The Logical Investor @Shubham_TLI Twitter profile

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@bokeplokalmalam

The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Bought a new car on Carwale owned by CarTrade. Few things I realized about the overall second car market.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Today I realized, I have not been to an ATM for the last 7 months ever since I moved to Bangalore. UPI has made life so easy. Is it the same in your city?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Have completely exited CDSL after close to a 7 bagger from my initial buy. Reason: Everything is cyclical and I see better opportunities elsewhere.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Back to coding! Building a crawler to fetch all new corporate announcements on BSE everyday, parse them and get notifications for important ones.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Opened Facebook after an year today. Same old stupid shit. Once you start enjoying Twitter there is no going back. Agree?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

A toy manufacturing company Ok Play India did its first concall. Guided Toy Segment to grow at 100% cagr for next 4-5 years. Preferential issue today, promoter participating.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Relocated to Bangalore. Back to business. Happy to meet the investing community in Bangalore. 😀

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

What a day! CDSL, Apl Apollo, Greenpanel and Confidence Petro my top holdings all up by more than 5%. Even though nifty midcap index is down 0.5%.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

CDSL, bhai itna bhi na udo ki bechna pad jaaye. #CDSL

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Chatgpt integration with bing

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

What I see most Twitter gurus doing to increase followers. Name 4-5 new stocks every day. Retweet the ones that work. Stop talking about the ones that don't work.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Another Dixon spotted in Optiemus Infracom Ltd. The company is doing a revenue of 224 cr. Management guided revenue of 38000 cr in next 5 years. They have spare capacity for phone making which they will use under PLI scheme and partnership with Wistron.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

A simple winning strategy to outperform the index and most mutual funds. Just use the Market Mood Index and buy NiftyBees when it turns green. No need to track companies and the economy.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Want to learn how to invest in cyclical stocks? Do tune in this Saturday for a 2 hour long investing masterclass on cyclicals straight from the master of cyclicals Jiten Parmar sir. @jitenkparmar Date: 22/1/2022 Time: 11AM Venue:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

The level of details and knowledge that @ishmohit1 displays in each of his videos is really next level. Truly inspiring and makes me work even harder to be like him.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

The overall experience of buying a car on CarTrade was just like buying a new car. These aggregators are bound to gain market share from smaller competitors. After the recent correction in stock, I am now starting to study the company and see if it is a good time to enter.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Iss diwali portfolio ki safai kar di. All PSU are out. 5000 companies hai, kuch aur dhoond lenge. Der aaye durust aaye.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

EV Theme ✅ High growth (guiding 30% topline growth for 3-4 yrs) ✅ Value Buy (10PE FY23) ✅ In collab with @suru27 🙏 Video coming this Saturday, 29th Jan @10AM . Venue:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Talk with my wife. Me: I bought a stock today and it went in a 10% UC. Wife: Toh becha kyu nahi. I sell next day. After a month. Me: Woh jo stock becha tha who double ho gaya? Wife: Toh fir bech kyu diya?🤦

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

1. Price discovery is a big problem. 2. I was willing to pay a slight premium for peace of mind and not getting scammed. 3. Small car bazaar can't compete due to limited inventory. All these problems are solved by big car aggregators like CarTrade.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Promoters in the CNG value chain sound super bullish in the near and long term. However, normal Janta is are only interested in EV themes. Interesting times ahead.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

There could be many reasons for a promotor to sell his company's stock. But there is only one reason for a promotor to buy it #mastek

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Story of FOMO. Upper Circuit, Upper Circuit, Upper Circuit Not able to buy. ☹️☹️☹️ Finally mil gaya. 😃😃😃 Lower Circuit, Lower Circuit, Lower Circuit. 😡😡😡

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

For those who still think CDSL is not cyclical. The number of demat trades on NSE in June 2022 (397015 lakh) is less than half of June 2021 (864175 lakh). Source:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

10 months

Deepak Fertilizer seems to be out of woods. Don't see it going back now. Ammonia prices are now more than $550, the capex finally will start contributing to margins. Fertilizer division will be back as govt is looking to spend 133.51 BLN rupees more for fertilizer subsidy.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

A company with revenue of 114 cr got an order of 539 cr to be completed by Sep 24. Interesting notification.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Looks like I made a mistake by creating a video on a demerger opportunity. Those who haven't even watched the video are cursing me about how they got trapped. Even though in the video, I talked about how it will fall post demerger record date and what the fair value is.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Everytime I listen to Saurabh Mukherjea's interview. Inner Self: Jo keh raha hai usse paisa banega ya nahi pata nahi, but sun ke bohot accha laga.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

11 months

If someone is gracious enough to tell you about a good story developing around a stock. Go and read as much as you can and decide for yourself. Consider it your story rather than his/her. Don't go running back to him/her on every 2-3 % fall.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Listening to Valiant organics concall. Sunke ITC 2020 wali yaad aa gayi. Good time to look into it now.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

All chaddi baniyan stocks, Rupa, Lux, Dollar are giving a breakouts. For those trying to find the reason here is a small write up for Rupa. The story is the same for all though.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Khujli to do something is the biggest reason for losses in stock market. For everyone who can't stop themselves, please get a separate DMAT account to satisfy your Khujli and let your long term investments sit peacefully.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

I will be hosting @jitenkparmar sir on my YouTube Channel. Please send me any questions you might want to ask him related to Cyclical Investing or investing in general. Retweet for maximum reach. 🙏

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

An interesting Processed Food company growing exports at 40% CAGR. Video coming tomorrow, 06 Feb,2022 @ 10AM. When: Tomorrow, 6 Feb 2022 Venue:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Read a company with the intention of not buying it and then let the story convince you to change your mind. Otherwise you will end up buying the entire stock universe.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Never understood the reason for such rerating in stocks during splits and bonuses. Even though it hardly changes anything fundamentally.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Low float ka kamaal. A company with revenue of 25 cr trading at a market cap of 9500 cr. It was on a 20% UC today after the result came in. Guess the name?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Closing the year with a 63% return vs Nifty50 giving a 25% return and NiftyMidcap100 a 43% return. I will be elated if I can do even half of this in 2022. Lots of mistakes and learnings. The next video will be the key mistakes this year. Hope for the best.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

I wonder why people fret if you have more than 25 names in your portfolio. My portfolio generally has >25 names. That's because I buy cyclical as a basket of 4-5 stocks. So actually they represent just 1 idea. Don't worry about # of stocks as long as you know why you bought it

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Finding which company to study is harder than actually studying it. It feels just like browsing for hours to find what to watch on Netflix. How do you decide which company to read?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

The ability to buy a stock back at a higher price than previously sold is what differentiates a good investor from a bad one. Involves keeping your ego aside and accepting defeat, not easy to do but necessary to succeed.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

I see so many people selling stocks on 1-2% revenue misses by reading headlines. It doesn't really matter in the long run. Look at the underlying theme and execution by the company. A few percent here or there won't matter if the general direction is right.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

So many companies to track, so much work to do. Coming back on Youtube and Twitter from Sunday.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Detailed stock analysis of Mastek Ltd. Mastek | A Digital Transformation Story | The Logical Investor via @YouTube

Mastek | A Digital Transformation Story | The Logical Investor

Mastek is a midcap IT company which helps in digital transformation of companies. Majority of revenue comes from cloud apps which have a huge tailwind. Topic...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Please comment here in support of this feature. I have been eagerly waiting for this.

Zerodha

@zerodhaonline

2 years

@rohitradz Hey Rohit, we're working on showing XIRR on Console. We'll keep you posted on it.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Natco Pharma: Expecting a 400cr+ PAT in Q1 FY24 and a 1100cr+ PAT in FY2024. Mainly on account of higher sale of Revlimid + traction in CTPR. Good fundamental triggers for next 2-3 yrs and looking good on charts. 🤞

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

I have stopped cheering for 5%-10% in a day moves in my stocks. One-day performance doesn't mean anything. In fact, most of it is just market volatility. Just shows how naive I was.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

After reading so many threads on VP, one thing I realized is the best time to look at the company is when there are messages like "Anyone still tracking this company now?"

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

10 months

Being a Financial Guru 101 Stock rises by 10%, start saying maine bola tha. Stock corrects by 10%, pin drop silence.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

You see a stock expensive after a 10% upward move if you can't see the next 200%-300% potential over the next few years.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Just saw this being displayed in my gas agency.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

@itsTarH @ishmohit1

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Logical Investor using Scientific Investing to spread Mission Smile. @SmartSyncServ @suru27 @kanodiaankit12

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

My view on Gateway Distriparks and how Dedicated Freight Corridor will help kick operating leverage. Ace investor Ashish Kacholia sir invested recently too.

Gateway Distriparks | A Dedicated Freight Corridor Play | The Logical...

This video includes sponsored content.In this video, I have talked about Gateway Distriparks and how it benefits from Dedicated Freight Corridor(DFC). Double...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Do you feel Technical Analysis is useless and it is fundamentals that drive a stock? Drawing random lines on a chart and hoping it works. I felt the same till a few months ago. But as I evolve as an investor I realize how combining them can help you generate alpha.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

My thoughts on the latest Mastek quarterly result and why it fell after the result.

Why did Mastek stock fall? The Logical Investor

In this video I have give a quarterly overview of the latest result and developments in the company. I have discussed how the result was, how was the guidanc...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

My latest video is on an AgroChem company growing at 40% and guiding 30% growth for the next 3 years. But is there something fishy?? 🤔

Best Agro | A Fast Growing Company With 30% Growth Guidance

This video includes sponsored content.In this video, I cover a fast-growing company that gave guidance of 30% growth for the next 3 years. This video include...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

I found a company guiding 25-30% for the coming 3-4 years and available at 18 PE. Detailed video here:

India Pesticides Stock Analysis

This video includes sponsored content.In this video, I have talked about an agrochemical company that is guiding to grow at 25-30% for the next 3-4 years and...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Yadi roz roz sabhi stocks ko badta dekh aapka man vichlit hota hai aur lagta hai ki sab kuch kharid lun toh aap FOMO ka shikar hai. Yeh bimari ghatak ho sakti hai. Gehri saas lijiye aur company analysis me lag jayiye. Soch kar, samajh kar, invest kar.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

One such company United Drilling is available at a 20 PE. Management guiding tripling of revenue and profit in 3-4 years. Key trigger: Export ban lifted. Government preference for Indian vendor less than 200 cr.

The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

What PE would you be comfortable in buying a 30% cagr growth company and 3-4 year visibility with concentrated profit pools in a declining/sunset industry.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Unknowingly had followed some of the #Salasar pump and dump guys. Unfollowed all of them. Was an eye-opener.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Socha toh tha ki tum aayoge. Lekin itni jaldi green ho jaoge yeh nahi socha tha.

The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Currently, the index shows the market as greedy. I will wait for it to turn green again.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

@unseenvalue 100% true. But out of 100 stocks at 18 only 5 reach 180 and only 1 reaches 1800.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Latest analysis on XPRO India and why Malabar Funds and Ashish Kacholia are bullish on this.

Why Ashish Kacholia and Malabar Funds invested in XPRO | The Logical...

This video includes sponsored content.A detailed analysis of XPRO India where I will try to find out the reason for Ashish Kacholia Investing in XPRO India. ...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

My youtube videos tend to get more views after the stocks are already on circuits. Otherwise, they are too long and boring. 😉 #MSTC

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Just wrapped up an in-depth analysis video on how Balaji Telefilms is executing a remarkable turnaround! 📈🚀 Turning profitable after losing money for last 8 years.

Turning the Tide : The Untold Story of Resurgence of Balaji Telefilms...

This is story about a company which has been in losses for last 8 years and is finally turning profitable. I find the opportunity interesting.0:0 Summary1:16...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

7 months

Brightcom Group – Set To Become a Case Study of Fraud & Manipulation

The unprecedented second interim order of the market regulator against the Brightcom Group Ltd (Brightcom) on 22nd August had no surprises for discerning in...

www.youtube.com

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Point number 2 me bohot paisa gawaya hai. 😬

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

I don't consider myself as a trader but there are certain trades that are no brainer. I don't mind taking those trades. They are common sense arbitrage opportunities. Let me give some examples:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Most companies are giving poor results due to raw material inflation. It generally takes 2-3 quarters to pass on the prices. Could provide good entry points if you understand the future triggers and have the patience to sit on them.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

16 days

Chance to work with me as an intern. Form:

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

When people tell me about an underpenetrated industry and how it is a secular trend. Me: Bhai India me sab kuch hi secular trend hai. Ham sabhi me underpenetrated hai.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Did you know the largest AgroChemical company Syngenta is a Chinese state-owned enterprise?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

A basic back-of-the-envelope calculation for IDFC Ltd merger arbitrage. There are merger risks of course and may still trade at a discount until the entire process is complete.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Did you know Samsung contributes more than 25% to Vietnam's GDP. 🤯

Samsung Electronics Accounts for 28% of Vietnam’s GDP

Samsung Electronics posted 74 trillion won (US$65.7 billion) in sales in Vietnam in 2018, accounting for 28 percent of the Southeast Asian country's gross

www.businesskorea.co.kr

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

No matter how hard to try, beyond a point you don't know much about the company. Always better to invest into easy to understand businesses.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Either position your portfolio in segments where there is strength or three is deep value. People make the mistake of thinking that there is value after 10%-15% correction in themes that have already played out. A recipe for disaster.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Confidence Petroleum promoters are continuously buying their shares from the open market. A detailed video on the business coming this weekend. #ConfidencePetro

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

CDSL: This chart shows Month on Month growth of new accounts added. The growth has slowed down quite a bit, but still not bad at all at 2% per month. Is this a good time to buy CDSL??

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Two ways to invest: 1. Invest when cheap and wait for triggers for rerating. 2. Wait for the trigger to invest, but when it shows up don't be slow. Buckle up and buy asap. Markets won't give you time and rerating will happen sooner than you think it will.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

The primary objective of REIT is dividend yield. With FD's giving better yields than a REIT the price should fall to at least match FD returns. Current yields: Embassy: 6.4%, Raheja: 5.7%, Brookfield: 7%.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

If you give 1 banana to a monkey he will be happy. If you give 2 bananas to a monkey and snatch one away he will be furious. That is the summary of stock market. 😀

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Having an investing framework filters out a few winners but saves you from a lot of losers. One such winner that got filtered for me was EKI. No regrets. 😀

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Listing gains shrinking, retail particiption in IPOs reducing. I feel days are not far when one of the ipo gets under subscribed. And then hopefully we see some reasonably valued ipos. 🤞

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

The market is giving a thumbs up to the entire Pharma sector due to the China Covid wave. In reality, it is actually negative for those companies which are largely dependent on China for API's. Pick your spots, and don't let market action dictate you.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

How to start a question in a concall: If the numbers are actually good you start with "Congratulations on a great set of numbers". If they are bad you say "Congratulations on a good set of numbers".

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

"The company I am invested in is expected to go through 2 more years of pain. But I can handle it as I am a long term investor. " Never understood this. Why would you do that?

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Thyrocare new promoter pledged 60% of their holdings. My mind says exit, market doesn't seem to care about the news. Bada vichitra hai yeh market. What should I do??

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

These are the days that make long-term investors out of short-term traders. Enjoy the ride!

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

That's a lot of profit I thought. Ohh no, that's my GitHub contributions. A software developer will understand.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

Jo book kar lo woh apna, baaki sab sapna.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Instead of putting your hard work into buying stocks everyday, put it into researching them everyday. A few picks in an year is good enough if you are convinced with the thesis.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Jab tak stock girne pe acchi waali feeling nahi aayegi. Yeh nahi lagega ki aur lene ka mauka mil gaya. Tab tak bada paisa nahi ban sakta.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

People say to invest in Cyclicals during times of peak pessimism. My biggest learning is DONT DO THAT! Nobody knows what is peak pessimism. You invest when the cycle turns, incremental numbers are better than with an improving trajectory.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Bringing tax as a criteria to sell a stock is the worst mistake. Paying more taxes is good, that means you are making more profits.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

2 years

STOP! If you are buying liquid bees every month and then selling them, just to avoid quarterly settlement. You get charged Rs 223 fees on capital of Rs 1L every time you do it.

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

3 years

Digital Transformation has become such a buzzword in the software community. Read any software company and it feels everyone is doing Digital Transformation. 😃

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The Logical Investor

@Shubham_TLI

1 year

Come and flirt with our staff at just Rs 179. 🤔