Sean Farrell Profile Banner
Sean Farrell Profile
Sean Farrell

@SeanMFarrell

3,484
Followers
1,077
Following
192
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960
Statuses

digital assets @fundstrat / @fs_insight

New York, NY
Joined December 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
The SEC is as good at protecting investors as they are at protecting their passwords
@GaryGensler
Gary Gensler
9 months
The @SECGov twitter account was compromised, and an unauthorized tweet was posted. The SEC has not approved the listing and trading of spot bitcoin exchange-traded products.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 years
This is the way
@ledgerstatus
Ledger 🇺🇸
2 years
America needs to open legal immigration massively. Hardworking people want to live in, buy stuff in, and pay taxes in America. We should enable it.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Squeeze em
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Lots of short covering going on out there. Would be a shame to see short sellers get trapped in all these miners w short interest > 20%
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
All 11 ETFs approved
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Lots of short covering going on out there. Would be a shame to see short sellers get trapped in all these miners w short interest > 20%
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
4 months
July cut is still severely underpriced imho
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
This is like finding out your boomer parents have been mining crypto in their garage
@tier10k
db
3 years
KPMG in Canada adds Bitcoin and Ethereum to its corporate treasury
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
I’m working on an alternative theory for the sell off in equities today
@unusual_whales
unusual_whales
2 months
BREAKING: The Senate Governmental Affairs Committee just voted to advance a ban on congressional stock trading. Senators who voted against the bill: Rand Paul, Ron Johnson, James Lankford, and Mitt Romney
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
Stables quietly marching higher again
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Good time to be long volatility
@YahooFinance
Yahoo Finance
3 years
Fundstrat's @SeanmFarrell on $BTC: "I think what’s going to happen is we’re going to see a continued volatility on the short and medium term... What ends up happening is the Fed will probably start to take their foot off the brake."
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
Respondent quotes from today's ISM report are pretty telling. Those with a negative outlook on Q3 cite election uncertainty or lack of spend due to rates. Both should be resolved in Q4.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
Jamie’s negative rhetoric is likely driven by what banking regulators want to hear. If he expects banking regulators to change, it makes sense that he would change his tune
@JasonYanowitz
Yano 🟪
3 months
Jamie Dimon has "all of a sudden changed his tune" on Bitcoin
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
Ngl i am shocked that a temporary fed program was indeed temporary
@JackFarley96
Jack Farley
8 months
BREAKING: the Federal Reserve will NOT renew the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), which will end on March 11, 2024.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Hard not to view this as a bottom signal for eth
@DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
2 months
SEC SUES ANDREW LEFT AND CITRON CAPITAL OVER STOCK SHORT SALES
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
I agree this report is an absolute banger. Brought to you by @Tom_Couture17
@MStiive
MrStiive 🦇🔊
8 months
This is actually a really well thought out thesis report on $PEAS 🤝 @fs_insight @fundstrat , now that Bitcoin ETF is a hot topic on Wall St & w Mutual Funds, when @CNBC interview about novel yield generating crypto ETFs? The market is exponential as you point out... 🧠💡
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
Just a couple bps away from your podcast feeds being filled w 2s10s content
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
What a fun coincidence
@mskvsk
lex
1 year
Post-Blackrock Forbes. Bitcoin suddenly has become greener, helps third-world countries, and is not being used by the baddies anymore. You love to see it.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
Some of you need to take a deep breath and go for a walk
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Imagine watching recent regulatory developments unfold and not owning this bad boy
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
@_Checkmatey_ @DylanLeClair_ Who called the fun police
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
The germans sold 2x more corn today than they did all of last week but BTC is green
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 years
@coryklippsten @a16z @coinbase This is nothing like UST though. It’s just a derivative trading at a discount to the underlying asset
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Tbh I can't tell if he is talking smack or hitting on Tom here
@KeithMcCullough
Keith McCullough
1 year
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
@WhatsupFranks @fundstrat GBTC is spinning out the 10% of AUM and putting into the BTC mini trust. You should have mini trust shares show up in your brokerage account once it starts trading
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
SAB 121 being overturned on a bipartisan vote, the SEC doing a last minute 180 on ETH ETFs, the FDIC chair stepping down, and a comprehensive market structure bill possibly getting a vote in the House this week. The vibe has shifted folks.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
We plundered europes coins. Good work everyone.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
Still have a few days left but this could be a pretty legendary monthly candle
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
Stablecoin market cap quietly making new highs
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
Fee war heating up
@kgreifeld
Katie Greifeld 🎃
9 months
I spoke too soon re: low-water mark! Ark and 21Shares are going 0.25% and *NO FEE* for the first six months or until $1 billion in assets these are very, very low numbers
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
Getting pretty close to the same level of OI cleanse as Tokyo black monday
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
7 months
For those keeping score the offering was initially for $600 million. Looks like the market was hungry for a potentially discounted proxy to btc
@saylor
Michael Saylor⚡️
7 months
MicroStrategy Completes $800 Million Offering of Convertible Notes at 0.625% Coupon and 42.5% Conversion Premium $MSTR
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Seasonal headwinds pictured below
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
Coinbase premium is back for the first time in a while
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Not a short term view here but friendly reminder that global margin calls have historically resulted in more intervention more printing and better conditions for monetary debasement hedges
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
7 months
Remember to check in on your favorite talking head that told you to sell the news
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
4 months
Boom
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
At this point the early ETF flows are just a Rorschach test for if you like the coins or not. There is no world in which this is not impressive.
@fed_speak
fed_speak
9 months
Is it just me or is this really underwhelming? Only $800M of inflows into BTC ETFs so far?
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
It is not talked about enough how cheap BTC is right now relative to the value stored in the network. If we move any lower on MVRV we are looking at multiples last witnessed at the depths of previous bear markets
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Don't look now but BTC leverage ratio is roaring back to life. The ratio now sits nearly where it was pre-washout in early December.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
Almost back to ATH in ETH-denominated OI on CME
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Some impressive stablecoin inflows over the past couple of weeks
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Imho the headlines are more bearish than the actual words written within the article
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
22 days
Over the past month+, there has been a disconnect between real yields/gold and btc. If the market can get more comfortable with a soft landing I suspect the catch-up will be quite the spectacle
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
16 days
Lots of mental gymnastics from bears today. Yesterday, Powell did exactly what risk assets wanted him to do—their actions were dovish, with a 50-bps cut and guidance for two more by year-end, but their economic commentary remained reassuring. Many bears point to this as
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
4 months
The major indices fueled by chips/hyperscalers are skewing everyone's perception of the current setup. Most liquidity-sensitive assets have been down/sideways over the past few weeks. DXY rolls over and everyone's having fun again. I think we get this soon.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
For the past several weeks, BTC has been in lockstep with other risk assets. It actually held up fairly well today despite the 10-year hitting a 2-year high and tech continuing to bleed
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Good thing we have that third branch of government
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
A must read
@HesterPeirce
Hester Peirce
9 months
It's out:
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Not a lawyer but tough to listen to this and conclude that the SEC swayed the judges in their favor
@SGJohnsson
Scott Johnsson
1 year
Since you're not reading any Grayscale opinions today, here's the SEC's time during oral argument - March 7, 2023.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
Since some crypto natives seem to be catching onto the fact that macro is important, I figured I would share some relevant slides from our outlook call a couple weeks ago (would note we have added some nuance to our thoughts on point 2 since issuing our outlook).
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
6 months
Expected more resilience out of dog wif hat with the threat of world war looming
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Nvidia is up half an ethereum network in after hours trading
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
Over $2Bn in aggregate volumes ex grayscale (this is using 1 min data so possibly off by a little). Will be interesting to see where AUM numbers shake out but this is impressive by any standard.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
My honest criticism would be around his framing toward the end. He leans too much into the negative things BTC protects against (debasement, oppressive regimes) and doesn't effectively drive home the optimistic point of view - that BTC is a tech-enabled solution to these issues.
@JMKlein3
JM Klein
3 months
@SeanMFarrell Delivery was terrible- . He couldnt explain it so I will. Blackrock cant give up the potential revenue and fees associated with BTC so that's why he's promoting it.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
6 months
Earthquake today eclipse on Monday and you’re not bullish
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
11 months
Tell me you’re sidelined without telling me you’re sidelined
@theblockupdates
The Block Pro Headlines
11 months
*JPMORGAN SAYS ‘CRYPTO RALLY LOOKS OVERDONE’ - THE BLOCK
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
I love the smell of capitulation in the morning
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Staking claim to the term "Upril" before it gains worldwide traction
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
29 days
Ultimately the nature of the cut (bullish or bearish) depends on econ data and fed commentary but all things being equal i still view 25 bps as better for asset prices than 50 bps
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Pretty clear divergence in performance during US market hours vs RoW following the movement of Silk Road coins to CB prime last week
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Woke up and chose violence
@YahooFinance
Yahoo Finance
3 years
“Calling something a bubble… implies that something is overvalued, which we’ve noted in our research that bitcoin has reached points where it has been traded at prices that could be overvalued,” @fundstrat 's @SeanMFarrell says. “That implies that there is a correct value.”
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
I guess everyone can put away those Nvidia / Cisco charts for a few months
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 month
I am not in the recession crowd but it does seem possible that the cannibalization of the high yield market by private credit masks/delays rises in credit spreads
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@dgt10011
Jeff Park
1 month
Private credit is now estimated to be larger than the public high yield bond market TradFi’s low float high FDV moment is here
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
12 days
China really saw the Fed cut and went straight to QE for equities. Good for the coins.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
10 months
Nearly $8 trillion in govt debt matures over the next 12 months, inflation is tamed, it’s an election year, and you are surprised the fed pivoted smh
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
9 months
Naturally ppl point to prior product launches (futures, futures ETF) as precedents for a sell the news event. Seems like one is talking about the macro context at the time of each major product launch. Much different setup this time around.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
The omissions are more interesting to me than those included
@tier10k
db
1 year
[DB] SEC Allege the Following Coins Are Securities in Coinbase Lawsuit SOL, ADA, MATIC, FIL, SAND, AXS, CHZ, FLOW, ICP, NEAR, VGX, DASH, and NEXO
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Can japanese devs do something
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
The bigger news this morning
@pdacosta
Pedro da Costa
1 year
MNI POLICY: Fed To Consider Shift To Inflation Target Band
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Look at this heinous pump and dump scheme
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
We are due for a move one way or another soon
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
@krugermacro Interesting take on 25 vs 50 bps cut. We gapped up pretty hard following hot retail sales and futures market moving to 25 bps. Imho means market views 25 as soft landing still probable while 50 suggests fed sees non negligible recession risk and is playing catch up
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
7 months
Yesterday blackrock saw its largest day of inflows since launch
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
To be clear I want a spot ETF but the current pessimism surrounding BITO is unwarranted. It’s not perfect but think about the trillions of dollars that now have frictionless access to BTC exposure
@YahooFinance
Yahoo Finance
3 years
“We’ve actually seen Bitcoin’s volatility over the past… 5 years gradually dampen,” Fundstrat Head of Digital Asset Strategy @SeanMFarrell says. “When you look at risk adjusted returns, Bitcoin right now, presents an unprecedented opportunity for traditional financial markets.”
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Happy FOMC day
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
An interesting subplot here is that the bid above 30k happened during the Asia trading session. Seeing a lot more of that these days.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
You heard the man
@DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
1 year
🇺🇸 PAUL TUDOR JONES: 'I LIKE BITCOIN AND I LIKE GOLD'
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
DOGE accounted for 62% of all crypto trading revenues on Robinhood in Q2. After yesterday's Q3 earnings, I am sure they are scrambling to figure out how to list SHIB by EOD. Memes are tough to keep up with if you are a $30 billion company.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Better late than never
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 years
The rumors are true, we are hiring. Come work with the best research team in crypto.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
Flawless delivery. No notes.
@WatcherGuru
Watcher.Guru
3 months
JUST IN: BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says #Bitcoin is digital gold.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
7 months
Still very few ways to gain exposure to bitcoin L2/defi in liquid markets
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Man, I know ppl are bracing for a hot CPI tomorrow but this feels deflationary
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
30 days
MOVE almost back to 120
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
So about those July cuts
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
2 months
BREAKING: BIG MISS ON UNEMPLOYMENT. UNEMPLOYMENT RISES TO 4.3% JUST 114K NEW JOBS Economists had expected 175K jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Receipts available upon request
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
7 months
Coinbase premium moving higher again
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 years
Quite the weekly swing in fed futures. Market now favoring a 75 bps hike next month.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Folded like a lawn chair
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
People are certainly excited for this weekend
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
5 months
Funding rates are largely flat to negative heading into a weekend as rates roll over and crypto catches a bid. Interesting.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
@mark_dow Valid criticism but is this really any different from asking the same questions to ppl who profit from legacy banking system or senators who campaign on more oversight
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 months
Not that it’s unimportant but it feels like the industry is overweighting the regulatory significance of the presidency and underweighting the importance of congressional elections. Congress must approve of cabinet/agency positions and do the actual legislating.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
8 months
Some of you have over traded this market and it shows
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 years
Despite a raging VIX in legacy markets, the BTC volatility index is relatively quiet
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
1 year
Larry likes the internet money
@WatcherGuru
Watcher.Guru
1 year
JUST IN: $9 trillion asset manager BlackRock CEO says #crypto will transcend international currencies due to global demand.
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
4 months
First murph in the books. Add 10 minutes for no vest tho. Happy Memorial Day 🇺🇸🇺🇸
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
3 months
Land the plane Jay
@DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
3 months
U.S ISM NON-MANUFACTURING PMI (JUN) ACTUAL: 48.8 VS 53.8 PREVIOUS; EST 52.6 U.S FACTORY ORDERS (MOM) (MAY) ACTUAL: 0.5% VS 0.7% PREVIOUS; EST 0.2% U.S DURABLE GOODS ORDERS (MAY F) ACTUAL: 0.1% VS 0.1% PREVIOUS; EST 0.1%
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
10 months
Appreciate it Zack. Let's hope the next two weeks makes this PT look too conservative.
@zGuz
Zack Guzmán
10 months
We had exactly one #bitcoin price discussion on @coinage_media in 2023. Back in February: @fundstrat ’s @SeanMFarrell predicted Bitcoin would top out at $44,000 in 2023. He has 100% nailed it. Sean is also a Coinage member. Join the smartest community in crypto by minting now 💪🏽
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@SeanMFarrell
Sean Farrell
2 years
Is there a quant out there that can help me confirm this
@saylor
Michael Saylor⚡️
2 years
If you sell 75% of your bitcoin, you will only have 25% of your #bitcoin left.
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