Y’all, my feed is filled with scientists, photographers, science enthusiasts, and non-science people alike. How cool is it that at least for a few moments, everyone was sharing in the joy and wonder that is our sky, planet, universe? More of this all the time please!
How did we get to today's forecast? The first area was highlighted in the Day 6 outlook, nearly a week in advance. As we move closer to the event in time, areas are honed and corridors of greater potential identified.
Any chaser crying because none of the recent tornadoes have been rated EF5, because the damage you saw “clearly” supported that rating…or who are hoping for an EF5 tomorrow…you’re a bunch of 🤡s. Seeing that kind of impact is a type of horrifying I cannot even put into words..
I’m surprised by the number of comments from non-weather folks saying NHC missed the forecast on Ian. NHC had fantastic forecasts and excellent discussions noting uncertainty in landfall. Media partners communicated this well. Was this message not received by public? Why?
Dear chasers (especially if you have a large following): Please do not call an event a bust before it’s over. Especially when nighttime tornadoes were forecast the entire event. People follow you and listen to you. Just because you didn’t get your daytime tornado…
I am proud to work for
@NWS
. You will not find a more dedicated bunch, committed to saving lives and helping communities. But I am utterly disappointed and embarrassed by our parent agency’s actions today. The damage done to relationships built on trust is worrisome at best.
It’s blowing my mind that I’m seeing some people on here say Norman had no warning. 1. This event was well-forecast days in advance. 2. NWS Norman issued the tor before the tornado developed and 10-15 min before it first hit town. Sirens went off, cell phones & WxRadio alerted…
It’s been a bit busy & chaotic but everyone at OUN, SPC & NWC are fine. Tornado just missed us at the building. We saw power flashes from ops & briefly lost power (we have backup power though so didn’t impact anything). Tornado missed my house by 1/2-3/4. Family was sheltering.
Not tooting my horn AT ALL. How amazing is it that we can pinpoint a corridor of higher tornado potential 6 hours in advanced, more focused 1 hour in advance, of a high-impact tornado event? It cost individuals < $3/yr to fund NWS. Thank you for supporting us, so we can help you!
Hey y’all, if you could send good vibes/prayers/positive thoughts I’d appreciate it! It’s been a hell of a few days and I’ve been really sick and now admitted to the hospital. Not looking for pity, just the power of positive thoughts. 🫶
April 27 is a date that is already traumatic for some people. While in a different part of the country, today we’re staring down the barrel of another significant tornado day, coming off the heels of a significant tornado outbreak yesterday. Try to be sensitive of that.
How's this for a tornado proximity sounding? 03z observed sounding from Norman. Tornado in Norman about 15-20 minutes later. LOOK AT THAT CAP! Insane mass flux along the frontal boundary and intense forcing blew that lid right off. Fascinating!
Today is my 18-year NWSiversary! It doesn’t feel like it’s been 18 yrs unless I’m on midshifts. It’s been full of highs & lows, excellent forecasts & warnings, high impact (& sometimes heartbreaking) events, awesome coworkers, & hopefully making a difference to keep people safe.
Let us Reflect, Empower and Unite together this
#Pride
Month as we celebrate the diversity of the NWS family! Their skills and perspectives allow us to meet our mission of protecting a diverse nation.
I’ve worked
@NWSSPC
for almost 10 years and I still get giddy when I see my name on products. 😂 I know not everyone gets to work their dream job. I’m
#blessed
!
#FridayFeelings
I’m off work today. But when your hobby/passion and job are all the same….yeah, I’m not a good example for work/life balance. 😬 I’ll take a break tomorrow.
If science were conducting in the half-assed, flippant manner some of y’all throw out your opinions, we’d be in big, big trouble. Pardon me while I light my degree and 17 years experience on fire because untrained dude bro has the answer!
Yes, I’m human, yes I’m frustrated. 😩
New feature on the SPC Mesoanalysis page: Mesoanalysis hodographs! Double click anywhere on the map to bring up the table with environment parameters and climo tables and it’s the last tab. There must be 100 MUCAPE for the hodographs to plot.
Mr. Leitman just finished loading up the storm shelter. What do we have down there? Well on a day like today, a little more than normal. Typical emergency supplies like flashlights, first aid kit, and water. But today we may need the shelter more than once, and we want make...
Quick graphic with the position of the 15 Dec 2021 derecho. First and last severe/tornado warnings are noted. The derecho traveled roughly 660 miles in 10.5 hours, giving an average forward motion of 63 mph. That’s faster than some interstate speed limits in Iowa.
Y’all, be real. I don’t care if you’re 18 or 30. Morals & knowing right from wrong should be obvious well before then. My 9 year old knows harassing women is wrong. He knows being hateful toward anyone is wrong. Educated men shouldn’t need their hand held through early adulthood.
Today is my 17 year NWSiversary! I have seen a lot in that time, from wildfires and damaging wind storms to historic ice storms, record flooding, and devastating tornado outbreaks. I love my job (even if my body is starting to hate the shift work 😅).
I’m so excited to say I’ve accepted a promotion
@NWSSPC
from Mesoscale Assistant/Fire Wx Forecaster to the Outlook/Mesoscale Forecaster position! This has been my dream job since I was a kid! It’s an honor and a special privilege to be the first woman in this role!
#WomenOFNOAA
Apparently (according to the internet) we are experts in our field, don’t know anything, do a great job, are wrong more than 50% of the time, are the best of the best, 14 year olds with weather apps are better, most couldn’t do what we do, am an idiot, am a genius… 1/3
The cat is out of the bag:
@NWSSPC
will begin routine Day 3 outlook updates starting on/around August 20th. The daytime Day 3 update will be issued at 1930z (230p CDT). The initial Day 3 outlook issuance remains unchanged at 730z (230a CDT).
Incredible that people get pissed over the NWS, a federal agency, making a post about celebrating a federal holiday. One that celebrates freedom, justice and equality. People are so disappointing - and that’s being kind. Seriously people, wtf?
Join us today to celebrate freedom and recognize Juneteenth as a reminder to promote equality, respect, and justice for all. May we continue to work together towards future progress.
#Juneteenth
The
#TwistersMovie
was awesome, y’all! It was intense, a bit cheesy in parts, but was everything you want a disaster movie to be. There were many Easter eggs from the OG Twister, and many cool nods to NWS/SPC/NSSL. It was fun, and evoked all the feels. Go see it! 🌪️🌪️🌪️
Scenes like this hurt. As meteorologist, we can’t stop the weather but hopefully we’ve done our job well so people are prepared and know what to do in these situations. 🙁
Looks like the “diabolical lies” have allowed me to dominate in a male-dominated field at the world-class center in my field, all while raising happy, healthy, & bright kids alongside a supportive husband. 💅🏼💁🏻♀️ if you fear strong, capable, kickass women, good. We don’t need you.
This is a brilliant idea for businesses, informing the public about incoming severe weather. Saw this this afternoon while walking into the movie theater.
#wxtwitter
🧵: "How do you create the SPC Convective Outlook?" I get asked this question a lot. So, I'm going to touch on a little bit of the process. This is not all-inclusive, but should give a better idea of what goes into creating an outlook that looks like this:
Storm reports so far (at of 8pm). More reports are expected, as storms are ongoing/continuing east toward the Ohio & TN Valley through tonight. Most of the tornado reports received so far have been in/near the the High risk areas. The expected bi-modal nature is also evident.
Put together this graphic of outlooks for today, starting with the first area introduced at Day 7. Initially guidance showed a stronger cut-off low ejecting slowly into the Plains, which would result in a more westward threat. By Day 4/3 it became apparent things would... (1/3)
Today is special. 1 yr ago I became the first female forecaster at SPC to issue a watch. Today, I’m prepping a talk while continuing to support women & girls in science while sporting this amazing
@GirlsWhoChase
friendship bracelet made by
@juststormchasin
!
💜🌪️🩷
#chasindreams
Evan nails it on the head. Days like today, when your own families & communities are in a Level 5 of 5 risk & you’re at work, away from your family, is very nerve wracking. Hoping for the best for everyone in KS/OK today. Keep your eyes on the weather today & be near shelter.
Keep forecasters at
@NWSWichita
,
@NWSNorman
,
@NWStulsa
,
@NWSSPC
, & other affected offices in your prayers today. Their dedication to the mission is 2nd to none, you are in good hands. But that dedication when your own community/family is under a 5/5 threat, can be very stressful.
I have seen a troubling amount of misinformation about the eastern Canadian wildfires. There Is no conspiracy. They were started by lightning. Why do you see smoke plumes take off all at the same time? Hot, dry, windy conditions w/ some atmospheric instability.
Some of the best of the best here. Scott Curl, lead forecaster at OUN (middle 1st pic) is the person you want on radar for an event like today. He has worked many of the historic tornado events in central OK. Also pictured, SPC Lead Bryan Smith and Rick Smith (
@ounwcm
).
Being co-located with NWS Norman allows us to do in-person watch collaboration. The remaining affected local NWS offices join the watch collaboration process via teleconference. SPC Lead Forecaster Bryan Smith coordinates PDS Tornado Watch 189 for parts of KS/OK/TX.
The response to this moment has been incredible. I never anticipated how excited so many people would be to share this story. While the spotlight isn’t my comfort zone, I couldn’t be happier to represent women in meteorology and, more broadly, STEM. ❤️
We’ve had severe questions about the last time a Dry T-storm area was in the Northeast. None of us can recall it ever happening and are fairly confident this is a first.
A highly unusual scenario supporting wildfire spread is possible today across parts of the Northeast. Dry/breezy surface conditions and dry thunderstorms are possible this afternoon. Gusty, erratic winds may also accompany the storms, further aggravating fire conditions.
I thought I’d have to wait until at least mid-March before getting to issue a tornado watch, but
@SkyPixWeather
let me handle the watch while he was writing up the 13z Day 1 Outlook. 🙌🏼
#teamwork
I know most of you are looking at the tornado, understandably. But as a structure hipster, my first thought was, “look at that RFD cut!” 😍😂 Seeing the whole storm dynamic just does it for me. Great spotting location by John here!
Teary mom moment. I’m not usually a very sentimental person. But my sunshine girl had Kindergarten promotion yesterday and I’m so proud of her. She could have very easily not been here at all, so every moment with her is a gift. 🥰🥹
Props to NWS Cheyenne for this message. NWS is making big gains, in big part thanks to
@LatinWx
, in reaching Spanish speakers w/ our info. Spanish is the second most spoken language in the US, with over 41 million speakers. We serve all of the U.S. & our info should be accessible
Some of our recent posts have been in both English & Spanish. In response, there have been many racist comments. 27,000 WY & 129,000 NE residents speak Spanish & it's the 2nd most common language. Racism & bigotry will not be tolerated. Your comments will be promptly removed.
Just because the TV meteorologist was focused on OKC and not Norman doesn’t mean there wasn’t warning. Don’t wait for the TV to tell you what to do. This is why we say have multiple ways to get warnings.
Going to drop a thread 🧵 later today answering the question “How does SPC make a convective outlook?” Hint: by hand, no automation creates our outlooks, but the probs do determine the category. I’ll walk through each step in my process, focused on the Day 2 outlook. Stay tuned.
18 (‼️) years ago today I officially became a meteorologist. Pictured with my niece and nephew (who are now 26 and 21). Time really does fly when you do what you love.
Can we please put a lid on posts saying Monday is going to be a High risk. Honestly, it doesn’t help anyone. Talk about the meteorology all you want. Go gangbusters discussing it. But also, let mets do their job. Communicating risk is hard enough without hype.
Getting ready to head into the office to work an event that may impact your own family’s and community’s safety always adds a level unease. Remember, the people who forecast and warn for these events live and work and have family in these areas too.
Just in case Twitter implodes soon-ish, just wanted to say I appreciate y’all. I’ve made great friends & built professional relationships while getting to talk about what I love - severe storms. The community here has for the most part been wonderful. I hope it doesn’t burn down.
Last night at the Oklahoma premiere of
#TwistersMovie
, the actors gave a small speech before the movie.
@glenpowell
got us hyped with the catchphrase every chaser, meteorologist, and weather enthusiast has been familiar with since the first trailer dropped. “If you feel it…”
Y’all, I can’t believe I need to say this:
Anything you hear from a “chaser” saying SPC is going to XYZ and Not Likely O’Clock should not be taken seriously. You’ll know what SPC is going to do when we issue an official product. (1/3)
I want reiterate my statement from a few days ago. SPC works as a team. No decision is made in isolation. Ops is made up of 22 world-class experts and we’ve got a dozen more incredible science support & research staff that help make us great. They all deserve high fives. 🙌🏼
I’d just like to point out I have the best coworkers on the planet. At SPC, no decision is made in isolation. We are a team. When the midshift got in last night the first thing I told them was “if you have thoughts on Friday, I’m open to hear them.”
🧵: I’d like to address the comment/question I’ve seen a lot over the past few days so it won’t get lost in other threads/replies.
“Why did it take so long for a woman to issue a severe thunderstorm watch?”
A few reasons, which I’ll address with context, in this thread.
Nearing the end of my shift and I’m exhausted. Mentally, emotionally, physically. My heart is heavy.
Nod of recognition and appreciation to all of the mets and 1st responders who worked the severe storms outbreak yesterday/today. You all are exceptional.
I don’t deal well w/people leaving, so I shed a few tears today when I left work. My coworkers are family. Give a shout out of appreciation for Meso/Outlooker Greg Dial who is retiring after 23 years at SPC (and 32 years w/NWS). This is him at work with my now 8 year old son. ❤️
Issuing warnings in radar gaps is hard. The warning forecaster uses a mix of radar, their knowledge of what the storm environment should be capable of, and if we’re lucky, visual reports of what’s happening with the storm. 1/x
Congrats to NWS SPC, DVN, LOT, ILX, & CWSU ZAU for receiving the NWS Director’s Award for outstanding services leading up to/during the March 31, 2023 outbreak! 🎉🙌🏼 Great work y’all!
This event was outlooked 6 days in advance, w/ a double high risk upgrade & over 1000 reports!
It’s alarming how so many people are willing to immediately accept information at face value on this platform. No questions asked, no waiting for more info, no knowledge or frame of reference for basing their propagandized opinions. This is not the place for me anymore. ✌🏼 out.
I put together some quick info on Saturday's derecho event. Only two other derechoes in the Great Basin are well noted in literature. I've included storm reports for those events, as well as a derecho frequency map for comparison. Pretty remarkable event!
#derecho
#wxtwitter
If much hasn’t happened in the souther Moderate risk are by late tomorrow afternoon, can WxTwitter have some patience? The souther threat mainly expected during the evening/overnight period. Daytime supercells May be more likely near the warm front further north. Patience.