Başarı şansı olmayan bu irrasyonel deneyi bir an önce terkedip Türk lirasının değerini koruyacak, Türk halkının refahını gözetecek kaliteli politikalara bir an önce dönmemiz gerekiyor.
Bunu nasıl yapacağımızı yeniden hatırlamakta fayda var👇
Personal update:
I am delighted to share that I have joined Amazon as a Principal Economist.
@AmazonScience
I thank the Department of Economics at Louisiana State University for hosting me in Fall 2023 and for the excellent academic environment they provided.
@LSU
1970lerdeki öğrenci olayları, 1980 askeri darbesi ve o dönemde yaşanan toplumsal/siyasi kargaşanın Türkiye'de eğitim ve emek piyasası üzerindeki uzun vadeli etkilerini çalıştığımız makalemiz IZA Çalışma Tebliği olarak erişilebilir durumda
Delighted to announce that my paper on the impact of Syrian refugees on the standardized test scores of Turkish adolescents is now forthcoming in the Journal of Development Economics.
IZA Discussion Paper version:
Happy to announce that our paper "Local Governance Quality and the Environmental Cost of Forced Migration" (with
@cevatgirayaksoy
) is now forthcoming in the Journal of Development Economics.
Personal news:
I'm joining Louisiana State University as a Visiting Professor of Economics. Looking forward to a productive academic visit and many fruitful interactions at
@LSU
.
More (super exciting) personal news to follow in due course!
We are excited to share that our paper examining the effectiveness of teacher training programs as a component of education integration policies (with
@mvlass
&
@JackieWahba
) is accepted at the Journal of Human Resources. (
@J_HumanResource
)
Preliminary draft of our new paper "Training Teachers for Diversity Awareness: Impact on School Attendance of Refugee Children" (w/
@mvlass
&
@JackieWahba
) is online.
We argue that teachers play a key role in educational integration of refugee children👇
2016-2021 döneminde "Gıda Komitesi" üzerinden enflasyon baskılama çabalarının genel makroiktisadi politika çerçevesine, fiyat istikrarına, kamu bütçesine ve tarım-hayvancılık sektörüne verdiği zararları bir vaka analizi olarak İktisat ve Toplum'un Nisan sayısı için kaleme aldım.
Gerçek tanımını bilmeden tarihten saçma örneklerle
#Chicago
okulunu eleştiren, tarafıma da açık/örtülü atıfta bulunanlara cevabımdır.
Chicago üniversitesinden üç hocam ve onların hocası: panomdaki bu fotoğraf bile müthiş ilham veriyor. Bu mensubiyetten ömür boyu gurur duyacağım.
Today we hosted World Bank Vice Governor Ms Anna Bjerde and WB Turkey team at TED University. We discussed over lunch some of the most pressing issues for this generation such as
#jobs
,
#climate
, and
#gender
inequality.
@WorldBankTurkey
Bıkmadan yazacağım. Fiyat kontrolleriyle, vergi indirimleriyle enflasyon düşmez, sadece bütçe zayıflar. Binlerce fiyatı baskılamaya çalışmak yerine sadece kur ve beklentileri iyi yönetip gerisini piyasalara bırakmak en akılcı yol.
Gary Becker 💛👇:
Fresh from the oven paper on the causal effect of a panic button program on domestic violence against women in Turkey (w/
@DrUlucan
)
Yes, it increased violence! May be surprising for the general audience, but no big surprise for the literature
Full text coming soon as an IZA DP
1/8) We start circulating the first draft of our new working paper “The Crime Effects of Refugees” (joint with Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel, Naci Mocan, and Belgi Turan).
@MevludeAkbulut
@belgi_turan
Full text:
A summary of the main findings is below 👇:
1980 darbesinin o dönemde üniversite çağında bulunan nüfusumuz üzerindeki uzun vadeli etkilerini çalıştığımız makalemiz IZA Journal of Labor Economics'in "son" sayısında yayımlanacak.
İlgilenenler için makalenin özeti aşağıda (
@Ozt_Ahmet
):
At
@TED_Uni
Department of Economics, you actively collaborate with researchers, write good academic papers, and get placed into excellent PhD programs in Economics in the US and Europe with full scholarship.
@FeasIibf
@DoganayHusame
İktisadın temellerini ve genel denge matematiğini onun kadar iyi bilen çok az iktisatçı tanıdım. Ekollere kategorik bakmayan, sürekli sorgulayan, gerçek bir bilim adamıydı.
"...M. Friedman'ın hiçbir dediğiyle anlaşamam. Fakat, ondan fazla şey öğrendiğim çok az iktisatçı vardır."
Our new working paper (w/ Elif Semra Ceylan) estimates the economic cost of
#conflict
in afflicted Arab countries (Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Yemen) using night-time lights satellite imagery and GIS methods. Full text will be available very soon.
I am pleased to join the Editorial Board of PLOS ONE as an Academic Editor (Economics). I strongly support the open access movement and unrestricted dissemination of research.
#OpenAccess
@PLOSONE
@FeasIibf
Yeni Ekonomik Modele dair eleştiri, görüş ve önerilerimi İktisat ve Toplum Dergisi’nin Ocak sayısı için yazdım. Yayım sonrası paylaşacağım.
Bilinmedik şeyler değil, ancak yine de tarihe not düşmekte fayda var. Son zamanlardaki en keyifsiz yazı oldu benim için.
#İktisatVeToplum
Our paper "Ethnic Mixing in Early Childhood" is in the AEA 2021 Conference program. Session details are given below.
Really strong session on endogenous networks. Not to be missed for those who are interested in modeling, identifying, and estimating peer effects.
New WP (w/ Meltem Dayioglu and
@MuserrefKckbyrk
) estimating the impact of age-specific minimum wages on youth employment and education in Turkey is now available full text.
Delivering the keynote address today at the Conference on "
#Inclusion
of young
#refugees
and migrants through education: Access, transitions and values" organized by the Ministry of National Education and the European Commission in Istanbul.
Trade declines with distance not only because shipping becomes costlier, but also because finding buyers far away is harder, from Jonathan Eaton, Samuel S. Kortum, and Francis Kramarz
IZA Discussion Paper version of our new work "Training Teachers for Diversity Awareness: Impact on School Attendance of Refugee Children" (w/
@mvlass
&
@JackieWahba
) is available online.👇
@iza_bonn
(IZA DP
#14557
)
Busy week! Another new WP (w/ Belgi Turan), which investigates the impact of fertility shocks on female labor supply in Turkey based on a twins instrument and focusing on informal employment aspect of developing-country labor markets, is now online 👇
I'm visiting this week Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Department of Economics to give a seminar talk about our recent work estimating the impact of a remedial program on the educational outcomes of Syrian children in Turkey (joint w/ Caglar Ozden and Serdar Polat).
Our paper on education and labor market effects of the 1980 coup in Turkey (with Ahmet Ozturk) has received the Best Paper Award at the ERF Conference in Kuwait City.
Delighted that our work is appreciated by the organizers.
#ERF25
@ERFlatest
Full text:
Teaser for my new paper about the impact of refugees on PISA scores of native adolescents. Believe it or not, but the results confirm that refugees increase the intensity of human capital investment among Turkish youth. Draft coming very soon!
#SyrianRefugees
#PISA
@FeasIibf
Amazing multidisciplinary conference on
#refugee
integration in Istanbul this week (Friday) organized by
@giz_gmbh
et al.
Program:
I will broadly discuss labor market integration of forced migrants in Turkey with an emphasis on post-Covid19 developments.
Presented our new work on the effectiveness of remedial refugee education interventions (with Serdar Polat) at the 2019 ERC Conference organized in honor of the 60th anniversary of METU Economics Dept.
It is always a privilege to be lifelong member of the
#METUEcon
community.
Our paper (w/ Meltem Dayioglu &
@MuserrefKckbyrk
) estimating the causal effect of (abolishing) sub-minimum wages on young males' labor market and educational outcomes in Turkey is forthcoming in the International Journal of Manpower.
WP Full text:
Happy to present our work--which estimates the impact of randomized ethnic exposure on outcomes of pre-school refugee and native students--at the 2nd LSE Workshop on Political Economy of Turkey (co-organized by
@cevatgirayaksoy
and
@_OrkunSaka
)
@LSE_SRC
Will be pleased to present my work at the WB/UNHCR Forced Displacement Conference in Copenhagen next week. Excellent opportunity to catch up with the most recent work in forced displacement research.
Progam link is below 👇
#Refugees
Amazing kickstart today to my “
#DataScience
for Social Scientists” class. Very excited to delve into intensive coding, data-scientific causal inference techniques, and new developments in empirical work.
@FeasIibf
Today I’ll present our new work (w/
@mvlass
and
@JackieWahba
), which estimates the impact of training teachers on refugee students’ school attendance/absenteeism.
Details: “Training Teachers for Diversity”, 4pm TR time, American University of Cairo online seminar series. 👇
Mayıs 2014te Gary'nin vefatıyla sona eren "The Becker-Posner Blog" genç iktisatçılar için müthiş bir kaynak. Aşağıda 2008 krizinden günümüze ışık tutan bir örnek var. Bu blogdaki her bir yazıyı şiddetle öneriyorum
Should the Fed Remain Independent? Becker
This week I'll talk at ITU Economics to present our new work "Mixing in Early Childhood: Evidence from Syrian Refugees in Turkey" (w/
@mvlass
,
@JackieWahba
, and
@yveszenou1
), which estimates the effects of randomized inter-group contact between native and refugee kids
@ituecon
The handbook chapter "Refugee Inflows and the Socioeconomic Outcomes of Natives" that I prepared for the Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics is now online.
Our paper "Product-level estimates of exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from Turkey," (with Emre, Meltem, and Ufuk)--documenting the patterns of ER pass-through using highly disaggregated data--is now forthcoming in The World Economy.
Previous version:
Good food and research talk go hand in hand in TEDU FEAS brown bag seminars. Today I presented preliminary results from my new work on informal networks in labor markets (w/ Binnur Balkan); first draft will be online soon.
@FeasIibf
Full text of my paper "The impact of low-skill refugees on youth education" is now available as an IZA Discussion Paper. Findings suggest an increase in natives' high school enrollment rates as refugee concentration goes up.
#Refugees
@iza_bonn
@FeasIibf
New WP alert: "Local governance and the environmental cost of forced migration" (w/
@cevatgirayaksoy
)
Key message: Increasing local governance quality positively affects municipalities' capacity to tackle environmental challenges caused by refugee inflows
Full text coming soon.
This week I’ll give a talk on the role of central banks in mitigating climate risks—event jointly organized by
@UofGAsbs
and
@The_RBWC
as part of
@COP26
.
For full details and signup, see 👇:
Darbe sürecinde üniversite çağında (+-2/3 yaş) olanlar arasında üniversite mezuniyet oranı bir üst yaş grubuna göre 6-7 yüzde puan daha düşük. Gelişmekte olan bir ülkenin eğitim trendlerinde böylesine bir geri adım kabul edilemez.
This week I'll speak at the KCP20+ event (the Conflicts and Migration panel) to be held at
@WorldBank
HQ in Washington DC.
The event features "...dialogues on knowledge generation in international development that cross sectors, generations, and borders"
Nothing is more inspiring than reading the professional memoir of Robert Lucas, a truly exceptional economist and human being.
I am, once again, struck with the clarity of his thinking and writing.
Excellent workshop program featuring cutting-edge research on multidimensional well-being implications of immigration:
I will present our paper "The Crime Effect of Refugees."
Dec 1-2, Istanbul, Turkish-German University
@TAUiktisat
@MigraIntegra
Our new paper on the education and labor market consequences of the
#StudentProtests
in late 1970s and the subsequent military coup in Turkey is now online as an IZA Discussion Paper
#1980Coup
#Turkey
@iza_bonn
Amazing multidisciplinary conference on
#refugee
integration in Istanbul this week (Friday) organized by
@giz_gmbh
et al.
Program:
I will broadly discuss labor market integration of forced migrants in Turkey with an emphasis on post-Covid19 developments.
Bunun emek piyasasındaki karşılığı ortalamada daha kötü bir meslek ve daha düşük ücretler. Ülkenin beşeri sermaye stoğu ve uzun vadeli büyüme potansiyelinin aldığı zarar da cabası.
#1980Darbesi
#DarbelerK
ötüdür
EYS'de bu hafta mikroekonometri haftası. Mikro veri ve yarı deneysel yöntemler kullanarak nedensel mekanizmaları ekonometrik olarak tanımlama (Econometric Identification of Causal Mechanisms Using Micro Data and Quasi-Experimental Methods) konusunu tartışacağız
@EysPau
@FeasIibf
Today
@MuserrefKckbyrk
is presenting our co-authored work (with Meltem Dayioglu Tayfur) "The impact of age-specific minimum wages on youth employment and education: A regression discontinuity analysis" at 26th ERF Conference webinar series.
@ERFlatest
👇
Delighted to be part of the program at the conference (Transformational Recovery: Seizing Opportunities from the Crisis) jointly organized by Bank Al-Maghrib, IMF, and IMF Economic Review in Rabat. 🇲🇦
The IMF, IMF Economic Review, and
@BankAlMaghrib
are hosting a conference—Transformational Recovery: Seizing Opportunities from the Crisis on June 23-24 in Rabat, Morocco 🇲🇦.
🖥️ Visit to see our line-up of virtual events and speakers.
It's my pleasure to curate the JDC Quarterly Digest on
"The Impact of Forced Displacement on Housing and Urban Settlement in Host Communities"
Part I covers the key ideas
Part II summarizes selected papers (by
@zsarzin
)
@Refugees
@WorldBank
#Refugees
Henüz üniversite bölüm tercihlerini yapmamış olanlar ve geçmiş bölüm seçimlerinin iş gücü piyasasındaki performansını merak edenler için Cumhurbaşkanlığı İnsan Kaynakları Ofisi Üniversite İstihdam Endeksi
"6th Annual Istanbul Meeting on Human Capital" sets to kick off on Thursday.
The program features a fantastic lineup of papers and scholars over 2 days. Not to be missed if you're into Labor - Education - HumanCapital topics on Türkiye.
Full program:
Philippe Bacchetta from the Swiss Finance Institute and HEC Lausanne is giving the keynote speech at the TEDUTRC conference. Very interesting and timely topic.
@FeasIibf
@TEDUTRC
I'm flying to London this week to give a seminar talk at the EBRD.
I'll present our work (w/ Caglar Ozden & Serdar Polat) aiming to estimate the causal effect of remedial education programs on
#refugee
children's Math & Turkish scores, absenteeism tendencies, and dropout rates.
Another exciting conference ahead: 12th Migration and Development Conference (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid). Excellent collection of brand new work on the economics of migration.
@AFD_en
@WorldBank
@FeasIibf
To measure a policy's effect, researchers often use regressions with county and year fixed effects, but this only works if an effect is constant across counties and years. This paper suggests a new method, from
@CdeChaisemartin
and Xavier D'Haultfoeuille
Seminar by
#TEDU
Department of Economics member Assoc. Prof. Semih Tümen on "The impact of low-skill refugees on youth education" will be held on October 31, 2018.
I liked the idea of using forenames in referencing papers rather than surnames. Gives a feeling of warmth when you read the paper, even though you don’t know the authors
@CeyhunElgin
Our new working paper brings a novel interpretation to the Turkish compulsory education reform literature 👇.
Revised version is coming soon!
@Ozt_Ahmet
@Hakan_Ercan
@ERFlatest
Check out ERF's working paper of December, 2021, titled" The Effect of Primary School Construction on Later Outcomes" by
@Hakan_Ercan
,
@SemihTumen
, and
@Ozt_Ahmet
Social scientists have already started rigorously discussing post-conflict reconstruction and repatriation in afflicted Arab countries
Next week I’ll be in Cairo to attend the ERF Workshop that features the most recent work in this field and launches the FEMISE report
@ERFlatest
Looking forward to the 4th Human Capital Conference in Istanbul next week. The program brings together an exciting set of new work on labor and education issues in Turkey.
Fantastic article by Raghu Rajan on the unavoidable collapse of recklessly expansionary policies.
…and, yes, there is no such thing as a free lunch.
@ProSyn
Satellite data suggest that GDP in
#Syria
is now back to early 90s levels in real terms. Physical destruction is around 50% on aggregate--above 90% in some heavy-conflict regions. I will present new results in the
#ERF
Workshop on Conflict, in
#Casablanca
next week.
@FeasIibf
In a new short paper, I show that 'native flight' from public to private schools in response to increased refugee concentration in Turkey is substantially smaller than what the literature suggests.
#SyrianRefugees
#NativeFlight
@iza_bonn
@FeasIibf
That time of the year again! Departing for the ASSA Annual Meeting.
If you're interested in the economics of forced migration and refugees, then don't miss the AEA Session on "Consequences of Forced Migration."
#ASSA2020
#SanDiego
Fresh from the oven paper on the causal effect of a panic button program on domestic violence against women in Turkey (w/
@DrUlucan
)
Yes, it increased violence! May be surprising for the general audience, but no big surprise for the literature
Full text coming soon as an IZA DP
Highly recommended book (to be available soon)
We also contribute the book with a chapter on a data scientific analysis of the integration of Syrian kids into the education system in Turkey.
Guide to Mobile Data Analytics in Refugee Scenarios -
#springer