blerrie company is a dog 🐕
JPM Downgraded its
#SOL
Price Target.
*S. AFRICA COURT REFUSES BID TO DELAY TOBACCO HEARING, BD SAYS
(probably the first "loss" of many due to thumb-suck rules...I'm not a smoker, but would love to see the facts used in their reasoning; or the rule overturned)
[Bloomberg / BusinessDay]
*SOUTH AFRICA SELLS 51% STAKE IN STATE AIRLINE
#SAA
TO
#GLOBALAIRWAYS
&
#HARITH
*
#SOUTHAFRICANAIRWAYS
TO BE LISTED AT A FUTURE DATE
*SOUTH AFRICAN AIRWAYS MAJORITY STAKE SOLD TO LOCAL INVESTORS
*SOUTH AFRICAN GOVERNMENT TO RETAIN MINORITY STAKE IN AIRLINE
(Bloomberg)
The power of a Tweet...🤦🏻♂️
Glad we are all professionals, study for years, plan “18-months ahead” for an optimised portfolio, only to live on a popcorn diet as a spectator.
Inserts:
Tweet, S&P500, Commodities, USDZAR
#TrumpTweets
South African Government announces fuel-price relief measures.
SUMMARY:
- Temp reduce Gen Fuel Levy by R1.50
- Wed 6 April to Tue 31 May 2022
- Cost / Lost Tax Revenues: ~R6bn (for the period)
- Cost to be recovered selling Strategic Crude Oil Reserves
*SOUTH AFRICAN UNION REJECTS
#ESKOM
1.5% WAGE-INCREASE OFFER
“It is an insult to our members,”
National Union of Mineworkers spokesman: Livhuwani Mammburu
In the Real World people are fighting to get or keep their jobs, at Eskom an increase in "an insult"...🤦♂️
ALERT:
*
#SASOL
IS SAID TO LAUNCH STAKE SALE IN $13B LAKE CHARLES SITE (
#LCCP
)
*SASOL HIRES BOFA TO SELL MINORITY STAKE IN U.S. CHEMICAL SITE
*SASOL MOVE WOULD RAISE CASH TO PAY DOWN DEBT AMID OIL ROUT
(Bloomberg)
*
#EXXARO
CEO'S ASSOCIATE BUYS R49.97M OF SHARES
(SENS/Bloomberg)
Should probably pay attention to Insider Purchases in this size...(
@tradinglikeafox
I know you like this one)
PROSUS / NASPERS Unbundling "QuickCalc" Update:
And the results are in, I guess it was better to take the newly listed
#PROSUS
(+17.8%) and not more
#NASPERS
(-1.8%).
As a Combo (Original Naspers Shareholders) you would still have under performed the ALSI by nearly -2%.
Not sure what I'm missing here...but for a longer term view for
#Gold
and/or
#Platinum
, especially considering where the
#USDZAR
is trading, how wrong can you go with
#IMP
,
#SSW
,
#ANG
&
#GFI
...just take a look at their Bloomberg Fwd PE's.
*SA RESERVE BANK MAKES COMMITMENT AFTER
#FATF
DECISION
*SOUTH AFRICA'S CENTRAL BANK VOWS TO FIGHT FINANCIAL CRIME
*SA TO WORK WITH FAFT TO ADDRESS DEFICIENCIES IT FLAGGED
(Bloomberg)
#greylisting
#Discovery
down 8% intra-day...so I had a look at the news headlines and time/instant (09:40) the sell-off started (yes results were earlier).
Full Story at 09:51 (attached);
plus Solidarity's response at 10:55 -
*SOLIDARITY UNION SAYS DISCOVERY MANDATORY VACCINES ARE ILLEGAL
MOODY's Outlook for South Africa
*MOODY'S `COULD DOWNGRADE' THE ALREADY NEGATIVE RATING IF SA GROWTH REMAINS VERY WEAK
*MOODY'S SEES SA’S HIGH GOVERNMENT DEBT BURDEN RISING
*SA OUTLOOK COULD MOVE TO STABLE IF FINANCES CONSOLIDATED
Impala Cut to Neutral at Nedbank CIB; PT 80 rand
🤦♂️ A bit late, don't you think? Downgrade the target only after a -60% drop the past 12 months...
OverWeight at 12532; and Neutral when at 6646, see Bloomberg track enclosed
#Implats
#ImpalaPlatinum
SA Platinum Shares taking a beating, looking at the Year To Date, % Total Returns (incl Platinum in ZAR & the JSE RESI Index)
YTD Result:
Resi Index -15.5%
Platinum (ZAR) -6.2%
#IMP
-50.3%
#AMS
-47.7%
#NPH
-32.5%
#SSW
-30.5%
[BLOOMBERG data]
#Implats
#Amplats
#Northam
#Sibanye
Slow growth and pressure on taxpayers...This article is causing a stir in the media, at least people are starting to pay attention.
Great article by
@dwaine_van
&
@SharenetSA
. It will be discussed 07:07 this morning on
@CapeTalk
radio, have a listen!
The
#JSE
is becoming irrelevant.
The entire JSE SWIX40 Market Cap [MC] is slightly smaller than
#Adobe
's MC and just bigger than
#Pepsi
, placing it around position 33 in the S&P100...
(ZAR used R19.25)
Interestingly, the monthly trade turnover of the
#JSE
reached its lowest levels in USD in ten years last month (January 2024). Furthermore, one can observe that the 12-month average trend is still very much downward and extremely concerning.
Happy birthday to my little girl...and what better toy than this new WEAPON from
@signalbikes
! Thank you
@OliverMunnik
for the great insight and assistance and
#KnipeRacing
in Durbanville for making it happen. Tomorrow we hit the trails at
@BloemendalWines
💪🏼🚴🏼♀️