Hello everyone!
If you're interested in my content on X, you'll love to read or listen to deeper & more valuable content I share on other platforms - YouTube & Substack. All links are in the first comment below.
I am regularly talking about the most interesting companies in the
[Barclays & Celsius]
Alright, finally listened to this tape so you don't have to. Here's my take on $CELH's actual dip, and things aren't as bad as the market believes them to be in my opinion.
The mess between $CELH & $PEP is a bit old now and based on two important factors to
[Alibaba Q1-24 | Detailed review]
Just this time, for $BABA, I'll post my detailed review on X. This is the kind of content you can expect if you subscribe to my page - link's in bio, it's free and there's more to come.
In the meantime, enjoy reading my $BABA Q1-24 detailed
[China v4.5]
Here we go again. We need to talk & clarify everything happening in China today. Yes, the $HSI is opening down as most Chinese stocks, including my $BABA.
We'll review why this is happening, what it means & how I personally feel about it.
-----
This is another
[Alibaba Q4-23]
It's time to talk about the untrusted and undervalued Chinese giant and accept that once more, $BABA gave a solid quarter.
EPS: $2.62 | $2.67 | +1.9% beat🟢
Revenue: $36.7B | $36.6B | on expectation🟠
$2.9B of buyback - 292.7M shares.
New buyback program of
[PYPL Q3-23]
Time is now. We have been waiting for this moment a long time (3 months basically) and here we finally are. Let's dissect $PYPL Q3-23.
EPS: 1.16$ | 1.30$ | +12% beat🟢
Revenue: 6.96B$ | 7.4B$ | +6.3% beat🟢
Buyback of 1.4B$. That is great new, pretty steep
[Alibaba Q2-24 | Detailed Review]
It is time to publish my detailed take on $BABA's quarter, one which will generate much noise! Everything you need to understand it is detailed below, and there sure is a lot to say.
This was sent to subscribers today & this is the kind of
[PayPal guidance]
I'll do a hot reaction to $PYPL guidance because this probably is what the market is reacting to, with reasons: Those guidance are damn weak. Really.
And they triggered me.
Our PayPal wizard
@Kross_Roads
made the good comment that everyone should read the
[Paypal PYUSD]
There has been a lot of talk lately about $PYPL's stablecoin $PYUSD growing, but not many explanations of what is really happening and what it means, both for PayPal and for the stablecoin itself.
Will try to explain my view of it here, along with what it implies
[Market is wrong]
You won't see me write stuff with that much convictions often but I think today's the day I get ballzy. The market is entirely wrong with $PYPL.
I finished the report. I read the call. I read it all and more shit on X. I wanted it done early to make decisions.
[Ulta play]
I decided to dig more on $ULTA as everyone talks about it. While "most undervalued stock in the market" might be an overstatement, "undervalued" seems accurate, setting up a potential earnings swing trade.
Here’s my take.
Dump. The stock dropped sharply twice in
[Hims&Hers | Q2-24 Review & New Position]
Here's my detailed take on $HIMS earnings & why I bought back in the stock this week, with my current valuation and DCA target price.
This was sent to subscribers earlier today & this is the kind of content you can expect were you to
@archi_tradition
Slovenia easily is the most underrated country in Europe... Love the time I spent there. Ljubljana is kne of the most beautiful European capital
@rg_brewski
@0xgaut
I'm sorry, man. I really meant it as a joke, nothing too serious. Didn't want to offend anyone.
Your point obviously makes sense; simply too serious for this kind of posts. 🤝
[Some random thoughts on Ailbaba]
I just finished reading $BABA's earnings call and had some random thoughts I wanted to put into writing. I won't write about the entire call tonight but will try to do so during the weekend.
But some things caught my attention and I wanted to
$PYPL continues to make headlines in the world of investment with an ongoing debate:
Opportunity or value trap?
We're talking about it (again) today in an extended manner. A condensed version of what's important, I believe, to decide whether or not to invest in Paypal.
I was away from the computer, charts, and reports, but I spent some time thinking about $INMD and the entire situation they are in lately. Did some additional research since and some important news came out today.
The stock now sits at less than $25 in pre-market, a -48% from
[PayPal advertising]
This is huge for $PYPL, perfectly in line with their innovations & product upgrades. It won't grow to something comparable to $META's or $GOOG's in term of revenues but it has the potential to be really significant.
I already talked about how valuable their
PayPal $PYPL is planning to start an ad sales business using the data it generates from tracking the purchases as well as the broader spending behaviors of millions of consumers who use its services - WSJ
[Premium Content]
Lots of content is popping and will continue to pop over the next week outside of X. If you're interested in deeper thoughts & analysis, link's in my bio & you can sub for free - or buy me a coffee!
This week saw a Q1-24 dive of $ABNB, $PLTR, $CELH & $OlO,
[On running update]
Just covered $ONON earnings but the market reaction to those is worth another post focused on investing - a future premium one.
The stock is getting crushed and now trading under $30, good long-term opportunity in my opinion and I'll detail here why.
First,
[Paypal update]
Long time we didn't talk about $PYPL seriously here as not much happened since their last earnings. But today is a great day for two reasons.
1. The stock price-action
As I already talked about here:
$PYPL PA was already fine, but it is
[Technical analyses]
I said it already and I'll say it again: I do think TA is bullshit. Or at least, the TA that you sometimes can see with hundreds of lines in every direction on short timeframes. Or very complexe bullshit.
Yet there are no denying from me that price action
[Paypal presentation]
Alright folks, it's time to debrief $PYPL's news. I'll try to do it as well as I can, explaining the solutions and my perception of them.
Small prequel first: as I nicely saw it written on another post, Alex C. never said that this presentation would shock
[On earning call]
Just finished reading $ONON transcript and I honestly didn't think I could feel that excited reading a sportswear/shoes brand earnings call. But the team is so motivated, optimistic, and happy, it's inspiring.
I'll just start with David's words, showing how
[Celsius, Lululemon & On Running valuation]
I shared with subscribers earlier my valuation & price to buy $CELH, $LULU & $ONON with a new method, not assuming any ratios but calculating the minimum ratios necessary to reach my required returns.
Keep reading if you're
I am reading & writting $GOOG's report right now but before pushing it I have to say it: It is ridiculous. Proposterous. Incredibly stupid.
Google is a crazy comapny, crazy business.
INSANE.
That's it.
Writing this thread because I got triggered earlier by a comment I saw about China. I have been talking a lot about it and why I buy on $BABA but have never really wrote enough to explain my entire view about it.
So here comes.
[Disclaimer]
Firstly, everyone is going crazy
[Hims&Hers Q1-24]
Rapid overview of $HIMS smashing Q1-24.
EPS: $0.01 | $0.05 | +400% beat🟢
Revenue: $270.50M | $278.17 | +3% beat🟢
$28M of buyback
"We are pleased to begin the year with exceptional results and strong momentum throughout the business."
🟢Personalized
[Celsius Holding Q4-23]
It's time for $CELH to print this big number and reach a new 52-week high... Or maybe not! Either way, the market will do what it wants to do. Let's still check those numbers.
EPS: $0.16 | $0.17 | on expectation🟠
Revenue: $326 | $347M | +6.4% beat🟢
[Hims&Hers Investment Case]
It's time for subscriber to received my deep dive & investment case on $HIMS. I will for once also publish it on X for everyone to read, share & give me their opinion on it.
This is the kind of content you can expect were you to subscribe yourself!
[Hims Valuation]
Time to share my valuation on $HIMS, to which you'll find the fundamental review on the first comment.
The valuation system is simply meant to know the company's actual fair price based on pre-defined returns, timeframe & reasonable stock multiples.
In $HIMS
[Celsius holdings]
I started to dig into $CELH. I've seen it written about too often and noticed many interesting people posting about it, so I couldn't overlook that company.
And I was immediately convinced to delve into it when I opened their financials.
Time to write up a
[Airbnb Investment Case]
Kinda excited to share on X my investment case on $ABNB. This is probably the most complete & free content you can find on the company, covering everything you need to know about their business, their advantages over the competition, risks & more.
This
[Alibaba Q1-24]
Rapid overview of a good $BABA Q1-24. Detailed earning & call review will be published later on - link's in bio to subscribe for free!
EPS. $1.41 | $1.40 | On expectations🟠
Revenue. $30.40B | $30.73B | On expectations🟠
$12.5B of buybacks | $4B dividend plan
[Alex Chriss Morgan Stanley conference]
Our beloved $PYPL CEO spoke yesterday at the Morgan Stanley conference. I caught up with it this morning and will try to sum up what he said over there.
To start with a conclusion, we learnt a few new things and the conversation was very
[Celsius Q2-24 | Detailed Review & Position]
Here's my detailed take on $CELH earnings & why I bought back in the stock this week, with my current valuation and DCA target price.
This was sent to subscribers earlier today & this is the kind of content you can expect were you to
[China, Institutionals & Alibaba]
Earning season also means the update of investors' portfolios, and we can't help but notice that many turned themselves back to Chinese stocks.
Not just Chinese stocks. Chinese retail companies (👋 $BABA) and that has lots of implications as it
[Celsius update]
Bit sad as I wanted to slightly trim my $CELH position so close to ATH but didn't have time as Nielsen chose to nuke the stock.
The numbers show that "sales growth slowed sequentially to a +39% pace for a one-week period that ended on May 18, and its market
@nataninvesting
People just don't understand how China works. they just believe everything is managed by the CCP and that it has hands on it all but it's far from the case.
The rule China in a way that nothing should hurt the country. Once this is done, everyone do whatever he wants over there.
[Hims&Hers GLP-1]
I'm sure you've already seen that $HIMS announced the sale of the famous GLP-1 drug on their platforms.
This was expected and doesn't come as a surprise (except to the market), but I won't comment on this directly. Instead, I'll comment on poor judgment. This
I've done my initial research on $HIMS and I still have a few unanswered questions, but I like to write a thread to organize my thoughts before continuing digging.
I'll start with the questions, if anyone has some initial answers, feel free to share!
Where do the products come
[Hims Position]
I'm looking at a lot of companies and stocks, but I don't think there's any I want to buy more than $HIMS right now. I studied the company a few months ago and even bought the stock, but it was a very small position and I chose to cut it - without much regret,
[On Running Q1-24]
Rapid overview of $ONON strong Q1-24. Longer earning & call review will be published later, link in bio to subscribe for free not to miss it!
EPS. $0.16 | $0.31 | +93.7% beat🟢
Revenue. $547.49M | $560M | +2.3% beat🟢
Business.
🟢Direct-to-consumer sells &
[Alibaba's pump]
I'm talking a lot about $BABA & China lately, but it deserves the attention. I talked about the $78 zone breakout two weeks ago.
And came back to it a few days ago as we had tons of positive data.
Calling that
[Alibaba PA]
I don't want to look too bullish on $BABA but I'd like to come back to this post done 10 days ago.
$BABA has broken out and retested its accumulation range since, fueled by strong e-commerce data from China, lots of mention from "Chine advertisers strength" from
[Monster vs Celsius]
We now have both Q4-23 & FY-23 reports from both companies, two main players in the energy drink industry $CELH & $MNST.
I already wrote about why Monster was the playbook to follow for Celsius and how the latter is a big opportunity here.
[Shopify Q1-24]
Rapid review on $SHOP Q1-24.
EPS: $0.17 | $0.20 | +17.65%🟢
Revenue: $1.84B | $1.86B | +1.14%🟢
"We are building a 100-year company, and we will continue to remain fiercely agile, capitalizing on every opportunity that accelerates the success of our merchants,
[Celsius Price Action]
I talked about $CELH and called it a perfect stock before earnings, and I stay with what I said today.
I don't trust TA very much as I've said many times, but I also mentioned that long-term charts clearly show trends and key prices.
I can now answer my
[Celsius PA & Pepsi]
We might be in the presence of a perfect stock with $CELH in terms of fundamentals, financials, but also TA.
Let's start with what matters the most.
Fundamentals. Nothing's new with Celsius and there's lots written on it here - waiting for my fresher
Now that $ENPH results are out and commented, the question stands: What to do with that position?
I won’t lie, that changes things for me. But let’s take things in order, let’s first talk about the good, then about the bad. And finally, about my decision and what I’ll do over
Time to dig in, let's be a bit controversial once more, $ENPH on deck. Is that quarter as bad as many say it is?
I am only sharing my take about it here.
EPS: 1.03$ | 1.02$ | -0.01% miss🔴
Revenues: 566M$ | 551.1M$ | -2.7% miss🔴
Buyback of 110M$ at 129.92$ average.
[Celsius - Evercore ISI interview]
Today's the day as $CELH's top management was interviewed at the Consumer & Retail Conference. We had some good information but nothing to help the market short term.
Here's a review of the interview.
Growth. The main subject and reason why
[Premium Content]
Interested in deeper analyses about $ABNB, $PLTR, $CELH $META, $GOOG, $PANW, $ONON, $PLTR, $BABA, $NFLX, $LULU, $TSLA or $OlO?
You'll find lots of them in the first comment after this post & link's in my bio to sub for free, or you can also buy me a coffee!
[Paypal Q4-23]
I say that for every report I write but here we go again, with the most expected earnings of the season, $PYPL! Time to see if A. Chriss had enough time to show results in the numbers.
EPS: $1.36 | $1.48 | +8.8% beat🟢
Revenue: $7.87B | $7.88B | on expectations
[Airbnb Q1-24]
Rapid overview on an other missunderstood $ABNB Q1-24. Longer earning & call review to come tomorrow, linked will be added below. You can also subscribe if you want to receive it directly by email - for free!
EPS: $0.22 | $0.41 | +86.4% beat🟢
Revenue: $2.06B |
[Duolingo Q1-24]
Rapid overview on a good 🟢 Q1-24.
EPS: $0.27 | $0.57 | +111% beat
Revenue: $165.64M | $167.55M | +1.15% beat
Business.
🟢Fremium keeps allowing the team to leverage data and create a better experience.
🟢Business data & app usage is growing rapidely and
@richardyu420
I mean, Pepsi front loaded a demand which didn't exist. Not sure this should be blamed on $CELH, and it either way doesn't mean demand isn't here, and isn't strong.
It simply isn't as strong as $PEP expected it to be.
[Enphase Q4-23]
Alright, here we go, the last $ENPH earnings report for 2023. Is the solar energy company going to show signs of revival or not?
EPS: $0.53 | $0.54 | on expectation🟠
Revenue: $328M | $303M | -7.6% miss🔴
Buyback of $100M - 1,183,246 shares.
Let's start by
Introducing a potential strong growth candidate for the upcoming years, in which I'm already invested: $INMD.
Let's dig what makes it interesting to my eyes.
[The Company]
Inmode is a company specialized in selling non or minimally invasive aesthetic surgery platforms based
[Celsius holdings investment case]
I am still digging into $CELH, and things are looking good, although I still need to check up on their management and try their products but that last one is tough being in Europe.
But I did compare them to what could be their biggest
[Premium Content]
Interested in deeper analyses about $ABNB, $PLTR, $CELH $META, $GOOG, $PANW, $ONON, $PLTR, $BABA, $NFLX, $LULU, $TSLA or $OlO?
You'll find lots of them in the first comment after this post & link's in my bio to sub for free - you can also buy me a coffee!
[Lululemon - The heavy feather]
I called catching $LULU like catching a feather a few weeks ago. Heavier than expected, but my opinion hasn't changed since I presented the company—I'll share links below.
The stock keeps falling on "lower growth" concerns and now, the
[Lululemon - the feather]
Another day, another negative return for $LULU which is finalyy reaching $350. It's not catching a knife here, it's catching a very soft feather imo.
it's all in the article, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this kind of
[Adobe Q1-24]
Time to check what's happening with $ADBE, the small company which will soon go out of business because of Sora! Let's comment one of its last quarters - that's irony, in case.
EPS: $4.38 | $4.48 | +2.3% beat🟢
Revenue: $5.14B | $5.18B | +0.8% beat🟢
New program
@Micro2Macr0
If a chart is enough to argue, I assume we shouldn't invest in $PYPL either. Nor in many, many fintech companies.
Pretty sure you'd answer this by comparing the S&P to the CSI or any other Chinese Index, but the point I make here is that markets move. The U.S also had issues,
[Buy, buy, buy v3.0]
New day, new buys. I've been accumulating cash over the last 3 months and I am glad I did. Started strong this week with $CELH & $PLTR.
And continuing strong with big chunks of $ABNB & $OLO while the $CELH I added are already up more
[Buy, buy, buy]
Alright folks, I'll just write a rapid post here because things need to be done today, and I'll gladly do them.
Saying it cash: I'll reaccumulate $PLTR under $25. Review's here for the reasoning.
I'm not concerned about the $CELH
I said I would take the time to look into $ENPH again, and as promised, I have! And without spoiling the outcome, I'm quite convinced by what I've read.
Enough to invest in the company though?
[The Company]
#Enphase
is a company that produces solar energy systems, or rather
[On running Q4-23]
Time to watch $ONON last quarter for the year while the market decides to crash the stock which is actually down more than -10% pre-market!
EPS: $0.11 | -$0.06 | miss🔴
Revenue: $510.19M | $504.23M | -1.2% miss🔴
"The strength and increasing awareness of the
[PayPal update]
Here we are with a more serious take on $PYPL after a good night of sleep and processing every earning information I could. Slides and call.
I'll share my global take on the earnings, the company and the market's reaction. But I won't keep you hostage as this
I don't hit on other people or investment ideas, and I'll continue not to do so. But there's a bone I have to pick today with all of those who told us $PYPL was shit and how dumb we were for investing in that dinosaur, that dead company which would never go anywhere or do