Cycle Investment Strategy @cycle_strategy Twitter profile

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Cycle Investment Strategy

4 days

New post online about the imminent rally in silver and the miners! We made it a free read today as a little weekend gift! Link in bio. #silver #gold $SILJ $GDXJ $GDX

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

The last time Sibanye broke out of a multi-year falling wedge, returns of 900% followed - we are at the start of something big here #sibanye #gold #platin #palladium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

To put things in perspective, $SBSW is basically still at multi-year lows - a 400% gain from current levels would only take us back to Sibanyes old 2021/22 highs. With higher precious metal prices and an increasingly better-looking environment for Palladium, the stock will be

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Did you miss the 2020 crash to load up on commodity stocks? What if there is a second chance... $SBSW

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

$SBSW Q1 operating update: In the US operation they managed to reduce AISC by 28% and expanded production by 22%. New gold AISC is $2039. Also 3% higher production in PGMs in South Africa. PGM AISC increased by 9%. Production looks very solid despite all! #platinum #palladium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$Vale is a stock that has been on our radar for some time now and we recommended it to our subs already a few weeks ago. Very bullish on the Brazilian miner and will post a thread about it tomorrow! #ironore #brazil #vale

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Big inside buys at $SBSW - since our thread, four individuals bought their company stock. Sibanye´s CFO purchased the highest amount with 150.000 shares!!!

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

How are things shaping up in the gold and silver sector? At the risk of sounding like a broken clock: The fundamentals are exceptionally bullish - especially for silver. A thread (1/X) 🧵

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 year

Sweden is in serious trouble. Their real estate market is falling off a cliff and their currency is crashing and its likely to get way worse and no one is talking about it. A thread 🧵 (1/x)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

It looks like our best-case scenario, which we set out before the election, is coming true. A pro business alliance is forming in South Africa. Good news! $SBSW

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$SBSW We just shared our deep dive into the South African election which will take place on May 29. What are the effects on $SBSW? What result will crash the share price and what would lead to a rally? Link in bio.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

While no one is talking about it: Palladium is up 4,7% today. One of our highest convictions are rising palladium prices as we shared with the subs a few weeks ago! #palladium $XPDUSD $PA $SBSW

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Top pick of our service $SBSW is breaking out above the 200MA with huge volume today!

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

On the cusp of a recession, switch your cyclical commodities exposure to precious metals!

Mining Charts

@mining_charts

2 years

$Gold breaking out against $copper. Big signpost. This is worth keeping an eye on. $gld $copx $gdx $gdxj

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

$NEM Newmont Mining is completely crashing today. The share plunged 13% after disappointing earnings. PM Mining stocks are in complete capitulation mode. Newmont is as oversold after the sell-off today as it was last in 1987. The stock price is at the same level as in 2016. (1/X)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

1/7 Today´s analysis: VALE - A Thread 🧵 The current rally in commodities has not yet reached all commodities and therefore still offers numerous opportunities. One of these is $Vale, a large Brazilian mining company that mainly extracts iron ore but also mines copper and

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

The restocking cycle of the car industry for pgms will be glorious $SBSW

Anas Alhajji

@anasalhajji

2 months

😎🔥🔥 🟥 McKinsey: 46% of U.S. EV owners want to switch to ICE vehicles June 17, 2024 #ElectricVehicles #Climate

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

$SBSW appoints head of uranium. Lets see how fast they can make progress. Will likely take a few years

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

$SBSW lives - strong push from the depths of its chart #PGMs #palladium #copper

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Palladium is in very oversold levels on the monthly. Such phases (yellow circles) were always followed by very strong returns in the past! #palladium $SBSW

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 years

$FCUUF $FCU Fission Uranium very healthy backtest of the break out zone. Working off overbought conditions and giving a nice entry. We bought the dip. #Uranium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

German car maker Mercedes is doing a 180 on their plans to shut down their ICE car production. The world will soon realize that we have not enough pgms for the coming demand revival $SBSW

Mercedes: Chef Ola Källenius will an Verbrennermotor festhalten - WELT

Eigentlich sollte für die S-Klasse mit Verbrennermotor ab 2030 Schluss sein. In einem Interview hat der Mercedes-Chef jetzt die Kehrtwende verkündet. Damit reagiert das Unternehmen auf die sinkende...

www.welt.de

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

No one seems to care. Fintwit already sold i guess. #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Everyone thinks $SBSW is only a platinum producer but it is also one of the top 5 gold producers. Yes, you heard that right. And their gold production has a huge leverage to higher gold prices. We made an analysis of $SBSW a few month ago. #gold #platinum

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Big inside buys at $SBSW - since our thread, four individuals bought their company stock. Sibanye´s CFO purchased the highest amount with 150.000 shares!!!

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

9 months

1/X Very interesting article in the Financial Times about $PBR today. Here’s a thread about it 🧵: 🛢️🇧🇷 Petrobras & Brazil's Oil Ambition:

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

So why is $SBSW so cheap? If you look at the correlation between Sibanye and the price of $XPDUSD, you quickly get a good idea. Therefore, we have to look more closely at the price of Palladium - at the moment the metal is still weak, but that will change, more on that tomorrow

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 years

$XAG Silver. We don't know why everybody is calling the death of the inverse head and shoulders pattern. Silver is not looking too bad here.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$SBSW has strong support underneath the current price and after the positive news today with a coalition between the ANC and DA, a bounce looks very likely here! #southafrica #elections #platin #palladium #gold #copper #nickel

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$SBSW Several workers are on strike because they want stock options too. Since the stock price is getting slaughtered today, the reason for their strike might as well take care of itself. Maybe they change their mind and want some $NVDA shares lol

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

28 days

$AG with a full f*ck up. Net loss of 48 Mio. with silver near 30$. What is this management even doing.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

Gold and silver are feeling very different. In the last 3 years they used every chance to mean revert. Now everybody is expecting a pullback but it keeps extending and letting no one in. Thats a bullmarket. #silver #gold

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

We just launched our Youtube Channel! We now share our opinon, research and outlook now also on Youtube! Here is our first video about the coming #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

22 days

Update on $Vale: We still have a position in it and remain very bullish in the long term. Didn’t expect such lows to be fair but fundamentals are still in place and improving. Vale just reported a second-quarter net profit of $2.77 billion - which is above every analyst’s

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

New piece out about $SBSW and taking a look at platinum and palladium COTs. Got some interesting informations from Sibanye´s investor relations for the subs. Whats interesting: the biggest lever for profits are palladium prices! Link in bio #gold #platinum #palladium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Sibanye is currently reassessing its uranium resources with its new head of uranium. The group has existing uranium resources of 32 million pounds on the surface at the Cooke tailings dam and 27 million pounds at their Beisa site. With higher prices and strong sector

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

$SBSW appoints head of uranium. Lets see how fast they can make progress. Will likely take a few years

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

We are gonna increase our equity exposure in Brazil big time. Why? A thread 🧵 (1/X)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

#palladium up 5% on the day pushing $SBSW above the 200 MA. Lets go

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

@contrarian8888 100% and don't forget about Sibanyes leverage on palladium prices - we are super bullish on the metal as well

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

Since other accounts like @contrarian8888 and @Laz_Cap have generously shared their work on $RIG, let's do our part. Let's see if this ship can turn around. A🧵 (1/X)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Sounds pretty great ! $SBSW

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 month

$SBSW continues to look good - it seems like the stock is gathering some strength to break through the 200 MA #palladium #copper #commodities

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

$SBSW lives - strong push from the depths of its chart #PGMs #palladium #copper

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Even though $SBSW is based in Africa and has its main assets there, Sibanye has a globally diversified resource portfolio ranging around the globe #gold #palladium #platin #sibanye

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Very strong past correlation between $RIO and $VALE - Rio Tinto is showing the way here and we expect a catch-up soon #ironore #vale #copper #nickel

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Looking at the COT data, we see a massive short-squeeze potential in #palladium . Managed money (dumb money) is as short as ever before, while commercials (smart money) have a record-long position. We definitely want to have a long-term position here $XPDUSD $SBSW #cot

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

@contrarian8888 100% and don't forget about Sibanyes leverage on palladium prices - we are super bullish on the metal as well

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

The last time Sibanye broke out of a multi-year falling wedge, returns of 900% followed - we are at the start of something big here #sibanye #gold #platin #palladium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

That was imminent …

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Looking at the COT data, we see a massive short-squeeze potential in #palladium . Managed money (dumb money) is as short as ever before, while commercials (smart money) have a record-long position. We definitely want to have a long-term position here $XPDUSD $SBSW #cot

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$SBSW We just shared our deep dive into the South African election which will take place on May 29. What are the effects on $SBSW? What result will crash the share price and what would lead to a rally? Link in bio.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

9 months

1/ 18 🌍📉 Today´s big analysis: Sibanye Stillwater - A Thread 🧵

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$SBSW Tonight (MEZ time) we get the results from the SA election. Lets hope the commies dont take over.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

$SBSW with a constructive bottoming pattern after moving higher the past weeks - sitting right on support here (20MA) and RSI also still in the bullish zone.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Precious metals and mining companies are looking so good compared to many other sectors. Really encouraging! #Silver #Gold

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

$SBSW executives are loading up their portfolios!

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Big inside buys at $SBSW - since our thread, four individuals bought their company stock. Sibanye´s CFO purchased the highest amount with 150.000 shares!!!

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

We are approaching the levels of the 2008 crisis - big tech is getting bigger and bigger #tech $SPX #stocks

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Bought more $SBSW today. COTs for platinum are incredibly bullish as well. #gold #platinum #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Yes! Commodities ARE the next cycle. As soon as it becomes obvious the market will make it hard to get good entries. Enjoy while it lasts

Brandon Beylo

@marketplunger1

2 months

We are at Commodity Cycle Lows in: • Precious Metals: 4x below cycle highs • Energy: ~3.5x below cycle highs • Base Metals: 4x below cycle highs The next decade will be tremendous for commodities, base metals, and precious metals. #commodities

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Another #oil play we always like to keep an eye on is $RIG - the stock fell with oil's correction but is now hitting confluence of support and is likely continue to rise upwards from here #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

For a more greedy target one could use the last cycle high in earnings (2008) of 4,2 Bln $. With a 7x multiple you get a 14x of the current MCap. With inflation adj. even higher. $RIG

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

Since other accounts like @contrarian8888 and @Laz_Cap have generously shared their work on $RIG, let's do our part. Let's see if this ship can turn around. A🧵 (1/X)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

The bull market in emerging markets is not a question of if, but only of when and those are the kind of investments you should focus on. We are convinced that the emerging equity markets will outperform the industrialized countries over the next 10 years. The ratio between the

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

(8/8) What are we doing? We continue to accumulate positions in gold and silver miners into the weakness. Everything looks ready

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 month

New all time high for gold! This is our decade! #gold

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

We have pointed this out before but there are big similarities between a previous explosive move of First Majestic Silver and now. Both times the stock followed a multi-year downward channel and suddenly broke out - last time this resulted in a return of almost 700% in just over

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Geopark has extremely low production costs - 90% of their oil production is cash flow positive at an oil price of $25-30, this is a big argument if you ask us $GPRK #oil #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

$RIG is the kind of stock everyone calls their bk on >5% down days. This thing has huge leverage. If they make it the returns will smoke $VAL. It’s all just a question of position sizing not black and white.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

BIG insider buys from Barricks executives!!! No one wants to miss out on what's coming. See who bought the most shares below $GOLD #barrick #gold #insider

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

On this weekend we will try to dig deeper into the South Africa elections which will be on the 29th. We will share it with our subs. It will have an impact on our core holding $SBSW so it’s time to dig deeper. #platinum #palladium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Copper and iron ore even if not perfect have long-term similarities. The discrepancies at the moment will sooner or later even out in one direction or the other - you can guess in which direction we see it playing out;) #copper #ironore $VALE $RIO

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

$PXT is an interesting case. The balance sheet is clean, margins are super high, valuation is super low. BUT they will need to invest heavily when they dont want to be out of business in 4 years. Thats their remaining mine life at the current daily production rate

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

In a tweet a few days ago, we advised caution in the market. Why we believe that the bear market rally should be over for now. Time for a 🧵 (1/X)

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

7 months

@agnostoxxx Shipping rates are in fact up and delivery times also. Dont underestimate the secondary effects. Longer delivery times -> higher inventory needs. After depleting inventories last years this could fuel an inflationary restocking cycle to meet tamagotchi driven demand

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Oil still being the contrarian trade we want it to be. The latest BofA Fund Manager Survey shows that energy exposure has been cut the most - alongside materials #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

9 months

We agree and it´s so good to see $Silver finally move higher with distinction. However, we still need to see a break-out through the resistance formed all the way back from the last ATH. We are very close though and after that break-out nothing will stop #silver !!!

Gold Ventures 🟡

@TheLastDegree

9 months

the perfect channel based on daily closes is broken. now the final wicks are also taken out clear sailing for #Silver $XAGUSD

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 month

Nice shake out! The market makes you doubt the moves in #silver and $SILJ $GDX $GDXJ We will go higher.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Got the feeling the gates are about to open now. Option market is suddenly pricing in big moves for silver this year. Big jump today in long dated far otm $SLV call premium. Things could get really really exciting. Positioned anyway #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

Pretty much 4 months ago we published this thread about $SBSW - the stock price is a bit higher now but not by much. Great value and very attractive levels here for what´s about to come! #gold #sibanye

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

9 months

1/ 18 🌍📉 Today´s big analysis: Sibanye Stillwater - A Thread 🧵

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Lots of talk about miners and how their margins WILL NEVER go up. Guess what. If margins don’t go up in this cycle (which is already happening but ok) the gold industry will die. No more gold and silver mining. Good luck with that bet. Prices always adjust in the cycle to costs

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

18 days

Let’s go Brazil. Latam is where the puck is going next

Robin Brooks

@robin_j_brooks

18 days

Since all the market turmoil sparked by weak US payrolls on August 2, the Brazilian Real is the best performing EM currency. Brazil got zero carry trades among all the negativity this year, which is why it is now outperforming. Markets are remembering the positives about Brazil.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

$GPRK is cheaper than Parex. The value creation and growth of this company in combination with the track record of the management team for below 5 times earnings despite cyclically low earnings – insane. Also you dont have to worry about a short mine life. #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

23 days

Commodity investors right now

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Rough week guys! Those corrections in a bullmarket are tough and many get shaken out. Zooming out helps. Enjoy your weekend! #silver #gold #oil

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

Executives seem to be on a selling spree lately - insider transactions are looking pretty red if you ask us;) However insider buys are often found in the commodity sector as covered before. While tech executives often sell, commodity executives like the ones from $SBSW and $GOLD

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

By the look of things, chances are not too bad we pump in precious metals stocks tomorrow or Friday. #silver $AG $SBSW

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

21 days

$Vale with record #ironore production for Q2 at S11D and a 7% increase in sales compared to last year!

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

14 days

$GPRK earnings update - to put it simply solid! - Q2 revenue increased by 4% - Net profit of $25.7m --> much lower than in Q2 2023 - However, mainly due to tax effects, as EBIT increased by 27% to USD 90 million, Geopark achieved a generous EBIT margin of 48% - Increased #oil

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 year

On Monday we will buy stakes in uranium miners again. Seems like the panic of the utilities could start now. Hearing interesting stories. Charts are also setting up #uranium

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Currently, 17 ounces of gold are extracted from the ground vs 1 ounce of platinum. Extracting platinum is much more difficult than gold because the platinum veins are much thinner. Car manufacturers have to increase their platinum and palladium stocks and realize that no one is

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 year

(4/X) Also 65% of the mortgages are on flexible rates. The swedish central banked hiked to 3,75% recently. Also swedish house buyers are highly leveraged and household debt as % of gross disposable income is above 200%. Thats a stretch

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

This might actually be what we have all been waiting for the last few years!!! Feels great to see some movement #silver #silversqueeze $AG $XAGUSD

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

From 5.35$ to 7.50$ in less than 2 weeks, this is exactly the road map we pointed out. Great first run - setbacks will be part of the journey though #silver #silversqueeze $AG #firstmajestic

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

We have pointed this out before but there are big similarities between a previous explosive move of First Majestic Silver and now. Both times the stock followed a multi-year downward channel and suddenly broke out - last time this resulted in a return of almost 700% in just over

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$GPRK Breaking out despite weaker oil price today. #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

International gold reserves spike before bullruns and gets sold off during the rally. What seems odd this time: Gold reserves dont get sold off in the current gold rally since 2015. The gold reserves just get bigger. Seems like they bet on way higher prices. Will this time be

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

New nearly 10 year high in $PBR $PBR.A. What a beautiful chart. Will keep delivering with the coming #oilrally

Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

Before the market close we opened a new position in a Brazilian oil company. Buy: 800x $PBR @ 11.64$ = 9312 $

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Just got a buy signal from our quantitative model. Just bought calls on SLV. #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

6 months

$ZIM seems completely mispriced despite the expoloding freight rates and their big leverage. In the German markets the stock is up 1% on the red sea news. Putting some in the portfolio #shipping

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

$GPRK has performed well since our entry and despite the short-term correction in the oil price, the stock has held up well. With #oil looking bullish again, we are excited to see how Geopark will continue to perform - the chart looks good, with nice volume and also little

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 years

(5/X) What is the COT data doing? The COT data is perhaps the most bullish of all. Both for gold and in particular for silver. In silver, the swap dealers (smart money) are net long at a rate not seen in several years.

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

$GPRK one of our favourite oil stocks is breaking out! #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

2 months

Our biggest position $GRPK is breaking out strongly and making new 2024 highs. Geopark is leaving the base #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

With around $300 billion, the collective valuation of the Gold mining sector is currently not much larger than that of US home building retailer Home Depot - let that sink in for a second... The high Gold prices are slowly reflected in higher profit margins for producers, as we

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

4 months

Its on. #silver #gold

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Production growth at $GPRK was strong until 2019, while costs fell considerably - the company now has a healthy balance sheet and a high profitability #oil #geopark #columbia #oilrally

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

3 months

Yes, some posts of the usual precious metals accounts about the silver move. But that’s not the excitement one would expect given the importance of the move. Love it how silent it is. #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

5 months

The wait really seems to be over and our time has finally come! Lean back tonight, have a good drink and enjoy what happened the last weeks. With that being said we wish you all a good weekend! #gold #silver

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Cycle Investment Strategy

@cycle_strategy

1 month

Dollar down, bonds down, oil and btc unaffected. Thats not a classic risk off. JPY carry trade is unwinding. Seems like everyone funded their MAG7 longs with cheap JPY rates

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