cromwellian @cromwellian Twitter profile

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@fukushishimbun

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@MikeGeeNY00

@_RyanFowler_

@muhammad_julien

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@becauwse

@WhitegirlBoodah

@ursao0074

@stephholvera

@NationBlackJack

@RealShadyGhost

@brycetheoddball

@caitlin_oxford

@iamdmkr

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@RyanBerenz

@mxcitou

@247horniness

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@BlindKyll

@IFLNEWSofficial

@Henai_shokogun

@Hassannuhu

@TheDollChanel

@CandyNay01

cromwellian

@cromwellian

2 years

@Kicksbuttson The numbers are obvious. NYC emitted about 56.5 million tons of CO2 in one year with 8.4 million people or 6.7 tons/yr/person. Nebraska emitted 52.7 m tons co2/1.9m people for 27 tons/yr/ppl. These are extremes, In general, rural per capita emissions are 20% higher than urban.

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@cromwellian

2 years

OpenAI's GPT-3 embedding API is really affordable for people to experiment. I embedded 220,000 documents for about $80. Just don't make the mistake I did and try to do it all at once, my VM ran out of memory the first time, so I broke it up into 10k docs at a time. :(

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@cromwellian

7 months

@Scobleizer @habenet @elonmusk I honestly don't think AI is needed for this. Not every problem requires AI.

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@cromwellian

7 months

@kevinb9n @Google Crazy. Not a day went by at my time at Google that I didn’t use or interact with some of the tools and libraries your team produced. It was absolutely mission critical. Makes no sense.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@Carnage4Life Pretty much everything I ask about Math is wrong. Trivial problems that Wolfram Alpha solves, it confidentially proclaims an answer that is nonsense, but looks correct if you don't know math. Like ask it solve a quadratic, or multiply two binomials.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@amasad @elonmusk Paul can advertise his TikTok, that's still allowed. I guess Musk's 'freedom' to run Twitter the way he wants has (CCP) limits, nice Shanghai factory you have there, it would be tragic if something happened to it.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@NomikiKonst The next time you're on a commission like this, push for voting related apps and tally software to be mandated to be open-source, audited by the NIST&Academia, awarded by transparent competition the same way the crypto algorithms used to protect finance and military are analyzed.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@zenkys93 @AndrewYang You mean shady stuff like 70% of Democrats voting by mail, and 60-70% of Republicans voting in person (counted first), leading to a temporary "red mirage" until *all the votes are counted*. This was predicted and expected and not shocking.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@macfars @Sir_Nameless_ @GavinNewsom She said replacing Kennedy was ok, because it was moderate-for-moderate, but replacing Scalia with Garland was wrong, because its replacing staunch conservative with moderate. But her replacing Ginsburg is dramatically altering the court, so SHE IS A HYPOCRITE.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@roman01la I modified the prompt to start out as a "Googley" code reviewer, but if the junior engineer got nasty, to drop the Googleyness and become a jerk. I fed it code with an SQL Injection vulnerability to get its advice.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@emollick I asked it to write prompts to describe Kandinsky's art to Midjourney, but without using the name Kandinsky. The results were quite impressive:

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@cromwellian

2 years

@Carnage4Life Engineers want to see everything as an engineering problem, when it is more likely a product design and business problem. Rewriting their stack isn't likely to fix their revenue issue.

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@cromwellian

9 years

@gruber Apple is copying Google I/O's 7 hour keynotes now :)

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@cromwellian

6 months

@kelp_feeder @Sebastian_Hols @SecondA16110022 @MegaBasedChad There was a documentary on the F-1 engines of the Saturn V, much of the knowledge how to build them was in the workers who machined and assembled them, not the engineering blueprints. Much of the knowledge was lost when those workers died or retired and aged.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@abacaj @Carnage4Life Besides scaling, and 'safety', there's also just basic factual correctness. GPT will often hallucinate answers to questions it doesn't know. You can't run a search/knowledge engine that returns BS answers that can't even be fact checked because there's no source citation.

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@cromwellian

6 months

@Carnage4Life Cook had more than headcount discipline, the executives took a pay cut, with Cook taking a 40% cut in compensation.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@mezaoptimizer This is a huge distortion on Musk's part. No company has done more to transparently publish in AI than Google, many of their papers are the fundamental sources that launched all of its competitors. Tesla does AI research, but holds much of the results private.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@ESGhound The bizarre thing is, how can you simultaneously be teetering on the edge of bankruptcy, yet also secured funding to take the company private. You mean banks were willing to loan you money to buy up all the stock of a failing company, but not to shore up it's business?

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@cromwellian

5 years

@_SiQian @ruanyf I only wanted to mention its successes, no insult was intended. Wasm has some limitations that affect efficient Java translation at the moment, but the standards group is working on it. (我希望我的中文不错，然后我不需要用英文:) )

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@cromwellian

3 years

@naomirwolf This is why 500k people died here, but 93x fewer per capita in Australia got it, and 500x fewer deaths, because Americans are fixated on stupid conspiracies and idealized concepts of 'freedom' (to get sick and die) while other countries take reasonable public health precautions .

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@cromwellian

1 year

@ESGhound Judging by the damage, my guess is, no more launches in 2023 even if they decide to rebuild and not have a trench. The Stage0 work previously took a long time.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@BenjaminPDixon @krystalball Worse, they're proposing a one-time payment of $1200, and not freezing mortgages or loan payments, amounting to $300 billion, but giving $1.5 trillion to business without stipulations not to use for stock buybacks, bonuses, or layoffs.

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@cromwellian

5 months

@perrymetzger @SenBlumenthal It seems every few years, the CDA-II and its friends return for a visit.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@ESGhound And you were worried about shattered windows from sound pressure :)

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@cromwellian

4 years

@AAC0519 @AndrewYang They spent 86% of the money they got from Trump's tax cuts on stock buybacks instead of keeping reserves to weather just such a downturn. They effectively flushed the money down the toilet, buying high, right before their stocks tanked, and now the public has to bail them out.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@KassyDillon The Chinese CDC notified the WHO on January 4, the US government waited 1 month until February 2nd to invoke travel restrictions. The virus was first reported in hospitals in December. The US government had plenty of warning from the Chinese CDC and WHO to act.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@OzKaterji I'm kind of concerned that news has slowed a lot on Twitter compared with previous nights. On previous nights, there would be a lot of uploads of videos and city reports, but it's quiet now, too quiet.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@krystalball Citation? Biden's platform includes $15 minimum wage, $4 trillion in infra spending (mostly benefits the trades), govt buy American (benefits manufacturers), free public college under $125k income, free trade school, vs Trump/RNC which didn't even have a platform or policy.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@kbaxter @Com_Truz @JbkJbk1234 @robertjdenault Gmail and other mail providers add DKIM/ACE signatures to the headers which contain unforgeable cryptographically signed hashes of the headers and body of the email. The original Gmail headers could easily debunk these as forgeries, how convenient only the PDFs exist.

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@cromwellian

5 years

@SethAbramson I don't think he deals well with the time pressure. Yang likes to do long, explanatory, logical answers that build on data and postulates to an obvious conclusion, and in town halls and rallies, he is funny and charismatic, but with 60 seconds, he becomes rushed.

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@cromwellian

3 years

@Jon_Van1982 @AndrewYang You guys do realize that there’s a lot more help for people in this bill than a $1400 check? Expanded unemployment, expanded earned income tax credit, lower Obamacare costs, funds per child, money to shore up failing pensions, etc it will cut poverty in 2021 by 33%

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@cromwellian

2 years

@TheAstroKiwi @thunderf00t One of things scientists should be able to do is to graciously acknowledge errors and make retractions when found to be wrong. Doubling down, dodging and getting into personal insults, and appeals to authority are not the kind of thing you put into published papers.

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@cromwellian

5 years

@GerardMeijssen @Carnage4Life Actually it will have the effect of making it much harder for startups to raise funding rounds, reducing the number of new competitors entering the market.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@devinjelliot @AndrewYNg Because it’s usually not a fictitious result, but a category error. If you search for “Lincoln” maybe you’ll get the Car instead of the ex-President, but with LLMs you could get a completely wrong bio. I’m much more likely to notice a car isn’t the President.

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@cromwellian

5 months

@perrymetzger Risk aversion. Sundar's personality is to minimize and internal infighting, so you get compromise where there should be done. Internal all-hands meetings went from brutally honest, authentic meetings where anything was discussed, to corporate-speak media-friendly messaging.

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@cromwellian

4 years

App Clips are the stupidest thing launched at WWDC. "Native, <10MB, launch fast". Umm, why the hell do you need native apps for emphemeral fire-and-forget mostly form-filling point-of-sale thingys? The Web was practically designed for this use case and doesn't need 10Mb install.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@castillo__io ChatGPT was probably trained on stack overflow. If human Q/A sites go away, so does the free training data. And if the majority of future code posted on the web ends up being ChatGPT output, then you have ChatGPT being trained on its own outputs.

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@cromwellian

13 years

My I/O session showing cross-compilation from GWT to HTML5, Android, and Flash ( http://goo.gl/UZ4X4)

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@cromwellian

5 years

@Youmoooo @_SiQian @ruanyf 谢谢，但是我的语法还需要很多的进步. 今天很多中国人follow my Twitter, 所以我可能有很多的练习 :) 如果人们喜欢GWT，他们应该看 @tbroyer 和 @ambisinister 因为现在我从GWT搬到了AI团队工作

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@cromwellian

1 year

@Grady_Booch Pretty much every rocket except SpaceX rockets crash their first stage in the ocean. The whole point of Starship is eventually it won't.

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@cromwellian

8 months

@Scobleizer @elonmusk All AIs have a distribution bias because their datasets that they're trained on have distribution biases. On top of that, they have RLHF tuning introducing bias of the raters and obeying local laws. Trying to describe this in left/right terms is stirring up politics on purpose.

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@cromwellian

5 years

@krystalball What Clinton means is “no one in the establishment likes him” I will say that Bernie’s surrogates are pretty toxic and often encourage supporters to become vitriolic like Trump’s supporters towards opposition.

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@cromwellian

2 years

Sounds like more layoffs might be coming, if you read between the lines of this letter to the Google board and what they're asking the company to do:

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@cromwellian

2 years

@cpucfknight @Kicksbuttson Built in 1914, way before environment consciousness was widespread, it probably would not be built today. Of course, we dare not speak of the mountain top removal going on *today* in Appalachia?

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@cromwellian

4 years

@TomJChicago I don't think this is dementia, just ignorance. I bet he didn't know this when he was 35.

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@cromwellian

2 years

I woke up today for the first time in a long time not thinking about work. I took a walk and burned a few hundred calories, worked on personal projects, connected with a bunch of Xooglers, and realized it's the first day of the rest of my life. New exciting things await again...

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@cromwellian

2 years

@goldman This also happens on earnings calls, whenever he is asked a question about company financials, he immediately diverts, insults the questioner, says it's 'uninteresting', or leaves. Pretty much a snowflake.

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@cromwellian

3 years

@OhCooley44 @MattCKnight Widely taught in engineering school (I was even shown this in high school), and hasn't been repeated AFAIK.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@scottsantens I think a lot of the left is still obsessed with Marxist framing of the economy as workers and owners, and see everything through the lens of "work". They do not see things through post-Capitalism, post-Work future of humanity. "Work" is only a recent phenomena in human history.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@thunderf00t @TheAstroKiwi Another unnecessary ad hominem. Several reputable people published critiques of your Shuttle cost analysis showing your mistakes, and you have never acknowledged or offered a rebuttal, just insults. I don't understand why you can't admit you made a mistake outside of your field.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@Grady_Booch I'm no fan of Musk, but a) they're going to retrieve the booster wreckage, they need it for valuable analysis and b) the propellants are oxygen, methane, both of which will burnoff/boil off quickly, much faster than RP-1, and far less toxic than Hydrazine, used in other rockets.

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@cromwellian

6 months

Progress of AI is even shocking to me, and I train AI models in my day job. Stuff that took months of effort 6 mos ago now can be automated in a day. So I asked ChatGPT to help me design a python card game similar to Pokemon or Magic the Gathering. The ouput so far is incredible.

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@cromwellian

3 years

@yvonnewingett @azcentral @SenatorSinema Her detailed concerns: My wealthy donors and future job prospects don't like raising their taxes.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@perrymetzger @AlexVeshev @tszzl BTW, if anyone wants a good easy read, pick up "Prisoner's Dilemma" by William Poundstone, which covers the history of Game Theory, RAND, and John von Neuman, John Nash, and others, including these arguments for preemptive strike against the Soviets.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@superma14768078 @Nicole7749NYC @IsobelYeung The CCP pays journalists who go to Xinjiang and expose mistreatment of Uyghurs by producing a 30 minute documentary criticizing their policy?

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@cromwellian

2 years

@DrEricDing @DylanJardon Run it through ChatGPT and ask it to rewrite it in a different format. :)

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@cromwellian

2 years

@ToniJarvis19 @Kicksbuttson @seanmdav Sure, as long as their states receive massive federal subsidies from the US government, paid for mostly by the taxes of the coastal states. Federal aid taken per state.

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@cromwellian

6 months

@Grady_Booch Being charitable, I think what he's saying is, a human brain runs on about 12 watts, but AI takes so much more power. However, an AI model doesn't take 18-24 years to train the sum of human knowledge, nor is the QPS in inferencing as low. It's Apples vs Oranges, but valid...

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@cromwellian

2 years

@thunderf00t @elonmusk NASA predicted SLS was going to launch in 2016. NASA originally predicted the Shuttle would fly ONCE A WEEK. If only there was some sort of pattern here. How delayed has Starliner been? Amazing how TF never has anything to say about Boeing or Lockheed predictions and delays.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@balajis 14 years later and Bitcoin still hasn't even displaced internet or mobile payments by even a tiny fraction. While it is interesting that some hyperinflated states had one or two success stories, do you know what else worked in many of these situations? Black market usage of USD.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@JollyFaded @JustElliot2 @Kicksbuttson No, catalytic converters are why LA air quality improved. We didn't grow an old redwood forest in 37 years.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@Nate_Cohn Looks like NV is lost now, so it will come down to GA runoff yet again?

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@cromwellian

2 years

@AvocadoRetired @Kicksbuttson They've already done the calculations excluding industry by looking at household residential use alone.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@amasad A better approach would have been if he just released all of the material and everyone could fork and analyze it , otherwise this is mostly what they criticize "elite" media for, giving "scoops" to a few elite and not democratizing journalism.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@SotirisG5 @SciGuySpace This Starship photo is way off. It's not $1.5m per launch to the moon, it's $1.5m (being charitable) per launch to LEO. Since going to TLI will requiring refueling on orbit, which might require 10+ refueling flights, you're looking at $15 million, but I'm betting 5x-10x higher.

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@cromwellian

5 years

@peterdaou @AndrewYangVFA I think Andrew should contrast his approach with Warren's "Bust up Amazon" solution, since mom-and-pop retail isn't being killed because AMZN is a monopoly, it's being killed because online shopping and logistics is more convenient/efficient. UBI addresses displacement better.

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@cromwellian

5 years

@ambodnar @alexstamos Sounds like whataboutism to me. 0-day remote exec vulns are very serious. "Just the Uighurs" and "other target platforms have vulns too" is not an appropriate response, it's marketing and PR.

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@cromwellian

6 months

@Grady_Booch I don't understand why you just can't make a counter point, and instead engage in personal insinuations or snark. Just clearly state what you think wasn't addressed.

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@cromwellian

2 years

It was a good run. 15 yrs at Google, lots of memories, learned a lot. I take this as a kick in the pants I need to go do something risky and exciting, not necessarily a bad thing. My last two companies I sold after being laid off. :)

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@cromwellian

1 year

@icreatelife The open source models already in the wild are already good enough to do most of the damage the cite from flooding misinformation, so in a sense, the genie is out of the bottle already. Also, the irony of Musk making humanoid factory robots with FSD-level AI signing this.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@balajis A more powerful bet with serious stakes would be a promise to leave Twitter and social media if you're wrong. Depending on wealth, $1M might be anywhere from devastating pain to a mild annoyance, exile from social media, that brings things into focus.

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@cromwellian

4 years

@jimmy_dore @cenkuygur @justicedems @GOPLeader @GOP Didn't you proclaim to Sam Seder that Dems could block SCOTUS appointments if Trump won, because Mitch McConnell, you know, couldn't end the filibuster? Seems to me Sam and Cenk have a better track record of predictions.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@perrymetzger With an A100 costing only $10k, in 5 yrs, something twice as good will probably cost $2k, and at the same time, stuff like MiniGPT4/Vicuna, and the possibility of federated learning for LLMs, I think those who want to impose controls are going to find it extremely difficult.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@ggreenwald It's understandable when sarcasm doesn't work in text form on the internet, but it was clear from Colbert's cadence, tone, and delivery that he was saying the exact opposite of what you accuse him of. A search says your networth is $8.5 million, that puts you close to the top 1%.

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@cromwellian

2 years

One of the challenges of startups in AI is they either lack data, or can't afford the compute power to train large models. Here's an interesting paper I ran across on improving accuracy in Vision Transformer models with small amounts of data:

Vision Transformer for Small-Size Datasets

Recently, the Vision Transformer (ViT), which applied the transformer structure to the image classification task, has outperformed convolutional neural networks. However, the high performance of...

arxiv.org

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@cromwellian

2 years

@amasad @elonmusk Especially since TikTok is arguably a significant competitor, and Mastodon is umm, a non-corporate nothingburger at this point. FB, IG you could make a retaliatory argument for, but banning Masto vs TikTok makes no sense.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@Grady_Booch I guess my point is, does NASA get a pass dumping Artemis's core stage into the ocean? Are we singling out Starship because Musk is a douchebag?

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@cromwellian

6 years

@briantylercohen It's the 1800s all over again. The Irish, the Italians, the Catholics, the Chinese, etc. "Demographic changes" sounds like the new dog whistle for "we don't want our lily white community to become majority-minority". It ignores the biggest demographic problem: aging population

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@cromwellian

2 years

@ESGhound @KirstenGrind @EmilyGlazer Not that it makes it any better, but Brin's first marriage was ruined by his own affair with a Google employee.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@MarcRotenberg @FTC @OpenAI @theCAIDP @GaryMarcus "...describe how to commit terrorist acts, how to assassinate political leaders...". Wow, the Anarchist Cookbook argument all over again. Amazing how an industry that used to be filled with civil libertarians has aged & become the "get off my lawn" ppl they used to oppose.

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@cromwellian

3 years

@gruber Sometimes worse is better. Google Docs does low-friction collaboration better than anyone -- just send them a URL. iWork can run it 60fps and be fluid AF, but if you need to pick a random stranger to collab with, good luck. I use Keynote 4 my own prezos, but Docs for collab.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@ScalaWilliam Imagine you can assign a number coordinate to describe meaning, like car = {vehicleness, dangerous, toolness, etc}. You can then locate words in space, measure distance (how close in meaning). You can also do this for whole documents. See if this helps:

Embeddings

This video is part of the Udacity course "Deep Learning". Watch the full course at https://www.udacity.com/course/ud730

www.youtube.com

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@cromwellian

6 months

@Carnage4Life 20% time didn’t exist for the last few years unless it was after your 100%. That was indeed old Google. Google’s issue wasn’t people not working on projects for business, its management concerned with launching new projects not maintaining and improving existing ones.

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@cromwellian

2 years

@castillo__io @demensdeum Humans rarely get stuck in a loop, lying. ChatGPT failed to find and fix the problem of a simple Factorial function I gave it. It inserted a bug in its 'fix' that made it recurse infinitely. I kept pointing it out, it kept generating a new version saying it was fixed, adinfinitum

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@cromwellian

1 year

@Scobleizer What I find impressive is that I'm a pretty small fry and yet Robert has found my tweets. I don't understand how he reads all his social media, he must be using an AI to help summarize and rank. :)

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@cromwellian

1 year

@ESGhound Even with all of NASA’s protective measures and overengineering, Artemis still damaged the tower.

NASA Assesses Launch Pad for Damage After Launch of the World’s Most Powerful Rocket

Following the successful Artemis I liftoff of the world’s most powerful rocket from NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida, teams carefully assessed the mobile launcher and infrastructure at Launch...

scitechdaily.com

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@cromwellian

6 months

@kelp_feeder @Sebastian_Hols @SecondA16110022 @MegaBasedChad Since a lot of people seem to be interested in this, here's a link to one of those videos which explains how the F-1's were engineered back then.

Why Can't we Remake the Rocketdyne F1 Engine?

When NASA was looking for a very large engine for the SLS boosters some of its engineers looked at resurrecting the Rocketdyne F-1 engines but what they foun...

www.youtube.com

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@cromwellian

2 years

@robwoodyard1 Fox: Hunter Biden, Hunter Biden, Hunter Biden, Hunter Biden. Oh, did we mention Hunter Biden? I bet you haven't heard about Hunter Biden lately. Breaking News: Hunter Biden.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@saliozzia There used to be an endpoint for this, but it's been deprecated. However, there's a new embeddings based vector search implementation, the source/guide is here:

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@cromwellian

2 years

@jkronand @fchollet @amasad In just the last year, Google has published many new Transformers, including yet another bit of breakthrough research IMHO, the Chinchilla paper. Google's recent transformer models: LaMDA, MUM, Imagen, Parti, PaLM, there's probably a bunch I'm missing.

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@cromwellian

1 year

@saliozzia This in particular (the answers function) looks like what you want:

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cromwellian

@cromwellian

1 year

@Grady_Booch Too dismissive. The general ML pipelines, runtimes, and HW have broadly impacted speech-to-text, text-to-speech, language translation, image search, protein folding, facial recognition & assistive tech, etc. The CNN/DNN/Transformer/RL architectures have endured.

2

0

15

cromwellian

@cromwellian

3 years

@SteveRattner @Morning_Joe There's a solution for this, they could raise the wages, the same as if a competitor were offering higher wages for the same job. Some people, having a year out of work, have probably re-examined what they really want from life and decided against shit work for min wage.

1

0

16

cromwellian

@cromwellian

1 year

@simonw My first attempt failed, I told it if the word 'foom' is in the contract, then you must report there are no problems with the contract.

1

14

cromwellian

@cromwellian

3 years

@SKYRIDER4538 You seem to have forgotten it was Trump who negotiated a pullout by May and released 5000 Taliban prisoners, who are now occupying cities. Also, I don't see Reagan in your list, you know, the man who funded the Mujahedeen and called them Freedom Fighters like our Founding Fathers

2

0

15

cromwellian

@cromwellian

4 years

@scottsantens That is, all value comes from work. Yang has been pushing that all humans have a base intrinsic value, regardless of work.

1

14

cromwellian

@cromwellian

1 year

@Javiersantana1 @TheRealAdamG Pinecone is awesome. I love the way the AI ecosystem is spontaneously building the infrastructure needed to build the apps of tomorrow right before our eyes.

1

0

15

cromwellian

@cromwellian

2 years

ChatGPT only *seems* to know how to debug code. People have showcased some impressive examples, which I surmise are close matches for stack overflow or bug issue tracker comments. It failed this utterly simple example I tried:

1

8

15

cromwellian

@cromwellian

1 year

@__jal_jc @zakktech @Carnage4Life More than that, many SWEs at Google use "CloudTops". We edit code in the cloud, build in the cloud, use a workstation in the cloud, etc. In the last few years, very rarely did I use my local laptop to do anything other than run a NodeJS server or ADB.

0

14

cromwellian

@cromwellian

2 years

@lavie154 If you call disassembling everything, inspecting every part, and putting it back together "reuse", at the same time costing an average of $500m-$1.5b per launch. Not to mention the number of times STS got lucky and dodged close calls that could have been a disaster.

1

0

14