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James Morris Profile
James Morris

@jamesdmorris

6,234
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1,304
Following
638
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Mainly polling, politics, bit of music. Used to work in politics, now heckle from the sidelines. These are my views, not anyone else’s.

London
Joined September 2010
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
World Cup well and truly over
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
Hearing Sue Grey now planning to issue her report as an NFT
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
In retrospect maybe they should have let the Mirror get on the bus
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
I make it around 67 seats on the YouGov MRP where Lab and Con are within 5 points of each other. Two weeks to go.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Hard to believe this was March 12th. It's incredibly clear sighted.
@PoliticsJOE_UK
PoliticsJOE
4 years
“This is the most serious epidemic since the end of WWI. You can use the police to enforce emergency measures, and call out the military to support.” Rory Stewart says the government has responded too slowly to coronavirus, and that tough measures need to be taken now.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
If the Corbynite narrative was right, Brexit would be the big concern about Labour among Lab Leave voters. Instead their biggest concern was Jeremy Corbyn, then spending. Brexit 3rd.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
@gavinjohnadams At least you can sing the handwashing song to yourself twice without feeling weird about it! Happy Birthday
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
Ireland had a second referendum on the Lisbon treaty and got a different result. Anyone know if that is still a source of anger or did everyone just move on?
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
1 month
Tory post mortem will be carried out by politicos who cant help thinking in terms of left/right/centre. But they're wrong. They should start with valence: being seen as competent, reliable, trustworthy, sensible, serious, decent, responsive.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
33% off trains today. “What’s next? It’ll be free Pot Noodles for migrants.” From our focus groups in Newcastle-Under-Lyme:
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
McDonnell on the BBC trying to say it’s all Brexit. But that doesn’t explain how Boris Johnson is more trusted than Jeremy Corbyn on the NhS
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Like a scene from Dr Who
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
Corbyn changed Labour’s rules so it is fine to accuse Jews, and just Jews, of secret loyalty to another country. That’s the kind of thing a racist would do. Not sure why Margaret Hodge is in bother for bringing that up.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
If Remain splits within seats, Tories can win a huge majority without adding a vote.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Somewhere in @UKLabour vaults is a memo from 2004ish about focus groups @StanGreenberg and I did with older working class voters. It was so dire campaign chiefs decided never to speak to those kinds of voter again. And now we’re here.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
If Christine Shawcroft’s email [arguing holocaust denial is fine in some contexts] hadn’t found its way to @SamCoatesTimes , she would still be in charge of disciplinary proceedings
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Amazing number of MPs saying they’re sticking because they’ve been labour since they were a kid. Many of them great MPs but parties should be mechanisms not tribes.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
I don’t buy the idea they are booing ‘politicisation’.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
The problem isn’t Keir. It’s the Labour Party. It’s been on a 20 year journey to lose its reputation for competence. Immigration > Iraq > No election > Financial Crisis > Ed/spending/leadership > Jeremy & everything. Futzing about the first leader to get to base camp is silly.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
If I’m reading it right, the ‘Cummings quote’ isn’t a quote from Cummings, it’s from the source who precised his message and tone - perhaps accurately, perhaps not. @ShippersUnbound
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
There are lots of Labour members who don’t think Labour is anti-Semitic because the racist tropes are so ingrained they don’t notice them. “Who’s paying you? Where are your loyalties? What about Israel?” seem to them sensible questions.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
The news cycle moves fast, but this remains a huge issue very clearly articulated earlier this week by @paulwaugh . 700 000 kids without the tech to learn from home. Three months and counting falling behind kids with richer parents.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
The only thing that unites the Tories and DUP is they don’t want a Labour government. Idea Lab putting down a confidence motion would matter is silly. Lab playing it right.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
2 years
The polling on strikes is pretty even. Voters get workers want better pay. Lab has room to flex as things roll on. The polling on leadership isn’t even. Voters want strength. There isn’t room to allow shadow ministers to stick two fingers up at the leader and do their own thing
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Lots of Labour people terrified about the need to unite Bolsover and Bethnal Green as if the Tories didn’t just win both Beaconsfield and Blyth Valley
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
2 years
When your media trainer tells you not to accept the premise of the question, they don’t mean you should say ‘I don’t accept the premise of your question’
@dinosofos
Dino Sofos
2 years
Liz Truss crumbles under questioning from @GrahamLiver on @BBCLancashire about local consent for fracking.
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James Morris
6 years
This is a feeble way to try and answer this question if you want to know the real answer. A smart way if you know what answer you want (1/x)
@michaelsavage
Michael Savage
6 years
Same poll... Please imagine that a Brexit deal passes with the support of most Conservative MPs and most Labour MPs. How would you vote at the next election? CON 42 LAB 26 Lib Dem 17 SNP/Plaid 5 Other 10
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 months
@MrBrendanCox Said with immense grace
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
At the next election no one will vote based on their view of Cummings, but if Labour get to a tie on competence they’ll win.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
I started a new job in April and have only met most of my colleagues on my laptop. I have no idea how tall anyone is.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
🧐
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Gordon Brown tells the Mirror this was his idea, and he originally wanted 8 million
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
7 months
URGENT. LINE TO TAKE: It is in fact fine that he laughed in her face because he didn’t also storm off
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Anyone can write a leading question: “Parliamentary democracy is a cornerstone of what makes our country great and so MPs should not be prevented from voting on Brexit in the House of Commons”
@drjennings
Will Jennings
5 years
This poll does not show that "54% of British adults" support prorogation. Utterly dire survey question, utterly dire reporting.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Just re-read a report from 2010 focus groups with lost Labour voters. @Keir_Starmer is about to inherit a party with all the same brand weakness Labour had then, plus a whole load of additional ones. 10 years going backwards.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Corbyn lost 2,585,564 votes in two years of opposition.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
@rachshabi Why do you think that? She had the opportunity to disavow the antisemitic racism and didn’t do it. I’m genuinely curious why the subsequent action that doesn’t count as zero tolerance in your mind.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Things you’d regularly hear in focus groups: - Cameron ‘rides a bike but his driver follows him with his shoes’ - Brown ‘Sold our gold’ - ‘Yo, Blair’ ‘Missed 5 meetings’ has the same combination of specificity and symbolism to potentially stick
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
8 months
If you want good people to become politicians, you dont intimidate their families. I'm grateful to good people like Keir willing to put up with this. If that kind of representative vanishes, it will be partly because of this sort of thing. Who'd take a job that leads to this?
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James Morris
3 years
I’m hugely grateful to all the ‘foreigners’ who have treated me and my family when we’ve been ill. I can’t begin to understand how this could be a management priority.
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James Morris
6 years
@isaby Clear win for leave; but what’s the basis for thinking the result was clear about what sort of Brexit was mandated. Leave campaign avoided that kind of prospectus
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
‘Protestors’ isn’t the word for people who storm a parliament to try and stop election results being honoured
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Debate so far has been about ideology: economic left/centre; social conservative/liberal. Misses the key dimension: competent/useless
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
How things might have been
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Corbynites angry this new group might cost them votes can deal with the risk quite easily - kick out racists in Labour, apply the same standards to Putin you do to Trump, recognise business isn’t all bad. It’s a low bar.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Who wants someone in the Shadow Cabinet whose political skill is such that they will randomly pop up to praise an article that attacks people who voted Tory and contains casual racism?
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Tories look like the election is in the bag, but this week’s focus groups showed how Lab could, maybe, pull things back
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
“Lab in hands of working class base” This a delusion. Lab lost ground relative to the Tories among working class in 2017. Latest YouGov has Lab behind among working class voters today. Lab leadership is dominated by public school boys.
@paulmasonnews
Paul Mason
6 years
3/ There's no clear party representing the globalist ruling class in U.K. - Tories broken, Labour in hands of working class base, Libs irrelevant, SNP checked out of the motel...
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
How can Boris get Leave voters to back a deal they previously rejected? Simply by supporting it. Most people don’t have have real views on trade policy, they take their cue from the people they trust.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
The doublespeak at the end of this is appalling. Labour didn’t oppose war in Syria, it decided to let Russia and Assad continue their war unimpeded
@RichardBurgon
Richard Burgon MP
5 years
Great to catch up with @JeremyCorbyn earlier today to discuss my plan for a Labour Peace Pledge.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
1 year
Telling detail that the Independent Schools Council called a woman who grew up in poverty, went to Oxford, moved back to her small town, now shadow Education Secretary - “chippy”. Chippy.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
"Do you actually want to get something done or do you want to feel good among the people you already agree with?"
@fran_chambers
Francesca Chambers
4 years
Barack Obama in a Snapchat interview has some advice for Dems on "defund the police"
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James Morris
5 years
The important bit wasn’t the theatrics about the ditch, it was the straight ‘yes’: “Can you a promise today to the British Public that you will not go back to Brussels and ask for another extension? Yes. I can. I would rather be dead in a ditch.”
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Upshot of those threads from @OwenJones84 and @JohnRentoul is the same: Labour will vote for a referendum only in conditions which mean it won’t happen. At the point at which it might, Labour’s (current) position is to stop supporting it
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
This is the analogy that would spook me the most if I was at CCHQ. A character strength suddenly became weakness and recovery proved impossible
@anthonyjwells
Anthony Wells
4 years
@sundersays @ClarkHistoryPol Brown's figures from Sep 2007 to Dec 2007 also had an extremely sharp collapse.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Key political line in Keir's #marr Marr interview: "over the last 10 years..." The government has been trying to seem new (again). It's not. Labour is going to try and make it wear its record.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
There are scores of v good journalists from a range of backgrounds and none succeed without incredible hard work. But @OwenJones84 is on to something. 90% of kids go to a comp; only 14% of top journalists did
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
I can at least comprehend the Labour left’s guttural dislike of some Blair era Labour figures. But the ire aimed at Rachel Reeves, Stella Creasy and Jess Phillips is really really really weird to put it kindly.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
I'd take the people urging Labour to 'change course' more seriously if their alternative 'course' wasn't the same one that just lost two elections
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
It’s a priming problem. “Brexit Brexit Brexit. Brexit. Now, who are you voting for?” Obviously makes respondents think more about Brexit when answering. Real voting intention is affected by so much more that this method tries to get people to artificially ignore.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
Today’s Mori: 4% of say Labour has got worse under Starmer, 48% say better Yesterday’s leadership:
@REWearmouth
Rachel Wearmouth
3 years
Exclusive: Demand for special Labour conference as pressure mounts on Starmer from left
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
This graph
@ChrisGiles_
Chris Giles
4 years
Second, the point of lockdown appears strongly linked to eventual excess deaths. Here, we show the relationship between an estimate of infections on lockdown day and eventual excess deaths 9/
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Weird. He doesn't seem to mention GoT at all:
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
How did political reporting rather than policy reporting become the default way the media covers government?
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
9 months
This poll is about Muslim voters, but it has some general lessons. Highlights the gap between: - ‘community leaders’ and the people they purportedly lead - the borderline racist idea ethnic groups vote as blocs based on sectional interests, not NHS, Economy, competence, etc)
@robfordmancs
Rob Ford
9 months
See @ChrisHopkins92 thread for important caveats but even bearing those in mind this is strongly at odds with the prevailing narrative of a massive Muslim swing against Labour (and further evidence, not that it is needed, that the widely reported Muslim Census “poll” showing such
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
The most extraordinary coalition government anywhere, ever?
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Terrific analysis by @BethRigby . Tories ripping up the playbook,but what if the anti-Tory identity in much of northern England trumps the pro-Brexit identity that is newly formed?
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
@E_Reid35 : "We chose to kneel because it’s a respectful gesture. I remember thinking our posture was like a flag flown at half-mast to mark a tragedy."
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
If you think your neighbour is being attacked, call the police. If you think recording might be useful evidence, record. If one of them is about to be PM, it’s of public interest.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
2 months
There is going to be a huge row in the Tory party about why they lost, loads of research and segmentation and so on; and the core answer will be: a) they did several dumb things b) Lab stopped promising to do dumb things
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
This is excellent. Stat that stood out for me: white unemployment is roughly flat during the pandemic. Virtually all the rise has been amongst BAME individuals.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
“Please imagine the Labour Party wanted to increase spending g on the NHS, while the Conservatives wanted to spend less on public services. How would you vote...?” It’s obviously leading
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
(And another reason why the transparency standards the uK polling industry has voluntarily adopted are really really good thing. In some other countries we might not even see the question)
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
It takes bravery to be a good politician, but it shouldn’t take this kind of bravery.
@MirrorPolitics
Mirror Politics
5 years
Angela Rayner says she has panic buttons in her home after death and rape threats
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
New Corbynite training materials discovered
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
2 months
My Twitter bubble is outraged at the political stupidity but doesn’t seem at all emotionally engaged in the actual disrespect.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
I really hope the person who blew up that balloon did a Lateral Flow test first
@BBCPolitics
BBC Politics
3 years
New Lib Dem MP Helen Morgan bursts Boris's bubble
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
@iainmartin1 @DAaronovitch A couple of Russian gay steroid dealers flew from Moscow to the UK to see Salisbury cathedral twice (because Stonehenge was closed). It’s a theory.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Everyone who has ever run political focus groups knows this, but somehow we’ve never managed to convince hardcore politicos that it’s true.
@Yascha_Mounk
Yascha Mounk
4 years
5) It is hard for people who live and breathe politics every day to understand to what extent most voters don't think in terms of the same clean ideological divisions. But though voters are often ill-informed, their basic instincts are usually humane and sensible.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
This was really worth watching. Powerful on their experiences, which are all the more shocking because they’re not unusual. Also a different lens on politics.
@SkyNews
Sky News
3 years
MPs Jess Phillips, Caroline Nokes, Dr Rosena Allin-Khan and Fay Jones sat down with Sky's political editor @BethRigby to discuss the sexual harassment, assault and abuse of women. Full story here:
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
@PickardJE Imagine is the worst song ever written.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
This powerful speech by @angelaeagle shows why representation matters so much in positions of power. Whether parliament or in business, nothing can quite substitute for first hand experience
@BBCPolitics
BBC Politics
5 years
"We aren't going to get back in the closet, or hide, or be ashamed of the way we are" Labour's Angela Eagle makes an emotional plea to MPs to take action over LGBT teaching protests in Birmingham
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
If being seriously annoying becomes a crime, I’m in a lot of trouble.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
Hope he does it as a quiz
@christopherhope
Christopher Hope📝
3 years
BREAKING Boris Johnson to address the nation at 8pm
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
BMG have it CON 39%, LAB 33%, LDEM 13%, BREX 4%. Much easier to see how Lab grow from there than the Cons. Don’t think this is 2017 all over again but it might be...
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
3 years
The Labour Party seems to be happier as a hobby for the self-righteous than a serious force for change.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
We're here because the hardcore on both sides of the referendum somehow became more empowered by a narrow result that should have pointed to compromise.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Spot on. Part of the problem is thinking that being racist/anti-racist is a character trait rather than a behaviour.
@robertshrimsley
robert shrimsley
4 years
This from @stephenkb - is the key point on this week's antisemitism row. It's not that either RLB or Maxine Peake are antisemites; it is that they don't understand this issue and don't have the antennae for this particular trope that they have for many others.
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James Morris
4 years
(Ironically,) no matter how much I read about cognitive dissonance, I can’t square the fact Corbyn’s defenders regard themselves as strongly anti-racist.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
Terrific piece by @IanAustinMP . Mystifying why so many self-proclaimed lifelong anti-racism campaigners chose solidarity with perpetrators rather than victims when it comes to racism against Jews
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
Unorthodox paid social strategy from KFC
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
Fascinating evening of focus groups with undecided voters in Watford. If they don’t trust you it doesn’t matter what you promise them.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
5 years
U.K. plunged into metaphor crisis
@GuardianHeather
Heather Stewart
5 years
Less than half an hour to go, and Tory MP Steve Double says he still doesn't know how to vote. Says May's "polished turd" of a deal, "may be the best turd we've got".
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
Turnout looks up which is a bit of a problem for Lab if they need to explain away the result. This isn’t apathy, there’s a strong message here.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
Looks like this Labour report argues the manifesto wasn't credible, so Labour wasn't credible. That may be the wrong way round. Labour brand wasn't credible, so nothing they promised was.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
6 years
“The age of the experts is over”? Jog on.
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
I hear the sound of an abundance of rain. I hear the sound of #victory .
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
It will be a lot clearer in the morning. Well? Shall we go? Yes, let’s go. [They do not move]
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@jamesdmorris
James Morris
4 years
I don't why we didnt think of this. @Ed_Miliband should've had another bacon sandwich.
@DeAnna4Congress
DeAnna Lorraine 🇺🇸
4 years
The degenerate left claimed President Trump had health issues after drinking water with 2 hands. Today he drank with one and tossed the glass to the side! 🤣 GREATEST. PRESIDENT. EVER.
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