dolphin_dane @dolphin_dane Twitter profile

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

EUROVISION 2020 "WHAT IF?" SIMULATION RESULTS - A Thread 🧵📊🎶

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

3 months

You wanted it, so here it is - The "What if" Eurovision 2020 prediction survey. You input your honest assessment of how the 2020 would have done with tele/jury, I simulate the contest based on your predictions. Results as soon as there are enough answers!

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Last Seen Profiles

@uchgaeri

@Austin_Hiscoe5

@HwaHwa1985

@PIMOT_EU

@niyaaahx

@kqlmx

@bokeplokalmalam

@HwaHwa1985

@MarxAfterDark

@FabioGomes_Go

@CianM18

@WgtnRugby

@MotshidisiM

@veiixan

@ltmuseum

@mohmmaed2S

@WFPSomalia

@HaleyVte4Harris

@jennineak

@bokeplokalmalam

@rrrikieBubs2

@caribanafest

@i_cappella

@bokeplokalmalam

@heejaniey

@doug_no1

@JoshuaDWallach

@drkatedoolin

@fenharel

@ASkyilly96035

@MaspethFederal

@TejaniKartiki

@gianzxw

@hitch_c0ck

@vrumvrumshop

@SajdaMughal

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

What was the vision here?

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

25 days

She finished top 10 with both the jury AND the televote, and still failed to qualify for the final

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

26 days

Name a Eurovision fact which feels incorrect

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

25 days

SVT thought this song was too bad to make the 32-song Melodifestivalen 2010 lineup. A few months later it took Denmark to the top 5, while Sweden failed to qualify for the first time ever

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

26 days

Name a Eurovision fact which feels incorrect

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

26 days

THIS won its semi, despite performing first in the running order

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

26 days

Name a Eurovision fact which feels incorrect

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

HOW DOES RUNNING ORDER IMPACT THE TELEVOTE AND JURY IN EUROVISION GRANDE FINALES? A thread 🧵 #Eurovision #Stats #Eurovision2023

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

In 2008, while she was in Beograd preparing for her performance, Charlotte Perrelli received video evidence, that her husband was cheating on her. When she found out she threw her engagement ring in the bin. Despite all the drama, she still slayed

Niels Talks about Stuff 🔻

@NielsReview

1 year

Drop some random Eurovision trivia that sounds made up but isn't

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

THE SPLIT RESULTS OF #Eurovision 2013 ARE MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE. Simple mistakes or something deeper? An open letter to the EBU - A thread 🧵

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

Top 10 pictures taken moments before disaster:

viis(vai)miinust will see you at the Eurotuur 🇪🇪

@nonecosimale

8 months

the way we already started with the good results though? the jury doesn't suck for once??? #dasdeutschefinale

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

The results of "The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey" of 2024 are finally here! Based on the 248 responses submitted, 100000 simulations have been run in a statistical model simulating the 2024 as closely as possible. Here are the results! 🧵

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Introducing "The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey"! I am launching a survey to gather the collective wisdom and come up with the best possible prediction of the contest results in May. Please retweet so we can get this to as wide an audience as possible!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

10 days

kart perry will participate in una voce per san marino within the next 3 years

regina bistra voda

@regina_wtf

10 days

katy perry will be an interval performance at eurovision within the next 3 years

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 60 YEARS, A FEMALE SOLOIST HAS WON SANREMO AND WILL TAKE HER WINNING SONG TO EUROVISION! Last time was in 1964, where Gigliola Cinquette won #Eurovision #Sanremo2024

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

Denmark after 2014:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

13 days

Love Annalisa, but let’s be real for one minute

Escxfav

@Escxfav2

14 days

Can we all agree that sinceramente by Annalisa is the biggest loss EVER we had in a national final

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Dotter’s reaction to journalist asking her how she feels about getting last place: “I actually don’t give a fuck, if I’m being honest” We stan

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

TuralTuranX’s vocal coach:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

I'm convinced this was the greatest NF robbery of all time. I know we usually talk about fan favorites finishing 2nd or 3rd, but having a Eurovision top 3 potential song not even make a 12 song final? I don't think anything gets close to surpassing that. Any ideas for contenders?

Artan

@Artan_mp3

7 months

Loreen - Statements 🔴MIC FEED🔴

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

3 months

໊

@buffys

3 months

traumatize your fandom with one image

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

28 days

Hot take: France has not sent a bad entry (that ended up competing) in the modern era of Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

24 days

Lies

‏۟

@G0DNEYS

25 days

this remains the most talked about performance of the year.

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

20 days

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING NEWS: Greek National Final location leaked:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

The last time a female soloist won Sanremo and represented Italy with their winning song was 1964 💀. Let that sink in... #Eurovision #Sanremo #Escita

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

4 months

WHAT!!?? Eurosong-DK reveals that Saba's "Sand" was in the running to be Emma Muscat's replacement song for 2022, being one of the final two in contention, but missing out to "I Am What I Am". How do you think Malta would have done with "Sand" in Torino?

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Disaster 😭

໊

@buffys

5 months

what happened in 2016

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

FINAL: Let's now take a look at the average final results, with the 10 most likely Q's from each semi. As you can see, Italy is the most likely winner, but were looking at a very tight race, where the distance from 1st to 7th is only 85. Let's now look at each country one by one

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

What are they cooking??! 😭😭😭

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

"How many names do you want?" Jacqline's parents: "Yes"

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Bulgarian delegation is spilling the tea right now over here, see if you can get any guesses right

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Do you ever just sit back and wonder how many songs from the Bulgarian internal selection of 2018 we have unknowingly heard under different names?

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

The Croatians really set themselves up bad by inviting Slimane. He’s blowing out the entire lineup. Showing that issues weren’t technical #Dora2024

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

25 days

And only 1900 of the were written by G:son

ESC Discord

@ESCdiscord

25 days

🇸🇪 SVT has received 2794 submissions for Melodifestivalen 2025, 170 more than last year. [📷 SVT]

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

10 months

“(nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi” debuts on the Estonian Spotify top 50 chart at number 2! The second most streamed #EestiLaul song is “My Friend”, outsider the chart at #56 #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

For the first time since the voter group system was introduced in 2019, every participant in a heat received 12 points from at least one voter group! Truly a divisive heat! #Melfest #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 month

Just gonna leave this here

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Luktelk haters be like:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

“Are you ready for your lessons in SIM card queening?” ELYSA gulped. Il Senso nodded. MIA fidgeted. Eduard Romanyuta blinked nervously. “Yes, Valeria” they said in unison.

ESC Discord

@ESCdiscord

8 months

🇲🇩 They stated that Valeria received "approximately 950 votes came from phone numbers that are currently invalid", and that "a certain number of votes came from 48 countries, including exotic ones - Aruba, Bahamas, Bangladesh, Barbados, Indonesia or Vietnam, probably using a VPN"

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

In honor of tonight's Maltese semi-final, let's reflect on the 1973 Maltese selection, where the broadcaster cancelled the contest after the semi-final, and withdrew form #Eurovision , simply believing all their songs were too terrible for Europe #MESC

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

This is THE graph you need to look at when watching the #Eurovision allocation draw. The numbers are the average televote biases between countries since 2016. The top shows the country giving points, the side the country receiving. Hope your country gets as many friends as it can

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

Why am I just now learning that there was a 9/11-themed song in the Belarusian selection in 2007??!! Who approved this?! #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

This is so ??? #Eurovision #Melfest

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Who would win?

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

2013 Split Results Reconstruction Project: Semi 1 v 1.0 🇲🇪 in 🇪🇪 out

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

She asked for "transparency", and TRM chose the nuclear option

ESC Discord

@ESCdiscord

8 months

🇲🇩 They stated that Valeria received "approximately 950 votes came from phone numbers that are currently invalid", and that "a certain number of votes came from 48 countries, including exotic ones - Aruba, Bahamas, Bangladesh, Barbados, Indonesia or Vietnam, probably using a VPN"

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

3 months

໊

@buffys

3 months

traumatize your fandom with one image

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Wake up honey, Marina Satti songwriters just dropped! 🇬🇷🇬🇷🇬🇷 A lot of these are big names in the Greek music industry, while some Americans who have previously worked with acts like Evangelia are in the mix as well Source: ISWC database

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

26 days

Name a Eurovision fact which feels incorrect

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Spotify has launched an official European Parliament elections playlist, featuring two songs from each member state. A lot of the songs are from ESC/NF artists, and even a few of this years songs have been chosen, but this being one of the two Maltese songs sent me to ijbolivia

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 month

Kinda crazy that they banned her

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

WHO DID EACH COUNTRY GET THEIR POINTS FROM IN THE #Eurovision2023 FINAL? A thread 🧵 #Eurovision #maps

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

This deserved a top 15 finish. I said what I said

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

And here I thought "Zemrën n'Dorë" -> "TiTAN" was the biggest revamp this season

kjet 🇬🇪

@VlSl0NARYDREAM

7 months

12. 🇪🇪 Estonia (14.59) 5Miinust & Puuluup - (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi Highest rank; 🥈 (Kjet, Valery) Lowest rank: 33rd (Andres)

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

9 months

#ESC250 ALL COUNTRIES RANKINGS COMPARED TO HISTORICAL AVERAGES - A THREAD 📈🧵

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

Okay, so I hope you didn't actually think I had somehow acquired the full 2013 split results 😭 HOWEVER - We do have more than we may remember. In fact, we are 21,6% of the way, to completing one of the splits. Take a look in this thread 🧵

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

2013 split results 🧭

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

2013 split results 🧭

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

19 days

10 years ago today I am truly amazed at how Ukraine has shone in the ten years since. Despite everything, the pain, the suffering, the war, they have always managed to showcase the depth, richness and resilience of their culture on the Eurovision stage. We are lucky to have them!

Eurovision 10 years ago

@ESC10YearsAgo

19 days

🇺🇦 A sad day for Eurovision. NTU have announced that Ukraine will not participate at Eurovision 2015, following the illegal annexation of Crimea and the Donbas War. However, the Ukrainian broadcaster expressed a strong determination to return for 2016 💙💛

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

The Eric Saade/EBU relationship history needs to be studied

Eurovision Song Contest

@Eurovision

5 months

A top-tier trio of Eurovision stars will join us in Malmö for the opening number of the First Semi-Final: Eleni Foureira, Eric Saade and Chanel:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

9 months

Some ESC youtubers have no chill 😭

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

10 days

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

15 days

EUROVISION 2025 PARTICIPATION DASHBOARD, 23/09 Based on your participation chance predictions and Wikipedia’s tally Changes since last time: 🇭🇷✅ Current projected number of participants: 39.01 (+0.02)

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

SEMI FINAL 1: Throughout the 100000 simulations, these were the qualification rates for each country. As you can see, the semi appears quite open, with 12 entries qualifying close to or more than 50% of the time. Our most typical 10 qualifiers are: 🇭🇷🇺🇦🇱🇹🇫🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇵🇱🇷🇸🇨🇾🇵🇹

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

10 months

How many times have the northern lights been visible from Malmø? #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

Considering doing a "20 songs that changed Eurovision" video essay as a way to get other PED after May. What songs would you point out as having changed Eurovision, whether it's by setting new trends, changing the perception of the contest, or something else?

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

#Eurovision 2024 Grand Final interval act: After months of the EBU teasing “the return of a legendary act”, the worlds eyes are all looking at Malmö. Suddenly everything goes dark, and a familiar voice can be heard: “Dorem dem dem dej Dorem dem dem dej Dorem dem dem dej ja”

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

Thinking about how the Swiss national final of 1988 had an "expert" jury, that heard the performance of CÉLINE DION, and thought "Nah, this is kinda mid, let's give it fourth place". Wonder how they reacted when she won #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

The world’s biggest music competition deserves better than this mystery. Sincerely, a fan. @Eurovision @EBU_HQ @MartinOsterdahl @jonolasand

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

9 months

Has there ever been an NF event with more even results than Eesti Laul 2013 semi 2? This is crazy! #eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

Only twelve countries left before my database of all ESC/JESC/NF/ASC songs is completed. Currently it contains 12929 songs, and a whopping 39697 artist/songwriter credits. Can't wait to put it to use analyzing the history of the contest as well as in depth looks at 2024 NFS

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

Tell me you’re 13 years old without telling me you’re 13 years old

tj3rk 🇮🇹🇦🇲🇬🇷

@technic0Iour

6 months

If the titanic collided with this iceberg it wouldn't have sunk!!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

In the German NF of 2006, in addition to their entry, the entrants had to cover a legendary #Eurovision song. But Vicky Leandros just performed her previous winning entry. Queen behavior 💅

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Introducing "The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey"! I am launching a survey to gather the collective wisdom and come up with the best possible prediction of the contest results in May. Please retweet so we can get this to as wide an audience as possible!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

3 months

ENGLAND vs. DENMARK Men’s Euro wins: 🇩🇰 1 🏆 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 0 😂 MEPs: 🇩🇰 15 🇪🇺 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 0 🫥 Eurovision wins since 2000: 🇩🇰 2 🎙️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 0 ❌ Men’s Handball Euro wins: 🇩🇰 3💪 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 0🤦‍♂️ Pork exports: 🇩🇰 2240 million $ 🏅 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 300 million $ (eat your heart out Lis Truss

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

The BNT Eurovision account, which is followed by the official Eurovision account, has just started following Virginia Records. Their artists include: ⚪️DARA 🟢Mihaela Marinova 🟤ALMA ⚪️Dara Ekimova 🟢Pavell & Venci Venc' 🟤4Magic ⚪️Joana 🟢Eva Parmakova #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

2013 Split Results Reconstruction Project: Final v 1.0 Position changes: ⬆️5:🇫🇷 ⬆️4:🇮🇪🇸🇪 ⬆️3:🇫🇮 ⬆️2:🇳🇱🇮🇸🇬🇧 ⬆️1:🇷🇴 ↔️:🇩🇰🇺🇦🇦🇿🇬🇷🇷🇺🇳🇴🇲🇹 ⬇️1:🇭🇺🇬🇪🇪🇸 ⬇️2:🇮🇹🇦🇲🇲🇩🇩🇪🇧🇪 ⬇️3:🇧🇾🇱🇹 ⬇️4:🇪🇪

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

One thing to keep in mind with the leaked Italian vote: Last year the semi's were watched by 1.7/1.8 millions, while the final was had 4.91. If we assume the Israel vote was mostly from a dedicated core, we can expect the non-Israel votes to grow by quite a lot in % for the final

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Running some simulations, and think I found the most cursed scenario possible

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Introducing "The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey"! I am launching a survey to gather the collective wisdom and come up with the best possible prediction of the contest results in May. Please retweet so we can get this to as wide an audience as possible!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

11 months

🇧🇬🇸🇪 Eurovision is not over for Sofi Marinova! After completing Duolingo’s Swedish course, Sofi will try her luck this time for Melodifestivalen 2024. ©️®️ Eurovision Bulgaria #Eurovision #Esc2024

Songfestival Azerbaijan 🇦🇿

@songfestivalaze

11 months

🇦🇱🇸🇪 Eurovision is not over for Albina Kelmendi! Albina will try her luck this time for Melodifestivalen 2024. ©️®️ Eurovision Kosovo #Eurovision #Esc2024 #AlbinaKelmendi

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Me since 2013

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

4 months

Let’s be real for one second

sтevan ⚕️🧼

@ImStevan

5 months

"best song ever" and then it's something that finished bottom 3 in a semi-final of a national selection

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 days

Hey @bg_eurovision happy October! Do you have any details to share with us?

Eurovision Bulgaria 🇧🇬

@bg_eurovision

2 months

@dolphin_dane As previously stated we expect to know more details in September about whether Bulgaria will participate or not in the contest. Best regards.

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

While examining the split results of the 2013 semi finals and finals, I discovered a number of mathematical inconsistencies. Upon further investigation, these results may hint at the potential disqualification of several juries and other weird occurrences

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

Me looking at the 2013 split results

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 year

Americans when you ask them how to spell colour/color #Eurovision

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

This meme has never felt more accurate than these last 15 hours

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

If Donald Trump is “Running Scared” (🇦🇿11), which Eurovision entry is Kamala Harris?

Kamala HQ

@KamalaHQ

2 months

Our statement on Donald Trump backing out of the debate he already agreed to

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

@nikicaga

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

If he does this in Malmö the other contestants might as well withdraw

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

@EurovisionTom Just remember to warn him about where he changes his clothes!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

1 month

So… About that

Eurovoix

@Eurovoix

1 month

🇮🇸 #Iceland : Decision on #Eurovision 2025 Participation to Be Announced on September 5

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

So I guess this is the right time to release my estimates for running order impact on televote in the final. The lower the effect, the better. Running order gives Switzerland a .81 advantage on Israel, Croatia a 1.22 advantage and France a 1.97 advantage according to my estimates

ESC Discord

@ESCdiscord

5 months

🚨 Here is the running order for Saturday's #Eurovision Grand Final!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

9 days

This new era of UMK has obviously been amazing, with great quality and solid diversity. But one thing it hasn’t managed to give us - a song in Finland-Swedish. Really hoping for one to participate in 2025!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

2013 Split Results Reconstruction Project: Semi 2 v 1.0 No changes to qualification with split system Keep in mind that the original results for this semi are more fishy than semi 1

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

5 months

My results posted without credit, we love to see it 🥰

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

Decided to take a look at whether respondents rate their own country higher than the average respondent. While Swedes are quite pessimistic about "Unforgettable" compared to other fans, Spaniards and Greeks are much more optimistic about their entries

dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

7 months

Introducing "The Big Eurovision Prediction Survey"! I am launching a survey to gather the collective wisdom and come up with the best possible prediction of the contest results in May. Please retweet so we can get this to as wide an audience as possible!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

6 months

SEMI FINAL 2: Throughout the 100000 simulations, these were the qualification rates for each country. As you can see, this semi seems more closed off, with clear qualifier and non-qualifier groups. Our most typical 10 qualifiers are: 🇳🇱🇨🇭🇬🇷🇳🇴🇧🇪🇦🇲🇦🇹🇪🇪🇮🇱🇬🇪

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

CRNA GORAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

ESC Discord

@ESCdiscord

2 months

🇲🇪 BREAKING: Montenegro looks set to return to #Eurovision 2025, as RTCG publishes the rulebook for "Montesong 2024", the festival that will decide their Eurovision 2025 act. 😍 🧵 All details in the thread below. 👇 More:

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

9 months

She wrote Cyan Kicks’ song for UMK this year, let’s see if it gives us the Kizunguzungu #UMK #Eurovision #Melfest

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

Badminton is such a weird sport to me. Like, why does the top ten countries map look like this??!!

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

8 months

@rossivision I believe they are very likely to make the final. Even though the overall sentiment will probably be somewhat against them, you cannot “vote against” a song at Eurovision. Even if 70% of voters won’t touch them with a 10ft pole, if 5%-10% feel very compelled, that’s a likely Q

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dolphin_dane

@dolphin_dane

2 months

Just calculated the approximate participation fee for each country at Eurovision 2025 🤑 (A thread 💰💸🧵)