Life's experiences lead us higher. Passionate about serial acquirers—compounders—and undiscovered microcaps. Excited about learning.
Not investment advice.
Understanding Canada’s serial acquirers like $tvk Terravest Industries, $csu Constellation Software, $eif Exchange Income and $de.v Decisive Dividend.
1. Acquisition focused compounders like these are valued ‘NOT’ on what has already been bought, but what’s to come.
2.
@iancassel
@jasoncbuck
This is powerful information. Over the last 100 years 86 stocks out of 26,000 studied, accounted for over 50% of the returns.
Just wow.
I’ll Pause, then re-read this.
@GrowthyValue
@MoS_Investing
I don’t think a lot of people understand that this business model is hard to break and better than an index ETF. By far. Over 1000 streams of cash flow come in every month to buy new cash flows. Repeats Forever.
@CNBC
$fairfax_financial would be something Buffet completely gets, the float from insurance And already a proven compounder. Hmmm
Also $suncor, Buffett has an appetite for this great company And invested I think 10 years ago.. and he is opportunistic when big energy goes on sale!
Jessie Rittenhouse wrote something that I committed to memory about 35 years ago. It starts like this “I bargained with life for a penny…”
Next time you see me on the street ask me to recite the whole poem.
It’s a part of me.
@Codie_Sanchez
I completely agree.
Learning from billionaires, and millionaires for that matter, provide lessons of what works and what doesn’t work and real-life experiences of failed tests that don’t need to be repeated …
Self-help books provide inspiration to make these same mistakes :)
Yikes — just horrible earnings from $de.v.
1. Now a lower price in an inexpensive serial acquirer.
2. Latent value is in the acquisition engine and new future cash streams/increased dividends
3. The dividend reduces risk in the interim.
4. Still adding shares.
5. Do your own
@DvdndDiplomats
Even though so many great companies don’t like paying dividends they still do, why?
1. dividends are tangible, they are a telling indicator that the numbers add up, that they make sense that accounting funnyness is absent.
2. And for the operators there’s the requirement to
@cap_zay
Canadian serial acquirers would fit with pencil a 15% and greater compounding return.
The most well known are Constellation software, Topicus and Lumine Group.
Lesser known are Terravest Industries, Exchange Income and Decisive dividend.
There are several more that are
I wrote this article about $de.v 6 days ago, Before yesterday’s disappointing quarterly report.
Has anything changed? Well, yes. The stock is a whole lot cheaper. But for good reason, as short-term risks are up.
The most important thing of all is that
@BrianFeroldi
This is such dangerous advice as your odds of choosing the biggest winners of tomorrow, without the benefit of hindsight, are closer to zero than you might think.
In contrast, if today you choose to invest in companies that optimize for profits and have predictable returns on
@ValueInvestorAc
Thank you, I’ll take this post as a reminder to finish
“The man who solved the market— how Jim Simmons launched the quant revolution” by Gregory Zuckerman
@MasteryQuot
Old jobs get replaced with new technology… Increasing the productivity of a nation, but leaving the untrained, and those Unwilling to adapt— as carcasses along its path.
I never thought I could be so lucky, wow $de.v has pulled back to around 7 bucks.
1. I continue to add shares here— this is a high conviction forever-hold.
2. Not investment advice, do your own due diligence.
3. It takes time, resilience and patience to build a sizable
Consider serial acquirers like
#DecisiveDivCorp
The more successful they become —- the more capital they can raise from new investors, banks and institutions —-the more acquisitions they can make —-the more successful they become —-REPEAT
Assuming operational discipline - Agree?
Success in any biz means you are striving for outsized
#BusinessGrowth
.
And, the right investors can make all the difference.
Long term investors whose goals are aligned with your own and who stick with you through thick and thin, are always best.
Surround yourself with
While searching for emerging acquisition focused
#compounders
to invest in— I came to the realization that listening to what these
#founders
and
#executives
have to say… is of marginal value.
Because they all say WHAT I WANT TO HEAR.
So how do I decide?
1. By looking at
@IrrationalMrkts
Thank you for the question. As an example, Gurufocus has been wonderful for finding acquisition-focused compounders in Canada. Here’s a ‘mock portfolio’ of 10 proven serial acquirers researched and tracked on GF…
@chitchatstocks
I like Terravest Industries and Decisive Dividend, both are proven industrial serial acquirers with a perpetual runway and they have a similar CAGR to Constellation software over the last 10 years. Both under the radar I would say…
@AlexLathery
I so agree with you, there are actually people putting out articles written or commissioned by themselves, saying they are the next
#Warren_Buffett
or ie Canada’s, Sweden’s, Australia’s Oracle of Omaha, crazy heh? — And so anti-Warren Buffett’ish…
@InvestInAssets
Berkshire Hathaway and Constellation software are a very specific type of compounder. Their success is in buying profitable cash flowing businesses. They are repeat acquirers masterfully allocating profits into new cash flow machines.
Opportunities don’t come in boring drops of 1% or 2% each day…
When the market opens the window, the VIX tells you when, the weak hands holding great
#compounders
— rush for the exit. That’s when you rush in.
Your favourite
#stocks
will drop 10%, 20% or more in a day.
@Stock_Opine
Yes the best serial acquirers focus on acquisitions with minimal capital requirements too… as they yield higher and more predictable returns.
This is why vertical market
#SaaS
companies are always in high demand!
Really Software as a service in general is capital light,
@compoundersEX
@IrrationalMrkts
Well, many startup SaaS leaders in the 2021 Circa November era… touted the rule of 40 in order to focus on revenue growth above ALL else.
In fact, if revenues grew at 70%, they could run profit margins at -30%. I know absurd. This is what low interest rates for an extended
I love researching serial acquirers and future compounders to personally invest in.
But, my day job is buying great SAAS companies from passionate hard-working founders who share our virtues.
A significant payout and rolling equity is possible…
@mastersinvest
I learned some hard lessons in the boom of 1999 to 2000… Just finishing my Econ degree and taking advantage of 3.3 X margin.
My 75K became 750K in just 3 months.
That Feb the market pulled back and I maxed as had always worked.
My 750 K became -50 K
Lesson learned.
@kurtisjlin
Great perspective. Similarly an entrepreneur that starts a company during a bull market tends to attribute success to their own contributions— so discounting the influence of external factors, this leads to repeated behaviours during down markets and expectations of similar
Recency bias can distort decision-making by causing individuals to overlook historical data or longer-term trends in favor of more recent events.
How have you ‘recently’ been guilty of caving to this bias?
@iancassel
Yes, this is really good, stocks sometimes get ahead of themselves and have to consolidate. It doesn’t mean it’s prospects are receding —
Maybe just sorting out who it wants to give huge future gains to… the short term traders or long-term keepers :)
@SeekingWinners_
@R21White
So did they use equity for an acquisition?
To entice the founder to sell to $tvk perhaps, instead of to another company?
This can be a good thing, especially if as you say the shares are richly valued— meaning fewer $tvk shares than would otherwise have been needed…
@PaulAndreola
Also, a very interesting question would be:
What profitable Canadian smallcap do you have such a high conviction level in, that you would allocate at least 25% of your portfolio?
@SteadyCompound
Yes really good advice!
I would just suggest that if you are after steady compounders, then after you decide to buy
it’s better to wait 24 ‘years’ but eh …. that’s just me :)
I love this quote from Warren Buffet:
"The most important thing to do if you find yourself in a hole is to stop digging."
Stop doing what you know doesn’t work. Like
#DayTrading
, trying to catch a falling knife… It’s common sense to stop digging but there’s those cursed human
@caleb_investTML
@IrrationalMrkts
So true, the smarter people are, the more they think they can out-smart the crowd.
But when the crowd gets antsy—
geniuses get trampled too!
@Yankeedoodled11
@DevotedDividend
Exchange Income, Decisive Dividend and Enghouse are great Canadian aggregators with growing dividends.
$eif
$de
$engh
Another example that’s under the radar is Internet services Corp. $isv
With a lower yield and payout ratio, there is constellation software $csu and terravest
@LionCubsFund
1. Parklawn
2. Storage vault
3. Converge technologies
4. Well health
5. Dental group
6. Dye and Durham
To me, the most interesting of these are the first three
Canada has lots of interesting serial acquirers.
The CEOs have been learning hard lessons on ‘debt’ lately ….
Terravest announced a new acquisition today.
Full steam ahead on this great serial acquirer with
Total returns over 10 years (CAGR) even rivaling Constellation Software.
@Bonhoeffer_KDS
The inability to continue making new acquisitions is neg
1. High Debt/bank covenants
2. The inability to raise new capital for any of a number of reasons.
3. A depressed valuation makes new capital raises too dilutive to early shareholders
4. Dreaded holding company discount
@sidecarcap
I wholeheartedly agree. Especially for proven compounders, businesses where the product isn’t a product at all, but the austere allocation of capital.
@vanessaosheaa
If you bargain with life for a penny, life will pay no more… Why not ask for 1 billion or health & happiness for 110 years, or to discover a cure for cancer?
Set a goal & plan the path to achieve it, why ask life for just a penny, a pittance— that ignores a life’s potential?
3 - Compounders like $csu, $toi, $lmn, $tvk may go up and down with market sentiment, but as they go down, they become SCREAMING buys!
I love this market.
My investment rules
1. NEVER invest in a business that ‘needs’ your money.
2. And be wary of the words ‘burn’ or any reference to series A, series B etc. in a pitch deck.
Many
#founders
ignore the dillution factor. As
#investors
we should know better.
Clearly, I’m an
Are you new to
#Investing
in
#stocks
?
1. Buy great businesses, compounders.
2. Hold them for the long term.
3. Dismiss the noise.
Trite sayings that are easy to remember and broadly spewed, are costly -REALLY costly- Don’t fall for it.
@Bonhoeffer_KDS
For a serial acquirer to continue growing shareholder value the pace of new acquisitions should gently accelerate overtime. Ever-increasing margin improvements at the business level and accelerating rate (not just$) of free cash flow generation— leads to mult expansion & happy SH
If I recall correctly, Constellation Software has only ever pulled back about 30% from highs, in even the worst market environments.
Apple has had painful drawdowns of 75’ish %.
Nassim Taleb might call this useless info, But it makes me like $CSU and companies like it, More :)
@FromValue
This may be the most valuable advice most people will ever read. And yet they’ll skip over it— completely missing its PROFOUNDNESS.
Don’t sell your winners.
@LSequityguy
@patientinvestt
Periods of mass disagreement are actually ‘opportunities’ for acquiring compounders like ULTA. I’m a buyer, just a little to start…
@Frances51954497
@SeekingWinners_
@acquirers_club
Great acquisition focused compounders are often generously valued in the short term but hugely under-valued in the long-term. This likely applies to Chapters too…
@acquirers_club
Yes 100%.
I prefer programmatic serial acquirers buying 5+ biz per year but, I have some slower paced ones as well.
Business aggregators aka serial acquirers is a trust based business model that is all about capital allocation.
The plan IMO is finding the best and holding on!
@capitalemployed
Most people yawn at dividend payers, but
#Decisive_dividend
is a sub-200M market cap manufacturing
#rollup
.
The banks love them and they have 107 million of dry powder, always hunting for new accretive acquisitions.
Stock price has grown over 30% CAGR over the last 10 years.
Deep dive into this compounder.
100 bagger compounder potential.
Soon I’ll share my portfolio of 7 companies similar to this, with Cumulative annual growth rates CAGR of 25% to 35% over five and 10 year periods.
For every success that an entrepreneur shares, they’ve probably had plenty more failures.
And the failures have much-much more to teach, to help, to guide. Did you skip the entire book, save for the last paragraph— then tell your teacher, you’ve read the book.
Be honest, be
@rusholmecapital
Dustin Hawe and $TVK— absolutely amazing. Their businesses are completely different than Jeff Schellenberg’s $de.v, which seems to have too heavy exposure in the hearth business (I think I heard demand was down over 40% there??) so not sure this is a question of the operator…
@IrrationalMrkts
I’m going to say ‘not necessarily’ to your
#4
contrarianism. If you find predictable compounders, run by disciplined and ethical management…
“The price you pay is less important than your conviction to hold.”