EVENT NEXT WEEK:
Please find details below for our event on Wednesday 9th October with
@ShankerASingham
@DanielJHannan
and Rod Richardson considering how an EU-style Carbon Leakage Mechanism would hinder growth in the UK.
N.B. An RSVP is required.
The group will use new economic modelling to better project the effects of certain policies 5, 10 and 20 years down the line.
Their paper pointed out that growth is key to solving the current cost of living crisis.
‘Averaging 3% growth over 20 years would mean £15,000 more per person and additional tax revenues of £670bn.’
The Growth Commission argues that consistent growth levels of 3% are achievable and would significantly improve individual wealth.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
🚨 NEW: The Growth Budget shows another way of looking at the economy which will lead to growth.
Years of stagnation is not yet inevitable.
📰To know more read the write up on
@Bloomberg
❗️We have calculated that new Carbon Taxes (CBAM) would cost the average household £2400 during its implementation period.
@ShankerASingham
told the
@Telegraph
:
"We are concerned this will pile on costs to the UK consumer, on top of historically high
NEW: Based on the Chancellor's hinted measures, we estimate the UK is still set for economic stagnation.
❓But could the Autumn Statement still create further growth? Tomorrow we'll analyse what the full measures mean for the UK economy.
Understand what to expect ahead of
🚨We will be running the numbers using our Growth Model on today's Autumn Statement measures to get their impact on growth for the short and long-term.
📉Stay tuned to our feed to get our latest analysis.
"Growth in GDP has not been explained well to the public. Many think a measure of total output amounts to little more than economic jargon. If, over 25 years, we dial up the growth rate from 1.5% to 2.5%, we all will be £12,000 a year richer at the end."
Here are some of the suggestions we have calculated will grow our economy by 23.4 % GDP per capita by 2044.⬇️
🧮Our budgets add up incremental GDP per capita changes in tax rates and regulatory reform to move the UK into a high growth country.
‘The first two decades of the 21st Century have seen slower growth than the final three decades of the 20th Century.’
The Growth Commission aims to change the economic conversation, investigating the causes of this sluggish economic growth.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
🚨Lack of Corporate Tax cuts is missed opportunity for growth.
A Corporation Tax cut to 19% as calculated in the Growth Budget (3.2% by 2044) would double the growth effect of the Autumn Statement's Full Expensing measures.
The Government's Full Expensing leads to some growth
📈In our Growth Budget we propose that the Corporate Tax hike from 19 to 25% should be reversed and eventually reduced to 15%.
🗓️On Tuesday 14th November we'll be publishing our full Growth Budget 2023 with a range of policy proposals geared towards economic growth.
‘Post-Covid, the UK is one of the few economies where GDP per capita is falling.’
Our Commission aims to analyse how policy decisions are affecting GDP per capita. We will then investigate what GDP per capita gains are actually possible.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
To find out more, read the full Growth Commission Report:
The Growth Challenge: The decline in GDP per capita growth in advanced economies
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
NEW: We are publishing our Spring Growth Budget on Tuesday 27th February, 11am.
🗓️To attend our Spring Growth Budget event in Westminster please register your interest by emailing: operations
@growth
-commission.com
The Growth Commission will begin by using its newly developed ‘Growth Commission Model’. We’ll be releasing reports and covering fiscal events like the Autumn Statement.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
Sign up for updates:
"The commission wants to develop an economic model showing how far tax and regulatory policies relating to energy, land, transport and housing have stunted growth. It also wants to examine whether a bigger state has contributed to the stagnation in GDP."
.
@DMcWilliams_UK
🗣️"One of the things that makes the economy so sclerotic is the lack of competition in so many sectors..
If the UK is to return to rates of economic growth comparable with the past, better regulation needs to become a major policy theme"
Our Commissioner and trade expert
@christinemcdan
on the EU Carbon Tax which we calculate would increase household bills by £2400 at least over the course of its implementation:
We could lose £5bn in tax revenue and 0.5% GDP if we abolish Non Dom status
📰Read our latest analysis on the impact of abolishing Non Dom on the UK economy by
@DMcWilliams_UK
in
@DailyMailUK
⬇️
"The future of combatting climate change lies in technological progress and economic growth."
Commissioner Tyler Cowen highlights the Growth Commission is looking beyond just economic growth, to the global impacts that can be achieved.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
Planning and Housing reform could make up to 6.4% GDP Growth or £3,091 GDP per capita by 2044 according to our Growth Budget.
Find out other ways to get the UK economy growing again by reading our Growth Budget ➡️
Without the productivity gains that drive growth, it will be impossible to deliver a sustained increase in living standards.
Without the extra tax revenues that growth brings, it will be impossible to meet the increasing demands for better public services
Our Co-chair
@ShankerASingham
explains the knock on effects of of bad regulation to the UK's core arterial sectors which are "The lifeblood of our economy" - resulting in expensive energy, lack of infrastructure and slow growth.⬇️📺
National insurance cut will reduce taxes by £10bn and increase growth by 0.6% over 20 years.
However
The raise in Income Tax thresholds has increased tax by £30bn and we estimate this will reduce growth by 1.3% in 20 years.
"Wealth is very hard to create and very easy to destroy. If you make the wrong policy choices, destruction can be rapid."
Commissioner Shanker Singham warns about dire consequences of policy errors on economies and on individual wealth.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
We can't get economic growth overnight.
A long term commitment to a long term plan for growth is the only way to move the UK away from
#recession
.
The Growth Commission has outlined and will continue to suggest long-term policies, tax rates + regulatory reforms to get the UK
Join us as we live-tweet alongside the exciting events of today’s Growth Commission launch!
You can find out more about the Commission and our work here:
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
🗣️
@DMcWilliams_UK
A 9p stealth tax is leaving voters unaware they are worse off because of a secret tax worth £75 billion this coming 2027-28 tax year.
Our Co-chairman Douglas McWilliams explains all in
@thisismoney
⬇️
Thank you to all our of attendees who joined us today at official launch of The Growth Commission!
Let's change the economic conversation.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
A reminder - our Growth Budget back in October detailed a variety of tax cuts and their effect on GDP per capita.
From the below tax cuts we could expect 4.7% GDP Growth or £2,270 GDP per capita by 2044.
Ahead of the Spring Budget, Growth Commission Co-chairman
@DMcWilliams_UK
gives his take on what to expect and what we should hope for tomorrow ⏬
🗣️"At this stage unless he does something radical on public spending which we would recommended, he's going to be boxed in by not
'We see it as our function to express and make explicit the cost of policy choices. We’re in competition and need to implement the right policies now'
The Growth Commission defines their mission and aim to establish competitive advantage.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
📅We will publish our Growth Budget 2023 on 14th November 2023 which will include:
➡️Analysis of the UK economy
➡️Regulatory reforms
➡️Public spending
& their effects on GDP per capita over the course of 10, 15 & 20 years.
Learn more:
💬"Carbon Tax is going to take several years to figure out, but we have to go back to first principles, because once we start stepping away from that, we are spiralling into a very nasty trade war."
Our US-based Growth Commissioner
@christinemcdan
explains what Carbon Border Tax
In November we outlined a budget that would increase GDP per capita to move us away from a
#recession
.
Our long-term plans would inject 23.4% GDP per capita growth back into our economy.
We will publish new research and recommendations to get the UK growing again on 27th
"As another change of Government becomes probable it is vital that Starmer learns the lessons of the past"
✍️Ahead of
#Labconf23
@DMcWilliams_UK
outlines an alternative direction to grow the economy while deviating from higher taxes & public spending ⬇️
Following the release of our regulatory reports, it is encouraging to see the Government launch a review into red tape & confirm the correlation between economic growth & poor regulatory practices⬇️
You can read our reports here ➡️
🗣️Our Co-Chairman
@ShankerASingham
on
@GBNEWS
Listen below⬇️
"Tax is important, targeted tax cuts - if you're looking at just five years income tax is a big income mover, but if you look at Inheritance Tax and Corporate Tax are bigger long-term movers on GDP per capita"
‘The average Briton earns a third less than the average American, with roughly a £10,000 gap in annual spending between the two.’
A task for the Commission is to investigate the US economic recovery in comparison to other G20 countries.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
📺With 3000 steel jobs to go at Port Talbot - our Co-chair
@ShankerASingham
gives his economic diagnosis on what must be done to ensure a competitive UK steel market on
@GBNEWS
⬇️
🏦The Bank of England received some stinging criticism from the Economic Affairs Committee, suggesting that the Bank had been over-reliant on “inadequate” forecasts, suffered from ‘groupthink’ and argued that its remit needed “pruning”.
If the 🇬🇧 economy could achieve annual GDP pc growth of 3% over next two decades, the economy would be
📊65% bigger by 2040
🛒£15,000 more pp to spend each year
💵£670bn more for Government spend
Read our report here 👉
Using our own growth model, we have measured the effect on GDP per capita growth of a variety of different policies over a 20 year period.
Take a look at our latest research and read more on how we've developed our model here➡️
‘Quite a lot of potential growth is being left on the table in both developing and developed countries’.
The Commission will test the idea that there is limited GDP per capita growth potential in the developed world and this link to policy.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
.
@DMcWilliams_UK
on Disposable Income ⬇️
"The pre-budget estimate of the growth in disposable income comparing 2024 with 2019 is 4.9%. Rise in population 3.2% so disposable income up 1.7% in 5 years. 0.3% a year is hardly noticeable"
#Budget2024
📊 Small increases in GDP per capita over a long period time can have significant impacts on national prosperity.
⏲️ Stagnating economies should consider the longer term economic effects of their policy decisions even if it creates incremental growth in the short-term.
Other countries across the globe have realised how bad regulation and poor regulatory practices are damaging their economies.
Read our latest reports to find out how the UK can start addressing the issue ➡️
"When it comes to the G7, the warning lights have been flashing red for some time."
Shanker Singham, in his opening address, tells us about economic growth in G7 countries.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
In our Spring Growth Budget we have calculated a medium-term fiscal headroom £60bn and propose an initial £15 billion of net tax cuts in 2024-25 and further cuts as growth increases and spending is kept frozen.
Read more here ➡️
🗣️Our Co-chairman
@DMcWilliams_UK
in
@TeleBusiness
"Getting public spending under control by freezing budgets, probably for three years, would start to solve this [boost GDP per capita]. The money saved can be used to bring down borrowing and also cut
Why is it that US 🇺🇸citizens can regularly afford new cars, take holidays or more frequently eat out than UK 🇬🇧citizens?
Find out why in our new report👉
📅We will publish our Growth Report 2023 on 14th November 2023 which will include:
✅Analysis of the UK economy,
✅Tax reforms
✅Regulatory reforms
✅Public spending
& their effects on GDP per capita over the course of 10, 15 & 20 years. Learn more⬇️
‘Crisis can bring opportunity to reassess. It is so important now to gather policy and economic expertise to lay out paths forward.'
The Commission believes the UK is at a point of inflection leading to more dynamic growth opportunities.
#TheGrowthCommission
#GrowthCrisis
▶️We're going live on 27th February at 11 am on X.
🕚Tune in to hear our chairmen
@DMcWilliams_UK
&
@ShankerASingham
explain our latest dynamically modelled policies to get the UK economy growing again.
🆕Today's GDP data shows GDP for 2023 just up 0.1%. But more revealing GDP per capita is DOWN 0.7%.
❗️Why does this matter? GDP per capita show economic growth per person. We are in a technical recession on an GDP per capita basis.
How can we get much needed growth? Come to
NEW: We are publishing our Spring Growth Budget on Tuesday 27th February, 11am.
🗓️To attend our Spring Growth Budget event in Westminster please register your interest by emailing: operations
@growth
-commission.com
The tax burden is at a 70 year high and along with inflation, is squeezing household budgets all over the country. We can help hardworking families with a
#GrowthBudget
Read it here 👇
" [Hunt] should borrow some of the ideas in the Alternative Budget published this week by
@thegrowthcomm
, the group of contrarian economists set up by
@trussliz
after her tumultuous reign to study the unthinkable"
✍️
@maggiepagano
in
@reactionlife
:
📄"The Growth Commission said the UK must pursue a blend of public spending restraint, supply-side reforms and carefully-targeted tax cuts to ensure long-term growth."
Read what our Co-chair
@DMcWilliams_UK
had to say here⬇️
We must act now to improve living standards and reassure the markets. The UK economy can return to the path of growth with our
#GrowthBudget
Read it here 👇
GDP grew 0.5% in June and 0.2% across Quarter 2 (April to June) as a whole.
In June:
▪️ services grew 0.2%
▪️ production grew 1.8%
▪️ construction grew 1.6%
➡️
"Sluggish economic growth in the UK has been taken as an inevitability because we’re unable to instigate the genuine change of both mindset and approach."
Read our director
@Lugey6
in today's City AM👇
🗣️We can’t keep being surprised when we fall into traps keeping growth down, and trying to reform it with ‘pay as you go’ policymaking which only ever tries to tweak the edges, writes Lucy Harris.
Read
@Lugey6
in City A.M ✏️
"The UK is suffering from a lack of growth & productivity when compared with our international peers, as pinpointed by
@TheGrowthComm
&
@trussliz
, & the efficacy of our capital markets in addressing productivity stands questioned"
in
@EveningStandard
🏗️ Using our own Growth Model we've worked out that reforming housing & planning policy like this⬇️ will increase GDP per capita by 6.4% by 2044
Read more in our New Spring Growth Budget ➡️
💸FULL EXPENSING: We've already calculated the GDP per capita impact of full expensing (100% capital allowances) assuming an estimated cost of £9 billion.
1.) There is no initial effect because we already have it for a temporary period of 3 years.
2.) 5 years: 0.3% growth on
Seemingly small but very significant.
Find out how regulation and poor regulatory practices are negatively affecting our economy in our latest reports ⬇️
Despite this being a "tax cutting budget" numbers show the tax burden is still going to rise by 1.1% by 2028/29.
@DMcWilliams_UK
the OBR has said:
"Tax as a share of GDP is forecast to rise to 37.1 per cent of GDP in 2028-29, 4.0 per cent of GDP higher than the pre-pandemic
New Measure: "Scaling back" Nom Dom regime to raise £2bn.
We wait to see the extent of the Non Dom scaling back, but we have already said that abolishing Non Dom regime would reduce GDP by 0.5% and £5.5bn less in tax revenue.
#Budget2024
⁉️Problem: UK in technical
#recession
as UK GDP per capita falls by 0.7% in last quarter of 2023.
✅Solution: We have provided various regulatory reforms and tax rates to inject 24.3% growth back into the UK economy and increase the wealth of an individual UK citizen by £11,300
🗣️"The anaemic growth of the G7 countries, especially the UK, cannot continue. Immediate action must be taken to deliver pro-competitive regulation that improves UK GDP per capita"
Read our Co-Chairman
@ShankerASingham
in
@Telegraph
❗️A reminder on Non Dom Status:
Our numbers have shown that changing the status would create a £5bn loss in tax revenue and reducing UK GDP by 0.5%: Read more below⬇️
How can we pay for future spending? By growing the economy. How can we grow the economy?
✅ Targeted tax cuts
✅ Regulatory reform
✅ Reducing current spending
Read our latest report for policies to get the UK growing again ⬇️
NEW GRAPH: Using our Growth Commission Model we have calculated the GDP per capita gains from cutting Inheritance Tax, Corporate Tax and Income Tax by the same amount.
Surprisingly, over the course of 20 years there is both Inheritance Tax and Corporation Tax ultimately boost