Fpl Statistics @fpl_statistics Twitter profile

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 months

48 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Haaland as captain, K De Bruyne 1 and Isak 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

33

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545

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

7 months

29

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354

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

James is now fit to play but 61,266 have transferred him out today

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

The KDB issue (i.e. rising whilst -ve) was due to wild cards in late October. Similar issues have occurred before at this stage of the season but not with such a dramatic outcome. I can see what needs to be done to mitigate future events. However it is not a quick fix.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

1 year

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117

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Just stating the obvious. Ronaldo has set off a mega tsunami of wild card activations.

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110

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Looks like we are in the midst of a wild card onslaught, not yet a tsunami but a still a sizeable flood. All test cases passed last night - less programming adjustments - Yippee!!!

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

A quick review of Son's history indicates that the most likely cause for last nights prediction error of 44% are i) the excessive volume of wild cards played during game week 4; and ii) the low transfer rates during the current international break.

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90

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Richarlison is a 'test case' for tonight. If he drops (and isn't predicted to drop of course) then I will know to change the rule in the morning. Just letting everyone know in case transferring him out is important to your budget.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Wow!!! Maddison first big error of the season. (Prediction 57.4%). Can see the reasons. He should have been set at 86.8% Adding in the missing % increment was delayed due to his injury (Oops!!!!!) The rest of the error is due to flow reversals as he was previously close to -100%

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 months

Haaland

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

Could the person on IP Address 3.250.158.99 please stop hacking the website. They are running a python tool that is set to repeat every 10 seconds. If this does not cease within the 30 minutes I will submit a a report to the relevant authorities.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

The automated calibration for the rises went well last night. For the drops less so, roughly a 9% error. Issues are: i) the wild cards are picking up pace (this is the norm at this stage of the season) and ii) one of back-end systems is misbehaving (will address later tonight).

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

The top 50 managers have played 87 chips (BB 16, FH 12, TC 36 and WC 23). 16 chips were played during the last game week. Only 1 of the top 50 teams have not played a chip. Clearly at this time the vast majority of the top 50 are not serious long term title contenders.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

1 year

Yet another rule change!

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

A wild card onslaught is currently gaining momentum, but has not yet reached last weeks 'mega' proportions. Hopefully it's just a small wave. However, do expect overly enthusiastic predictions and the occasional sizeable error whilst the wild card volumes are high.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

1 year

Update regarding the price rise delays for some double game week players. The delay is hopefully now understood. Click on image for more details.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

26 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Sane as captain, Sterling (11), Aguero (8) and Digne, Hazard, Sigurdsson, Richarlson, Salah(1)

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Bamford was the first sizable error of the season. An error of 13.1%. The reason (a buglet in some coding) is obvious (they always are after the event). He should have been set at <-100%, i.e. predicted to drop. I will now correct the coding to avoid a repeat embarrassment.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

The offending two tweets have now been deleted. They were regarding Saka (which was 100% accurate) and Firmino (5.2% error). I suggested he needed glasses and anger management classes.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

1,117,718 wild cards were played during the international break. I'm somewhat surprised that the site didn't get completely inaccurate during this period. But it does explain why a number of players were refusing to rise / drop!!!

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

31 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Kane as captain, Hazard (11), Son, Aguero, Lacazette (2) and Lucas Moura, Mitrovic (1) #FPL

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

There appear to be an increasing number of posts regarding conspiracy theories concerning the price rises and drops. I thought I should make it clear that I have found no evidence to support these claims. Any prediction errors are typically due to a lack of data or programming.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

A wild card onslaught is gaining momentum. Expect overly enthusiastic predictions whilst the volumes are high. Whenever the total volume of WC transfers for a player exceeds the effective transfers for that player, then predictions for that player become extremely difficult

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Still no evidence to support any manipulation or conspiracy theories regarding price changes. E.g. Vardy was borderline last night and only passed 100% late on. My only concern is with Wanyama's price drop. Although close at -96.8%, it violated a statistical trends on the site

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

ALERT: Probably just tweeting the obvious. Over this Game Week we are experiencing an onslaught of 'Wild Cards'. Whenever the total volume of WC transfers for a player exceeds the effective transfers for that player, then predictions for that player become extremely difficult.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Yippee - Found a bug in the old code when testing a new programme component installed yesterday. This will improve the drops. Only problem is that it needs a re-calibration first. So no benefit tonight.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

49 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain. One Top 50 team has gone for Mane.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

A tsunami of wild card activations is underway. This is the norm as the int break gets underway. Expect some overly enthusiastic predictions. Machine learning algorithms are making adjustments to compensate - hence the jumps in the prediction Tar%s. Hopefully calmer later.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

It is now possible to search for players by using (or excluding) diacritical characters in the search box. For example you can now search for Mané by either typing Mané or Mane in the search box. An update on the rules changes is given on the new page.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Another wild card onslaught is gaining momentum. Expect overly enthusiastic predictions whilst the volumes are high. Whenever the total volume of WC transfers for a player exceeds the effective transfers for that player, then predictions for that player become extremely difficult

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37

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

23 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain, Kane (17), Hazard (4), Rashford, Son(2) and Snodgrass, Pogba(1)

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

10 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Vardy as captain Abraham 7, Kane 6, Mané, Callum Wilson, Agüero, De Bruyne, Sterling 4, Jiménez 2, Alexander-Arnold, Haller, Mount, Hudson-Odoi, Pukki 1,

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

21 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain, Fernandes 10, Martial 6, Rashford 5, Mané 3, Kane 1, Vardy 1, Alexander-Arnold 1, Mahrez 1, Pulisic 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Next week I will be making some significant changes to the main pages on the site. The aim being to manage the excessive users loads after the matches complete. If all goes well no changes should be evident to the users, i.e each page will appear exactly as it did before.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

There will be a number of short outages today whilst I update and improve a number of programs that support the web site. The aim is to improve the accuracy of certain key parameters.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

Trossard Observations

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Currently lots of wild cards (this is the norm at this stage of the season). So expect lots of overly enthusiastic predictions. Machine learning algorithms are making adjustments to compensate - hence the jumps in the prediction Tar%s.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

24 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain, Fernandes 20, Ings 2, Son 1, Gündogan 1, Mané 1 and Sterling 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Re: TAA last night - Prediction was 75.8%, error 24.2%. Currently at a loss to explain. Net transfers of ~-33 yesterday. So only a significant volume of WCs yesterday or this game week will explain. However, the machine learning components on the site falter at low net transfers.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

All 50 of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

Son finally rose. Wild Cards must have been the cause of the delayed change. A rule change is ruled out. The 12th Oct code changes have now been backed out.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

7 months

Further update

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

Now hoping that Bruno, KDB, Martial et al do not rise this GW. This will explain some anomalies from last season when a number of players took ages to drop. Murphy's FPL law means that the above will rise tonight. Will make code changes tonight and run test cases at weekend.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

We are now assuming that Son's reluctance to rise is due to a 'rule reveal'. Code changes are in place. Expect Son's Tar% value (and a small number of other players) to jump around this afternoon. If Son rises over the next couple of days we will back out the code changes.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

All price change engines and machine learning algorithms that can be switched on (at this stage of the season) are now operational. The next suite will be switched on at the start of the next game week. Found a few minor buglets. All are now fixed.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

35 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain, Hazard (14) and Richarlson (1) That was short and sweet!!!

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

7 years

Kiko Femenía unexpected price rise is under investigation, but the reasons are not clear. No statistical errors are evident. Possible that a rule change is the cause, but no other players with a similar behaviour have been noted.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

Update

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Inability to access to the site appears to be a DNS issue. If you CANNOT access the site use as normal use http://217.194.223.2/ or just enter 217.194.223.2 in your browser

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

The total transfers for this game week are currently unexpectedly low (i.e. 35% down). Either teams are saving a transfer or have forgotten it's an early game start tonight.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Good Luck to Everyone

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

There are currently a lot of transfers. Not decided yet if this due to wild cards. Just a warning that if it's due to wild cards then some of the predictions tonight may be a little optimistic.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 months

@fpl_fail Expected 1. Haaland is the same price as he started the season. If a player > start value he will fall quicker; or slower if <=. 2. The rate of speed is slowed further due to his level of ownership. 3. Flags also slow a player 4. Only effective transfers effect price changes.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

1 year

James unexpected price rise

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

24 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Jesus captain, Salah 10, Haaland 4, De Bruyne 3, Son 3, Kane 2, Saka 1, Toney 1, Patterson 1 and Vardy 1.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

The top 50 managers have played 76 chips (BB 22, FH 7, TC 25 and WC 22). Ten chips were played during the last game week. 19 of the top 50 have not played a chip (excl wild cards). Seven of the top 50 played their wild card during the int break.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

9 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Vardy as captain, Fernandes 8, Calvert-Lewin 8, De Bruyne 7, Salah 7, Kane 5, Rashford 1, Aubameyang 1, Sterling 1, Mané 1, Werner 1 and Foden 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

9 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for KDB as captain, Fernandes 8, Vardy 7, Calvert-Lewin 7, Kane 6, Salah 5, Jesus 3, Son 2, Werner 2 and Mahrez 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Looks like the rule change mentioned on the 22nd Sept is real. The main impacts are: i) players hovering close to the drop zone for extended periods but failing to drop in price; and ii) some rise errors. It will be over a week before I can make the necessary adjustments.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

To facilitate the analysis of the effectiveness of the transfers made (i.e. whether they contribute to the price changes) I need to produce a new programme. This will take three to four days. Got the design just need to do it.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

There are lots of wild cards active (this is the norm early in the season). Expect lots of overly enthusiastic predictions. Machine learning algorithms are making adjustments to compensate - hence the jumps in the prediction Tar%s. Expect the biggest jumps to occur ~9 - 10pm GMT

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Implementing a lot of database changes and machine learning updates today. If the site fails to load it's because I'm updating the various system dlls. Each outage should last no more than 20 seconds.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

2

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

7 years

16 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Sterling as captain, Salah (9), Aguero (7), KDB (6), Kane (5), Hazard (2), Lukaku, de Gea, Firmino, Pogba, Sane (1) #FPL

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Seem to have a bug with the systems this morning following the price changes. Going to have a quick look shortly. However, I'm not near my development machines, so it may be later this after afternoon before I can fully debug. .....but at least Ederson rose at last!!!

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Venting my anger against Reddit tonight was not my best move. So apologies for that.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

17 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Sterling as captain, Aguero (14), Jimenez (9), KDB (3), Aubameyang, Son (2) and Lacazette, Mane, Eriksen (1)

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 months

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

1 year

49 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Haaland as captain. The other manager has gone for Darwin.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

The top 50 managers have played 89 chips (BB 15, FH 11, TC 20 and WC 43). 3 chips were played during the last game week. Excluding wild cards only 19 of the top 50 teams have not played a chip. 5 have played all their chips.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

36 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Weghorst as captain, Son 5, Kane 5, Fernandes 2, De Bruyne 1 and Kulusevski 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

29 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Sterling as captain, Hazard (10), Sane (7), Aubameyang (2) and Kane, Salah (1)

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

There are currently lots of wild cards active (this is the norm early in the season). So expect lots of overly enthusiastic predictions. Machine learning algorithms are making adjustments to compensate - hence the jumps in the prediction Tar%s. Hopefully calmer later tonight.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

38 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Hazard as captain, Aubameyang, Kane (4), Son (2), and Pogba, Salah (1)

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

A wave of wild cards is gaining momentum. It's not an onslaught, but enough to cause concern. Expect overly enthusiastic predictions whilst the volumes are high.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

3

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

0

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

0

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Unless there is a massive surge in the next 30 mins we are heading for the lowest volume of transfers in a single game week........... this season

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

All Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

4 years

14 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Pulisic as captain, Sterling 7, Willian 7, Jesus 5, Fernandes 4, Foden 4, Martial 2, Alonso 2, Giroud 1, David Silva 1, De Bruyne 1, Salah 1, Ings 1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

There are currently lots of wild cards active (this is the norm early in the season). So expect lots of overly enthusiastic predictions. Machine learning algorithms are making adjustments to compensate - hence the jumps in the prediction Tar%s. Hopefully calmer later today.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 months

More wild cards

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

The top 50 managers have played 59 chips (BB 11, FH 1, TC 46 and WC 1). Ten chips were played during the last game week. Only 1 of the top 50 teams have not played a chip. Clearly at this time the vast majority of the top 50 are not serious long turn title contenders.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Yippee!!! - A test case has finally arrived (Lucas Moura) to help investigate the rule change observed on the 29th September. So if Lucas drops in price tonight you will know why! If he does drop in price then it's a strange rule.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

49 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain. The other team went for Saka.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Only 17 of the Top 50 managers are serious long term players. 33 have played an excessive number of chips. 18 (9 each) out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Kane or Abraham as captain KDB, Agüero 6, Mané 5, Vardy 4, C Wilson Sterling 3, Haller, Jiménez, Pukki, TAA, McGinn 1

3

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

Less than 50% of the expected transfers made so far, i.e. majority leaving the transfers until late tomorrow morning. However, surprisingly, a significant number of Free Hit chips have already been launched today

1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

21 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Pogba as captain, Sterling (11), Salah (6), Hazard (5), Higuain (4) and Aguero (3)

2

20

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

49 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Salah as captain and Son 1

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20

Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

2 years

On a lads day out today so any critical updates (hopefully none) will be run from Haydock Park and various pubs in Newton Lee Willows and then Manchester. The less than a month old machine learning system is now in complete charge and takes full responsibility for any errors.

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

Only 16 of the Top 50 managers are serious players. 34 have played an excessive number of chips. 14 out of the Top 50 managers have gone for Sterling as captain, Agüero, Pukki 9, Salah 5, Son 3, Mané, Aubameyang, Mahrez 2 and Pépé, Haller, Abraham, Kane 1.

2

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

11 months

Good Luck to everyone this season!!! The systems are now in the calibration phase of learning. This phase will complete when both a price rise and a price drop have occurred

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

3 years

@SpartacusFPL @FPLHaul The algorithms do change. When they do and it's confirmed by ourselves we announce a "rule change" or in some case a "rule reveal". I don't think the main site invokes "manual input" to make "life harder".

1

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

6 years

Applying a number of enhancements this afternoon - hopefully. As each change is made there will be a short outage - no more than a minute for each. These include some awkward database changes - so if something goes seriously wrong and we loose the site you will know why

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Fpl Statistics

@fpl_statistics

5 years

On a long haul flight tonight (Queensland time / morning UK time) for 36 hrs. Expect the prediction screens to get messy until I have internet and have overcome jet lag. Reduced AI in charge. All machine learning components will be decoupled shortly and reestablished in 48 hours.

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