The game before the Lakers win, Celtics lose in OT to the Knicks. Rob Williams gets clearly fouled before time expires on a game winning put back. Yet, no Cs fans have been beating the drum over this. It happens all the time.
Some random predictions before I try and sleep
-Joe isn't fired
-One of Smart/Jaylen is traded
-Grant is re-signed
-Brogdon is traded
-We hire like 3 assistant coaches
The rise of Jaylen Brown, pick and roll guru. He's 13th in PPP (including passes) of players with 100 or more pick and rolls this season per Synergy. He was 110th!! last season.
Here's some alternate angles in slow mo (Reggie Miller kept calling it a block, not sure what the hell he's seeing). Again, not doing this because I think the Cs deserved to win, doing it to show that the response from the Lakers is absurd. Cs should have held on to their OT lead
Dallas will collapse hard if you get into the paint. They give up the 6th fewest FGAs and 4th lowest FG% in the restricted area. Kick outs and swings being crisp and on target will go a long way to keeping the offense humming. Can't get lured into forcing it over their length.
I think deep down Celtic fans are going to be hurt that Tatum didn’t win Finals MVP, I also think them knowing they didn’t beat any healthy or very good teams along the way doesn’t validate this championship to their standards and will leave a hole of dissatisfaction to this run
Inspired by
@ChrisForsberg_
's piece this morning, here is over 2 minutes of Tatum passes from last night. 8 Assists, 17! Potential Assists. He was tossing simple kick outs and insane off the bounce lefty one handers to corner shooters in traffic. What a fucking performance.
The Celtics' offense was 11.6 points per 100 better with Tatum on the court in the Playoffs. What happens next year when the shot starts going in again?
Since Smart went out, Tatum is averaging 5.8 assists (4.5 on season) and he's bumped his potential assist number up to 10 from 8.2. Tatum is becoming more and more capable as a playmaker, and his ability to become the primary handler when the starting PG is out is huge.
Tatum has shot 16 or fewer field goals in 5 games this season. 3 of them came in the 10 games that Smart missed (JB missing 5 of them). As the Cs started losing players, Tatum took on a larger share of the playmaking and dialed back his FGAs. Inverse of what you might expect.
@Marc_DAmico
I’m fine with people disagreeing with the selection. I’m not fine with the incredulity. To act like smart isn’t a reasonable candidate is absurd and honestly has turned me off from some of these people that used to listen/read religiously.
Love that Pritchard has started incorporating the "Nash" into his game. He's not perfected it and a few of these are tough shots, but it keeps the offense moving It's also a part of the reason his assist to turnover ratio is so good since he's not forcing anything.
Mavs have gone to zone 32 possessions in the postseason (per Synergy). They ran it quite a bit against the Cs in the previous matchup, but Boston did a good job attacking at the FT line and FT extended. Cs scoring an absurd 1.55 PPP against zone in the Playoffs.
I don't know how much Kleber we will see this series, but if he's out there without Lively or Gafford, Cs need to attack the rim. This is a pretty basic pick and roll out of horns, but Tatum's been cooking so they trap (gently). JB vs. Kyrie with Luka weakside "help." Easy 2.
Tatum/Rob high screen and roll was eviscerating the Heat defense, they did not have an answer. Rob not getting back into the game late is coaching malpractice.
Tatum and basically any combination of PP/Sam/Luke is killing teams, and the four of them on the floor together is +23.7. They've got amazing chemistry no matter who they share the court with.
I love Anton Watson. Dude is just a basketball player. Operating as a dribble handoff hub, gets into a throw and chase, perfectly paced roll to the rim.
Tatum is averaging a career-high FG% from mid-range this year. He's getting to his spots and creating space out of pick and roll, isos, and the high post. Using all the tools in his bag to get open shots. And sometimes there's just some ridiculous shot making.
JT just needs to draw the defense and make the right play. No need to force it against this Mavs defense, that's what they want. Draw the defense, make the right play.
Gallo solves a lot of the problems we were hoping Brogdon would (can get you efficient offense without Tatum on the floor). He's an absurdly versatile scorer and it would be very cool of him to come back fully healthy.
Here's every Celtics miss from the 4th quarter last night. Short of maybe Derrick rushing his layup after the steal, you'd be hard pressed to find bad process. Annoying loss, but felt like they played offense the right way, shots just didn't fall (not the case in Minny OT BTW).
For
@celticsblog
, I breakdown the Celtics’ offseason options under the new CBA.
☘️ Re-signing our free agents
☘️ Who is extension eligible
☘️ Signing other free agents
☘️ The trade market
I doubt this version of Dallas let's you get middle so easily (THJ doesn't play anymore and they've grown as a defensive team), but I like going to JT posting Kyrie. Good way to get the defense scrambling and can rack up fouls on him.
The Celtics, over these last 3 games, are 50.8!! points per 100 possessions WORSE when Tatum is off the court. They are a -46.5 per/100 when he's sitting. Absolutely unacceptable.
Tatum's asked to do a lot of different things defensively this series, including help at the rim. Bar a few miscommunications, he's been mostly excellent.
Here's a few examples. Immediate pass when they see Tatum is on them, and just waltz to the corner and completely remove Tatum from the play. Not to say they never attacked him, they did, but even Butler sat in the corner a lot with JT on him.
We are reaching a point with Tatum where teams don’t even bother attacking him. They just plunk whoever he’s guarding in the corner or try and force a switch.
Mavs have the 7th best Playoff half-court offense. They can be stopped, but limiting turnovers live ball turnovers is a killer. Cannot afford to give up lazy ones like they do here.
Marcus Smart isolation defense PPP:
Last Regular Season - 94th percentile
This Regular Season - 15th percentile
This Playoffs - 92nd percentile
Strange (and kinda bad defensively) regular season for Marcus, but he turned it up when it mattered.
Pritchard was a huge plus in the season series vs. Dallas. He's +6.3 in playoff net rating.
I still just DO not buy it. Some team, some time, HAS to expose the Celtics' bench as unplayable beyond the Big 6. SURELY it will be Dallas, right?
There’s a group of intelligent basketball analysts (Lowe, Partnow, Legler, KOC…) who can’t deny that this historically great team is good, actually, but they seem almost insulted by it
Watching the series back, without the specter of stress and anxiety warping my perception, the Celtics were by far the better team. Dallas stood zero chance.
Jrue is sort of a weird player. Makes the right decision like 95% of time, but the other 5% is baffling. Dribbles the air out of the ball, then shoots a post fall-away against Scottie Barnes for some reason.
☘️🎙️ NEW CELTICS TALK POD
A (slightly before) the quarter mark of the season checkup with
@Cerrone_Battle
.
Most encouraging? Most concerning? Biggest surprise? Evaluating Year 2 Joe. Brad’s next move?
🎧
📺