Jeff French @aghedger Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Jeff French

@aghedger

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113

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Owner of Lived in Chicago for 15 years; 13 years too long. Trading futures and options involves risk.

Wiota, IA

https://t.co/Fpn0rcVoU3

Joined November 2019

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 years

The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by simulated historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 years

New Iowa farmland record $26,000/acre.....this not going to end well.

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

“Never sell farms and never sell guns”…..Chris French

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Neighbor stopped over bitching about no money in corn this year Had to remind him that Dec 23 corn traded above $6 for 7 months and above $6.50 for 30 days The conversation was pretty short

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 years

Dec 23 corn $5.15....SOLD! Never sold $5 corn for 3 consecutive years until today

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Observation from trade desk American farmer is sitting on a pile of cash and not too worried about lower prices

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

16 out of last 20 years the Pro Farmer tour underestimated the size of the corn crop during their August tour

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@aghedger

Jeff French

4 months

The most hated rally The corn rally when every market guru is bearish Brings a smile to my face

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 month

4-year low closes in corn and beans $3.97 $10.08 Funds will continue to sell right into September option expiration when a ton of old-crop will get priced Seen this horror movie before

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Nationally known hedge company recommending their clients sell corn on a 2-year low today Was $6 or $5.70 not good enough? People pay for this garbage?

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

ABC national news tonight Get your puts bought #cattle

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@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

LRP underwriter sells feeder cattle futures to hedge their exposure What could go wrong! Feeder cattle down over $50 in last two months Feeders took the entire 12-month rally back in 2 months

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

2 years ago today I resigned from big corporate and started my own business Only regret I have is that I did not do it 5 years earlier!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

4 months

Buy July corn today.....sell June 9th Winner 12 out of last 15 years

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 months

FEAR and GREED! Got brokers out there saying this year is repeat of 2014....corn going to $3.20 "Buy these puts and make $150,000 or $300,000" Where was this recommendation a month ago when corn market was 50 cents higher? Sell the fear! Sell the greed!......garbage

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@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

BOTTOM LINE 2.156 billion corn carryout Highest in 5 years Stock-to-use ratio 15% Historically that would translate to corn futures in the $3.50-$4.25 area

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Nat gas down 80% since August $2.86 gas

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@aghedger

Jeff French

7 days

Corn hits the 50-day moving average for the first time since June 14th Next upside resistance $4.24 That would be a 40- cent rally off the $3.85 low LFG!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

Ilinois state corn average 203 I thought they weren't going to make 150 bpa? Ilinois so far has best yield; Iowa edged them out on total production by 300 million bushels This is not your grandpa's corn seed....

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 months

Huuuuge potential Could not be better pollination Don’t remember seeing this many double ears See how August plays out….

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@aghedger

Jeff French

7 months

Huge volume in corn today And reversal higher It's a start Higher close Tuesday would look great

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@aghedger

Jeff French

6 months

Farmers holding massive supplies on farm 5.08 billion bushels of corn on farm 933 million bushels of beans on farm On farm supplies for both corn and beans up 24% from last year

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

$5.91 CZ spring insurance price $13.76 SX spring insurance price Soon it will be time to buy calls to protect that payment Producers have zero interest selling at these new crop prices today

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Crude oil down $14 in the last two weeks Demand destruction When does this start to spill-over into the grains?

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Iowa temperatures have dropped out of bed 92 yesterday 77 for a high today Next two weeks most of the lows during the night are in the 50 degrees 70% of Iowa corn will be tasseling in next two weeks #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

10-month low in crude Crude will weigh on every commodity China is too blame with their zero covid policy $6.60 corn, $14.50 beans and $9 wheat......yeah plenty of room to the downside with the funds long a bunch of grain

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 months

I-states corn and bean conditions improving during mid-July Huge potential

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@aghedger

Jeff French

5 months

Feeding dairy cattle chicken litter.....that is suspected reason for the mess we are in....nasty bastards Human death from bird flu over in England This story not going away anytime soon unfortunately

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@aghedger

Jeff French

6 months

I-states down 950,000 corn acres compared to last year Minnesota down 700,000 acres Missouri down 300,000 acres Wide open spring weather with as dry as it is will encourage keeping the corn planter rolling

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Corn acres reported on the June 29th, 2012 report 96.4 million Expectations for acres this Friday....91.8 m corn acres Stock reported on June 29th, 2012 report 3.15 billion bushels Expectations for this Friday....4.25 billion bushels December corn on June 29 closed at $6.22

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@aghedger

Jeff French

8 months

177 national corn yield during a drought

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 months

3rd week of June Historically one of the best weeks to sell corn You think it’s bad now…..

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 months

Dance recital night Having girls will change a man’s priorities!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Trade is predicting the report to drop corn yield to 175.5 compared to July's 177.5 Weather since July WASDE has made this crop bigger not smaller Why would the USDA reduce the yield by 2 bpa now? Not buying into the yield reduction yet.....staying short corn for now

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Wheat showing limit up for Sunday's opening

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@aghedger

Jeff French

7 months

100 lbs of pork on the smoker Have good weekend

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@aghedger

Jeff French

6 months

Corn above the 50-day moving average for the first time since October Funds are short and WRONG! 448 half and 463 next upside targets in CK

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@aghedger

Jeff French

7 months

Funds record short corn 329k contracts as of Tuesday close I bet it's closer to 360-380k after price action Wed-Friday Funds short 1.8 billion bushel vs. the farmer long 4-5 billion bushels in the bin

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Funds will continue to sell corn without a weather problem Funds are short 109K contracts; long ways from their record short of 322k contracts They are selling before the US farmer sells any new crop....US farmer sold on new crop maybe 15% Weather rules the corn right now

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

First trading session 2022; March corn $5.89 First trading session 2023; March corn $6.78

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Crude oil price plunge continues; down $17.50 in the last two weeks $75 needs to hold or next support down at $63 China economy which is in shambles continues to provide the fuel for the sell-off

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 months

I would bet the funds are short nearly 400,000 contracts of corn Record short position As last Tuesday they were short 336,000 contracts

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@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

Key reversal higher confirmed....strong close! Upside targets from here....plan accordingly $4.83...50-day moving average $4.96....100-day $5.10....high from Oct 20th $5.25...gap on chart from July

@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

Corn working on a key reversal higher Close above 469 would be encouraging

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Argentina is on track to have the driest spring since 1979

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@aghedger

Jeff French

11 months

Corn open interest increased 47,000 contracts on Thursday's 2-month high close New money buying corn Strong signal

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 months

Corn above the 20-day moving average for the first time since June 14th 427 next upside target

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@aghedger

Jeff French

4 months

Wheat tour finds big Kansas crop Estimated production 290 million bushels USDA 268 m Last year 201 m bushels Tour bushels/acre 46.5 USDA 38 bpa

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

USDA export grain robbery! No exports until September 15th We are governed by a nursing home patient and children with no accountability

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Thank you @MarketToMarket @PaulYeager We added 2 new lifetime viewers

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

More rain in central Iowa....2" and counting Rain and 90's this weekend.....corn will be knee-high by 4th of June #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Gleaner mafia out strong today 5 out of the 6 combines I saw today on a hour drive Yields are better than expected in Iowa 200-230 corn 60-70 beans

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Cass county Iowa planted 4-20 16x46 Amazing what this crop can do with as little rain we have had

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

RJO technical analyst A break below 481 easily opens the door to $3 corn..."easily" This is what the computers trade will be shooting for; funds are short 480 corn put for next 6 weeks 13.5 cents #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

29 days

Bearish report and corn 5 cents higher Need to see the close but this is worth noting

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Corn rallied after the 4th of July 2012...by week's end it was $7.07 Making the highs on August 10th....$8.49 Giddy up!

@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Corn acres reported on the June 29th, 2012 report 96.4 million Expectations for acres this Friday....91.8 m corn acres Stock reported on June 29th, 2012 report 3.15 billion bushels Expectations for this Friday....4.25 billion bushels December corn on June 29 closed at $6.22

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 years

Wheat limits for Chicago and KC effective immediately....85 cents daily and then expand to $1.30 per bushel on a locked limit move

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@aghedger

Jeff French

3 years

wheat trading $2.10 higher synthetically....that is $13.45 WK

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

There will be a lot of beans harvested in September in western Iowa

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Time to buy some wheat! Not bullish but this sell-off overdone Look for 20-25 cent bounce #wheat

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

USDA prints a 15 billion crop and corn rallies 32 cents off the lows On the verge of putting a weekly reversal higher on the charts with a close over 509.5 Commodity trading is fun 🤪 #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

9 months

March corn new contract low close 472.75 470 looks like a cliff on the charts Short term 455 is next downside Long term don’t want to know…but it starts with 3 handle

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Funds are short 10,000 contracts of feeder cattle If you are short or have deep in the money put options; time to take money off the table

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@aghedger

Jeff French

8 months

40 minute wait to get seated @ Texas Roadhouse Beef demand is strong! Best $30 bone n ribeye I have had Would have been double that price at any other steak house

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Demoralizing price action for all the #grain bears out there Can't get much more bullish from a technical perspective

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Brazilian farmers "astonished" by early bean yields 80 BPA + with harvest approaching 35% complete Big crops get bigger #soybeans

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Horrible opening in the #grains if your a bull Producers need to protect this rally with cheap short dated Sep put options! No on knows what the weather will be last two weeks of August but this has been historical rally in the beans

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Beans down $1.05 during last 3 weeks For producers with $14 beans sold; this is a good spot to start buying March call options

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Grains called lower for Sunday night Better than expected rains in Argentina over the weekend

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Corn has rallied 85 cents off the lows from July while beans are $1.75 off the lows. Sell grain when the trade is worried about the size of the crop! Buy March calls on the bushels you are selling. Great rally before harvest!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

North Dakota corn bulls They planted a 1/3rd of their corn crop last week North Dakota won't be losing any acres

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

4% of Russian wheat exports flow through Cargill facilities Not a game changer #wheat

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Pro Farmer bean estimate is BEARISH! Bean crop going to continue to add yield Will corn hold up against selling in the beans?

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@aghedger

Jeff French

6 months

RJO raising margins on cocoa to 150% of exchange minimums Also they will be decreasing position limits in cocoa for some accounts Beginning of the end? #cocoa

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

3rd week of June strikes again Best week of the year to sell corn since 2005 #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

5 months

Steer weights 23 lbs heavier Heifer weights 22 lbs heavier than last year Every 8 lbs adds 1% more beef into weekly production IMO cattle puts are must for the next 60 days

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

#wheat is only a few cents away from taking out the entire war rally Sell your shit when the world wants your shit

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Couldn’t draw up nicer day here in Iowa Dad takes the cake on this big girl! 6.4 lbs….Pogy red belly powerbait

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@aghedger

Jeff French

9 months

Beans gap lower to begin Sunday night Jan beans $13.00 next downside target Then $12.70 and $11.60 Don't be in the camp that it CAN'T happen......look at the cattle

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@aghedger

Jeff French

4 months

Corn 13 cents off the highs Beans 18 cents off the highs That was fun while it last.....see you July 4th

@aghedger

Jeff French

4 months

Prove it day for the grains Would like to see the grains trading higher by 9:30 this morning Spring rallies tend to end just as they started…..quickly!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

7 months

Ag outlook corn 91 million acres 181 national yield 2.5 billion bushel carryout USDA most likely uses these numbers until August

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Corn trading above the 100-day first time in 2-months Making new highs mid-morning...good action

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Cattle on-feed is friendly Maybe outright bullish longer term

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Russian headlines providing great opportunity to sell 2024 corn, wheat and beans Puts are on sale for the 24 crop as well

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

94.9 million planted corn acres up from 94.1 million There's your bearish unexpected factor

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Wheat lower for 7th consecutive day Wheat has been lower 14 out of the last 17 trading sessions And for some reason I want to buy wheat?!?!?

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Corn trading below the 20-day MA for the first time in 7 trading sessions Grind lower to next support down at $6.55 which is also the 100-day MA Buy feeders!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Take from the trade desk today.... Very little interest in buying corn puts after 80-cent rally; protecting $14 beans off the combine Feels like bank robbers counting the money before they rob the bank Farmers are bulled up!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

$12.40 downside target on beans Crop is getting bigger not smaller Forecasted weather for Iowa during August looks like a dream #soybeans

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@aghedger

Jeff French

5 months

Days of freezing my ass off in a tree are done!

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@aghedger

Jeff French

10 months

OJ locked limit-up for 2nd consecutive day $431 All-time high

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

Massive corn volume overnight 80,000 contracts in December alone 575 should be next upside target #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

1 year

518 in December corn is the new technical line in the sand 575 still remains upside target and resistance I would have orders to sell cash corn 570-573 #corn

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

December options expire Friday....corn is heavy on the call side 670 calls 17,045 700 calls 26,532 750 call 24,716 Look for a close Friday below 670 On the puts 650 has 16,133 open interest A close above 650 Friday is likely

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@aghedger

Jeff French

2 years

Everyone looking for a turnaround Tuesday tomorrow The key for the grains if they can hold the gains past 10 am tomorrow morning

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@aghedger

Jeff French

5 months

Wheat up 50 cents in last 3 days Corn up 17 cents in last 3 days

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