One of the big reasons why the debt ceiling crisis is different is because of the huge changes to the House Rules that are designed to prevent a deal unless it is on the terms of the hard-liners in the House. It seems most people don't realize how different it is this time.
Trumpist hardliners are planning the end of American democracy in plain sight, starting in 2025.
-> The President to direct political prosecutions of his enemies
-> The use of the military for domestic "law enforcement"
Hey
@SpeakerMcCarthy
, is it true that there is a SECRET three-page addendum to the House rules, as
@PunchbowlNews
reports?
House rules are public, Republican conference rules are public, but now... secret rules?
Can you clarify? This isn't
#opengov
I ask again: what powers does the acting speaker pro tempore hold beyond those necessary for the upcoming speaker election? Making room assignments could be ultra vires.
Also, another argument for a non-partisan speaker who represents the institution, not a party.
We now have the Booker line. If you called for Menendez to step down before he did, that's leadership. If you do it afterward, you're still making the right call, but are very, very late.
@petersagal
@williamnelligan
It also seems that 3 of the last 4 Republican presidents have deliberately interfered in foreign policy to sabotage a political opponent. Nixon interfering with Vietnam peace talks; Reagan interfering with talks on Iranian hostages; and Trump undermining Ukraine security.
Friends in the Republican party, don't give up your vote until you have enough time to READ THE BILL, erm, the final House Rules Resolution.
I believe 72-hours is the ask.
• President mints the trillion dollar coin. This is the best option. (1) It's authorized by Congress. (2) It's the equivalent of printing a bunch of dollars and depositing it in the Fed. (3) If you do it enough in advance, markets won't freak out. (4) But normies will be angry.
Here's the issue: you can't wait. If you do, it risks massively increasing gov't borrowing costs, end of the USD as a reserve currency, and dismantling of global economic system. No one wants to live in 1929.
A last minute deal is almost as bad as no deal. The problems don't t arise when the USG defaults, but when the markets freak out. This is a one way ratchet with an indeterminate freak out date based on the rationality of traders. (Lol)
You have to get ahead of the problem.
It's not the physical minting of a coin, but using the authority to create money, which is what the gov't does all the time, and electronically deposit it .
But folks who like the idea of cutting spending decry it as a gimmick, as if that's an argument and not just a pejorative.
Here's the range of solutions:
• Pass legislation. BUT House Rules give overwhelming power to stop any deal that doesn't dismantle the New Deal. Enough folks with leverage are OK with default b/c anarchy allow them to argue that you need a strong leader in the WH. Think Weimar.
I've now had a chance to read the section-by-section of the proposed House rules. There's some significant problems.
-- Undoes the union regs but it's messy and may not work or may only stop future unions.
-- Seemingly eliminates the House Office of the Whistleblower ombuds
Lawmakers "Left in the Dark Over FISA Reform," reports
@ByronTau
&
@JohnSewardDC
for
@NOTUSreports
, pointing to the exec branch freezing out congressional staff + antiquated House regs that prevent personal staff from obtaining necessary clearances.
@JaneMayerNYer
@mcorley
We just sent up a communication to the hill calling for members to vote NO on the NDAA unless the trojan horse security bill is removed.
.
@demandprogress
is urging members of the House to vote NO on the
#NDAA
because of a Trojan horse "Judicial Security" bill that's really internet censorship for info about federal judges.
It was Newt Gingrich and the Republicans who passed the law allowing for staff unions in the House, and Nancy Pelosi that allowed that provision to take effect. Now House Republicans don't want staff to make their own choices on whether to unionize.
DC is great, the museums are free, but if a field trip of first graders packs their lunch, they have to eat on the floor. Only paying customers are allowed seats.
Life lessons taught at the
@airandspace
Museum today:
"Congress should use the White House's firing of the Architect of Congress both as an opportunity to rethink the Capitol Police Board, on which he sits, and also to modernize how Legislative branch agency heads are hired and fired." -- Daniel Schuman, Demand Progress
Anyway, for this to work, it should be done now and not later for all the obvious market freak out reasons. You could even do this in combination with the other things, which are a power grab but would make the WH authoritarians feel happy. (Which is bad, but less bad than 1929)
@JakeSherman
It’s not exactly no rules. It operates under rules from the constitution and parliamentary precedent (the last one is always a head scratcher for me). This has happened historically for weeks at a time.
There’s no committees or officers (except hold overs) but it’s not anarchy
@kadiagoba
@Bencjacobs
That’s nonsense. Members of congress don’t need clearances.
Are they arguing he’s not a member of congress? Or that he needs to retake the oath? The latter can’t be true because there no House rule on the oath.
The Washington Post's story on the DOJ and FBI refusing to investigate Trump & associates for their crimes is phenomenal, but it's very hard to follow the timeline.
Until now. I've put together a timeline.
.
@demandprogress
is urging members of the House to vote NO on the
#NDAA
because of a Trojan horse "Judicial Security" bill that's really internet censorship for info about federal judges.
If a member of the military is unwilling to follow orders, let alone unwilling to receive all the vaccinations necessary and appropriate for their safety, then they don't belong in the military.
And if that's a recruitment problem, it seems like an appropriate litmus test.
@sfinbar
@daveweigel
While revenge is fun to contemplate, it's a really, really, bad idea.
I don't want to imagine the transition to a world where the USD isn't the reserve currency, or borrowing rates for the USG go up significantly.
I should say that I am not an expert on the debt ceiling, monetary policy, etc., etc. But I do know a lot about the House rules and the budget and appropriations process and the balance of powers between the Exec and Leg branches -- and I can see the interactions with the debt.
I'm sorry, but what the hell? The House Armed Services Committee Chair Adam Smith is open to rolling back the Pentagon policy of discharging troops who refuse to follow orders and get their initial COVID vaccinations?
• Pres. declares debt ceiling null based on 14th amendment. Doesn't work either. (1) Pres. doesn't have that power. (2) If he asserts it, markets won't trust it (& freak out) and validity of payments will be indeterminate until courts settle it. (3) Also, huge power grab for WH
• Pres. says laws are inconsistent, declares debt ceiling null. Same problem as above. (1) Pres doesn't have that power. (2) Markets will freak & it's contested in court. (3) Huge power grab by executive that undermines democracy.
I am no longer confident on the list of items that was nuked and think that's an error. While in line with what the FC had asked for, the Section-by-section text is ambiguous, and the bill text (as
@ringwiss
point out) has no indication those things were discontinued.
@emptywheel
Yes, I knew that one. By the way, if McCarthy is concerned about a member of his own party making that motion, he can use the Steering Cmte to kick them out. No member, no problem. (That's why all members should be able to make the motion, not just maj party)
-- Seemingly fails to include a new House Admin select committee on the modernization of Congress
-- I'm not sure what the effect of the OCE Board term limits are, but may cause significant turnover
-- Pretty much all the budget stuff, from CUTGO onward, is either dumb or bad
-- The Holman rule is probably not bad in abstract, but bad in practice
-- The ethics stuff is generally good (but doesn't go far enough -- no stock act, for example)
-- The data provisions -- publishing as structured data and improving the electronic repository -- are good
The
#NDAA
internet censoring provision is set for Senate consideration this week. It allow federal courts to order anyone to remove info about fed'l judges from the internet. Let's hope
@SenSchumer
@LeaderMcConnell
@SenJackReed
@JimInhofe
read our letter and cut section 5934.
I expect this may change somewhat anyway so long as McCarthy doesn't have the votes to become speaker. The rules may become different or moot, depending on what happens.
But it's a missed opportunity to do better and apply to congress the rules that apply to the american people
Gosh, well most people don't get Polio or Measles these days, so why not roll that back, too?
Imaging being on a ship with a bunch of unvaccinated personnel and then someone gets sick. How would that play out?
Likely does a lot of damage by getting rid of the provisions in the House Rules in the 116th and 117th.
It doesn't allow for remote deliberations, but does allow remote testimony of non-gov't witnesses, which is at least something.
It's weird how none of the obituaries on Ted Kaczynski talk about the role of the CIA had, via its brutalizing MKULTRA mind control project, in undermining his personality while he was a student at Harvard.
I've just compared the version of the House rules initially introduced and the one published on the rules committee webpage now.
There's only one change, which fully reverts the motion to vacate the chair. Everything else appears to be identical.
Umm, what was that
@nytimes
? Surely there must be some people who were there, journalists maybe, who could say definitively what happened.
A big part of this story is that some folks have become deranged, not that there's differing views.
@mjs_DC
This is good, but we should workshop it a little.
Will Matha-Ann issue a public statement? We've reached out to her office, and they're running it up the flagpole.
Okay, stop everything and read this piece by
@AlexEmmons
on
@Slate
about what's happening inside the House, and why. It's exactly right about the power struggle.
-- I actually like the calendar wednesday stuff, where committees can force resolutions onto the floor, although we'll see how it works
-- I'm okay with a 4 mbr threshold to vote on the speaker, but that's a minority view (har har)
America needs a strong Congressional Research Service. As the
@librarycongress
searches for a new director, here's my take in the Washington
@monthly
on what's wrong with Congress's think tank, and how to fix it.
Blame the messenger — it's the media pushing for this
Blame the advisors — he was over-prepped
Blame the weather — he's got a cold
Blame the format — no one fact checked the other guy
Blame the sample — don't look at the debate, look at the last 3 years
Where does the buck stop?
With the expected arrest of Donald Trump by New York officials on Tuesday and Trump's call for action this morning, I hope Capitol officials will step up security measures for Tuesday morning. You don't have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
And, we're back for day two.
Now time for another unconstitutional prayer, which is just as unconstitutional yesterday as it is today and tomorrow -- and entirely inappropriate.
Give us reason to cling to reason.
Reporters, if you're covering House rules and you're not 100% sure what they do, there's a bunch of folks who follow Congress closely who either know the answer or can find out. PLEASE reach out.
There's also a few reporters who know the rules quite well. You know who you are.
What made me do this was the original reporting was disorganized. It lacked crucial dates to let you know where you were in the timeline. It would have been much better with a graphic that put all this in order.
.
@Bencjacobs
was just crazy enough to watch the House floor, from start to finish, every day for a week.
He wrote about that experience for the
@dcexaminer
Anyway, I've got a longer write up in tomorrow's First Branch Forecast, which will be sent a little late, at 9 a.m. And hopefully by tomorrow morning I'll have read the text of the House rules and gotten more sleep. Just don't ask me to explain all the budget nonsense.
The case for a non-partisan speaker
- Can elect party leaders w/o needing 217 votes
- Speaker plays an institutional role, professionalizing Hse and maintaining order w/o partisan retribution
- Can move legislation w/o need for party majority
- Allows more majoritarian results
Steny Hoyer (D) --
Points to the fact that the rules package wouldn't pass the rules the Republican propose (this is clever)
-- rules package isn't a single subject matter
-- can't offer amendments to the House rules
-- have to vote against all because don't agree with some
FWIW, I don't blame the journalists. There's probably some arcane style choices that caused the WaPo to leave off the dates so that you're always wondering what year they're talking about.
Israel funded a multi-million dollar social media campaign aimed at Dem members of Congress that contained fake accounts posing as Americans, powered by ChatGPT, and aimed at influencing policy, per
@nytimes
@CNN
Unmentioned in the article, but notable in the underlying report, is that employees routinely told their spouses about the opinion holdings and vote counts before the opinions were released.... and had to change their affidavits on that point.
If Dems have a chance for a power-sharing agreement with a subset of Republicans, they should. The price:
— 50-50 committee seats, veto over chairs
— 50-50 rules committee membership
— Use 117th congress rules
In a majoritarian institution, only the majority has power.
I'm using ChatGPT + Google sheets to transform 5000+ rows of messy address information for congressional earmarks into structured data and it's blowing my mind.
@emptywheel
Kicking someone out of the party is hard; the steering committee doesn't meet every day, either, and McCarthy's about to add a bunch of FC people to it.
But, what it means is if you make the threat, then there's an opportunity to stop it from vesting. Tho other mbrs cld threatn
Dear lord, save me from religious prayers in the House. Lay upon us your truth and guidance, that "ceremonial" religiosity has no place in a legislative body that serves all americans, regardless of creed.
@UkNatArchives
This is the oldest known Mayan codex in the world, dating to around 1100. It discusses the location of Venus at different times of the year.
@Arsenalhound
@JaneMayerNYer
@mcorley
Today call your representative! When you're done with that person, call Majority Leader Hoyer's office and House Armed Services Chair Adam Smith's office.
Providing Members of Congress with a limited reimbursement for daily expenses incurred during their work-related travel in Washington, D.C. is both reasonable and the right thing to do.
@matthewstoller
Showing as a percentage GDP is one way to look at it, but that's a comparison to the whole economy. A more helpful look is looking at it in constant dollars.
Also, significant spending, such as hundreds of billions for veterans, is not coded as defense discretionary.
@costareports
It operates under general parliamentary rules that come from the constitution and its precedent. It’s not a lockean state of nature. But there are no committees, no officers except the hold-over, no standing orders.
Ethics committees should not drop their investigations when a member resigns. Former members routinely seek offices of public trust and should the inquiry be substantially completed, it should be released.
By the way, for those keeping track, I still believe the U.S. Capitol Police have not undertaken the systemic reform necessary to be ready for the next major attack. We missed our opportunity to transform that agency into a proper security force respectful of democratic rights.
I’ll support federal employees being forced to go into an office (despite a long standing telework push and taxpayer savings) when the Washington Post editorial board stops writing insanely stupid opinions.