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For the winner: Enjoy our full product, with backtesting tool, FREE for a year (valued at $1490)!
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This is a portfolio of multiple strategies combined.
All of them (and the combination with different risk allocation) created by us using Flash Research Backtesting Tool.
Possibilities are endless.
Check out our first
#FlashTalk
episode with Grouchy Bear! We delve into his incredible comeback, market approach, mindset, and much more.
Whether new or experienced, you must listen!
🎧 Listen here:
🐻 Follow Grouchy Bear:
@GBearTrading
This is an equity curve of 8 strategies combined:
- No bullshit.
- No overfitting.
- Strategies used in real time.
Flash Research is your friend when discovering profitable ideas.
Is it true that summers are slower?🧐
With a simple scan of stocks showing gaps above 50%, a minimum price of $1, and a volume of 5 million, it's evident that pre-COVID, they were somewhat less active.
From 2020 onward, a different narrative unfolds: they've become highly
Continuing with the thread created by our friend
@sergidown
, we have decided to run a simulation in our backtesting tool to verify his theory.
The strategy you see below includes all gaps > 35% with a price between $0.70 and $1.30 and a pre-market volume > 500k. Indeed, the
New update on the backtesting tool!
Now with our backtesting tool, you can perform re-entries when the strategy's trigger is activated again.
This new feature opens up a whole new world of possibilities for creating strategies.
1/2
These were the top 3 stocks with the highest spikes since February:
#1
$CRKN: Subdollar madness, from $0.07 to over $0.50 in hours.
#2
$APM: A range until 10:25 am, then break of the VWAP and GO.
#3
$LUCY: All-day runner opening at $0.23 to $1 break!
$SCNI is the leading gapper so far today, and we want to analyze the typical behavior of stocks like this:
By "stocks like this," we mean:
- Israeli
- Biotechnology
- Premarket volume above 5M
- Price above $4
Here are the stats:
Taking advantage of the beginning of this new year 2024, we want to share some illustrations of how the difference has been between the years 2022 and 2023 when analyzing gaps using the following criteria:
•Gap > 60%
•Price > $1
•PM vol > 1M
CONDITIONAL EXITS
To make exits in the breakdown of the LOD: The first condition (elapsed time from LOD) represents the time you want to pass since the LOD, which in this case is 50 minutes.
The second condition indicates that the 5min candle must close below the LOD.
The
We've noticed a significant lack of momentum in the small-cap sector recently.🥱
It's crucial to closely monitor the market's performance to make timely adjustments as needed.
The graph below is filtered on a daily basis.
UPDATE
Exciting News! We've introduced enhanced bucket settings, allowing you to personalize and tailor your buckets to suit your preferences. Take control of how information is displayed, just the way YOU like it.
Dive in and explore these new features – You are going to love
Will the market exhibit a strong cycle this week? Could a black swan event be imminent?
Well, we can't predict the future, but we can analyze past cycles and look for patterns.
Tracking patterns on solid data can help improve our trading edge.
Make informed decisions!
There's been a lot of noise around Asian stocks on Fintwit, so we took a closer look to uncover potential opportunities with our Backtesting Tool.
Can one profit from stocks in China, Singapore, and beyond?
ABSOLUTELY!
Here's a prime example boasting a big 3.31 profit factor!
$TIVC is currently experiencing a gap up. Its historical statistics indicate a consistent pattern as all instances (6 gaps over 20%) have resulted in a red closing.
Here is also the last day it experienced a gap up, with a similar extension to today's. Let's see if it holds
In recent weeks, we have witnessed the 'micro float manía.' Many stocks have been gapping without news, solely due to recent reverse splits and having a very small float. Like any market cycle, this couldn't last forever, and eventually, that momentum fades away. Here's how the
What happens historically when a stock priced at $2 or more has over 20 million shares traded in premarket? Let's see!
$MLEC
Notably, there's a difference between average and median movement, hinting at a higher likelihood of outliers compared to other cases.👀
We tested with one of our strategies if it's better to let run until EOD or is just better to take profits on a 30% target (short).
The conclusion is crystal clear:
Traders... WE GOT NEW UPDATES!
MAJOR UPDATES
- Add mobile responsive version: now Flash works on mobile.
- Add new gap filters: "High gap" and "High fade".
- Add settings preferences: these settings will be loaded when Flash is opened.
- Add ticker daily chart to gap list in Gap
Let's say you spent the entire year of 2023 shorting stocks that gapped up more than 50% over $1 when they fell below VWAP after the first 15 minutes of the session, with a tiny stop of 7% over the entry and risking 3% of your bankroll on each trade🧐.
#ComingSoon
Together with those who attended, we discovered an amazing idea to start testing and improving on! 🌟
Don't miss the next webinars; we had some pretty interesting talks, and you never know what you might discover! 🤠
Are you tired of feeling left out of the loop because you're not a coding expert?
Say goodbye to it and hello to profitability with Flash Research Backtesting Tool.
$IBIO, although probabilities suggest it doesn't hold the green, has often proven to be a challenging ticker to trade.
Throughout its history, none of the last four instances of significant gaps-ups have offered easy trading opportunities.
Check out the charts here:
With Flash Research Elite Package you can create profitable strategies from scratch and test them with historical data.🔥
Backtesting is no longer exclusive for code guys.📈
Try now at
🔥BIG UPDATE🔥
✅Combined strategies added (for Elite users). Now, you can select up to 7 of your saved strategies and combine them to analyze their combined performance.
✅Backtest monthly P&L statistics added. Check your strategy performance over time.
✅Charts storage
$LGVN did what it usually does.
Will this happen 100% of the time? No. But understanding a ticker's historical behavior can help formulate a thesis.
Data is essential for making informed decisions.
It’s said that heavy premarket volume makes short selling difficult.
Let’s test this with real data.
Using our Gap Analysis Tool, we filter for >50% gappers and prices above $1 in 2024.
1: PM volume 1M-10M
2: PM volume >10M
Conclusion: Not true, at least this year.
Our Backtesting Tool is becoming a BEAST.
Next update is going to be awesome, this below and much more.
And much more updates to come. We never stop evolving.
#EdgeErosion
Scanning gappers with +3M premarket volume, we've examined price ranges and gap values to assess the likelihood of a red close.
Here are our findings:
The buckets with the biggest probability of a red close are gappers above 200% and prices between $5 and $7.5.
We searched for situations similar to $ICCT today, considering similar characteristics on days 1 and 2.
The statistics align very well with today's price action, and this happens over and over again.
Data = Edge.
Everybody is talking about edge erosion, but nobody is talking about what it really means to be a trader.
Being a trader is about ADAPTATION.
Strategies come and go, cycles come and go, YOU decide how you survive:
- How do I keep track of cycles?
- How do I keep track of my
Have you ever wondered how stocks perform when they open anywhere from 20% to 35% below their premarket high?
Here, you can view average charts divided on a monthly basis from 2017 until the present, featuring a premarket volume exceeding one million.
$SPRC
What do United Kingdom stocks historically do when they have a volume above 10M? $XBP
- 28 examples since 2018
- 75% close red
- Avg high spike of 18.8%
- Avg HOD time at 10:27 am
Finding conviction through statistics.
Today, we shorted $FOXO due to the average movement of similar stocks.
-Gappers >60%
-Price between $0.15 and $0.5
-Premarket volume >6M
UPDATE
Even More Excitement! 🚀
Introducing another new feature: now you can view statistics for red and green closes separately, or together as we've had until now.
Your data analysis just got more versatile!
Retweet, Like and Follow to enter!
For the winner: Enjoy our full product, with backtesting tool, FREE for a year (valued at $1490)!
🔥ALL PARTICIPANTS GET A MONTH OF PREMIUM FOR JUST $1🔥(if you're not a client, shoot us a DM!)
We will announce the winner Friday 3rd of May.
FLASH REPORT: FEBRUARY 19-23
Welcome to Flash-Reports! Starting today, this is our weekly thread posted every Sunday to provide solid data on what's happening around gap-ups and D2s as well as the charts of the biggest movers.
We hope you find it useful!😃
First of all, we
These are the gap statistics of $VS, out of the 12 times it opened above the prior close price at least a 20% with a minimum of 1M premarket volume, it only closed green once.
The average price action suggests a spike in the open and then a fade.
Here's the difference in price action between Biotechs and Software-Infrastructure stocks since 2018 for over gappers of at least 50%, priced above $1, and trading over 1M in premarket volume:
$MLGO
Happy sunday traders!
Before we start our trading week, let's analyze market sentiment and take a look at our 'average change from open' chart to see what's been happening and try to guess what might be happening over the following days.
Our first observation is that the last
When trading on substantial volume, $ADTX tends to exhibit an early-session upward move, which is often followed by a subsequent fade throughout the rest of the day.
Flash Research is not just a tool, is the best friend of a day trader. And we want to bring you EVEN MORE.
Among other things we have in the making, we are going to implement a backtesting tool so you can create your profitable strategies based on solid data.
If you like our
FLASH REPORT: MARCH 11-15
As we always do, we will see what happened this week with gappers that traded a minimum of 10M shares in a given day: We see 78 examples, a few less than the previous week (March 04-08).
Volume was also slightly lower than previous week and price
Top 3 gappers of the week:
1- $AKTS, 219.54% on Wednesday: Spike and then all-day fade.
2- $ONMD, 198.71% on Thursday: Trappy price action and then AH squeeze.
3- $MGOL, 180.17% on Tuesday: Epic all-day runner.
Last week we saw 3 main Chinese gappers: $CPOP $GSUN $MTC. All sat a high within the first hour, and then failed.
If you face similar scenarios in the future, here you have some key statistics:
- Chinese
- Volume >20M
- High Spike >10%
- HOD Time < 10:30
This trader relies on the strategies he created using Flash Research Backtesting Tool.
These are 3 key takeaways for his success:
1- Multiple strats, high trade frequency.
2- Constantly seeking for new ideas.
3- Data-driven execution, no discretion.
$IMNN does not have gap stats, but we can check the overall behavior of stocks alike.
We will look at Biotechs from US trading at least 30M in premarket volume, priced above $2.5 and gapping up at least a 150%.
This is the data for the past year:
In recent days, we are witnessing how the main daily gap-ups are starting to fall from the first minute of the session ($AIMD, $ACON, and today $CMND). These are incredible days for short sellers. But don't forget that it is when short sellers are most confident that the next
$TPET is a prime example to highlight the use of Average and Median metrics.
Out of 4 gaps, 3 faded while 1 extended up to 147% from its opening price.
As a result, the average chart significantly differs from the median chart, which helps to see things without distortions and
Sometimes, when building a strategy, results can vary a ton depending on whether or not you allow re-entries.
Within our Elite Plan, we offer advanced customization options like this (and much more) to enable backtesting of profitable strategies, saving you a ton of time.
Market sentiment is shifting rapidly.
Short-sellers are now feeling the pain, as momentum turns against them.
Remember: Markets move in cycles—what goes up often comes down, and the squeeze is tipically followed by a reset.
Stay sharp.
For a limited time only, we're offering a 20% discount on our Premium Plan for a year (both monthly and yearly plans).
Just comment "discount" and we will send you a DM with the code😉
Act fast, offer ends this Monday!
The small-cap cycle is currently shifting, and it seems that short sellers are once again in control.
This game is about knowing when to push and when to slow down, keeping track of cycles can really mark the difference.
Examining stocks similar to $SMFL to see what we can expect today. Filters applied:
- Since 2023
- Gap between 80% and 150%
- Price between $5 and $9
- Premarket volume above 10M
$NUVO was the biggest runner of last week, going from $2.4 all the way up to $8.30 in less than an hour.
$GSUN was the second biggest runner, from $3.12 to $7.26 with similar timing.
Common thread between both? When they broke VWAP, they used it as a resistance and failed.
These are the saved strategies of a systematic trader (one of us :) on the Backtesting Tool.
Here you can view all your saved strategies, monitor and adjust them as needed, or combine multiple strategies to create a portfolio.
Censored for
#EdgeErosion
reasons🤭
Observe how the probability of a red close decreases as the price increases.
This graph is part of the Buckets section in our Gap Analysis Tool, and you can customize the criteria according to your needs.
How are sub-dollar names behaving this 2024?
So far, we have seen 409 examples with more than 10M shares traded in a given day.
Difference between Average and Median chart is significant, suggesting there is a tendency for outliers.
They close red 58% of the times.
Let's explore stocks with characteristics similar to $RDHL, considering the following criteria:
- Price between $1 and $2.
- Premarket above 1M.
- High Spike above 100%.
So far in 2023, this represents the average price movement, segmented by month. There are 19 examples with
Should you...
- Stop at HOD?
- Let some wiggle room?
- Do I close a bit before HOD?
Using our backtesting tool and a strategy that we built, we tested these different options a trader might have, let's see the results:
Thread🧵 1/5
🔥TOP 5 BIGGEST MOVERS OF THE WEEK🔥
In this thread, we will explore the 5 stocks that had the biggest range of the week.
Big range usually translates into big opportunity, making these stocks particularly instructive to study:
#5
: $IBIO, Big gapper with NASTY price action.