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@htltimor

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No TG. No private groups. No DMs. Here to help you see the whole picture. Not just to tell you it will all be ok.

Pale Blue Dot
Joined July 2014
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
With regards to trades, I am very rarely pushy. But when I am, it may be worth to at least investigate what I have to say. Of course I have been wrong too, but these are times I acted. I know you have to 'prove' yourself here on CT, so even though I hate it:
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Word of warning: technically this looks like we had the cycle top already and not only that: we also had the bigger cycle top. Meaning a lot of the elasticity had gone out of the PA. You can see that from the decreasing RSI at each high.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Wait till he figures out males have estrogen.
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3 months
@Iron_Man_Actual @KnowingBetterYT Indeed.
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3 years
@BadMedicalTakes
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2 years
@NoContextBrits For this reason alone they should allow scissors back on planes.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes I once almost got run over by a car but lived, so all those people who get run over by cars, should not be complaining. You could have been fine.
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@htltimor
2 months
Nothing like new datapoints to update one's outlook. Still seeing this as most likely a re-accumulation range with a spring. Obviously not the strongest possible PA, with multiple SOWs, but overall still looks promising.
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@htltimor
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@htltimor
3 months
Of course, this required some adjustment based on new data. Here's a new Wyckovian interpretation of current PA.
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1 year
Next few weeks.
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2 months
My target for the end of the cycle is around 96K. Fibs and counts below. I think EW is voodoo, but some seem to love it. I do like my fibs though. After 96 a major correction would be logical. Possibly a economy wide one. That coincides with a 40K target @PeterLBrandt mentioned.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Before the vax, we all lived forever. Graveyards are just temporary storage solutions.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Context helps.
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2 months
12h Stochastic paying the bills again. For those new here: 12hr (1D/3D) stochastic crosses below 20 during uptrends is how we print money. Or at least find relatively risk free entries.
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2 months
Ok. Let's finish today with a positive view on $BTC. That chart I still like.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes It surprises me that patients receive a drug that apparently immediate kills when you touch even a speck of it... Would also be very hard to get addicted to it. Very few cyanide addicts for instance.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Stop blaming the messenger.
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2 years
Who in your mind has contributed the most to the crypto market over the last 5 years? @cz_binance @saylor @SBF_FTX
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3 years
@PeterMcCormack @elonmusk @ChainLinkGod He's not saying PayPal is better than Bitcoin. PayPal is working within the existing system. He's saying he understands how financial systems work. What is interesting is what attracts him to this space. Why does he even tweet about it? What makes this important for him?
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1 year
@trader1sz The (bi-) yearly 'save $BCH' pump.
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2 years
@DJSnM @hankgreen
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4 years
@CryptoCobain @trader1sz Yes, those $DOGE peeps must be furious.
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1 year
@johngreen
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1 year
Here's the Wyckoff chart I made for @Trader_XO a while back & as you can see, it is still in play. We haven't broken out of the range enough to invalidate it. In fact, we had a correction. What I don't like is the low volume, because at the top, you'd expect high volume if true.
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2 months
And yes: I do think I am entitled to remind you that I have been calling for a correction to this level since the ATH. One of the few. Denounced by many. Last laugh. ๐Ÿ˜‰
@htltimor
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6 months
Still my dream scenario. No blow off tops, no silly UpOnly nonsense.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Someone call the Mayo Clinic.
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Male breast cancer - Symptoms and causes
www.mayoclinic.org
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2 years
@elonmusk
@RBReich
Robert Reich
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3 years
Trump brought America about as close as weโ€™ve ever come to fascism. Meanwhile, the center (or what remains of it) is even to the right of where it was under Clinton. The spectrum from left to right is the longest itโ€™s been in my 50 years around politics.
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2 months
If I ignore it is $WIF... Not a bad looking chart. But I H A T E meme coins.
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3 years
@RetardiiB Here it is at the original speed. Bummer...
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3 years
@WClementeIII You forgot, didn't you?
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1 year
@NoContextBrits Ah. Good old 1970s Britain.
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3 years
@cz_binance IT IS NOT A LEGAL TENDER ANYWHERE! Man. Talk to a economist.
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2 months
This chart by the way also confirms my thesis that the ATH was a bear market rally. The real one. Not that one everyone was nonsensically claiming at the bottom. There are really bad analysts out here. Be aware.
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@htltimor
3 years
Time to update my pinned post. I would like $BTC to enter a re-accumulation phase. That would also create a logical 4th wave in the bigger cycle. Everything seems to fit, but charting is interpretation.
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2 months
To those who (no doubt) will argue that 96 is quite disappointing and we will never top out that 'low'... Meh... Be realistic. Would be great if we went further, but is that based on anything else than your greed?
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2 months
Once again: I am not bearish. I am realistic. My target for Q4 is still around 95K BUT it would be foolish not to also look at what you might see if we don't do that. Just so you can be prepared. But my primary remains reaccumulation as it has been for months now. (green > red)
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2 months
GM. For now, still this. I should and will stick to the longer timeframe overviews. The details in between are too erratic sometimes. And I am not a day trader.
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@htltimor
2 months
Nothing like new datapoints to update one's outlook. Still seeing this as most likely a re-accumulation range with a spring. Obviously not the strongest possible PA, with multiple SOWs, but overall still looks promising.
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2 months
FWIW : I have no dog in this race. Nothing to sell you. No bags to shill. Just calling it as I see it.
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2 years
@NoContextBrits You kent explain it.
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2 months
It is all a bit crystal ball charting, so take it with a grain of salt. Also, I have two biases: 1. I don't think we will get a resolution before Q4, so everything till then is just all kind of sideways. 2. I do think we get one last hurrah in Q4, target 96-ish.
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2 months
@PeterLBrandt There's a reason people who leave always come back here. The engagement is much better (and with that, unfortunately also comes the negative engagement). I think that often the people that benefit most here are the lurkers, and that's something you will never know about...
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes He's afraid to ask about the status because if it turns out he wasn't vaccinated, unvaccinated people are still mortal. That would be a life changing discovery for sure.
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1 year
@johngreen @DanaherCorp #PeopleOverProfit @DanaherCorp #Timefor5
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1 year
@NoContextBrits She'll go far.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Shooting the messenger again, eh?
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3 years
@BadMedicalTakes I can do that with Photoshop in 3 minutes. Without water. That is important: do not use water with Photoshop. I would also slightly change the eyes. Maybe move a few lashes.
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3 years
@GothamChess @LegalEagle : can you help a fellow YouTuber out? I know it is not your speciality but hey: could be a fun collab for the both of you. Biggest Chess channel on YouTube is checkmated by the IRS!
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1 year
@BadMedicalTakes He's talking about his vacuum cleaner, isn't he?
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2 months
I see a lot of charts ignoring the recent low 'cos it's a wick'. I think that is totally stupid, but if they can do it, so can I. Perfect 1:1 correction for an AB of the ABC... ๐Ÿ˜ˆ
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1 month
I remember @PeterLBrandt mentioning that he was giving a talk on how $BTC would be around 40 before going up again... I think I get what he might be aiming at. Not so much the EW theory (cos meh) but the long correction until money is free again (low interest) in 2026.
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2 months
By the way: this is not a forecast but a word of warning. It could easily be invalidated but for now it should play a part in your risk assessment.
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2 months
Especially since the stoch has only been this high on the Q a few times โ€ฆ
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2 months
Since the chart I quickly drew in the sun next to the pool got so much attention, also by people who did not understand it, hereโ€™s a version of the Q. As you can see the stochastic is approaching a cross at the historical high. That can happen this Q, the next or the one after.
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2 months
To some it may seem that I'm extremely negative about crypto. Let's just say that I believe that _if_ you decide to bet a large part of your financial future on _any_ asset, you better be critical of it. It pays to challenge your biases. It's the responsible thing to do.
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3 years
@BadMedicalTakes This is assuming your cancer dies with you on day 80, I presume.
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2 months
The fact a few have missed with my 'warning' is that it was a monthly chart and it is August 7th... Lots of time to right the ship. Just be aware there is a need for rightening... Personally, this is where I expected that to happen and I am liking what I am seeing so far.
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1 year
Sometimes I get annoyed by i.e. @trader1sz or @Trader_XO 's incessant shitposting about alts. Why does it all need to be so negative? And then I realise they are trying to prevent people falling in love with their coins and to see them as means to an end. And it clicks. ๐Ÿ‘
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1 year
I think the moment you stop believing in crypto, may be the moment you're ready to make money. It suddenly becomes a game of skill. It's like playing a video game with high stakes. I think the people who don't give AF about crypto (or any asset) probably are the best traders.
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2 months
I (obviously, since it happens after every up move) see a lot of people talking about the current โ€˜bull runโ€™. Just realize weโ€™re still not out of the downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows since March. If we convincingly break 70K, we can talk.
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1 year
@johngreen @CepheidNews @DanaherCorp Let's not forget to also include their major shareholders, which you can find in the article below.
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Dow Jones Today: August 02, 2024

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 228.03 points, marking a 0.55% gain and closing at a new

beststocks.com
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12 days
@Casey Now do Gaza.
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2 years
@kareem_carr This is fun...
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4 years
@LegalEagleDJ You must be envious of their Four Seasons Landscaping lifestyle though, am I right? ๐Ÿ™ƒ
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2 months
So far, so good. You're welcome. Forecast working out so far. 12h//D stochastic strikes again. Free money until it isn't.
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2 months
Will it?
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2 months
Lower lows and no new higher high still means this is a downtrend. Let nobody tell you otherwise. We expect (and hope for) a trend change but it ain't so until it is so!
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2 months
Technically (!) the recent move up _could_ still be corrective. It is close to a perfect ABC after all. However, with the volume on that spring as well as the relative minor move up on the D/12h stochastic, relative to price, I remain optimistic.
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2 years
Was trying to explain the $BTC crypto lifecycle up till now to a friend. Made this chart to do so. Maybe some find it interesting. It is just my view and it is not a prediction or anything, just a way to make sense of 2017 till now.
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3 years
Quick explainer pinned post. Comments in the chart. TLDR; $BTC could be in for a big sell off soon and the real support is between 30 and 38.
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3 years
Time to update my pinned post. I would like $BTC to enter a re-accumulation phase. That would also create a logical 4th wave in the bigger cycle. Everything seems to fit, but charting is interpretation.
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2 years
99% of us would be MUCH better off swing trading very long timeframes simply based on this indicator. You would have been rich by now... Admit it.
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2 years
@BadMedicalTakes The US police has the right to perform abortions on certain demographics till they are about 100 years old. Or at least they behave that way sometimes. And they rarely get convicted.
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7 months
@BadMedicalTakes How unfortunate.
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11 months
@BadMedicalTakes That's more of a bad mathematical take.
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1 month
Don't know who needs to hear it, but this is not a bull flag. Or any flag.
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2 months
Would this really seem completely out of character? Again: it is not a prediction or forecast, but it is showing that you may have missed all or most of the bull run.
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1 year
@jayforeman Factuactually.
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3 years
@BadMedicalTakes That one actually made me LOL... I am sure it was sarcasm. Everyone knows that if you take the nail out, the patient deflates.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
@trader1sz We can do better. ๐Ÿซก (actually looks like it is done for the time being)
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
@trader1sz It's gonna go violently one way or the other sooner or later.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
One thing I noticed is that some of you start celebrating way too early. Until we passed that orange line, the medium term trend is still down. We need to get even higher for the long term trend to reverse. Patience.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
My hobbit dream village is located on a beach.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
3 years
@CryptoDonAlt Technically, slightly less than 50%, as there is a non-zero chance it lands on its side.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
12 days
Give me your best narrative why this chart is impossible. We had a blow off top, you all just didn't recognise it, because you forgot to buy the lows. You NEED another parabola because you didn't make money. So you see what you need. True? I dunno. Seems worth considering.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Itโ€™s not a forecast. Itโ€™s a word of warning to use in your risk assessment. Iโ€™ve noticed from some of the replies that charting both sides is considered nonsensical by a few. My guess is that those are not the most successful traders when things do go south. Be aware is all.
@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Word of warning: technically this looks like we had the cycle top already and not only that: we also had the bigger cycle top. Meaning a lot of the elasticity had gone out of the PA. You can see that from the decreasing RSI at each high.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
@NASAWebb @csa_asc I am a sucker for B&W... Stunning though.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
11 months
Hey Chat GPT... What would a hobbit stock exchange look like?
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
3 years
I donโ€™t really understand the gloating by some about other people โ€˜getting rektโ€™. I know thereโ€™s a winner and a loser in every trade. It was the same on the way up. Are people that insecure that they can only rise by stepping on others? Be kind. It is free.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
I am direction agnostic. I was very bullish around 18K. I was bearish around 64K twice in 21. I trade trends. My account is mostly about how to recognize and trade uptrends. I have nothing to gain from downtrends. So donโ€™t make me a bearish spokesperson. Iโ€™m not.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
$PAAL Painting the tape to perfection.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
1 year
So far, pretty precise. Will it bounce? I don't think this is a project you should be betting on, but technically, it *could*
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HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
@financialjuice It is possibly a total of 125 bps. Not 125 PER meeting.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
11 months
Can we now finally agree this was indeed accumulation? ๐Ÿ˜‰ This goes to show how Wyckoff is not about finding similar patterns, but understanding how PA relates to volume and market structure. So few people here have even a clue.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
I took @TXWestCapital 's excellent Wyckoff chart for BTC and changed it slightly to fit current PA. I also included some explanations. Volume is pretty tough to read. The blue circles are where I have trouble explaining the volume peeks with PA. Legenda in next tweet.
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@htltimor
2 months
I am honoured, my friend. ๐Ÿค
@PeterLBrandt
Peter Brandt
@PeterLBrandt
2 months
This is a brilliant chart posted by a very smart person -- and must be taken seriously when trying to grasp an understanding of binary price possibilities for Bitcoin $BTC
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HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
3 years
@BadMedicalTakes Maybe they can uninvent the words for fear and hunger. All problems gone. Easy.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
27 days
Not 100% sure what to expect for next week, but my primary is still a pullback before Q4 starts. Easily invalidated. When we break 65.2, this no longer works.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
Quick Ted Talk about why I think the bottom is in and we had the biggest buy opportunity Q4'22. All based on stochastic and RSI on W, D and 12hr. Confluence is where you sell the house, your grandmother and the kids to buy. Let's look at 2018 first.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Man, where they wrong back in 1986 then...
Sudden Death From Myocarditis in Young Athletes

In his Cardiovascular Clinics contribution in the December 1985 issue of the Proceedings (pages 867 through 873), Driscoll makes an important contribution to the understanding of the importance and...

www.mayoclinicproceedings.org
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
FWIW: Springs often get a retest. The MM will try drive the price down one more time, to see if supply is getting scared. If they don't, you'll see a dip on relatively low volume and that should be it. Test can fail of course.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
3 years
@BadMedicalTakes Too bad intelligence and 'conservative attitudes' seem to be mutually exclusive.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
This is by far the best educational content I have ever watched on market structure and the psychology of market participants. Explained in normal English and with great care. Almost required to watch. Watch it all. Don't skip of scan. Spread the word.
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Wyckoff Trading Course Part I Spring 2022 #1

www.WyckoffAnalytics.comThis webinar is an example of our Wyckoff Trading Course. WTC will provide you with practical tools to apply this timeless methodolog...

www.youtube.com
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Good job. Reclaiming 60 is important.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Nice impulsive move. Let's see if we can reach 60K by the weekend.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 months
Nice impulsive move. Let's see if we can reach 60K by the weekend.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
2 years
@BadMedicalTakes Even kids are being trained to do drive-by surgeries. It's getting out of hand.
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@htltimor
HTL-NL ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ
@htltimor
4 years
@APompliano And what does that prove? Honest question. There are also not enough original Fiat 500s in the world for every millionaire to own one. Doesn't make them valuable.
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