Dear Michigan Athletics,
1. Launch a legit NIL program
2. Normalize admission standards for athletes.
3. Give Jim Harbaugh what he wants.
Get with the program or get out of the way.
Warm regards,
Michigan Alum Base
Wow Ted Cruz is such a dishonest and slimy guy. I was neutral until I watched this debate. I do not trust Ted Cruz. Beto O'Rourke for the win.
#TXSenateDebate
#TrueToForm
Banker in Dallas:
We approved loans for $200k to $300k higher than we should have during the pandemic.
"So that folks could bid on houses up to $800k to $1M".
"Stretched the DTI limits all the time to 50%."
"It's a house of cards that'll fall when the economy shakes."
Yikes
Austin, TX is in more trouble than I thought.
A close family friend moved to Austin, TX in 2022 from Bloomfield, MI.
Bought a small home for around $650k (all inclusive, with updates).
Daughter relocated to Dallas, TX and as luck would have, their son got a really good job in
Dallas housing market.
Zestimate: $933,300
List Price: $789,000
Price cut & new List price: $735,000
STILL UNSOLD.
Key takeaways:
- Zestimates are rubbish.
- Sellers are going through price discovery
- The $700k+ marker is very very slow.
Dallas - Fort Worth housing market update.
Home sales: -11.6%
Home prices: -1.2%
Housing inventory grew by 45%
Continued growth in inventory will likely put significant pressure on home prices this Fall.
@MrJonesSTRs
Not true at all. From a pure supply & demand perspective, banning Airbnb's in designated residential areas increases the available supply of housing for rent or sale while curbing investor demand.
Housing and hotels are not the same thing. I know that can be challenging for STR
Just met with a landlord in Frisco, TX.
Built a new home in 2021. Found a tenenant after 3 months and rented it, running a loss of around -$300/month.
It's renewal time and the tenant demands a cut in the rent as the market shifts.
Landlord's cash burn is accelerating.
@unusual_whales
Make everyone at their agency and all stakeholders responsible drink and swim in the water in East Palestine, Ohio before you believe a word they say regarding the water being safe to drink.
@DiMartinoBooth
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the injection of liquidity is for bank to bank lending to cover existing deposits. This isn't necessarily inflationary, rather, allows the Fed to pursue elevated interest rates for longer without breaking the banking system and forcing a pivot.
Colleague of mine moving out of Dallas because they can't afford their 3400 sq ft house anymore.
Listed it for RENT for $6500/month 3 months ago.
Zero interest.
Seriously, who is going to pay $6.5k/month when you can buy a new build for $4k/month?
🤡😂🤡😂
"Rents Fell Across the Sun Belt in April
Austin, TX (-14.3%)
Phoenix, AZ (-9.6%)
Las Vegas, NV (-7.1%)
Oklahoma City, OK (-6.4%)
Chicago, IL (-6%)
Birmingham, AL (-4.5%)
Sacramento, CA (-4%)
Memphis, TN (-3.6%)
Seattle, WA (-3.2%)
Dallas, TX (-2.8%)"
@JoshHenschke
I've worked with a lot of attorneys over my career:
This statement is basically a declaration of war by Michigan.
I'm not exaggerating. The gloves are off now.
Plano bans new STR (Airbnb's) for 1 year as residents opposition and concerns escalate.
STR bans/regulation/restrictions in residential suburbs will likely scale nationally.
Just got notified of a $100k price cut on new construction in Aubrey, TX.
5 mins from Frisco, TX.
Builders are clearly leading this housing correction in Texas with significant price cuts in the periphery of metros.
Fort Worth & Austin with significant price cuts as well.
The Stop Predatory Investing Act, would restrict investors who purchase 50 or more single-family rentals from deducting interest or depreciation on those properties from their taxes.
@texasrunnerDFW
Yup. I'm absolutely seeing this play out in over priced suburbs like Frisco and Prosper for those who bought investment properties in 2022 to Present.
Those who can sell sub $700k and turn a profit are still doing alright.
The $800k to $1M segment is brutal.
$1M+ isn't even a
Listed for $520k in November.
Price cut to $485k.
The Zestimate for this 2019 build has fallen from $589k in June 2022 to $468k today.
There's just loads of new construction in North Dallas.
Dallas exurbs 🤝 Price Discovery
Visited an open house in McKinney, TX. It was empty.
Listed for $650k in 2018. Listed for $1.2M now.
Nobody showed up.
You can buy a similar sized new build 10 mins away in the same school district for $700k & interest rate buy downs.
Builders > mom & pop investors
@GordonJohnson19
Unused office space should be converted to multi-family housing. This will help ease rental pressure which is crushing the economy and revitalize downtowns in a lot of metro markets.
@KobeissiLetter
Starbucks became too expensive for their core target market of young college going and working adults.
Further, the growth of local independent coffee shops makes the market increasingly competitive.
"It really is a tale of two halves. Pre-pandemic buyers are sitting pretty.
2021 to Present represents a lot of risk that isn't getting enough attention right now".
Oh, the delusion of it all.
A $501k price cut on a house in Prosper, TX.
Yup you read that right. A $501,000 price cut.
In a suburb of Dallas, TX.
If I wasn't doing Hard 75 I'd love to drink what these sellers are drinking.
The market has definitely shifted in Dallas
"For Sale / For Lease" signs popping up.
For example, multiple houses in a row in this neighborhood are listed both for sale or for lease - whatever sticks.
Excellent school district. Walking distance to a park.
Still struggling.
Met a doctor last night in Dallas.
He was laughing about how ridiculous PPP was.
In his words, "We received so much money from the government, when we did'nt really need a dime.
Our business was booming and I was personally taking home around $450k in pay from my practice."
@ERCOT_ISO
@PUCTX
Texas needs to join the national Federal grid. Clearly, our power grid is not up to par.
With a growing population and more extreme weather patterns, power grid reliability and stability are going to be a recurring probldm
Landlords in the suburbs of Dallas, TX are going through price discovery as well.
Listed for $2750.
I know the owners. They're not receiving interest.
It's been nearly two weeks now which is unusual for the summer.
They're just asking for too much rent.
Supply & demand and
House in Plano, TX. (Dallas metroplex)
Sitting vacant since March, 2024.
Beautiful. Walking distance to trails and highly rated schools with wonderful neighbors.
I know the seller very well.
Seller has invested significant money in cosmetic updates and a new roof.
Still no
Austin, TX has a whole load of new construction available in the $500k's within a 20 minute drive from downtown/UT Austin campus.
Austin's housing market is going to correct hard. There's just way too much supply within reasonable driving distance.
@DanMurphyESPN
@PeteThamel
Michigan's lawyers going to scorched Earth in court.
Expose the dirty underbelly of college football.
Should be pretty interesting to put the NCAA, Catapult, Ohio State, recruits, and the whole ecosystem under oath and on public record.
@Alyssa_Milano
Agree with everything except love over borders. We can have secure borders AND love our neighbors and immigrants just like every other developed country on Earth.
@NewsLambert
Dallas suburbs are going through price discovery.
Exurbs are going through a price correction.
New construction in particular are open to negotiations and offering additional incentives to get the sale done.
Downtown Dallas is more resilient due to limited new construction and
Ben is onto something here. Resuming student loan payments will do more for correcting the housing market and combating inflation than is being talked about in the mainstream media at the moment.
The biggest economic impact of the debt deal IMO is an acceleration and certainty to resuming student loan payments (60 days post signing). At $100b+ pa after 3 years of cessation this is the largest peacetime gov’t revenue increase in 40 years and is functionally a massive tax.
Austin, TX - oh my goodness. According to this chart housing inventory is way beyond pre-pandemic levels.
With soaring inventory, massive new construction underway, tech job losses, & house prices disconnected from local incomes, Austin is in trouble.
The jobs data is misleading.
I know multiple highly qualified and experienced professionals who been laid off and are struggling to find well paid jobs.
High income layoffs incrementally continue.
The $170k to $400k income band is getting hit this cycle. Many are finding lower paying six figure jobs.
There's still a lot of excess money sloshing around but this should impact luxury bags, watches cars, homes etc.
@AndyHVandenBerg
Analyzing and executing a deal is the easy part.
Actually operating a small business and dealing with blue collar employees & customers are a totally different ball game.
The Zestimate for houses in north Dallas continues to decline by 2% to 3% every month.
According to Zillow, the local housing price has declined from $245/ sq.ft to $205/ sq. ft.
@nytimes
So we're the wealthiest country in the world and we can't even put together a reliable rail network?
Maybe we should have invested $ at home instead of wasting it in Iraq.
Dallas's housing market is bifurcated. Inventory as a whole has dramatically increased, however, most of it is still over priced.
15 year old houses are listed in the $800's with zero interest. 20 minutes away, new construction in the $500's/$600's are selling.
@texasrunnerDFW
Austin, TX locals smile.
The city neither has the water resources, school capacity, nor highway infrastructure to support the pandemic boom population growth.
There are lots of locals who are pretty happy about the reversal of net migration from inbound to outbound.
#IYKYK
@BarackObama
One of the key reasons why young people lead our movements is because they are too young to have been brainwashed by all the nonsense in the media. They just do what is right and don't care about politics. March on young ones.
#MarchForOurLives
#GunReformNow
#EnoughIsEnough
@PoliticsInsider
This is clearly a case of some very smart folks raising massive amounts of money from less informed folks to chase a pie in the sky and earn some serious $ along the way.
@BSB_Wolverine
Spartans need to realize that nobody at Michigan cares. We're all in as a single unit. Titles are irrelevant. All that matters is the W 👊🏻〽️
When did the Fed start cutting interest rates in 2007?
September 18th.
When will the Fed start cutting rates in 2024?
September 18th.
“History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often Rhymes” – Mark Twain.
Powell finally said "housing bubble". He basically said they're popping the pandemic bubble but the long-term shortage in housing construction is a zoning issue.
@NewsLambert
Dallas builders are seeing increased traffic since mortgage rates dipped with lots of incentives.
Lenders are still willing to underwrite at 0.42x to 0.45x of gross income to make deals work.
Builders, haven't been able to raise prices meaningfully or roll back incentives.
Year over year change in rent estimate in a northern suburb of Dallas : Negative $900
Further, we have a massive amount of housing under construction right now that's scheduled for completion soon.
@POTUS
We need deflation.
You need to understand that America is already too expensive.
You need to restore the price of housing, gas, and food to 2021 levels.
Dallas ranked as the no.1 city for residents contemplating a move OUT of the city.
This would've been unthinkable two years ago, but the sharp increase in the cost of living has changed things.
I know people in Dallas who are considering more affordable cities as well.
More than one in 10 Seattle-area residents contemplating a move: "The data comes from the new 2021 American Housing Survey, or AHS, which is the most comprehensive survey of housing data in the U.S."
@TheMcKenziest
@Channel62News
@NeilNasty7
Another toxic trait of some builders are to invite BIDS for new construction houses.
Home buyers are taking note and everyone I have talked to have said they won't forget which builders did this BS and conversely those who kept their prices reasonable, fixed, and no escalation
@JeffWeniger
House prices need to fall significantly to restore transaction volume.
It'll be led by new construction and second homes while owner occupied homes enjoy their golden handcuffs.
@unusual_whales
Housing is increasingly being financed through wealth and assets, not income.
Cash out refinances, lines of credit, creative debt vehicles, foreign investors, and more recently PPP money.
This has skewed the market away from fundamentals.
@KobeissiLetter
The American economy is being artificially propped up by historic levels of fiscal deficit.
$1.7T in 2023.
Meanwhile, the median American family is cutting back on discretionary expenses such as Netflix, Starbucks, travel to make ends meet.
Housing specifically, both the cost
@m3_melody
@NipseyHoussle
Literally everyone in Dallas says they can't afford their own houses at current prices.
I'm talking about six-figure dual income, college educated househoulds.
Doctors, bankers, consultants, accountants, engineers etc.
The Sahm Rule's perfect historical record of predicting recessions.
It's been triggered and we very well could be in a recession right now.
Ask anyone searching for a decent job and they'll agree.
If you want to know what will happen to housing prices in Dallas-Fort Worth, look at money supply.
Strong correlation between the annual change of M2 and the S&P/Case-Schiller Home Price Index.
Additional money supply by the Fed disproportionately found its way to housing.
@RepVanTaylor
It's an economic relief bill focused on accelerating job recovery as a result of the COVID crisis.
Support the bill or donate your salary to small businesses and the unemployed.
@SacAppraiser
I think hidden behind the extremes are a legitimate housing affordability problem for America's middle class.
Creating further distance between Americans and the 'American Dream' will always result in an audience for extreme points of view.
Delete anyone from your network who pushed the narrative that real estate will never declines in value.
They're either incompetent or intentionally misleading.
Delete them. Seriously.
@TexasFootball
Not sure what's more concerning, the fact that a GPA of 2.89 is the highest in team history, or that the folks in Austin think this is worth bragging about.
"SELLER OFFERING 5K for rate buy down or closing costs."
Increasingly, existing home sellers in Dallas are offering incentives to move inventory in a frozen housing market.
The GFC of 2008 to 2010 screwed Millenials.
Ruined the job market and prospects for quick income growth out of college and resulted in under building housing which has screwed the generation a decade later.
The Federal Reserve magnified the impact through excess QE.
@texasrunnerDFW
They're really desperate to get sales this Spring.
Mortgage rates reversing course immediately and shooting up to 6.5% has crushed their optimism.
Austin, TX is experiencing a GFC level housing correction.
They escaped the last time around, but this time, Austin is the epicenter of the housing correction.
Mortgage rates tick up to 7.16%.
The market is realizing we're in a higher for longer situation.
Boy oh boy how wrong folks were about Q1 24 interest rate declines.
Sellers in Dallas getting a little desperate.
Seeing signs marketing "Off Market Open Houses" along roadways.
Never seen that before. Not even during GFC '08 - 10'.
The housing market is turning again.