caseybmulligan @caseybmulligan Twitter profile

Pinned Tweet

caseybmulligan

4 years

SAD: Look at this Cook County chart. I had estimated that pandemic increased opioid overdoses by 20%. Maybe a good number for late Mar or early Apr, but by May: 40%. 1/4

9

74

126

Last Seen Profiles

@youknowigotyou_

@stw_pdg

@zouzoudamowang

@Mercadolibre

@jackstackedfree

@BinorRaja

@brettperkins_

@935KDAY

@tcsflagfootball

@nbu_vr

@timothyrenshaw

@dududochie

@Stredocech1892

@ESPNNY98_7FM

@lefty_516

@prez1911

@FlashSiberia

@mil_heesc

@aattenaa

@bokeplokalmalam

@KVann22

@fintokei

@NSFestOfficiel

@KimbcutasPhd

@sasuratteru

@MikeAnders97

@HayleyNICU_RD

@MGeard15909

@HutchinsonHutc7

@avbayramtaskin

@EIENofficial

@SugarMurder

@jn_csf

@RogueFootball_

@lizzielcain

@MLKolClub

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

The Young were not Spared: What Death Certificates Reveal about Non-Covid Excess Deaths with Rob Arnott, 2022 Medical journals tried to suppress these findings and succeeded, until now. This health emergency continues. @DrJBhattacharya @TracyBethHoeg

24

282

653

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Did anyone notice the implicit marriage tax in section 23001 of BBB? Could easily be $20K/yr that a couple has children under 5. How is that Building Back Better? More marriage taxes in other sections.

31

169

455

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Well written and interesting piece. Ends with well-deserved acknowledgement of @DrJBhattacharya @MartinKulldorff

20

135

438

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Here is our government ( @FDA ) slandering its citizens, ignoring its own findings in order to describe many of them as animals. According to the @FDA 's own Orange Book, Ivermectin (tablet) has been approved for HUMAN use since 1998. By 2014, it was available in generic form. 1/2

14

149

395

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Oops

24

132

333

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

How quaint! Way back in 2008 the ACLU opposed "punitive, police-state tactics, such as forced examinations, vaccination and treatment, and criminal sanctions for those individuals who did not follow the rules." @DrJBhattacharya

9

43

263

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

9 days

I'll let others argue the effect of inflation on housing costs. Here are 16 other ways that Biden-Harris made new houses more expensive, whether owned or rented. They tightened regulations on: microwave ovens (88 FR 39912), conventional ovens (89 FR 11434), 1/3

11

97

272

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

These new estimates of school-closure costs are remarkably close to what I predicted in April 2020, which was that 1.5 academic years on Zoom would cost 0.75 years of learning, worth about $32K PER STUDENT. published version:

Test scores show historic COVID setbacks for kids across US

New national test results show that the pandemic spared no part of the country as it caused historic learning setbacks for America’s children.

apnews.com

7

47

169

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Chicago Thinkers! ⁦ @ThinkerChicago ⁩

8

19

162

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Bolton is wrong; I was there.

Bolton Is Wrong; I Was There | RealClearPolitics

Excerpts of John Boltons tell all memoir already show how he has distorted the truth, omitted important context, and contradicts critical facts in...

www.realclearpolitics.com

4

57

120

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

What exactly did stay-at-home policies accomplish? A new study finds more virus spread inside homes than work places. via @WSJOpinion @MaryAnastasiaOG

Opinion | Lockdowns Didn’t Stop Covid

A new study finds more virus spread inside homes than work places.

www.wsj.com

10

47

146

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

How do you accidentally cheat on the y scale? I don’t know any software that would do this automatically

The White House

@WhiteHouse

3 years

We just learned that President Biden’s first year in office was the strongest year for economic growth since 1984.

3K

5K

17K

6

11

141

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

"I have been shocked at the enormous power of government, to unilaterally decree, to simply close businesses & schools by edict...without any end and little accountability." Me too. This part was totally absent from CEA's 2019 report on pandemics.

1

43

132

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

12 days

If only there were an equilibrium presentation of price controls. Even better, with grocery ceilings as a leading example. Oh wait ... forthcoming in Public Choice.

2

38

145

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

@DrJBhattacharya It's worse -- the panic and disruption made it more expensive/difficult to cope with chronic conditions. Those conditions got worse and sometimes ended in death. I estimate the annual rate of nonCOVID deaths has been elevated 100K since April 2020. Plus other sacrifices. 1/2

6

22

128

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

At least one Congressperson thinks that the bonus is $300/month. No, it's $300 per week. Not an important detail to her -- it's not her expense -- it's ours.

Ilhan Omar

@IlhanMN

3 years

The interests of big business are at war with the interests of the working class. They will spend millions of dollars to take $300 a month away from you and your family, to force you to work for them for pennies. Their greed has no bounds.

277

1K

6K

11

36

116

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

It arrived!!

2

4

119

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

10 months

Loyalty oaths have arrived in Economics. Thomas Sowell need not apply.

7

13

121

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

9 days

"False" is the new True. The inflation reduction act DID cut Medicare steeply, and Dems are just now realizing it because they don't understand price controls.

Trump’s wrong about claim Harris voted to ‘cut Medicare’

Former President Donald Trump claimed Vice President Kamala Harris cast the vote allowing a nearly $300 billion cut in Medicare spending. But the government’s spending less on Medicare programs...

www.politifact.com

2

21

112

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

How to get published in the @nytimes : crop the data and then conclude that gas is failing when it falls short of 9X wind. Don't mention that it is normally 1.4X. @veronica_penney why did you start your chart on Feb 11? [ht to @JoeBalagtas ]

6

44

105

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 month

6 years ago we at CEA45 released a report on how central planning and other aspects of socialism were making a comeback in the U.S. It was widely mocked as an irrelevant fever dream.

President Biden

@POTUS

1 month

I’m sending a clear message to corporate landlords: If you raise rents more than 5%, you should lose valuable tax breaks. Families deserve housing that’s affordable – it's part of the American dream.

12K

8K

34K

7

18

104

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Nursing homes have been doing something right this year. Biden's vaccine mandate for NH staff "fixes" what is not obviously broken, with potentially more than 1/3 of nursing home staff having to leave their positions. The positions are important inputs in producing longevity.

12

23

84

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

First-class labor economist and cofounder of STATA, Finis Welch, has died unexpectedly. The @uchicago PhD showed how unemployment benefits are a subsidy for layoffs, how modern agriculture is education intensive, and much more.

A Data Pioneer: Honoring the Accomplished Career of Finis Welch | BFI

By all accounts, no data could hide its secrets from Finis Welch. He can claim more than 30 years of success in the business world and oversees the 9000-acre Center Ranch in Centerville, Texas, but...

bfi.uchicago.edu

3

33

84

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

I'm confused -- are we talking about the 3rd derivative of the price level or the 4th?

6

11

82

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

20 days

Price controls --> discrimination. From my forthcoming Public Choice paper and, of course, Demsetz 60 years before.

Phil Kerpen

@kerpen

20 days

The Biden-Harris administration and Tim Walz worked together to racially allocate monoclonal antibodies, denying whites lifesaving treatment because of their race. FDA prohibited this under Trump. They allowed it under Biden-Harris starting May 2021 and Walz implemented it.

5

78

158

0

17

83

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

When Argentina regulates retail beef prices, the non-price attributes of beef change dramatically. When USA regulates the price of job, why wouldn't the non-price attributes of jobs change dramatically? Do jobs have too few non-price attributes? Argentina pic from this week

10

79

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

5 years

Chicago Price Theory by Jaffe Minton Mulligan Murphy

3

22

70

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

When we asked our restaurant employees to come back, almost all said, ‘No thanks.’ If they return to work, they’ll have to take a pay cut, writes Kurt Huffman via @WSJ

Opinion | Our Restaurants Can’t Reopen Until August

Employees refuse to return to work as long as they’re getting an extra $600 a week.

www.wsj.com

21

41

60

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

USSR had “Scientific planning” while the USA — foolishly, Samuelson said — let chaos take its course. Such assertions still appeared in the 1989 edition, coauthored with Nordhaus by then.

Jon Hartley

@Jon_Hartley_

3 years

On the topic of Russia, beginning in the 1961 edition of his famous "Economics" principles textbook, MIT economist Paul Samuelson famously predicted that the USSR GNP/GDP would eclipse that of the United States by the end of the 20th century. Never quite panned out.

21

34

232

2

4

65

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 months

Yes in Europe too. This has always been a major theme in my public Econ course. What about regulation? Certainly COVID regulation was in that direction.

Chris Pope

@CPopeHC

4 months

The welfare state mostly redistributes from young to old, rather than from rich to poor.

52

226

1K

5

12

69

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

"Blended learning appears to have become accepted as a foregone conclusion for US schools, with little acknowledgement of how radical it is."

2

20

61

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Since Trump left office, U.S. oil production has fallen at least 10 percent relative to Canada and Russia. Why do they get to increase their production in response to high oil prices and we don't? Another way is to look at the state of supply -- U.S. is almost 2 MMB/D short.

5

28

65

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

@DrJBhattacharya They also forget that meeting other people is why we’re are 1000X more productive than cave men… more productive at just about everything, including disease prevention.

2

12

63

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 year

With externalities, there can be a third way between uncoordinated individual action and state action. From my first public finance class, I wanted this idea better integrated with the rest of the PF. 20 years later, here is a step in that direction:

Beyond Pigou: externalities and civil society in the supply–demand framework

Public Choice - The extent of voluntary cooperation in the presence of externalities is shown as an equilibrium outcome in the supply and demand framework. The analysis uses familiar ingredients to...

link.springer.com

1

18

67

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

9 days

furnaces (88 FR 87502), boilers (88 FR 60152), heat pumps (89 FR 44052), lamps (89 FR 28856), and light bulbs. 3/3

2

6

65

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Big sample. Because there cannot be negative cases, a Bayesian must conclude that in-person instruction makes students, teachers, and staff safer. And of course better learning.

0

21

58

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

CDC study finds 1 case in school transmission for each 10270 person weeks. To put that in perspective, that is 285 years of schooling to at best avoid one case. Enough to send 13 people from K to med school diploma! 1/2 via @CDCgov

COVID-19 Cases and Transmission in 17 K–12 Schools ...

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted in-person learning in the United States, with approximately one half of all students receiving online-only instruction since March 2020.

www.cdc.gov

3

36

61

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

The lexicon evolves. “Follow the science” now means “pull something out of thin air to make your donors happy”

Jeffrey A Tucker

@jeffreyatucker

3 years

Wow, NYT, after a full year, admits this.

143

2K

4K

4

17

60

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

"Trump’s Economy Really Was Better Than Obama’s" says @karlbykarlsmith

2

28

58

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Refreshing to see Econ prof against competition. Excellent rhetorical trick: even without any externality it gives the appearance of one—those darn competitors harming rivals. He is 100% correct that competition undermines supplier objectives, whether profit or something else.

Mushfiq Mobarak

@mushfiq_econ

2 years

Yale or any one institution cannot easily introduce such a "conditional Ph.D. grant program" alone, because applicants will flock to competitors (Chicago, Stanford, Berkeley...) that offer unconditional grants. Changing equilibrium requires coordination - hence this tweet🧵 [7/7]

10

0

75

2

11

61

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Before dismissing out of hand, can we at least consider the idea that schools are better open regardless of how many COVID cases are in the community? France not only considers, but embraces.

France relaxes Covid rules in schools despite 'exponential' rise in national infections

Elementary and primary classes will now only shut when at least three pupils test positive, up from one under previous rules

www.telegraph.co.uk

0

14

57

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 year

I am embarrassed to have fallen for NYTimes' catch and kill scheme. Finally got the copyright back and it is published tonight by @ThinkerChicago .

Exclusive from Key Trump Economists: The NYT-Suppressed Story of Operation Warp Speed

Following this Thinker prologue is an exclusive op-ed by University of Chicago Professors Casey Mulligan and Tomas Philipson on former

thechicagothinker.com

4

19

59

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

9 days

stovetops (89 FR 11434), refrigerators (89 FR 3026), freezers (89 FR 3026), washing machines (89 FR 19026), dish washers (89 FR 31398), clothes dryers (89 FR 18164), water heaters (89 FR 37778), air conditioners (89 FR 44052), ceiling fans (88 FR 40932) 2/3

2

5

63

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

When Steve Jobs spoke truth to President Obama. Obama would head decisively in the other direction (much more business regulatio, more deference to teacher union). Source:

5

18

59

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 months

Please sign . Remember: the protesters demand violations of the Kalven Report, which is @Uchicago 's exceptional and distinctive doctrine of institutional neutrality. They could have attended one of the 1000s of other Kalvenless universities and colleges,

2,537 people signed and won this petition

UChicago Must Remove the Encampment

www.change.org

7

16

60

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 months

"Remember when progressives said the Trump Administration’s rollback of net neutrality would break the internet? FCC Chair Jessica Rosenworcel now concedes this was wrong, yet she plans to reclaim political control over the internet anyway"

Opinion | The Biden FCC Brakes the Internet With Net Neutrality

The agency revives Obama’s Title II regulation that slowed investment and kept broadband prices high.

www.wsj.com

1

19

58

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 year

Aged well: My 3 reasons in 2020 to have schools open -schools are overwhelmingly young people -schools & employers have more supply and demand for prevention than households, due to the size difference -Bayesian: open the schools and count cases. Adjust if there are surprises

Econlib

@Econlib

1 year

When there's no vaccine on the market, people will look for other ways to be safe, including school closures and the handwashing of groceries. @caseybmulligan talks with @EconTalker about what we learned and failed to learn about the #Covid pandemic.

4

3

11

4

14

56

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

33,904 COVID-19 tests given this quarter at @uchicago . 33,826 negative. 78 positive. Of course, members of our community have to be SOMEWHERE and doing SOMETHING. Having @uchicago campus open for research and learning likely reduced cases and saved lives.

5

14

51

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Even funnier now that democratic socialists have started us on the path

2

13

55

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Either inept — unwittingly taking actions undermining own goals — or lying about those goals.

Alex Thompson

@AlexThomp

4 years

Harris pressed by @SavannahGuthrie on whether it was a mistake for CDC guidance to tie community infection and school Re-openings. Harris: “what they have recommended are exactly that: recommendations”

126

28

87

8

16

54

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Replace famine w inflation and you have ⁦ @SenWarren ⁩ ⁦ @JoeBiden ⁩ “One of the first steps Mao took when he could no longer deny the extent of the famine was to blame it on class enemies.” Cultural Revolution by Frank Dikötter

5

13

51

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Big vaccine news today. @realdonaldtrump 's WARP speed program, which closely followed 2019 @WhiteHouseCEA report. MSM says that he does not "follow the science" but this may be the most social value ever delivered by a president following the science.

1

17

44

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

5 months

Prices and Policies in Opioid Markets | Journal of Political Economy just accepted Two necessary & almost sufficient conditions for me to write this paper: TheoryGuru () and working with @WhiteHouseCEA45 team on opioid economics.

Prices and Policies in Opioid Markets | Journal of Political Economy

Opioid mortality increases have been linked to both lax and restrictive opioid prescription regulations. Modeling choice between prescription and illicitly manufactured opioid sources helps reconcile...

www.journals.uchicago.edu

2

15

54

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Of course, stigmatizing off-label prescribing is a tool for increasing @FDA 's power without any Congressional action.

3

5

46

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

#COVID19

6

21

42

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Yet another instance where Trump is telling experts “I told you so!” Speedy pandemic vaccine innovation was a Trump project before COVID arrived but the “experts” weren’t paying attention.

Phil Kerpen

@kerpen

3 years

Remember how CNN framed it when Trump and Atlas correctly predicted vaccine general availability by April?

20

111

408

1

17

46

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Could @paulkrugman have told us before that "Biden boom" means historic drop in real wages?

Paul Krugman

@paulkrugman

2 years

Yep. It's almost a ... Biden boom. Inflation has been a huge problem, but there has been a remarkable recovery in jobs.

79

140

685

4

6

50

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

10 months

I enjoyed @AndrewYNg 's course on machine learning but today realized that he is qualified to teach regulatory economics too!

Artificial intelligence: Google Brain founder Andew Ng says big tech is lying about danger of human...

Andrew Ng is a global leader in AI development, and says companies like OpenAI are trying to force governments to regulate emerging open-source rivals out of existence.

www.afr.com

3

4

51

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

The $600 UI bonus expired almost 4 months ago. @paulkrugman , can you tell us when to expect that "more than 4% GDP" hit you promised?

2

15

49

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 months

@TracyBethHoeg Here is an update on three categories . Pandemic disruptions are a “gift” that keeps on giving.

2

16

50

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

@kerpen @open_the_books Yes massive civil penalties are loved by the agencies so they don’t have to perennially ask congress for money. Trump ended that practice as part of the deregulation agenda, but of course Biden stands for the opposite.

0

15

44

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

More evidence that something miraculous happened in red labor markets June & July that did not happen in blue states, or in any state in other months. But that miracle has nothing to do with UI and we should not expect blue states to experience it in Sept or Oct.

4

20

48

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Whether effective for COVID, or safe in all dose sizes (what is?) is another issue. If they want to say "COVID is not a parasite", fine. Now MDs deciding, in patient's interest, to off-label Rx risk being stigmatized as treating patients like animals.

1

3

45

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Need help seeing into the future? Take economics @UChicago ! Here is the homework 1st year PhD students were assigned on tariff quotas, due Oct 16, 2020. The future arrived yesterday.

1

4

47

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Real wages are tanking while government program participants have automatic pay raises coming. SNAP just got a 12 percent increase this month. Medicaid, Obamacare, SSDI, etc come Jan 1. Remind me over the next few months to act puzzled why people are not getting back to work.

2

12

47

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 year

Chicago Price Theory users: Pls DM if you can write Princeton Press RE new edition. New chapters in the works combining existing tools to address important applications Eg, excess burden (crime, disease) personal increasing returns (much behavior is human capital in disguise)

4

6

47

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

IMO a naive and deeply flawed, but common, rationale for touting legislation that you haven’t read is “the intentions are good; we can fix the bad parts later.” Today I must admit that it took Congress less than 2 weeks to fix a flaw in the IRA — the fraudulent title! It's gone

1

7

45

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

To his credit, everyone else on the @nytimes opinion page agrees not to mention their mistake about schooling, which is the biggest they know about, with no close 2nd place.

4

5

45

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

No data overlap between my study and theirs, but same conclusion: "[in-person] teachers and their household members were not found to be at increased risk of hospital admission with covid-19 and were found to be at lower risk of severe covid-19."

3

16

43

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Biden’s tax-the-rich plan would ultimately hit middle-class earners, analysis finds - - @ValRichardson17

Biden’s tax-the-rich plan would ultimately cost middle-class ear

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden has vowed to raise taxes only on individuals earning more than $400,000 annually, but critics contend that his economic plan would wind up draining the wallets of

www.washingtontimes.com

3

16

40

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

12 days

Wolfers attains new levels of ignorance . Read the true story in

Justin Wolfers

@JustinWolfers

12 days

"The list of economists who've said they will willingly serve under Trump is the least impressive list of economists in history." Trump's going to make up policy on the fly, and he doesn't have a remotely competent econ team. No serious Republican economist will work with him.

146

227

833

7

4

47

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Bayesian sarcasm

0

6

45

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

George Tolley passed away early this morning at the age of 95. George was a Chicago economist through-and-through. He started as agricultural economist but soon switched to urban economics because, of course, urban had become more important!

2

8

42

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

The Dallas Fed just released its real-time labor market survey. It shows LESS employment in May survey week than in April survey week. One of the biggest drops in months. Most of the world won't notice until jobs day June 4; Biden fans have 14 days to rehearse their excuses.

3

15

40

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

9 months

As of now, the most likely candidate to win WH 2024 is DJT. Why not get to know how he really governs, from a nonpartisan, rigorous and entertaining source? On sale $4 hardcover, $2 ebook!!! Excellent #xmasgift !

4

9

44

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Life years lost by gender and cause. Each fatality x gender is assigned remaining (i.e., conditional) life expectancy from the 2019 life tables. Each drug fatality has almost 3X the life years as each COVID. Source: CDC Wonder

4

13

42

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

This must be from the Onion, not from an official government site.

5

8

44

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

10 months

Friendly reminder: "government SPENDING" is not part of GDP. Government purchases are. The difference is transfers + interest. Most government spending is not purchases. Positive analysis should not lump together types of G spending that are VERY different in their effects.

3

6

43

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Cmon @paulkrugman , is being wrong about inflation even 1/100th as consequential as being wrong about 70 million children?

5

10

39

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 year

Modern Hester Prynnes get the mask. I thought there had been some progress since 1649, but many of us would rather have wear a letter on the shirt.

Jay Bhattacharya

@DrJBhattacharya

1 year

Here's the full text of the form @UofCalifornia students have to sign to opt out of the vax 'recommendation'... The University of California recommends that all members of the community, except those who have had a severe allergic reaction to a previous dose of the COVID-19

87

90

546

2

11

41

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

@MikkoPackalen @DrJBhattacharya @BarackObama From March 2020 I cited the very large costs of closed school while questioning the purported benefits. and even questioned Oster when she recommended FL close and CT open e.g,

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

@paulkrugman Moore's CTUP has from the beginning lead the evidence-based charge to get children back in school: both safer (in terms of virus) for all involved + much better learning. I am proud to associate with that, & wish that more economists had joined early.

1

0

2

0

8

42

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

The Covid Medicaid Money Grab - WSJ

Opinion | The Covid Medicaid Money Grab

Millions are on the rolls who don’t qualify—and the Biden administration is determined to keep them there.

www.wsj.com

0

13

41

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Why is Biden mandating vaccines for workers instead of public program participants? | Opinion

Vaccine Mandates: Why Workers and not Public Program Participants?

It's not tax-paying workers the President should be forcing to get vaccinated, but rather, the people consuming government services.

www.newsweek.com

7

13

39

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

Even I am amazed on the contrast between @nytimes and @nypost on children during the COVID era. Completely opposite and @nypost is correct.

Will COVID hysterics ever let our children live normal lives?

The end of the pandemic is nigh. Americans continue to get vaccinated at a rapid clip. Life will be moving on. Except, it seems, for children. For more than a year, they have suffered from...

nypost.com

1

14

37

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

8 months

When I was at CEA, some of POTUS’ opponents were running White House documents through plagiarism checkers. CEA was contacted , accused of writing “in the style of Hassett and Mulligan”. Big scandal!

2

1

37

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

It was @llborio who, long before COVID-19 arrived, asked @WhiteHouseCEA to look at the economics of pandemics. She had been warning about pandemic threats. A 2019 Trump exec order concluded from this work that "vaccination is the best defense." Next came Operation Warp Speed.

3

5

40

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

@EWoodhouse7 @kerpen I have been tracking 0-17 and also through 2021-H1. IMO the major factor here is that adults had stimulus + UI and they bought up all the heroin and 2nd-hand prescriptions, which left child (and many adult) users with more deadly fentanyl and analogs.

5

12

38

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

I said from the beginning: teacher unions very much want selective “elearning”. The contract with public schools is that all kids in the district get taught, even the difficult ones. Selective elearning allows unions to renig on that, of course, without any commensurate pay cut.

KUSI News

@KUSINews

2 years

Mask mandates are back for @SDSchools students. For students who feel uncomfortable wearing a mask, SDUSD President Sharon Whitehurst-Payne suggests not returning to school at all. Full Interview:

2K

513

805

2

6

37

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Huh? What about the productivity plunge? Headwinds in housing construction (Leamer said Business Cycle = Housing)? Crowd sourcing? : Cons confidence & stock market I don't say recession for sure but she insists that ZERO such indicators exist.

10

36

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

"More people work when the feds stop paying them not to work. ...job growth picked up in industries in which employers said jobless benefits were making it harder to hire." via @WSJOpinion

Opinion | Behind the October Jobs Bump

More people work when the feds stop paying them not to work.

www.wsj.com

0

13

37

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Here is a picture that should be censored to help keep minds safe.

3

18

36

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

4 years

Biden and Harris are either deeply confused or lying about schools, a subject where we all have ample knowledge sources. Would we be chumps to trust them on national security, endless wars, etc., where most of the knowledge sources are "redacted for national security reasons"?

1

7

36

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Many @UChicago alums back to campus to celebrate @UncertainLars ' 70th birthday. As they too accomplish great things, they give a lot of credit to his mentorship. When I was 21, several advised "go to @UChicago -- the only place to study with Hansen". I listened ... so true!

1

0

38

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

3 years

I’ve been waiting over a year for a @Uchicago Lab School teacher to step up, like this CPS teacher did, & say that shutting kids out of schools is wrong. Did I miss it? For that matter, will a @Uchicago professor or administrator say it? @thinkerchicago

Tucker: Chicago teacher battling cancer has a message as schools go...

Chicago Teacher Joe Ocol shares his decision to continue teaching in-person while battling cancer amid the Chicago Teachers Union refusal to do so themselves...

www.youtube.com

1

7

35

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Being in the UK reminds me how expensive cell service is in USA. Uk: 100 GB data for $36. USA be lucky to get 20GB for that price. Regulation is a major source of the price gap. Biden could save families a lot on their cell service by deregulating, but won’t. 1/2

6

3

37

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

Krugman has a point that life expectancy may not continue inexorably upward. LE began falling in the Obama years as fentanyl took permanent hold. Encouraging lawlessness in our cities has a similar effect on LE (homicide and traffic). Canada also has a new policy to reduce LE.

Paul Krugman

@paulkrugman

2 years

Yes, costs will rise. But we don't have to cut benefits

34

108

450

4

8

38

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

1 month

I saw government cover up fatal errors. Will Secret Service errors be the same? Coverups are more successful w bipartisan policy errors, as w opioid policy. Otherwise party competition brings some sunlight. Opioids became public because DJT was not a politician or bureaucrat

2

8

35

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

2 years

At best union tactics give members a short run benefit, when their counterparties' behavior is price inelastic. Long-run elasticities are greater. Look at seafarer union over 100 years (employers disappeared), or teacher unions over a shorter time frame.

America's public schools are losing students

Some schools have been forced to shutter altogether.

www.axios.com

10

7

35

caseybmulligan

@caseybmulligan

6 months

The conventional model of price controls is incoherent and self-contradictory. But there is a simple supply-demand alternative:

Equilibrium Responses to Price Controls: A Supply-Chain Approach

www.nber.org

2

12

35