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Underdog Sports Analytics

@UnderdogSA1

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Free expert player prop picks - Just trying to help the community make some money! ๐Ÿ“Š: UNDERDOG25

Philadelphia, PA
Joined December 2022
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
10 days
WNBA: Arike Ogunbowale O 8.5 RAs โœ… Odyssey Sims O 19.5 PAs โœ… Aliyah Boston U 9.5 rebounds โœ… Courtney Williams U 10.5 points โœ… A nice 4-0 sweep heading into the all star break! #GamblingX
@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
11 days
WNBA: Arike Ogunbowale O 8.5 RAs Odyssey Sims O 19.5 PAs Aliyah Boston U 9.5 rebounds Courtney Williams U 10.5 points Research: @propsdotcash #GamblingX
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
12 days
Kahleah Copper over 4.5 rebounds (-114 FD) - hit in 13/L24 - averaging 4.5 rebounds in that span - rebound props have a lot of variance but copper gets a great guard matchup here. The mystics allow the 2nd most rebounds to guards. If copper can get a few lucky bounces weโ€™re in
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Al Horford over 2.5 assists (-135 DK) - hit in 17/L17 without porzingis and 4+ potential assists - averaging 3.9 assists in that span - only had 3 potentials last game and the celtics shot horribly. I think they shoot better today ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
11 days
Odyssey Sims over 19.5 points + assists (-130 FD) - hit in 5/L8 - averaging 21.5 PAs in that span - the fever are ranked 12th in points allowed and 9th in assists allowed. Sims should be able to generate lots of open looks ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
11 days
Arike Ogunbowale over 8.5 rebounds + assists (-132 FD) - hit in 74% of games this season - averaging 9.8 RAs in that span - ogunbowale is just a beast all around but i really like this matchup. Should be a fast paced game with lots of opportunities for both rebounds and assists
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points - hit in 17/L20 (85%) without randle and with 33+ minutes & 19+ FGAs - averaging 36.4 points in that span - brunson already put up 34 points without randle earlier this year. Should be pull ups galore ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
21 days
Teaira McCowan over 6.5 rebounds (-152 FD) - hit in 11/L16 with 22+ minutes - averaging 8.8 rebounds in that span - hit in 8/L11 vs the aces - the aces are ranked 11th in rebounds allowed. McCowan should get her full minutes and dominate the glass ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Damian Lillard over 27.5 points - hit in 6/L7 without giannis - hit in 3/L4 vs the magic - averaging 31.9 points in that span - no giannis means dame time. The magic are ranked 27th in points allowed to PGs. He put up 29 points against them a few days ago ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Al Horford over 2.5 assists (-110 HR) - hit in 15/L15 without porzingis and 4+ potential assists - averaging 4 assists in that span - should get the starting spot. Skilled passer who can fill the shoes pretty well ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
16 days
Natasha Cloud over 13.5 points (-120 CZR) - hit in 3/L3 without taurasi - averaging 21 points in that span - someone has to step up without taurasi and cloud and filled in the gap nicely. The fever are ranked 12th in points allowed and cloud put up 15 against them last time
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
16 days
NaLyssa Smith over 7.5 rebounds (-115 DK) - hit in 12/L18 with 20+ minutes - averaging 8.7 rebounds in that span - hit in 6/L7 vs the mercury - smith is a glass cleaner and hauled 15 rebounds last time vs phoenix. They are ranked 12th in rebounds allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
14 days
Brionna Jones over 12.5 points (-125 bet365) - hit in 12/L18 with 8+ FGAs - averaging 14.2 points in that span - hit in 4/L5 vs phoenix - the mercury are ranked 11th in points allowed. Jones already put up 16 & 18 points against them this season ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
12 days
Sabrina Ionescu under 6.5 assists (-137 PrizePicks) - hit in 13/L16 with vandersloot - averaging 5.1 assists in that span - hit in 12/L13 vs the sun - the sun are ranked 1st in assists allowed and ionescu has gone under twice so far this season. This is only on DFS so i will
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
11 days
Aliyah Boston under 9.5 rebounds (+115 bet365) - hit in 64% of games this season - averaging 8.8 rebounds in that span - the wings are not a very good defensive team but they are ranked 3rd in rebounds allowed. I really like the price here especially coming off a 16 rebound game
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
12 days
Ariel Atkins over 3.5 rebounds (-130 ESPN) - hit in 6/L11 at home - averaging 4.3 rebounds in that span - the mercury are ranked 12th in rebounds allowed and give up rebounds to guards all game long. Atkins should be able to snag 4 today ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
23 days
Aโ€™ja Wilson over 25.5 points (-125 DK) - hit in 13/L18 - averaging 26.5 points in that span - wilson is coming off another bad game but gets a favorable matchup against the sparks. She put up 31 points against them last time ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Rui Hachimura over 13.5 points - hit in 25/L30 (83%) with 22+ minutes & 9+ FGAs - averaging 18.1 points in that span - he put up 23 & 32 points vs the grizzlies so far this season. The lakers have something to play for and the grizzlies are a g-league team ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Trey Murphy III over 5.5 rebounds - hit in 9/L11 without ingram - averaging 6.9 rebounds in that span - the blazers are ranked 23rd in rebounds allowed. Murphy has really attacked the glass since ingrams injury and i think that continues today ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Jarrett Allen over 11.5 rebounds (-140 ESPN) - hit in 4/L5 with the starting 5 active - hit in 2/L3 vs the magic with the starting 5 active - ive seen enough to take his boards. 18 & 20 rebounds is insane. The magic have no answer for him on the glass ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Al Horford over 2.5 assists (-130 bet365) - hit in 16/L16 without porzingis and 4+ potential assists - averaging 3.9 assists in that span - system play at this point. Horford is a capable facilitator and will get the starting nod ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
28 days
Ranger Suarez over 5.5 strikeouts (+132 bet365) - hit in 10/L15 in non injury games - averaging 6.5 Ks in that span - i know suarez has regressed badly but now he faces the marlins who are ranked 2nd in K rate L15 days. I think he bounces back ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
9 days
Frankie Montas under 4.5 strikeouts (-145 DK) Collab with @LincolnG05Bets ! - hit in 10/L14 with less than 100 pitches - averaging 3.7 Ks in that span - montas isnt really a strikeout guy and now gets a tough K matchup in the nationals. Ranked 22nd in K rate i dont think montas
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
14 days
Stefanie Dolson over 5.5 rebounds (-120 DK) - hit in 10/L15 with 25+ minutes - averaging 6.3 rebounds in that span - the aces play fast so there will be plenty of rebounding opportunities. They are ranked 11th in rebounds allowed. If dolson stays out of foul trouble we should be
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
12 days
Jackie Young over 27.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 ESPN) - hit in 16/L19 with 10+ FGAs - averaging 31.2 PRAs in that span - young was on a tear but finally had a bad game. The sky are very susceptible to aggressive guards so i think young will look to score. Should be a
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Aaron Gordon over 3.5 assists (-130 ESPN) - hit in 7/L10 in the playoffs - averaging 4.7 assists in that span - the nuggets now have gordon bring up the ball and initiate the offense. So far it has worked and i expect gordon to continue to make plays ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
28 days
Logan Allen over 14.5 outs (-160 DK) - hit in 11/L12 with 77+ pitches - averaging 16.9 outs in that span - the royals are ranked 30th in both wRC+ & OBP L15 days. Allen isnt spectacular but he should be able to go 5 innings here ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Payton Pritchard over 7.5 points (-112 DK) - hit in 84% of games at home with 15+ minutes & 5+ FGAs - averaging 14.3 points in that span - played 24 minutes and took 7 shots last game. Blowout actually helps us since heโ€™ll get garbage time minutes ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Victor Wembanyama over 4.5 assists - hit in 8/L10 - averaging 6 assists in that span - with sochan and vassell done for the season wemby has taken over the playmaking role. Hes been dominant lately and gotten close to a triple double a few times ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
14 days
Caitlin Clark under 18.5 points (-130 FD) - hit in 9/L11 away games with less than 16 FGAs - averaging 14.4 points in that span - the lynx are ranked 3rd in points allowed. Even without collier they are still tough on guards and clark is significantly worse on the road
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
15 days
Grayson Rodriguez under 6.5 strikeouts (+100 DK) - hit in 4/L5 at home with 85+ pitches - averaging 5.8 Ks in that span - hit in 2/L2 vs the yankees - the yankees are ranked 27th in K rate L15 days. Rodriguez is a solid pitcher but has struggled vs the yankees in their limited
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Tyrese Maxey over 4.5 assists (-130 bet365) - hit in 4/L5 in the playoffs - hit in 81% of games with embiid and 9+ potential assists - averaging 7.5 assists in that span - maxey has gotten 9+ potential assists every game vs the knicks so far. Usage is crazy rn ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
25 days
Ronel Blanco under 6.5 hits allowed (-160 MGM) - hit in 15/L15 - averaging 3.6 hits allowed in that span - this simply shouldnt be a line. Blanco hasnt gone over this line all season ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Naz Reid over 14.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 bet365) - hit in 7/L11 in the playoffs - averaging 14.9 PRAs in that span - hit in 5/L6 vs the mavericks with 18+ minutes - reid has seen a consistent 20 minutes these playoffs. I like his matchup vs gafford ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Dillon Brooks over 9.5 points - hit in 80% of games with 7+ FGAs - hit in 11/L13 vs the warriors - averaging 13.9 points in that span - i think brooks come out ultra aggressive especially since this is such an important game for play in considerations ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
DeMar DeRozan over 4.5 assists - hit in 19/L23 (83%) at home without lavine and with 23+ minutes - hit in 8/L10 vs the hawks - averaging 5.9 assists in that span - atlanta is ranked 26th in assists allowed. Derozan already put up 6 & 5 assists against them ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jalen Johnson over 3.5 assists - hit in 4/L5 without bey & young - averaging 5.4 assists in that span - he just recorded his first triple double and dished out 11 dimes! The mavs are ranked 22nd in assists allowed so i think 4 is doable here ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jalen Green over 3.5 assists - hit in 10/L11 without sengun and 6+ potential assists - averaging 5.5 assists in that span - green is averaging 12 potential assists over his last 5 games. Dallas is ranked 22nd in assists allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Nneka Ogwumike over 18.5 points (-110 DK) - hit in 3/L3 at home - averaging 20.3 points in that span - the mercury are ranked 9th in points allowed. Ogwumike is a pure scorer and being at home should help ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
19 days
Bridget Carleton over 10.5 points (-115 DK) - hit in 10/L16 with 26+ minutes - averaging 11.1 points in that span - collier will probably sit which means more minutes for carleton. She already put up 15 & 11 points against the sparks ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Daniel Gafford over 20.5 points + rebounds + assists - hit in 4/L4 without lively - averaging 27.3 PRAs in that span - gafford has secured the starting center role and gets a good matchup against the hawks. Should be lob city all day ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Bogdan Bogdanovic over 16.5 points (-120 DK) - hit in 12/L15 (80%) of games without johnson but with trae - hit in 8/L10 vs the bulls - averaging 20.5 points in that span - bogdan put up 22, 28, & 20 points vs the bulls this season. Ranked 29th in 3s allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
16 days
Andrew Heaney under 16.5 outs (-130 MGM) - hit in 7/L8 away games with less than 94 pitches - averaging 14.4 outs in that span - hit in 8/L8 vs the astros - heaney has faced the astros twice this season and has gone for 11 outs both times. The astros are extremely potent vs LHP
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Tyrese Maxey over 2.5 threes - hit in 16/L19 (84%) at home with embiid and 6+ 3PTAs - averaging 3.9 threes in that span - brooklyn is ranked 30th in threes allowed to PGs. Maxey already put up 3 & 6 threes against them. Must win game ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
10 days
Nick Pivetta under 17.5 outs (-120 Fliff) - hit in 8/L12 with less than 105 pitches - averaging 15.4 outs in that span - the dodgers are ranked 2nd in both wRC+ & OBP. They are also ranked 1st in walk rate. Overall i dont think pivetta will be efficient enough to make it through
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Russell Westbrook over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112 DK) - hit in 10/L10 without kawhi and 10+ minutes - hit in 8/L8 vs the mavericks - averaging 27.7 PRAs in that span - i really dont think kawhi plays. The mavericks are bottom 10 in all 3 categories ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Kyle Anderson over 8.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125 ESPN) - hit in 7/L7 vs the mavericks including 5/5 this season - averaging 15.1 PRAs in that span - anderson got an uptick in minutes last game and i think that continues. The mavs left him wide open ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
9 days
Sonny Gray over 5.5 strikeouts (-130 MGM) - hit in 14/L16 with 65+ pitches - averaging 7.3 Ks in that span - gray gets a good strikeout matchup in the braves. Ranked 5th in K rate they swing and miss quite often. Gray has had decent success against this team before
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Cam Thomas over 7.5 rebounds + assists - hit in 8/L10 - averaging 9.2 RAs in that span - team takeover activated. The lakers are ranked 22nd in rebounds allowed and 27th in assists allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Josh Giddey under 7.5 assists - hit in 2/L2 without jalen & shai - averaging 2.5 assists in that span - the pacers are ranked 4th in assists allowed. Giddeys scoring is up but not his playmaking. Indiana plays single coverage so not much open space to pass ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jamal Murray over 27.5 points + rebounds + assists - hit in 89% of games with 1 day of rest and 14+ FGAs - hit in 3/L4 vs the spurs - averaging 34.3 PRAs in that span - the spurs are ranked bottom 10 in all three categories. Nuggets are playing for the 1st seed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Victor Wembanyama over 4.5 steals + blocks - hit in 8/L10 on two days of rest with 22+ minutes - hit in 16/L20 (80%) with 28+ minutes - hit in 2/L2 vs the pelicans - averaging 5 stocks in that span - victor is rested and ready to play big minutes. Nuff said ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Jaylen Brown over 24.5 points (-125 FD) - hit in 10/L13 vs the pacers including 5/5 this season - averaging 27.6 points in that span - brown cashed last game so im going back to him again. Iso ball is his thing so i expect more drives and pull ups ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Jalen Brunson over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-102 DK) - hit in 4/L4 - averaging 14.3 RAs in that span - gonna keep riding with brunson. Hes playing at an MVP level ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Jaylen Brown over 24.5 points (-115 bet365) - hit in 9/L13 vs the pacers including 4/L4 this season - averaging 27.8 points in that span - brown loves playing iso. This is the perfect matchup for him as he should be able to get to his spots at will ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jalen Johnson over 3.5 assists - hit in 5/L6 without trae & bey - averaging 5.2 assists in that span - point johnson is here. He and dejounte are now the main playmakers on this bad hawks team ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
21 days
Jewell Loyd over 3.5 assists (-125 DK) - hit in 11/L20 - averaging 3.8 assists in that span - hit in 7/L9 vs the sky - loyd has already put up 6 & 5 assists vs this chicago team. She will get a tough defender and there should be plenty of kick outs ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Vasilije Micic over 6.5 assists - hit in 8/L10 at home - averaging 8.5 assists in that span - dallas is ranked 22nd in assists allowed. Micic has been dishing recently and since the hornets have nothing to play for hes been getting good minutes ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Obi Toppin over 8.5 points (-122 FD) - hit in 10/L14 in the playoffs - averaging 11.3 points in that span - hit in 8/L13 vs the celtics including 6/6 this season - topping plays consistent minutes and is a top bench producer. I expect the same diet of shots ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
26 days
Aโ€™ja Wilson over 26.5 points (-110 DK) - hit in 11/L16 - averaging 26.9 points in that span - wilson is an MVP caliber player. She is coming off her worst game of the season and will be hungry to bounce back against the fever. She put up 29 against them already ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Kristaps Porzingis over 17.5 points (-130 DK) - hit in 75% of games with 26+ minutes & 8+ FGAs - hit in 6/L7 vs the heat - averaging 22.2 points in that span - even with the blowout last game porzingis got to 18. The heat have no idea how to guard him ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Naz Reid over 11.5 points + rebounds (-120 DK) - hit in 4/L6 vs denver in the playoffs - averaging 15.5 PRs in that span - reid has been a solid contributor all series long and the wolves are really gonna need him. KAT usually deals with foul trouble ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Tre Jones over 5.5 assists - hit in 77% of games at home with 24+ minutes & 8+ potential assists - hit in 7/L10 vs the nuggets - averaging 6.9 assists in that span - denver is a tough matchup but hes cleared 3 times this season. Cannot be a coincidence ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Kayla McBride over 3.5 assists (+110 HR) - hit in 7/L9 - averaging 3.8 assists in that span - the mercury are ranked 11th in assists allowed. McBride is very consistent in reaching 4 assists and now faces a struggling mercury team ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Karl-Anthony Towns over 13.5 points (-122 DK) - hit in 91% of games with 9+ FGAs - averaging 22.6 points in that span - i have no idea if this is a trap or not but i gotta pull the trigger with a hit rate like that. If he whiffs then he whiffs ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Luka Doncic over 9.5 assists - hit in 23/L30 (77%) with 32+ minutes & 12+ potential assists - averaging 11.3 assists in that span - the warriors allow a good amount of catch and shoot. I think they will try to force the ball out of lukas hands ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Austin Reaves over 22.5 points + rebounds + assists - hit in 92% of away games with 30+ minutes - hit in 4/L4 vs the pelicans this season - averaging 30.2 PRAs in that span - reaves will play big minutes. The pelicans are ranked 24th in threes allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Coby White over 8.5 rebounds + assists - hit in 86% of games without lavine and 30+ minutes - averaging 11.4 RAs in that span - even coming back from injury this is too low. Hes cleared 10/L10 as well ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
1 month
Dakota Hudson under 5.5 hits allowed (-137 CZR) Collab with @PropsAnt ! - hit in 7/L7 away games - averaging 4.3 hits allowed in that span - another day another chance to fade the white sox. They are still ranked 30th in both wRC+ & OBP ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
16 days
Bryan Woo under 4.5 strikeouts (-145 FAN) - hit in 5/L5 with less than 77 pitches - averaging 2 Ks in that span - woo is a good pitcher but is coming back from injury. I expect him to be limited here. The angels are ranked 20th in K rate L15 days ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
24 days
Charlie Morton over 16.5 outs (-135 DK) Collab with @bearprops ! - hit in 12/L15 - averaging 17.1 outs in that span - the giants are much worse vs RHP. Ranked 18th in wRC+ & 22nd in OBP L15 days. I know morton is old but hes still got some left in the tank ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
12 days
Rickea Jackson under 12.5 points (-127 BR) - hit in 14/L19 with less than 13 FGAs - averaging 9.6 points in that span - jackson is a very capable scorer but gets a really tough matchup. The storm have great perimeter defenders and i dont think jackson will be able to score as
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
1 month
Caitlin Clark under 17.5 points (-110 DK) - hit in 8/L10 with less than 15 FGAs - averaging 11.7 points in that span - fading clark is scary but atlanta is ranked 4th in points allowed. They held clark to just 7 points in their previous matchup ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
1 month
Kutter Crawford over 5.5 strikeouts (-110 FAN) - hit in 9/L13 with 15+ outs - averaging 6.1 Ks in that span - the reds are ranked 3rd in K rate. Crawford has good K metrics and should be able to rack em up ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
10 days
Michael Wacha under 5.5 hits allowed (-130 DK) - hit in 9/L16 - averaging 5.3 hits allowed in that span - hes held this white sox team to 2 & 4 hits this season. The white sox havent improved at all since. Ranked 30th in both wRC+ & OBP. If he does get into trouble the bullpen
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
26 days
Napheesa Collier under 20.5 points (-105 DK) - hit in 11/L14 with less than 21 FGAs - averaging 18.4 points in that span - hit in 3/L3 vs the liberty - collier has burned us before but she is clearly over performing. The liberty are ranked 2nd in points allowed ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
18 days
Michael King over 6.5 strikeouts (-140 FD) - hit in 5/L8 at home - averaging 7.8 Ks in that span - king faces the mariners who are ranked 1st in K rate. Its a dream matchup and king should be able to mow em down ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Dane Dunning over 3.5 strikeouts (-138 FD) - hit in 5/L6 - averaging 6.5 Ks in that span - more of a +EV play since most books have this closer to -160. However this is still an incredibly disrespectful line. Even the worst pitchers can get 4 Ks ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Derrick White over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 DK) - hit in 8/L11 in the playoffs with 9+ FGAs - averaging 28.5 PRAs in that span - hit in 3/L3 vs indiana - white stuffs the stat sheet in all 3 categories and the pacers cant guard everyone ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Rudy Gobert over 13.5 rebounds + assists - hit in 25/L30 - hit in 8/L8 without KAT - averaging 16.5 RAs in that span - steep discount against the nuggets. Rightfully so but i think its too low. Gobert has been forced to hold the interior without KAT ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Jalen Suggs over 3.5 rebounds (-128 FD) - hit in 4/L5 - averaging 4.2 rebounds in that span - besides the game he got injured suggs has seen plenty of rebound chances. Hes going to play nearly 40 minutes so hes going to have his chances again ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
10 days
Tanner Bibee under 1.5 walks (-135 CZR) Collab with @TopDawgPicksz ! - hit in 12/L19 - averaging 1.4 walks in that span - bibee has had himself a very good season and now gets a padres lineup ranked 29th in walk rate. Post all star break so leashes should be shorter since all
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Nicolas Batum over 9.5 points + rebounds + assists (+100 HR) - hit in 88% of games at home with 15+ minutes & 3+ FGAs - hit in 6/L6 vs the heat - averaging 13.2 PRAs in that span - the heat will probably put pressure on embiid & maxey and leave batum open ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists (-125 DK) - hit in 5/L7 vs the lakers in the playoffs - averaging 10.4 assists in that span - jokic is picking the lakers apart. His scoring is down but his passes are up. I expect more of the same tomorrow ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Russell Westbrook over 20.5 points + rebounds + assists - hit in 9/L9 without leonard - averaging 25.7 PRAs in that span - westbrook has really stepped up in kawhis absence. Hes getting more minutes and playing efficiently ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Luka Doncic under 8.5 assists (-140 FD) - hit in 5/L6 away games in the playoffs with less than 18 potential assists - averaging 6.3 assists in that span - i dont think its a fluke he only got 1 assist in game 1. The celtics let him shoot and it worked ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
1 month
Zack Littell over 5.5 strikeouts (+110 FD) - hit in 6/L8 at home - averaging 6.1 Ks in that span - littell has pretty extreme home/away splits and now faces the mariners who are ranked 1st in K rate ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
20 days
Chris Flexen under 16.5 outs (-115 CZR) - hit in 13/L18 - averaging 14.2 outs in that span - the twins are ranked 1st in both wRC+ & OBP L15 days. They have been crushing the baseball and flexen should get pulled after 5 innings ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
15 days
Dallas Keuchel under 3.5 strikeouts (-120 MGM) - hit in 1/L3 - averaging 3 Ks in that span - keuchel is just not a good pitcher. The hit rate isnt in our favor but the matchup certainly is. The nationals are ranked 23rd in K rate and are even better vs LHP. I dont think keuchel
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Karl-Anthony Towns over 19.5 points (-130 bet365) - hit in 5/L8 in the playoffs with 11+ FGAs - averaging 21 points in that span - hit in 7/L9 vs the mavericks - volume play here. KAT shot 20 times last game and if he does that again he should casv ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Obi Toppin over 8.5 points (-124 FD) - hit in 4/L5 - averaging 10.6 points in that span - toppin has been playing solid minutes off the bench. He is also seeing very consistent shot attempts which is key. I expect him to see the same 15-20 minutes and 6+ FGAs ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Brionna Jones under 5.5 rebounds (-132 FD) - hit in 6/L9 - averaging 4.8 rebounds in that span - jones is a decent rebounder but shes going to have problems against stewart. The liberty are ranked 2nd in rebounds allowed and do a good job of clogging the paint ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Jayson Tatum over 4.5 assists - hit in 25/L30 (83%) games with 7+ potential assists - averaging 5.8 assists in that span - the hornets are ranked 28th in assists allowed. I think JT lets his other teammates eat against a bad hornets team ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
1 month
Charlie Morton over 16.5 outs (-130 DK) - hit in 11/L14 - averaging 17 outs in that span - the pirates are ranked 27th in both wRC+ & OBP. Even if morton gets shelled the braves tend to just leave him in there. If he can limit his walks he should be golden ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Pascal Siakam under 7.5 rebounds (-115 bet365) - hit in 8/L12 vs the celtics including 5/L5 this season - averaging 7.3 rebounds in that span - i think he will guard tatum who plays on the outside which should limit his defensive rebounding ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
2 months
Al Horford under 20.5 points + rebounds + assists (-125 FD) - hit in 9/L10 in the playoffs - averaging 18.2 PRAs in that span - hit in 8/L10 vs the pacers - pacers play iso defense and thats not horfords game. They are good at limiting threes ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
15 days
Ryan Feltner under 4.5 strikeouts (-111 FD) - hit in 11/L18 - averaging 4.7 Ks in that span - the mets are ranked 21st in K rate. Feltner is a serviceable pitcher but draws a pretty tough matchup here. He also doesnt have the longest leash ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
9 days
Patrick Corbin over 5.5 hits allowed (+115 bet365) - hit in 14/L19 - averaging 6.6 hits allowed in that span - the reds arent the greatest team but at these odds i have to take a stab. The reds have lit up corbin in the past which is an encouraging sign so i hope they can do it
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
3 months
Jalen Suggs over 3.5 rebounds (-115 FD) - hit in 5/L6 - averaging 4.5 rebounds in that span - backing suggs again here. Gonna play huge minutes and will be chasing mitchell/garland all game ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
24 days
Alec Marsh over 4.5 strikeouts (-125 MGM) Collab with @bearprops ! - hit in 9/L12 with 15+ outs - averaging 5.5 Ks in that span - the rays have been swinging. Ranked 10th in K rate. Marsh should go deep enough here. All we need is 1 K per inning ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Domantas Sabonis over 7.5 assists - hit in 76% of games at home with 10+ potential assists - averaging 9 assists in that span - averaging 13.5 potential assists on the season - i really like that sabonis is at home because his assist rate is much higher ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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@UnderdogSA1
Underdog Sports Analytics
4 months
Evan Mobley over 22.5 points + rebounds - hit in 91% of games with the starting 5 active and 8+ FGAs - averaging 27.6 PRs in that span - the lakers are ranked 23rd in points allowed. Should be a tougher matchup for allen against davis ๐Ÿ“Š @propsdotcash
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