Brian G @alphacharts Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Brian G

@alphacharts

10,070

Followers

217

Following

4,348

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9,764

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Catch the big trends & keep it simple. Elec Engineer and CFA. Entered markets in '99. StockTwits since '11. Not investment advice.

Vancouver, British Columbia

https://t.co/2xHsCtVfhY

Joined March 2020

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@alphacharts

Brian G

6 months

My approach: follow price & positioning. I post sample ideas here. If you find them useful, consider supporting my work (link in bio). For members: • Weekly letter of my intermarket analysis • Private X feed with trades & custom reports (leadership boards, CoT, portfolio

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@alphacharts

Brian G

2 years

Past 20 years, railroads outperformed $QQQ. And that's not including dividends, which give a further boost. $UNP $CP $CNI $CSX

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Brian G

2 years

Cotton has outpeformed "disruptive innovation" since ARKK's inception. Cotton.

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Brian G

2 years

9yrs ago, @jesse_livermore showed how household equity exposure is tied with future 10-year $SPX returns. That relationship has held up well since then:

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Brian G

3 years

All of $ARKK's outperformance vs. $QQQ since its IPO in 2014 is gone.

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Brian G

3 years

Here's $GDX relative to BTC, COPX, SPX, XLF.

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Brian G

2 years

$SPX Fwd PE Ratio. Bear markets are healthy. They reset things for the next bull market.

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Brian G

6 months

MSCI World ex-USA. On the verge of a 17-year breakout! 😮

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Brian G

3 years

"Stocks are in a bubble" Meanwhile... $IWM

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Brian G

3 years

Gold, Monthly. Stochastic turning up.

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Brian G

3 years

Be greedy when stocks are breaking out, and fearful when stocks are breaking down.

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Brian G

2 years

Big news for me this week: I became a dad! Both baby & mom are doing well. 🙏🏽 No blog post today & maybe not for some time while we develop a routine. Will post charts here when I can.

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Brian G

3 years

"FAANGs are too extended." What's everyone talking about? $AAPL $AMZN $FB $NFLX #bullish

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Brian G

2 years

Big tech CEO stock transactions. Amazing. $META $AMZN $TSLA $MSFT $QQQ

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Brian G

6 months

65% of Druckenmiller's portfolio has been concentrated in these leading themes/stocks. Tech (with a focus on Semis & Hardware): NVDA, MSFT, PSTG, MRVL, STX, VRT, ANET, FLEX, PANW Pharma: LLY, NTRA Uranium, oil, metals: CCJ, FCX, TECK, GOLD, NEM, CVX Industrials: GE, VST, WWD

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Brian G

2 years

Price > sentiment. In uptrends, 'buy the dip'/sentiment works. In downtrends, it doesn't. AAII sentiment became very bearish in Jan '08 before $SPX got cut in half over next 15 months.

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Brian G

10 months

To consolidate 4 tweets into one: Gold: 1. Made a 3yr breakout to new ATHs 2. Bottomed in Oct ahead of $TLT $SPX 3. Rallied more than $TLT $SPX from Oct lows 4. NOBODY CARES.

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Brian G

3 years

Remember the tech bear market? $AAPL $GOOGL $TSLA $PANW $QQQ

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Brian G

2 years

% off 52-week highs $LUNA -99% $DOGE -86% $ADA -81% $LTC -81% $SOL -79% $XRP -75% $MATIC -74% $BTC -57% $ETH -54%

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Brian G

3 years

$GLD Just a possibility. Don't get too excited 😅

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Brian G

3 years

I'm a price guy, but interesting to note that the baltic dry index has tended to peak ahead of stocks.

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Brian G

2 years

$URNM. The #2 top performing ETF of the past 3yrs has the tighest bollinger bands in its history. Big move could be brewing.

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Brian G

1 year

OK, this surprised me. Top performing ETFs past year (non-leveraged, >$50M AUM, >10K volume): $ARGT +94% $GREK +75% $OIH +57% $EPOL +51% $ITB +46% $FNGS +42% $COPX +41% $SLX +40% $ILF +40% $EWZ +40% $SMH +34%

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Brian G

2 years

Commodities can provide great trading opportunities during stock bear markets. $SPX $CRB $GSG

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Brian G

5 months

$SU Monthly. Canadian Large-cap energy stocks. Coming out of a 17-year base. Beauty.

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Brian G

4 years

$TDOC Weekly. Monster uptrend, setting up for another leg higher.

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Brian G

3 years

$XMR Monthly. Beautiful chart, and strongest crypto (among the 50 largest) over the past week. Don't hear many talking about this one.

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Brian G

2 years

$HYG : $IEI Breakout. They would much rather have junk bonds than treasuries. Not something you see in a bear market.

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Brian G

4 years

Growth vs. Value, Monthly. 50-year double bottom base breakout. What if instead of being a 'bubble', the relative strength in growth is just getting started? 🤫 $VUG $VTV Data source:

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Brian G

11 months

While macro folks are busy talking about growth slowing, the Baltic Dry Index just made a breakout. $BDRY

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Brian G

2 years

A LOT of bullish setups heading into 2023. Here's industrials: $XLI $ITA $CAT $AJRD

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Brian G

3 years

The uranium sector is looking very interesting: - Strong sector momentum all year - New setups after a multi-month consolidation $URNM $URA $GLO $PDN $EU $UUUU

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Brian G

3 years

$URNM Weekly. Doesn't get much more beautiful than this, folks.

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Brian G

6 months

Uranium producers are breaking out relative to physical. Bullish for $URA $URNM

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Brian G

3 years

The Big Picture. $SPX Yearly $EEM Quarterly $GOLD Quarterly $BTC Quarterly

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Brian G

3 years

$AMZN currently in its 4th largest drawdown relative to $SPY.

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Brian G

3 years

You know $NVDA $AMD and $QCOM But do you recall The strongest semi of all?

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Brian G

6 months

$FCX Monthly. Potential 17yr breakout in progress.

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Brian G

7 months

Monthly Bollinger Band widths at historical lows for: • Crude Oil • Platinum • Copper • Lumber Big moves in commodity complex could be brewing.

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Brian G

3 years

$SPX Yearly. The very big picture.

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Brian G

2 years

Stock-Bond Correlation past 95 years. $SPY $TLT

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Brian G

6 months

Copper and Silver have had high correlation and the exact same return since 2000. $CPER $SLV

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Brian G

2 years

The biggest copper & steel stocks look like this. #bullish $RIO $VALE $SCCO $FCX $COPX $SLX $ILF

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Brian G

3 years

$SQ $MELI $DDOG $ADSK Weekly: Fresh breakouts!

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Brian G

10 months

"But AAII net bulls hit an extreme high! That's contrarian bearish." Response: 1) Smooth out the data 2) Even when the smoothed data hits an extreme, market peak may not occur until months/quarters later (eg. '11, '15, '21) $SPY $QQQ

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Brian G

3 months

Biotech. 3-year breakout and heading into the strongest month of the year! $XBI $IBB $MSOS $ARKG

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Brian G

3 years

Tech Leadership, dominated by: - Big tech $GOOGL $AAPL $MSFT - Hardware $CSCO $DELL $HPQ - Semis $AVGO $ON - Cybersecurity $PANW $FTNT - Databases $MDB $DDOG

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Brian G

2 years

$GDX Leaders Index. Love the look. $GLD

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Brian G

7 months

Dare I say it: "The coming Hardware Supercycle." Shots fired. $DELL $NTAP $SMCI $PSTG $STX $WDC $NVDA $AMD

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Brian G

3 years

Yes. Gold thrives when stocks chop. It has less to do with inflation.

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3 years

$SLV From late 2010 until mid-2011 silver went on one of the wildest runs I've seen in the market. This was while $SPY was struggling. This seems to be a theme we've seen repeated in 2010-2011, 2016, and 2019. And perhaps 2022.

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Brian G

24 days

Palladium Futures, Monthly. 1yr bottoming pattern resting on 13yr support, with 'smart money' ULTRA long. $PALL $PPLT $SBSW

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Brian G

2 years

$SPX Quarterly. Uncle Fibonacci.

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Brian G

3 years

Nasdaq breadth is breaking out

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Brian G

3 years

In '20, $SPY recovered its pre-pandemic high by August. But many tech stocks recovered Apr-May. Those were the stocks that then went on to produce the largest rallies. In this correction, we want to keep an eye on what stocks/sectors recover first.

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Brian G

6 months

The Great Commodity Super-Round-Trip of the 2020s.

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Brian G

1 year

There was a bubble in bubble callers.

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Brian G

3 years

Past 3 market corrections tell us: Gold is a crisis asset. Bitcoin is a risk-on asset. $GLD $BTC $SPY

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Brian G

4 months

$IWM Monthly. "You are here." Reminder of the big picture. Stop getting worked up about the daily noise.

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Brian G

9 months

$URA Monthly. The mother of all C&H bases? The leader among all market segments.

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Brian G

4 months

Updated list. $VRT insiders sold another $254M in the past week alone, bringing the total over the past 6 months to now $565M. $VRT is now the 5th stock by insider selling amount, behind $DELL $CRM.

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Brian G

4 months

Amazing how many stocks on this list had strong negative earnings reactions. Insider actions = cheat sheet. $DELL $CRM $META $PANW $SNOW $DDOG $NET $ABNB $TEAM $GTLB $NVDA isn't on the list ;)

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Brian G

11 months

Emerging Markets vs. S&P 500. $EEM $SPX

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Brian G

2 years

$TSLA Monthly. Neckline breaking. Elon Musk made some very timely transactions in the past 5 years.

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Brian G

2 years

$ARKK hit fresh ATL's against $QQQ.

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Brian G

2 months

"Waiting for a pullback in gold miners." That's what the last 4 years was.

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Brian G

2 months

$GDX Weekly. We ready?

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Brian G

5 months

$AEM. 16-year breakout in progress.

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Brian G

2 years

$AEM *Yearly.* 4th largest gold stock.

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Brian G

3 years

$AAPL $AMZN $ADBE $NFLX Weekly

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Brian G

2 years

Dow Home Builders, Monthly. On 17yr support. $XHB $RH $HD

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Brian G

4 months

Monthly charts for $AMZN $BTC $TTD $ASML. All emerging from multi-year bases. Plenty of runway for this bull market.

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Brian G

3 years

$IWM and $BTC : These riskier parts of the market peaked ahead of $SPX last year. There's now *potential* bullish divergences. Something to watch.

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Brian G

3 months

Don't fight the tape. $MSFT $AAPL $GOOG $AMZN

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Brian G

4 months

Big tech wants higher. $AAPL $GOOG $MSFT $ORCL

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Brian G

6 months

Uranium, chips, data centres, the grid, construction. The Great Engineering Bull Market.

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Brian G

3 years

When you buy below a broken level, you're not getting a bargain. You're fighting the trend.

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Brian G

3 years

$BRK Weekly. Breakout. Hard to be too bearish on stocks. $SPY

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Brian G

2 years

Bullish divergence in Baltic Dry Index vs. $SPX. Meanwhile, tankers are some of the strongest stocks.

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Brian G

11 days

Who let the dogs out? $COPX $SIL $GDX $URNM $XLE $SLX

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Brian G

2 years

Focus on what's going up. Oil, coal, tankers, materials. Fed, Cathie, Elon, meme stocks, dog coins are distractions.

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Brian G

3 years

Lots of great setups in health care stocks. $LLY $UNH $TMO $MRK

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Brian G

3 years

Yet another example of why we follow price not CNBC: In the media, Druckenmiller has been emphasizing how bullish he is on commodities. But 13F filings show his portfolio is >50% in tech/growth names, and <10% in materials/industrials.

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Brian G

2 years

Take note - Lots of failed breakdowns in the commodity space. Can see silver joining the party. $SLV $REMX $CAD $AUD

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Brian G

8 months

Feed summary: 15 weeks ago: "Breath thrusts" 6 weeks ago: "No Santa rally" 5 weeks ago: "BTC sell the news" 3 weeks ago: "Significant six" 2 weeks ago: "Divergences" Last week: "1995" This week: "1929"

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Brian G

6 months

Uranium has put in a major low. $CCJ $UEC $NXE $MGA.CA

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Brian G

2 years

It's not a coincidence that charts for emerging markets and copper happen to look great at the same time. $EEM $VWO $HG_F $JJC $COPX

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Brian G

4 years

Be "dumb." Follow trends.

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Brian G

9 months

10 years ago, @jesse_livermore showed how household equity exposure is tied with future 10-year $SPX returns. That relationship has held up well since then:

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Brian G

3 years

$FCX Monthly. 15yr base breakout in progress. $COPX

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Brian G

2 years

$SPY Weekly. False breakdown still valid. #bullish

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Brian G

3 years

FANGAM:SPY, Monthly. I like big tech better than $SPY. $AAPL 10m BO in Jun $NFLX 1yr BO in Aug $MSFT Breaking out this week $GOOGL steady, strong uptrend $AMZN 15m base poised for BO

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Brian G

2 years

Commodity sectors struggling to hold breakouts. $COPX $REMX $GDX $UEC

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Brian G

2 years

US Small-caps vs. Large-caps over the past century. Giant 40yr base. $IJR $SPY

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Brian G

3 years

$SPY Weekly. Breaking out within a steady uptrend.

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Brian G

2 years

Backtest simple trend following strategies. Go back many decades. The results will make you realize that price is all you need. No forecasting, watching CNBC, fancy indicators, paralysis by analysis, etc.

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Brian G

2 years

I'm old enough to remember when they were pitching $BTC as an uncorrelated asset. $SPY

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Brian G

2 years

Merry Christmas everyone!

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Brian G

2 years

Yield curve is the most inverted in decades, yet many parts of the market are making new 52-week highs. ISM below 50 yet industrials, materials are some of the strongest sectors. Mortgage rates spiked, yet homebuilders doing well. Lesson? Always. Follow. Price.

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Brian G

3 years

$SPY Weekly. How about that failed breakdown on the grand poobah? #bullish

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Brian G

3 years

Two very different markets right now. Stuff breaking out vs. stuff breaking down. $BRK $NFLX

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Brian G

3 years

Gold, Monthly. Decade-long base breakout, retest, and lift off.

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Brian G

2 years

Hard to be bearish on global equities. And hard to shrug this off as just a "bear market rally."

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Brian G

4 years

It's still a bull market, just don't get too complacent. If your trades go against you, don't be a hero.

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Brian G

7 months

$SPX Monthly. Green regions are when Coppock Curve (momentum indicator) is above zero. #RiskOn

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Brian G

2 years

The Coppock Curve is a momentum indicator developed in 1965. That's ~60yrs of out-of-sample history. It doesn't produce many signals, which can reduce whipsaws. Since '90, it was long $SPX during the green shaded regions. h/t @jonathanharrier More:

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Brian G

1 year

I hear you cLoud and clear, Mr. Market. $CLOU

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