Sean McElwee Profile Banner
Sean McElwee Profile
Sean McElwee

@SeanMcElwee

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Founder of Positive Sum Strategies. Founded @DataProgress . I work with companies and non-profits to achieve ambitious policy goals. seanadrianmc @ gmail

New York, NY / Washington, DC
Joined June 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
A lot of people criticize this but complaining about government spending while directly benefiting from it is the only true way to honor Ayn Rand's legacy.
@PatFitzgerald23
Pat Fitzgerald
4 years
The Ayn Rand Institute received a PPP loan of between $350K and $1 million
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
jesus christ
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Jesus christ
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
seems like a good time for the government to spend a few trillion interest-free dollars creating millions of well-paying union jobs building a green economy.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Warren as Vice President would ensure that the policies progressives are pushing for Biden to embrace would be backed up with personnel. She's the most progressive option on the table. Not sure why people are shooting themselves in the foot here.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The Biden campaign announced a 2035 clean electricity standard and a commitment to 40% climate investments in communities of color today. Massive, massive wins for the environmental justice and climate movements. I promise it's more important than the other discourses occurring.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
they somehow managed to replace steve kings with five steve kings who are also all worse than him
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The overwhelming majority of Sanders supporters (61%) say they would be more likely to support Biden if Warren was his VP in a new @DataProgress poll. Only 9% say less likely. That’s dramatically higher than anyone else tested.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
There is a religious left movement led by a pastor in North Carolina that has fought for *seven* years for trans rights, repoductive rights, civil rights, Medicaid expansion and voting rights. How do leftists expect to win black voters when they ignore these movements?
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
The weirdest thing about this scandal is that Lipinski famously refuses to pay dues (he doesn’t support giving money to pro-choice Democrats) and the DCCC has not only backed him against his primary challenger but is blacklisting vendors who work for him.
@AOC
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5 years
I give quite a bit to fellow Dems - we’ve fundraised over $300,000 for others (more than my “dues”), w/ over 50% going to swing seats. DCCC made clear that they will blacklist any org that helps progressive candidates like me. I can choose not to fund that kind of exclusion.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The post-election sniping from the center is obscuring the fundamental problem for Democrats: consecutive D+2, D+8 and D+5 elections amount to a Senate minority and the barest majority in the House. It is likely that two more solidly D elections would erode Senate margin further.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The general election is going to be incredibly tough no matter who the nominee is, but the Republican Party trying to use the Supreme Court to strip health insurance from millions of people during a pandemic strikes me as a massive unforced error.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
It's weird how much the popularism debate focuses on progressives when Sinema is trying to kill prescription drug reform, taxes on the wealthy and Medicare vision and dental which every poll shows are the most popular parts of the Biden agenda.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
You can see the problem with the message "this bill is awful because it dedicates $400 billion to elder care".
@MarshaBlackburn
Sen. Marsha Blackburn
3 years
President Biden’s proposal is about anything but infrastructure.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The very Republican voters of Kansas voted for a Democratic Governor because the Republican incumbent cut funding for schools so much the state Supreme Court ruled it violated the Constitution and refused to expand Medicaid to hundreds of thousands of low-income people.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The weirdest thing about this is that ActBlue itemizes small dollar donations. Literally no donation is not disclosed.
@mmcauliff
Michael McAuliff
4 years
!! Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho): "yeah, there is dark money in politics and I think that we should get it out."
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
You can really see how the Democratic reliance on suburbs is forcing them to tilt their policies to affluent voters while the Republican party is embracing populism to win over the white working class.
@SteveRattner
Steven Rattner
3 years
The top 20% of households reaped 65% of benefit from Trump’s tax cuts. The bottom 20% got 1%. The American Rescue Plan gives aid to those who actually need it. My @Morning_Joe chart:
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
All of the defenses of Sinema are like "you need to appeal to moderate and independent voters" but "helping pharmaceutical companies" and "leaving Congress during negotiations to chill with donors" are not the traditional mechanisms for appealing to independent voters.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
This is how McConnell wins: he's killing wildly popular prescription drug legislation right now on behalf of his wealthy donors and it's virtually impossible to find media coverage of it.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
We passed AVR! 90-51!
@ZachReports
Zach Williams
4 years
NEW: Bill allowing automatic voting registration has passed NYS Assembly after two hour debate.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Democrats need to make it unambiguously clear: If voters elect @ossoff and @ReverendWarnock in Georgia, a Democratic Senate will immediately pass coronavirus relief. A new memo from @DataProgress , @justicedems , @sunrisemvmt and New Deal Strategies:
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
check the date
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
New polling: 72% of voters support the @ewarren and @AOC ban on private equity and large corporation mergers during the coronavirus pandemic.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The most recent @DataProgress coronavirus tracking poll found that only 22% of Americans support prioritizing judges over coronavirus relief. Even among Republicans, voters say coronavirus relief is more important than judges.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
lincoln project budget is tiny. their ads aren’t designed to be seen by voters, they’re designed for high engagement twitter users, one of which happens to be the president and the rest being journalists
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Just thinking how the $30 billion the White House requested for pandemic preparedness got slashed to less than $3 billion in the final reconciliation bill.
@jburnmurdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
3 years
Five quick tweets on the new variant B.1.1.529 Caveat first: data here is *very* preliminary, so everything could change. Nonetheless, better safe than sorry. 1) Based on the data we have, this variant is out-competing others *far* faster than Beta and even Delta did 🚩🚩
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Biden is on track to win the same number of electoral college votes as Trump while winning the popular vote by a seven point larger margin (-2 to ~+5) so, yes.
@PastorDScott
Dr.Darrell Scott
4 years
Wonder if the Dems still want to do away with the Electoral College
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
I don’t think the establishment has fully processed how bad Super Tuesday will be for them. They’ve created a wildly inefficient delegate allocation situation where Sanders will collect delegates everywhere and all of their candidates struggle to meet thresholds.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
I’m beginning to think that spending the entire election telling your base not to take advantage of all the reforms that make it easier to vote at their convenience may have been tactically unwise.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Warren and her staff have focused for years on building progressive left institutions to transform the Democratic Party. That long work will continue long after this campaign and @DataProgress will be a part of it. Right now we need a united progressive front to win this primary.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
while many of you are yelling “Go KC!” or “Go Buccaneers!” I will be yelling “go big on stimulus and don’t lower the threshold on checks!”
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
In the first Build Back Better plan, the White House requested $30 billion for pandemic preparedness. Congress has whittled that number down to less than $3 billion, meaning we won't have the vaccines, PPE and diagnostics to fight the next pandemic.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Millennials are dramatically more liberal than past generations. Eight years of panel data suggests they have not become more conservative as they have gotten older, and have become more liberal on race + immigration. My latest with @ColinJMcAuliffe .
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
gonna need a bigger stimulus
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
@Nate_Cohn LBJ and Obama are your examples of politically unsuccessful Democratic Presidents?
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
🚨Voters strongly support stringent bailout conditions: No layoffs: 74% support, 11% oppose Collective bargaining protections: 52%-13% Board seat for workers: 51%-17% $15 minimum wage: 54%-27%
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Everyone is a social democrat in a crisis. At the beginning of the month @DataProgress tested $1,000 checks: 33% of voters in support and 48% opposed. We tested in again this week: 58% support, 26% opposed. Testing bigger $$ numbers now.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
. @tomperriello hits at something that has me tearing my hair out about Sinema's position on Build Back Better: there is no coordinated opposition to the bill, no Tea Party movement, no $100 million spend against it. Sinema's position is not a re-election calculus, it's nihilism.
@PostOpinions
Washington Post Opinions
3 years
I lost my election after voting for Obamacare. Democrats need to back Biden’s agenda, @TomPerriello writes.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
election twitter stop "calling" races with a tenth of the vote in challenge
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
I think people are overlearning the "teflon don" lesson. It's certainly true that a lot of things that people thought would hurt him haven't, but that's mostly because none of his mistakes have caused a massive election year recession.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
This is exactly correct. That’s why I’m calling on all MAGA patriots to move to California so we can end this madness. If just 3 million of my fellow conservatives move from New Hampshire, Maine, and Montana we can flip California and deliver a landslide win in 2024.
@joelpollak
Joel Pollak
4 years
Biden won the popular vote -- unless you exclude California. You shouldn't, but worth noting. California provided the popular vote margin for Biden.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
@DavidKlion The most likely options on the table are Warren, Harris, Klobuchar and Whitmer. Warren is the most likely to ensure the things Bernie wants to happen happen, and Sanders supporters are letting their feelings get in the way of actual policy. Don't pretend it's something else.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
If you’ve ever scrambled to put together an unemployment extension you knew was coming for four months, you’ll understand why arbitrary 30 day registration deadlines disenfranchise millions of voters.
@EricLevitz
Eric Levitz
4 years
Y'all had 4 months to work this out
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
it turns out that being a hugely unpopular piece of shit does have negative electoral consequences
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Semi-regular reminder that a judge ruled that the Trump administration could not kick 700,000 people off of food stamps in the middle of a pandemic and the Trump administration is APPEALING that decision right now.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
2 years
holy shit lol
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
Very interesting which primaries the establishment considers unacceptable.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Kyrsten Sinema opposes ending the filibuster and increasing the minimum wage. New @DataProgress polling featured in @voxdotcom shows that a majority of Arizona voters disagree.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
New @DataProgress polling finds that by a 17 point margin, voters support cancelling $50,000 of student debt. Difference between $50,000 and $10,000 is within margin of error, so no evidence smaller cancelation creates political benefits.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
One of the few weaknesses for Biden is excitement among young voters. A new @DataProgress + @Civiqs battleground survey shows that @ewarren is the overwhelming preference of 18-34 year old battleground voters. New from @karavoght .
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Senator Sinema currently losing to several named primary challengers in @DataProgress polling.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
This is a smart play by Sanders for two reasons: 1) Makes the case that suburban voters have more to gain from taxing the rich for broad based social democracy than Trump's tax cuts for corporations 2) Gives news organizations an excuse to use this picture
@CitizenCohn
Jonathan Cohn
4 years
NEW: Sanders is out with a sweeping plan for free, universal child care
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
A lot of liberals think it's bad that Democrats can win elections by massive margins and still not control the Senate or Supreme Court. But imagine knowing that however many elections you won you would never feel your cultural values were fairly represented on HBO.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
On the @DataProgress blog, @SenSchumer blasts deficit scolding on the right regarding $2,000 checks. "These are the same Republicans who added $2 trillion to the deficit in order to give massive tax breaks to billionaires and large corporations."
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
Biden’s support for Social Security cuts is the most dangerous for him because it shows where his desire to always make a deal with Republicans will lead and his team can’t just make it go away by saying “Twitter is not real life.” Democratic voters really like Social Security.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
We are currently ahead in the Minnesota Senate race by 5 points with an incumbent on the ballot. Senate control is narrowly in balance. If we want any chance to take the Senate this cycle or next, this is not a risk we should take.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
the north carolina senate race is pretty good evidence that the revealed preference of voters is for more policy-related coverage on healthcare, coronavirus etc. ultimately, voters are rejecting tillis on those grounds and the media is doing a disservice by not focusing on them
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
for all the debate about canvassing vs tv the big lesson from 2016 should be that how the media covers your campaign matters more than paid interventions and earned media for biden is much better than it was for clinton and '20 trump gets much worse earned media than '16 trump
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
It really seems that the media is manufacturing the border story to inflate ratings and give the GOP a boost to level the playing field after the overwhelming popularity of the American Rescue Plan.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Warren is top Vice President pick for likely Democratic and independent voters in Michigan and Wisconsin. She is the best pick to unite the party and implement the progressive unity policies that the Biden/Sanders task forces decide on.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The thing people are missing about the Bowman race is how sophisticated the primary challenges are becoming. Primary candidates now are often better managed (and have better polling), with the ability to raise toe-to-toe and go up with matching IEs with more effective ads.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Very very good night for progressives
@Redistrict
Dave Wasserman
4 years
Wow. Mondaire Jones (D) races out to a 42%-15%-15% lead over Evelyn Farkas (D) and Adam Schleifer (D) in #NY17 . Just a few months ago, Jones was a long-shot progressive challenger to Appropriations Chair Nita Lowey (D). Now, he's the strong favorite to succeed her.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
feeling good about this one
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
it’s genuinely funny that whatever ghouls fund the federalist are now on the hook for tens of thousands of legal fees so meghan mccain’s husband doesn’t have to delete his shitposts
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
New @DataProgress poll shows that @ewarren is the top Vice President pick for Democratic voters and is the pick that voters view as most prepared to be President, across all demographic groups.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
at this point qanon has done more to increase the representation of women in the republican party than elise stefanik and kevin mccarthy
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Warren is top pick across demographic groups for Vice President. Voters say most important quality in a VP is ready to be President, and in the latest @DataProgress Warren leads there considerably. The polling is consistently showing a strong preference for Warren among D voters.
@DavidBegnaud
David Begnaud
4 years
CBS News poll: @ewarren tops tops Democrats’ VP wish list Report & results:
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
Support for @AOC 's proposal for a 70% tax rate on income over $10 million, by age group: 18-29: 65% support, 19% oppose (+46) 30-44: 52/33 (+19) 45-54: 53/34 (+19) 55-64: 47/45 (+2) 65+: 40/43 (-3) People aren't ready for the future of American politics.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
We’ve tested Pence’s arguments against a $2 trillion climate infrastructure plan a hundred times at @DataProgress . They don’t work.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
So far cabinet picks have been solid for progressives. Yellen is close with Warren and imposed harsh sanctions on Wells Fargo following their fake account scandal. Now we need to keep Reed out of OMB and fight for Haaland at Interior and Chopra at FTC.
@NickTimiraos
Nick Timiraos
4 years
Joe Biden has selected former Fed chair Janet Yellen to serve as the Treasury secretary She would be the 78th secretary of the Treasury and the first woman to have the job w/ @KateDavidson
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
We're a dozen major news cycles away from the election. Given the impact of the last two dozen, the default take should be these cycles have a null effect until proven otherwise. I realize this makes for boring election takes, but in terms of polling, it's been a boring election.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
steve scalise is indistinguishable from steve king he’s just more powerful so the press lets him off the hook.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
New @DataProgress polling: Voters support ending the filibuster 43% - 29% Voters support ending the filibuster to pass voting rights legislation 53% - 25%
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
I really don’t think dramatically increasing your chance of losing a primary to raise $1m from the most despised industry on the planet is a particularly savvy political play.
@samstein
Sam Stein
3 years
NEW — Sinema rakes in 1.1m in Q3 with a big assist from Pharma PACs and execs. 90% of her donations came from out of state. via @Hailey_Fuchs
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Republican pollster finds majority support for abortion rights, gun control, gay marriage, government guaranteeing healthcare, tax hikes on the rich and environmental regulations as well as plurality support for a $15 minimum wage.
@EchelonInsights
Echelon Insights
3 years
To determine where voters were on the quadrant, we asked if they agreed more with the liberal or conservative stance on a variety of cultural and economic issues.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Some fresh @DataProgress polls (including some in under-polled states). PRES (Biden margin): National +10 TX +1 NC +2 CO +12 AZ +3 VA +11 AL -20 SENATE (D margin): TX -3 NC +5 CO +9 AZ +8 VA +15 AL -12
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
so @DataProgress is decent at polling...
@Politics_Polls
Political Polls
4 years
#NY16 Democratic Primary, With Leaners: Jamaal Bowman 52% (+16) Eliot Engel 36% @DataProgress / @JamaalBowmanNY Internal Poll
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
@NathanJRobinson The CFPB has delivered concrete and real gains for the poorest and most vulnerable Americans. Shitting on it because you're mad about the 2020 primary doesn't really help advance the idea that the left is invested in material gains for working class people instead of online beef.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
These GA-SEN run-offs don’t decide the Senate for two years, they will probably decide the Senate for four to six years. Money directly to candidates is the best way for most donors to maximize value.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
5 years
we're going to pass AVR!!
@ZackFinkNews
Zack Fink
5 years
Sources: The State Senate will pass the Automatic Voter Registration bill on Thursday. The Assembly will follow shortly after. The AVR bill was pulled at the 11th hour last year because it did not comport with #GreenLightNY Supporters say that technical hurdle has been lifted
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Out latest polling shows voters support more money to states by a whopping +47 points. Democrats can't go too small here.
@ericawerner
Erica Werner
4 years
Pelosi news today: $1 TRILLION for state & local in next aid package
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
Has either party lost the messaging war so badly on a piece of legislation 100% of their members opposed as the GOP on the American Rescue Plan?
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
3 years
The public overwhelmingly believes the new relief bill will help the working class as opposed to the wealthy
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
sacking tom brady is antifa
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
New polling from @DataProgress + @MoveOn finds that Ron Johnson is facing backlash among Wisconsin voters and growing support for his resignation.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The most effective way for Republicans to become more popular is to stop pursuing their legislative agenda.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
The is a generation defining crisis. Among Americans under 45, 52 percent have lost their job, had hours cut or have been placed on leave. 1 in 4 will be unable to pay their bills this week.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
oh wow cool good things can still happen
@Redistrict
Dave Wasserman
4 years
I've seen enough: progressive Marie Newman (D) defeats pro-life, eight-term Rep. Dan Lipinski (D) in #IL03 .
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
There are some reasons to be skeptical of a 2016 polling error (or think it may go opposite direction), but the biggest is media coverage. Late earned media in 2016 validated R critique of Clinton (Comey letter), earned media now validates D critique of Trump (coronavirus spike).
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
We shouldn't be cutting the Postal Service, we should be expanding its role. @SenGillibrand makes the case for Postal Banking, with @DataProgress polling.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Data for Progress Decision Desk is currently projecting Cori Bush wins MO-01.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
increasing the gas tax is more unpopular than defunding the police. when will moderates stop pushing these highly salient, highly unpopular ideas that spell electoral doom!
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Voters overwhelmingly support a non-police first responder agency and believe it should take over many situations where police are called.
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
3 years
New from @DataProgress and @InvestNowUSA on the most popular way to pay for infrastructure: Close corporate tax loopholes: 74% support Increasing taxes on capital gains: 69% support Increasing taxes on rich: 65% User fees: 25% Increase the gas tax: 21%
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Republicans (with lots of help from the media) have managed to muddy the water on a number of their actual policy positions, and that's bad for democracy. Great @EthanBWinter analysis.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
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@SeanMcElwee
Sean McElwee
4 years
Final @DataProgress national poll: Biden: 54% (+10) Trump: 44% Voters support Biden's $2 trillion stimulus even after hearing Republican arguments.
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