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Sarah Shoker Profile
Sarah Shoker

@SarahShoker

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Lead, Geopolitics Team @OpenAI | PoliSci Postdoc @uwaterloo , PhD @mcmasteru | A stranger in a strange land | Views mine | سارة شاكر

San Francisco, CA
Joined July 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
11 months
New AI & international security paper just dropped. 🔥 Let's take a look at how confidence-building measures can mitigate some of the international security risks associated with foundation models.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I see that some NatSec dudes are crying because NATO allies criticized the Supreme Court decision. This is an alliance based on liberal democratic norms. The U.S rolled back the clock on equality and you're shocked that the U.S continues to lose its global moral authority?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
See, the thing about the promotion of norms abroad is that the entire enterprise begins to fall apart when you're suffering from internal institutional decay. Liberal democratic countries notice when their allies introduce differentiated citizenship.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
I have never felt closer to my OpenAI colleagues than I do now I left Canada--I miss my friends, family & country every day--to join OAI because I believe in the collective power we all have to advance safe & beneficial AGI And this is just the start. We're stronger than ever.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Anyway, I feel bad for many of the U.S civil servants who will now have to engage in international discussions with disclaimers like "this is so embarrassing," which is what happened under the Administration that got us into this legal mess in the first place.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
OpenAI is nothing without its people.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
💜
@sama
Sam Altman
8 months
i love the openai team so much
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Because AI safety has been 'making the rounds' this week, I want to emphasize that you don't need to identify as longtermist or EA to tackle this issue.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Math is neither invented or discovered; it is dug up like a potato.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Some professional news! I’m absolutely thrilled to join @OpenAI as a member of the policy research team. I’m looking forward to working on some of our most challenging questions with this ridiculously talented group of people.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I am super proud of our @OpenAI team! If you haven't already, check out our research papers--we have both a GPT-4 Technical paper *and* System Card! (Links below.)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Interested in the impact of AI & AGI on international security? We're hiring!
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
7 months
We are SO back! 💜
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
a watercolour portrait of a researcher who is a poodle sitting at her computer and dreaming about cake #dalle2
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
@carmenmmachado What struck me is that the 'stolen' details were fairly generic, while the details were very unlike her life. The author criticizes the fictional account for not being generous/accurate enough to their ex. Well, that's what makes it fiction, not biography.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
If you work in AI & feel safe doing so, I really encourage you to speak out against Bostrom's very bad and defensive apology. We can't create a safe world while allowing false and harmful (Bostrom did both!) ideas to push bipoc people out of the field.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Me in <2022: I really wish people outside Canada took an interest in Canadian politics. Me in 2022: Not like that.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@LarryRosenthal @beyerstein I was waiting for someone would bring up Turkey--the awkward partner, to be sure! Probably best for the U.S to not emulate Turkey's transition to non-democracy. It does tell us that a NATO membership isn't a bulwark against authoritarian pressures.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I'm hiring! I'm looking for a research scientist who works at the intersection of AI and global politics to join my team. Feel free to DM if you have any questions about the role. :)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
Daniel is one of the smartest alignment researchers I know—and he thinks the board should resign. Rigorous safety research happens hand-in-hand with good governance.
@DKokotajlo67142
Daniel Kokotajlo
8 months
@janleike I agree. I am confused and scared about what's happening but I trust your judgment Jan and the judgment of Ilya.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
@sama ❤️
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Meet the elite couple breeding to save mankind
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
8 months
💜
@ilyasut
Ilya Sutskever
8 months
I deeply regret my participation in the board's actions. I never intended to harm OpenAI. I love everything we've built together and I will do everything I can to reunite the company.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Slowly being radicalized into starting a podcast.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
It would be a real shame if AI safety became a brand instead of a field of inquiry. Other research fields have intellectually suffered from being insular...let's not repeat the same mistakes.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I come into the AI safety discussion from IR, meaning that I'm concerned about dual-use, the undermining of international humanitarian law and human rights law, and international stability--all problems that are not historically associated with the aforementioned viewpoints.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@KevinLi26651602 The countries you mention are experiencing democratic rollbacks which, yes, also threaten NATO’s stability. These democratic rollbacks are not a stable, permanent features of the org’s history. It’s not correct to say that NATO’s moral system doesn’t play into existence.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage What you are describing is effectively the status quo. “not signing an agreement” and aiming for superiority in military tech are common challenges in IR. So ask yourself what other tools currently exist to solve this very common problem?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
So much of proposed AI governance comes down to technology-denial like export controls. More research should focus on understanding how these rules can worsen the global digital divide & how to improve access to innovation tools in a security environment clamping down on chips.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
I am convinced that 25% of all imposter syndrome in writing is caused by the Arial font.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
@GregCfollows @carmenmmachado Hi Greg, It turns out that I can read. I appreciate that you've chosen to frame our disagreement as one where you think the problem is my reading comprehension. Sometimes, ppl just disagree. The sooner you accept that, the quicker you'll drop your unearned condescension. Cheers!
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
7 months
💜
@OpenAI
OpenAI
7 months
We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam Altman to return to OpenAI as CEO with a new initial board of Bret Taylor (Chair), Larry Summers, and Adam D'Angelo. We are collaborating to figure out the details. Thank you so much for your patience through this.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
The year is 2090. There is a scientific colony on Mars. We have eradicated cancers. PDF readers are still absolute garbage.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
There's a good chance that if you work on international relations or in an adjacent field then you haven't heard of EA or longtermism. That's a-okay. We still need you.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
For my final Twitter act of 2021, I’m assigning a novella by Ted Chiang called “The Lifecycle of Software Objects.” Over 10 yrs old but the story and moral questions remain relevant. An important read if you work on AI. (Also contains a quick nod to a flu pandemic.)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I have a selfish motive here--I want to attract research talent. Most research fields aren't "EA" aligned. I don't want to risk closing the door to people who have great questions.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I think there's also a misconception about people who work in AI safety. If you're interested in joining an AI lab but worried that you won't 'fit in,' let me take the first step and say that I don't identify as EA or longtermist.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage For better or worse, this is partially why the US plays the role of “global police officer.” So what you’re suggesting w. air strikes wouldn’t be the enforcement of an intl treaty, but a unilateral/multilateral club of nations exerting military might on the intl system.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
If the internet is going to splinter into early-2000s forum culture then can we also bring back anime music videos?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Co-signed. On IR, @swatipash once said that the discipline is "deeply engaged with war yet seems to have an estranged relationship with it.” The discipline struggles to think about bodies. Great 🧵
@ProfPaulPoast
Paul Poast
3 years
Indeed, the international relations literature is full of phrases like "use of force" or words such as "conflict", "aggression", and, obviously, "war". But the word "killing"? Or the word "violence"? Much more rare.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
@GregCfollows @carmenmmachado The short story writer points to the following similarities: age-gap relationship, working at a movie theatre & the name of the town. Those are 'identifying' details as we say in the research world, but fairly generic in terms of human experience.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
So, yes to all of this. First, read @Miles_Brundage great 🧵. All done? Now I'm going to take the bait and comment on the 'AI arms race' language. 🫡
@Miles_Brundage
Miles Brundage
1 year
While the "AI arms race" discourse lately is cringe from a scholarly/precise-language perspective (RIP my colleague @SarahShoker + others who know/care about such things), the basic idea of AI competition getting more fierce lately, and that being worrying, is correct. 🧵
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Political science has seriously undertheorized the role of meme brain rot in decision making.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I'm getting this framed. I cannot emphasize enough how happy I am to see the mainstreaming of AI (and space exploration!) to a readership that was historically thought to be uninterested. Shoutout to the talented @karenxcheng for this cover.
@Cosmopolitan
Cosmopolitan
2 years
PSA: The world’s smartest artificial intelligence (aka @OpenAI ) made this magazine cover (yes, really!)—its first EVER.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
11 months
I’m very happy that other AI labs are implementing CBRN red teaming. AI safety isn’t zero sum, and I believe we’ll all be safer if we build on and recognize each other’s work. Also shout out to @_lamaahmad who really set the tone on normalizing red teams for AI labs.
@Miles_Brundage
Miles Brundage
11 months
Glad Anthropic is investing in stuff like bio risks but unless I am missing something, there is no reference to @SarahShoker et al.’s seminal work with external red teamers like @andrewwhite01 in the GPT-4 system card, which made very similar claims.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
The one silver lining about the Y. article in Time is that it’s laid bare the international security theorizing that’s become popular in AI safety circles.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
It feels odd to me that actor-network theory isn't more widely discussed in AI spaces *outside* academia. If we're trying to understand whether AI can be a 'collaborator' or 'act' on the world, then I would have expected Bruno Latour to be cited more often.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
J&J has agreed to grant licenses to sell generics in countries with a high burden of TB--and this is all within the span of 1 week. That's nerdfighteria for you.❤️
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
fully committed (to having this website melt my brain.)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
That fact that Erin O'Toole was ousted in part because he wasn't sufficiently willing to embrace a convoy that included the waving of nazi flags isn't exactly making me feel optimistic about our democracy.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
of course you need goggles to travel the digital world
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Great—news—I —have—learned—the—hotkey—for the—em—dash—and—so—instead—of—a—dark—lord—you—will—have—a—dark—queen—
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage What you are suggesting has many problems (pre-emptive and relies on alignment theory rather than evidence to pursue punishment, for 1) and fundamentally misunderstands how international treaties work (usually voluntarily, actually!)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
As far as I can tell, humans are extremely optimistic when it comes to estimating how much they can get done in a day, and really cynical about everything else.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
*taps the sign*
@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Political science has seriously undertheorized the role of meme brain rot in decision making.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
The 'it' in question is actor-network theory (ANT). Super relevant to AI, though not first developed with AI in mind. 🧵
@jachiam0
Joshua Achiam ⚗️
1 year
@SarahShoker What is it? It hasn't ever come up in my neck of the woods - maybe write an intro thread?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage The “compliance” angle you’re pushing comes from a smaller club of nations who institutionalize certain non-proliferation rules (e.g NATO, Wassenaar etc.) that overlap with intl treaties. And even here the coercive response is not purely through kinetic military actions.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I suppose you could ask “in what way is AI like nuclear?” But the better question is “how does AI interact with nuclear* risks?” *and other international security risks
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Pitch: An Inspector Gadget who inspects gadgets. The people need a sprawling multi-season saga about engineering compliance.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage Finally, I’ll say that a military threat on critical infrastructure tends to incentivize the building of deterrence technologies (currently, nukes. For you, likely AGI.) And so, your game plan is actually escalatory & more likely to contribute to the very thing you fear.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
It is extremely, extremely disappointing that there are people who are centering Bostrom as the victim (of his own words, really?) I hear the word 'humanity' in this field a lot, but too many times there are some humans who have their humanity respected over others.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
The country has spoken. From coast to coast to coast, we hear a resounding “yeah I guess whatever.”
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
So proud of our team. Thankful that I get to work with this amazing group.
@OpenAI
OpenAI
2 years
OpenAI’s mission is to ensure that artificial intelligence benefits all of humanity. An important part of this effort is training AI systems to align with human intentions and human values. Learn more about our alignment research:
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I 💯 believe that Nerdfighteria can pull through on this. The community consistently meets its philanthropic health goals. If you’re reading this, please consider supporting this effort. Let’s end TB, @JNJNews . It’s in our power.
@sportswithjohn
John Green
1 year
An open letter to @JNJNews . Stop pursuing the secondary patent of bedaquiline. YOU KNOW that millions of people will be unable to access lifesaving treatment for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis if you extend the patent. YOU KNOW it violates your credo.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
I realize no one (probably even the party that called it) wants this election, but one thing I do miss are election night parties and the opportunity to rant together in front of a giant TV, avec snacks. Just one more thing Covid has cancelled, I guess. 😐
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
You may have recently come across some ‘takes’ on AI twitter that suggest AGI > nuclear war (and not even in comparison to so-called “tactical strikes.”) Steve has kindly written a 🧵that adds some much needed specificity.
@sbspalding
Steve Spalding
1 year
Because we live in the dumbest timeline, I think we should take a moment to talk about nukes and why they are bad. Strap in friends. 1. Three are approximately 13,000 viable nuclear weapons known to exist. More likely exist
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@dansukman @KevinLi26651602 So to reiterate my point, most NATO states (and the biggest one, the U.S) now understand their membership as being connected to liberal norms. And yes, that makes it awkward for members who have allies that flirt and accept democratic rollbacks. Hopefully that clarifies things!
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I’m not inclined to take intl security points from someone who both states he’s against an arms race while simultaneously arguing for unilateral air strikes against data centres. I cannot imagine discourse that is more likely to contribute to arms racing.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Is anyone aware of LLM research that addresses the political economy of the household? e.g. Can LLMs equalize time spent on housework and/or does it amplify existing household inequalities? I realize this is still speculative, but I'm curious for early takes.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
San Francisco’s city hikes are a treat.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage (Just going to repeat this in case you didn't see it.) For solutions: I'm wondering why technology-denial through export controls (literally depriving an actor the means to build) is insufficient for you? 1/
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage A repudiation against a nuclear first strike but a willingness to tolerate nuclear exchange is a horrible condolence prize for civilians. That is my criticism, and that is why I asked about the costs you were wiling to tolerate.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Officially connected to the 5G network and it feels great. Big thanks to Moderna and Pfizer. I promise to use my new superpowers for good. Or neutral good. Or maybe just neutral.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
Was told that I need to post more photos of Sagan on here 😌
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
So I’m told that ChatGPT made CTV Saskatoon which means that my mom finally knows what I do. 🤣
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@NathanpmYoung @HaydnBelfield Perhaps I’m misunderstanding you, but are you suggesting that the US/UN would back territorial succession based solely on a democratic vote? (Because they would absolutely not. But again, perhaps I misunderstand you.)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
The future is converging onto the aesthetic preferences I had as a 13-year old. Absolutely wondrous.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I’ve seen some confusion about whether GPT-4 can do drug discovery (not really.) Our excellent chemistry red teamer breaks down the process here:
@andrewwhite01
Andrew White 🐦‍⬛/acc
1 year
Can GPT-4 do drug discovery? No, but it can help. Let's walk through GPT-4 proposing new drugs. This is called knowledge-based screening. We're trying to fill a list of plausible compounds that could lead to new drugs based on research papers. 1/n
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
My follow-up response, for posterity:
@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage A repudiation against a nuclear first strike but a willingness to tolerate nuclear exchange is a horrible condolence prize for civilians. That is my criticism, and that is why I asked about the costs you were wiling to tolerate.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
I had a dream that I joined a Twitter alternative that was perfectly user friendly and full of great people. If this is the height of my subconscious fantasies then god has truly abandoned me.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Our system card: This doc. outlines GPT-4's known risks & limitations. We've expanded the domains that we tested since Dall-E (and you may notice we included int'l security domains👀.)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
Was going to make a spicy comment about Bayesian rationality being a veneer for what is more accurately described as techno spirituality but this meme does a better job ngl.
@AdamSerwer
Adam Serwer 🍝
1 year
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
Reviewer 2.
@emilynussbaum
Emily Nussbaum
3 years
What's the backstory of how you became a villain?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage 4 major export control arrangements continue to exist post-WW2. So, I do think they'd work for at least 15 years. Re: ASML, there's a bilateral agreement b/w the U.S & the Netherlands restricting EUV exports, w. further discussions underway b/w U.S/Japan/Netherlands
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
To the non-Canadian folks who are following the protests in Ottawa: please know that most political observers in Canada do not recognize the version of events written in the New York Times. If you want to know more, I’d recommend the following accounts:
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@dansukman @KevinLi26651602 Anyway, it's hard to cover everything over twitter. But the main point is that NATO isn't a static organization w. static members & membership. This is a challenge!
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
3 years
@ValerieInsinna Rapinoe is extremely charismatic and stylish. She has “it,” as I’m sure the VS marketing department has figured out. And even if she didn’t, it’s “interesting” that some Internet ppl see VS’ decision as a threat to the very foundations of womanhood.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
7 months
@ChengLu05671218 @OpenAI Can’t wait to meet you. :)
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
There's ample IR lit. that finds a high correlation between women's equality and responsible state behaviour on the international stage. Just in case anyone's wondering about what kinds of pressures contribute to the decline of the rules-based international order.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@dansukman @KevinLi26651602 Okay, I’ll engage b/c I think this is important to clarify. NATO’s original founding emphasized collective defence (though “western” values were implicit ). Obvious reason: the Cold War, different understanding of state security interests, and new int’l rules still in infancy.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
How did I diversify who I see on Twitter? Super easy. I just moved to a different country and started a career in a different economic sector. 🥰
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
As much as one can critique securitization theory, it’s obvious to me that the theory gets right the idea of “panic politics” leading to the socialization of exceptional measures in int’l security. This time, nothing less than an authoritarian response (track all GPUs!) will do.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
This is a good start for those looking to understand:
@FreshMangoLassi
Habiba 🔸
1 year
I really appreciate David Thorstad's careful breakdown of what's wrong with the email and the apology. This paragraph in particular is great:
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
@ESYudkowsky @Miles_Brundage I disagree that you mentioned what it takes to live; you've gestured at nuclear risk. US military ops use a collateral damage estimate that they then compare to achievable military gains before making a decision to strike. How many people are allowed to die to prevent AGI?
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I hate the idea that one can “call upon” the ppl in their field, as though it were the draft. But if there is anyone in IR who’s confused about the state of int’l security in AI and wants to write on this topic, then my DMs are open.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
1 year
I won't go into why Bostrom's apology was inadequate b/c many, many people have already done so. If you haven't, I encourage you to seek these explanations out--the ppl who've done this time-consuming work have been extremely charitable with their time.
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@SarahShoker
Sarah Shoker
2 years
@dansukman @KevinLi26651602 How do you say 'no' to a democratic country that wants to join while also being pro self-determination? (Portugal, which you mention, now cites its involvement using value-based language centered on democracy, btw.)
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