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@chasetxwx

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Shallow cold air always wins. Firm believer in the HRRR. Great state of TX. Storm chaser.

Abilene, TX
Joined July 2014
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 months
North side of Abilene, TX. Has since roped out but could recycle. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
β€œDeath ridge” setting up next week
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
After countless research and studying of model trends and observations, I’ve come up with a possible storm track for #Fiona . Any questions and input are welcome.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
BRUH. I’m getting worried for next week… Let’s see how this trends? #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
I know ERCOT sweating bullets right now… #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
80Β° below average is absurd. Whatever it is it’s coming south.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
POWER IS OUT. Ice weighing down power lines in south Abilene #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Son of a #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Tonight’s ICON now has temperatures up to 90 degrees below average (is that even possible) in Montana/southern Canada before spilling south. TX will enter a hard and deep freeze for a few days. Protect life and property. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Put this in a museum. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Well gonna be fun (or not fun depending on how you look at it) to see exactly when, where, and how strong this mama front comes in. Prepare for extreme cold possibilities. THIS WILL *NOT* BE FEB 2021 REPEAT. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
Unreal scenes in Abilene #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 months
My first tornado ever! North side of Abilene #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 years
Snapmap showing MAJOR DAMAGE in Jonesboro, Arkansas... #arwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
I knew it would do this! GFS clearly trending west and starting to align with all other models. MAJOR cold coming.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Dam is going to burst and flood south. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Troubling times ahead
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Today’s ICON still advertising an extreme arctic cold snap starting in the NW U.S. then spilling south down the plains before bleeding east. Latest GFS also corrected west some. CMC shows extreme cold as well. Continue to monitor this as this will be dangerous cold. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
So. It might be happening…
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Unreal. From my neighborhood near Buffalo Gap #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
Is the grid ready ERCOT? #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Lawd she coming #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Dryline Friday πŸ‘€
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 years
More from Lueders with storm chasers! #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Looks wild #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
9 months
Can we bring this back this winter
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
00z GFS has snow in DFW Thursday evening. Sustained N winds up to 35MPH in Abilene with gusts well over 50+MPH. Single digits in both cities. Biggest ERCOT test since February 2021. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Already some clearing 😳 #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
ICON known to handle these air masses well. Even with no snow cover for *most* of TX these actual temperatures are something else and very concerning. It’s coming. Solid 40-50 degrees below average across the state in the heart of winter is not good. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
It’ll be gone next run. Hopefully πŸ˜‚
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
NWS offices rn
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
NAM finally in range for the winter precip coming to east TX. Out to late Sunday night at this snapshot. Let’s see how it trends. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
18z GFS ticked colder and tad slower with eastern progression.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
It’s happening boys…
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
SE freaking out rn πŸ˜‚
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 years
Highways completely snow covered in Abilene. Very dangerous travel. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
@DanielM25183045 Nothing but hot and sadness underneath the center of the dome, maybe some severe storms that ride the top of the ridge around the periphery way up in the northern plains
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Actually getting nervous about tomorrow, PLEASE HAVE A SHELTER IN MIND!!!
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
18z high res NAM. Looks like a lot but it will mainly be freezing drizzle/light freezing rain/sleet/snow imo. I-35 could be a mess. Let’s see how it evolves because remember these air masses always come faster south. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Todays ICON. Actual temperatures valid next Friday evening. It’s coming… only thing between arctic air and the plains are barbed wire fences.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
The end of the HRRR run is wild #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
5 years
THUNDER SLEET IN ABILENE! ❄️ ⚑️This has happened multiple times!!! #txwx @TxStormChasers @NWSSanAngelo @WeatherNation @weatherchannel @accuweather
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
I expect freezing rain all the way down to Houston. Shallow cold air always wins. This may get pushed a tad south and east because of that. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Much less severe. Yesterdays euro left and this morning euro right. Knew yesterdays was not going to happen lol.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
@VMCat The center of the ridge (which in this case is the 600 circle) setting up somewhere in the central plains. The higher the number the stronger the ridge. Big heat maker which suppresses storm development (slim rain chances) under the ridge. High GPM = calm wx/very hot.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Gfs was probably out to lunch. I like the euro much better although may be holding it back west a bit. Either way it’s coming yall. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
RIP I-35 lol #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Could be a historic day tomorrow. Storm Prediction Center will have an outlook update before 1AM.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Snow in south tx according to the 06z GFS on Christmas night. Probably will be gone next run, right?
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@chasetxwx
Chase
10 months
No context on the 372th hour of the GFS
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
She’s coming. But any winter precip will be likely confined to mainly the northern half of TX. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Even with a cap in some spots this kind of sharp dryline would ignite isolated supercells on Tuesday
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
That’s a lot of green #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
…
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
It’s coming.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Asking for a friend how reliable is the GFS at hour 360 πŸ€ͺ
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@chasetxwx
Chase
11 months
4PM Sunday ACTUAL temperatures is insane from the 00z ICON. Shallow cold fronts always come faster and colder than most global models. Saturday may get a taste of the chill up north but Sunday is the main push. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
It’s a ways out but when the dam breaks and the beavers 🦫 can’t rebuild the wall from Canada invading there will be a chance for some winter precip. CPC has above average precip chances pretty much everywhere EXCEPT SW TX.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
Lowering rotating base west of Buffalo Gap #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
ICON 12z β€”> 18z has a better look/colder #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
11 months
Still looks like the coldest cold front so far this season coming at the very end of this month. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Insane look out of Buffalo Gap #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
11 months
MASSIVE arctic cold front to blast through TX Sunday (although it will β€œtrickle” in as early as Friday/Saturday with first of two fronts). Expecting a first freeze for many in TX as well, winter precipitation begins Sunday in the panhandle. Feels like temps 4PM Sun. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
9 months
No
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@chasetxwx
Chase
1 year
We really doing this again tomorrow?
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Sometimes droughts end with floods #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
11 months
Bye bye 100’s, 90’s and morning lows not getting below room temperature 😏
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Past 7 runs of the CMC model. While we are not looking at a full blown winter storm in TX, precip chances may be going up slightly some for parts. My worry was the front would undercut the moisture quickly, but there are hints it is trying to squeeze some out. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
18z HRRR shows a concerning environment in north TX and this is only at noon Friday. SPC also issued a rare Day 3 update… #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
18z HRRR at lunchtime Tue. Already 3K CAPE/dews in 60’s and building.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
I am shutting down I-35 until further notice
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@chasetxwx
Chase
10 months
Euro also on board with troughing out west near Thanksgiving! Ensembles left, operational run right. If this is true then big cold coming πŸ‘€
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
HRRR continues to slow. BIG problems Friday…
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Bruh full blown blizzard
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@chasetxwx
Chase
7 months
Looks like we are not done with winter precipitation chances in TX #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
EURO JOINS THE OTHER MODELS! #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Now in range to Monday morning, looking good.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
NAM finally in range for the winter precip coming to east TX. Out to late Sunday night at this snapshot. Let’s see how it trends. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
WOAH! 12z ICON with insane Siberian front next week… Shifted west. Windshield wiper effect continues. This can and will change some. All depends on track of trough. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Wow what a run
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Welp that’s something… another west shift in GFS.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
4 years
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
18z HRRR Noon tomorrow, incredible... #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
A glaze of ice is all you need for serious issues on roads. That will be the case for many starting Monday morning. I-20 and I-35 will be a mess with slick spots scattered throughout. Cold air continues to trend even colder which I anticipated. DONT be out unnecessarily! #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Dallas on Friday πŸ˜‚
@mcdougal_wx
Malik M
2 years
QOTD: What Tornado is this? #wxtwitter
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@chasetxwx
Chase
12 days
Looks promising! Bye bye summer πŸ™ #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
What the gfs doin next weekend
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Current temps are colder than what most models had. My saying of shallow cold air always wins still holds true.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Updraft helicity swaths show strong tornado potential for the I-35 corridor Monday afternoon. Tomorrow is one of those days when it’s critical to have a plan in place. Storm Prediction Center update coming soon. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
⚠️ BATTLE STATIONS. The Siberian front has entered TX. Man your station! #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Quite the difference in model solutions. All I know is cold air is definitely coming. CMC (GEM) has a cold bias and GFS has a progressive bias.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
Yikes…
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@chasetxwx
Chase
10 months
Is that… El NiΓ±o πŸ‘€πŸ§β€β™‚οΈ
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@chasetxwx
Chase
8 months
So far every model (ICON, CMC, GFS) has been trending even colder. I am starting to get worried for TX. Actual temps in single digits with a breeze would make a lot of issues. Cars having trouble starting. Animals left outside could die, etc.
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Getting more serious. We haven’t had to pay attention to the weather in months but we really should now. Flash flooding expected over the next week, especially near the I-35 corridor. Have a plan in place! #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Fridays severe threat has definitely pushed a bunch east from previous thoughts… #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
5 years
11:25 PM Abilene update. This is all SLEET AND IT HURTS! #txwx @TxStormChasers
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@chasetxwx
Chase
3 years
00z euro also uptrends in the latest update. Keep in mind this model is never good with these air masses temp wise, and the wintry precip line could be even farther south. #txwx
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@chasetxwx
Chase
10 months
Cold air has won
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@chasetxwx
Chase
2 years
Unreal, never gets old, shallow… cold… air… always… WINS. February 2021 had same kind of shallowness, models busted with temps, nothing can stop it from coming south except barbed wire fences at the surface. Abilene temp low 20s feel like ~10Β° at 3PM Monday. #txwx
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