Symmetry 2023 annual shareholder letter:
Dansk:
English:
-----------------------------
And yes, there is probably some misspellings etc. in the english version - our investor base is danish so the translation to english is just an
Today my wife finally (after 15 years in Denmark) received her danish passport. I simply could not be more proud of her. Growing up in the most poor EU country (Bulgaria), succeding in english, going to UK (and later Denmark) to study and work without knowing anyone.
Happy to share our thesis on Epsilon Net
before digging deeper - need to thank
@SharogradskyM
for pitching the idea to us in the first place and to
@alexeliasson
for sharing his research with us along the way
Why is analysts so extremely short sighted?
Listening to EVO conference call and all analysts questions is really just about how to model Q3 numbers.
Why not spend time on strategic postion, market outlook etc.
.....
@evfcfaddict
You should not feel bad. The selection bias is insane every year at this time :) the 5% best post the returns, the other 95% you dont hear from. Next year the 5% best is someone different.
Just remember investing is about CAGR , total $ return and risk.
Really happy to announce that
@henrikinvest
will start as an employee in Symmetry Invest A/S . With his deep knowledge i am sure Henrik will be a big benefit for Symmetry
(Symmetry page 26-29)
@henrikinvest
"With an annualized return of
over 23 percent, Symmetry Invest has delivered the
second-highest annualized inception-to-date return
among the funds with a track record exceeding five
years."
Symmetry Invest A/S is long Catella AB
While we have been and still is bearish on the swedish property market we think this is the baby thrown out with the bathwater
Read full report and disclaimer here:
In february Symmetry Invest reached 100 mio DKK in AUM after 7 years of hard work. 9 month later we have now reached 200 mio. DKK. Big priviliege to invest other peoples hard earned money. More humble, passionate and determined than ever before to keep the good results going🚀
The Worm Capital 13F is insane. Fund manages more than half a billion $
65 % allocation to Tesla and 30 % to Spotify both mainly on call options. remaining 5 % a mixed bag.
That was end of march. since then both TSLA and SPOT down around 30 % each.
If you think NVIDIA at 35x revenue is a little expensive, we are trying to play the AI boom through "picks & showels" with Crayon trading at 10x FCF
DYODD! not advice!
4-year anniversary of our investment pitch on Protector Forsikring:
Including dividends the stock has more than 10x over that 4-years while the S&P is up around 100 %
When great leaders execute their business models it creates wonders !
Symmetry Invest A/S is long Franklin Covey
Report:
Slides:
Zoom:
Our own opinions, not investment advice. Read our disclaimer and make your own due diligence.
We have written a piece around the current status of the Affiliate industry and why we are bullish on Gaming Innovation Group
please read disclaimer in the end
Probably had the most bullish Expert call i ever had on any company with JDC Today. Expert walking be through why JDC is in a pole position to go from 0,8 % market share --> 2 % -->5% --> 10 % etc.
A few notes:
My
@eightsleep
is probably the highest ROI investment i have ever made. I spend 8/24 or 1/3 of my life in my bed. Why not make the most out of it so i can be at my A-game the remaining 16 hours as a father, husband and investor 🤗
We think the recent drawdown in Catella is an amazing opportunity to build a position in a long-term winner. The stock has traded down together with other Swedish real-estate names after the SBB collapse, despite having close really direct exposure to Sweden.
Symmetry H2 2020 newsletter is here:
Danish:
English:
I owe a huge thank you to the fintwit community. The results could not have been achieved without the collaboration here.
After running Symmetry for 9 years and looking at all the danish IPO's i am excited to announce that Symmetry finally decided to become a cornerstone investor in an IPO. Relesys A/S fits all our requirements for a great business.
We have shared why here:
As the year is coming to and end i was trying to do a short calculation on the reports we have put to our website:
One thing that really comes to my mind and the reason for this thread is how valuable fintwit has become....
With data from Illinois coming in now we can estimate the US handle for Kambi up until august:
remember
1) NFL start september
2) Barstool Launch september
3) Michigan november
4) Tennesee November
5) Virginia Q1 2021
6) + XXXXX more states
We are only starting
Luckily for me, 5 years ago I made the best “investment” in my life when I said yes to my amazing wife Katya and the one thing that I know I will never let go of <3
Times really goes fast when you are having fun.
Amazing to think we are going to celebrate our 10-year anniversary next friday.
As most funds in this industry shuts down within a few years its definetly a privilege to be able to go for +10 years.
Andreas Aaen launched a long/short equity fund with ‘friends and family’ capital in 2013.
@Symmetry_Invest
is now celebrating its tenth anniversary, having delivered an annualized return of 19%, reached $100 mln in AUM, and grown into a team of 7 people.
It seems the market is now starting to see the potential in GiG. 3 month ago we wrote a report when the company was at 7 NOK. Today at 17 its up 133 % in 3 months.
Still some way to go to 40-60 NOK:
Symmetry Invest ended the month of january with a +2% return compared to -11% for global small caps. Nothing specific happened, 4 out of 5 largest longs was up while our shorts tanked. Just a weird period were long value/short crap finally worked - wont expect it to continue
8 year anniversary with my amazing wife and mother of 3 - Katya
Celebrating at the most amazing restaurant experience in my life. Double michelin star restaurant Alchemist in Copenhagen 🥳🍷🥂
Me and my partner
@henrikinvest
delivered some great numbers for Symmetry Invest A/S doing November with an 17,1 % net return, well ahead of benchmarks MTD and YTD.
If you are not a follower on our newsletter you can sign up here:
Happy to share my recent interview with Founder and former CEO of Protector Forsikring Sverre Bjerkeli
Its an amazing story of generating huge shareholder returns based on culture, leadership and dedication
@AmundSkoglund
It seems that 888 migrated away from kambi to their own “in-house” product today in the UK... twitter is full with unhappy clients that complain how bad product is
Kind of some new message coming out of 888 now :)
Before it was taking everything in-house etc. now after they have received a shitstorm from UK players after migrating to in-house products its like:
"It is not our agenda to get rid of Kambi"
"Kambi fortsat global partner"
Over the last month Symmetry Invest have had the pleasure of having Itai Parnes working with us as an intern. Itai is bright young investor studying at Brown University.
During his internship Itai did a full research report on one of our portfolio companies, International
Was great to finally meet up in person with the whole Symmetry BOD again. Reaching half a billion DKK (80 million$) in AUM is quite a milestone - excited what the future will bring
@roundhill
Yes DK and FD slightly ahead on handle. But a lot of that is just promos.. barstool was the only one that made any money and paid any taxes of those 4 :)
Naked Wines just got a US OTC listing making it easy for US investors to buy in USD. The new chairman darryl rawling (TRUP CEO) immideatly started buying shares 🤗🚀🥰
H1 2024 Symmetry newsletter:
Dansk:
English:
A mediocre start to 2024 return-wise but happy with the progress of the portfolio companies and the L/S alpha achieved.
Juroszek family expanding their control with GiG, now flagging of +15 % ownership. Experienced industry people that delivered a home-run for shareholders in STS. They have "endless" pockets after the sale of STS to Entain and with
@TJuroszek
sitting in the board room its really
JDC Group AG Part1: Symmetry has over the last few months build a big position in the German InsurTech company JDC Group AG. After following the name for a while, we think now is a great to get involved.
A thread about GiG post Q2 results and why its still one of our largest positions
We think the market is still not looking at this stock the right way - thats why GiG is still trading at a insane discount to peers thats just not warranted
Naked Wines grew 80 % YoY in H1. Current guidance and analyst estimates is for around 60 % YoY growth FY or close to 40-45 % in H2. We think its still way to low and think the company will do a reverse profit warning in january or after the new CFO have walked through numbers....
Denmark runs with budget surpluss for 7 years in a row. +3 % of GDP and
#1
position in EU 5-years in a row.
Our assets are worth substantially more than the small (less than 20 % of GDP) debt we have left.
I guess it is a good business to produce Wegovy and ship it to the US
7 år i træk med overskud på den offentlige saldo. Begrænset med underskud da der så var underskud.
99 problems but public finance ain't one, eller hvad man siger
#dk
øko
Westaim seems incredible cheap.
Book value per shares of 5,4 CAD is +50
Cash and the rest is cash equivalents and listed equities.
Then they have a profitable and valuable stake in Arena
All selling at 4,05 CAD while they buy back their stock
Kambi US revenue is unfluenced by a lot of factors including 1) Seasonality 2) Sportsbook margins 3) legislation
Sometimes its good to take a step back and look at the overall picture.
Here is the 12M TTM revenue MoM:
JDC Group - wow
Advisortech growth 31 % in Q2
EBITDA + 49 % YoY
EBIT + 100 %
Signed new major insurance deal
Growing - scaling - building a leading european Insurtech !!!
What can i say? They just keep impressing time after time
Here is what we wrote when the stock way around 36 in 2020 (4 years ago) or around 1.000 % return post dividends
$PROT:
2023: CR 88.5%, EPS at NOK 18.3. Insurance service result at NOK 1 079.9m (700.8). Return on investments excluding insurance finance was 7.9% (3.4%).
Q4 2023: CR 86.4%. Insurance service result at NOK 361.1m (166.7).
SCR-ratio was 195% year-end, post DPS NOK 5.00
Kambi CEO Kristian Nylén sat down with
@FantiniResearch
yesterday to discuss Kambi's position in the sports betting vertical, investment case and growing addressable market. Watch here:
Had an investor-call last week for new prospective investors. They invited me to present my 2 best ideas for 2021. I then did a deep dive into Kambi and Naked Wines.
The investor then invested money with me with the response.....
We are really happy to announce that we have entered into an agreement with Gaming Innovation Group (GiG) to convert all our convertible bonds prematurely into equity.
This will make Symmetry one of the largest shareholders in GiG.
I kind of understand why Draftking wants to buy the Entain software. The SbTech product seems do deliver quite poor SB margins at less than 3 % (before free bets - a huge loss after free bets) while Fanduel and MGM gets to 9-10 % margins