Updated World Rugby rankings for today's Rugby Championship results.
South Africa retake the top spot in the rankings. That was quite a finish!
#RSAvNZL
#RugbyChampionship
We've done some analysis on the effects on cards in rugby matches, and based on last week this seems like a good moment to share a thread ...
#GuinnessSixNations
#RugbyUnited
Updated World Rugby Rankings for today's results.
Scotland up two places to 5th, England dropping behind the Scots for (I think) the first time ever in 6th.
Ireland consolidating their place at the top.
#GuinnessSixNations
#WALvIRE
#ENGvSCO
Wales avenge last week's defeat and take the victory 13 - 6.
This win will make them officially world no 1 when World Rugby update their rankings on Monday.
This is the 1st time New Zealand have not been top since 9th November 2009.
Congratulations Wales!
#rugby
#WALvENG
Just run the numbers on the Premiership news and can confirm that an automatic relegation means Saracens have very little chance of staying up.
#GallagherPrem
#Saracens
@TelegraphRugby
Somewhat sensationalist. Extrapolating to 9.53 assumes a flying start and no slowing due to fatigue. Usain Bolt's fastest speed during Berlin WR was 12.42m/s which, according the same logic would give a 100m time of 8.05 seconds.
@Scienceofsport
may find this amusing.
Updated World Rugby rankings for that result. Japan gaining 4 points and climbing above Scotland into 8th place.
Amazing result. Just great for the World Cup!
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
#JAPvIRE
Ireland beat Wales 19-10 in their final warm up game and, in doing so, will move to the top of the rankings for the first time when released by World Rugby on Monday.
They will hold this position into the Rugby World Cup. Congrats to them!
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#rankings
Updated results relative to the predictions for 'round' 1.
Believe me, I am as surprised as you are as to how well this is going.
No good can come of this. It will all end in tears I tell you.
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
Sometimes you don't need complicated statistical models to predict things. It's the simple things that often give the clearest picture ...
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#RWC2019
Good performance from Ireland, bouncing back from last weekend.
Wales will drop back down to 4th in the World Rankings with that defeat. Shows how close it is at the top. Excellent leading into the World Cup.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#WALvIRE
Based on our sample size of around 300 or so matches with cards in it, we found that a card 'costs' the home side around 0.14 points per minute, and the away side around double that, at 0.28 points per minute.
There's also good evidence to suggest that it is likely not be a linear relationship between time and points scored, with sides progressively losing more points the longer they play with reduced numbers.
#GuinnessSixNations
#RugbyUnited
Lots of movement today! The World Rankings updated for all of today's results.
Every team in the top 9 moving up or down. Remarkable.
#NZLvIRE
#AUSvENG
#RSAvWAL
#ARGvSCO
How the World Rugby rankings have moved based on yesterday's results. No changes in position, just consolidating for Ireland and Scotland in 1st and 5th respectively.
#GuinnessSixNations
#IREvFRA
#SCOvWAL
Anybody speak French?
Our interview with France’s premier sports paper about the Algorithm and France’s chances at the World Cup.
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
Serait-il possible de prévoir les vainqueurs des matches de la Coupe du monde 2019 ? Deux Britanniques ont créé un algorithme permettant de prévoir les scores exacts entre deux équipes et... c'est bluffant
Scotland thrash a sorry Argentina 15-44 to finish their summer series.
This is Scotland's heaviest ever away win over a Tier 1 nation, eclipsing their 23 point win over Ireland in 1984.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#rugbyfamily
#ARGvSCO
@RugbySco
Last weekend - England received a red card at 1 minute and played 79 minutes with 14 men.
As the home side we estimate that this might have cost them around 11 points (79 * 0.14 = 11.06).
This moved the prediction from the pre match of Ireland by 1, to Ireland by 12.
I say ‘Algo’. You say ‘rithm’.
Absolutely perfect prediction for New Zealand South Africa, continuing our incredible start to the tournament.
Stop the World Cup now.
#RugbyWorldCup
#NZLvRSA
We’ve done a little analysis on the effect that no crowds has had on rugby matches.
Below are the preliminary findings, will aim to get this written up properly, but let us know if you’ve any questions ...
#GallagherPrem
#RugbyUnited
Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the results v predictions for last weeks Gallagher Prem.
It's weeks like this that make all the hard work; all the late nights; all the blood, sweat and tears that have gone in completely and utterly worth it.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#GallagherPrem
What a match! Great for the hosts to cause an upset and boost their chances of qualification.
To put the result in context we gave Japan a 10% chance before the match. Congratulations to them! They were the better side and utterly deserving.
#JAPvIRE
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC19
The predictions for the next round of the World Cup, as well as the results from last weekend.
Looks fairly one sided this weekend! Big sides might be going for favourable points difference to bolster their chances of the QFs in the event of a pool tie.
#RWC2023
#RugbyWorldCup
Premiership Rugby returns! Welcome back old friend. Welcome back.
See below for the Algorithm’s take on what’s likely to happen. Look good? Bad? Let us know either way.
Enjoy it everyone.
#GallagherPrem
#RugbyUnited
Predictions ahead of this weekend's Six Nations matches, as well as the results from last.
The margin of Irish win over France has moved this weekend's SCO FRA from a narrow French win, to a narrow Scottish win. Tense.
#GuinnessSixNations
#SCOvFRA
#ENGvWAL
#IREvITA
Huge! Australia thrash a 14 man New Zealand to record a monumental win over the ABs.
This mean Wales go top of the World Rankings for the first time ever. To stay there they need to draw or beat England tomorrow in Twickenham. Massive game.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#AUSvNZL
Good day out there!
Uruguay put in the first upset of RWC, beating a strong Fiji side by 3.
Los Teros played with huge passion and heart, overturning the 3% chance that we gave them of victory before the game.
Congratulations to them!
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
#FIJvURU
Without offering an opinion on the Farrell tackle, I do always love the reduction in penalty for ‘remorse and exemplary behaviour’.
Who goes into a hearing and says ‘Yeah, I wish I’d hit them harder and higher.’
Updated forecasts for the Six Nations after week 1.
This is probably now one of the most even tournament we've had for many years now, with all sides bar Italy reasonably capable of finishing anywhere.
Very exciting position to be in after week 1!
#GuinnessSixNations
Huge win for the Irish, making good inroads into the All Blacks in the top spot. Another good 6 Nations could see them take the number 1 spot.
Scotland slip behind Australia again with their loss to South Africa.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#IREvNZL
@RugbyLAD7
@nickheathsport
The predictions ahead of the Men's Six Nations, kicking off on Saturday.
Whad'ya think?! I'm excited. That's for sure.
#RugbyUnited
#GuinnessSixNations
So a yellow card would cost a home side about 1.5 points, or half a penalty, with the away side around 3 points, or a full penalty.
Red cards are clearly more dependent on the time of the card, with cards earlier in the game costing the side more.
South Africa will return to the top of the rankings when updated tomorrow. New Zealand into second.
Needless to say the likely final between these two will decide the top spot.
#RWC2023
#FRAvRSA
HUGE MOVEMENTS IN THE RANKINGS
New Zealand will drop down the rankings to 3rd after that defeat, their joint lowest ever position with November 2003.
Argentina rise two places into 8th above Wales and Japan.
#RugbyChampionship
#NZLvARG
#RugbyUnited
Wales bring the first 'round' of the World Cup to a close with a 41-14 win over Georgia.
The predictions have been rather good, if we don't say so ourselves...
All future predictions are up on our website below.
#rugbyunited
#RWC2019
#RugbyWorldCup
Scotland are looking to record what would be only their 7th away win in Six Nations history.
If they do so they would go 3rd in the World Rankings.
See here for the details
#rugby
#sixnations
#IREvSCO
@RugbySco
Well, there you have it ladies and gentlemen.
Super Rugby. A clean sweep of the results.
I trust, given the balanced and fair nature of Twitterers, this tweet will get the same attention as the one where we got just 1 from 7.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#SuperRugby
Scotland start their 6N against Italy at home.
Given the likely outcomes this weekend, Scotland could top the 6N table outright after R1. We think this would be a first, at any stage of any competition.
Can anyone confirm otherwise?
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#SixNations
@RugbySco
The results relative to the predictions so far.
A pretty incredible start to the World Cup, including getting the New Zealand South Africa score completely perfect.
Long may it continue!
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
Having not really watched football for ages it's shocking (and quite irritating) the amount of chat back to the ref.
Rugby has its issues but one of them is rarely respect for the referee.
Well there we have it.
Just in case anyone was in any doubt, we'd like to confirm that this tournament is likely now between South Africa and New Zealand.
#RWC2023
#FRAvRSA
Fiji were many people's pick to cause an upset but perhaps not in this way...
Uruguay record a memorable win over the Islanders with a fantastic performance in Iwata City. They also hand the Algorithm its first incorrect prediction.
Congrats to them!
#RugbyWorldCup
#FIJvURU
In Rugby World Cup they've met 1 time previously, with Fiji winning that match by 47 to 15
The Algorithm has Fiji to win by 23
For more details on the match see
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#FIJvURU
#RugbyWorldCup
Japan will move into 7th in the World Rugby rankings when next released.
Top 8 sides into the quarter finals! Although it is a little 'self selecting' due to the way the rankings calculations work...
Still, incredible from Japan. Congrats!
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC19
#JPNvSCO
A few little updates and tweaks ahead of tomorrow's matches.
Realised there was something odd going on with some of the lower tiered teams, so have made a few fixes to those.
Fingers crossed tomorrow goes the same way as today...
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
Much was made last weekend of Wales' chance to top the rankings. It didn't come to pass, but all is not over for the Welsh...
The same is true this weekend. Should they beat England, they will go top, regardless of the result of NZ AUS.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#RWC2019
#WALvENG
The chances of qualification from that exciting pool A.
NOTE: this is does not account for typhoons. The Algorithm doesn't forecast the weather. We wish everyone in Japan a safe few days, and hope that we get a chance to see Japan v Scotland.
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
#JPNvSCO
It's worth pointing out that New Zealand have lost to Australia in every World Cup year since 1999 and haven't won't the Rugby Championship in a World Cup year since 2007.
There's clearly something in the fact that they are more beatable pre RWC in a World Cup year.
#AUSvNZL
The predictions ahead of this weekend's matches - each one pretty much on a knife edge.
It should be an absolutely fantastic weekend of rugby, I am so pumped!
Which way are you leaning on each match...?
#RWC2023
#RugbyWorldCup
Incredible scenes! Argentina record their first ever win over the All Blacks, running out 10 point victors on neutral territory in Sydney.
30 matches - 28 losses, 1 draw (in 1985) and finally, that 1 win.
#TheRugbyChampionship
#NZLvAUS
Japan have played 52 Tier 1 sides, and beaten 5 of them, the most memorable being their SA World Cup win in 2015 in Brighton. They have been getting closer to beating more T1 teams however, with recent years yielding many close matches.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#ENGvJAP
@T2Rugby
Updated rankings for today's (and yesterday's) results.
- SA big movers with their huge win yesterday
- Fiji highest ever in 7th, could go 6 if Aus lose
- England down 2 places to 8 with their loss.
- Italy climbing above Japan also.
#ENGvFIJ
#RSAvNZL
#SCOvGEO
#IREvSAM
Also would like to clarify the current world rankings. It looks like the Japan v Tonga match was (correctly) called a home match for Japan, and therefore they currently sit in 11th.
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#rankings
The predictions ahead of the Gallagher Prem this weekend, as well as the results from last.
Not too bad last week! Fingers crossed this one...
#GallagherPrem
Well I think we have a winner in the 'Most Butchered National Anthem' category.
Flower of Scotland has been well and truly massacred there. May it rest in peace.
#ARGvSCO
The prediction for the Pro14 final. A tight one, but Glasgow to win.
However, given it is held in Glasgow, the home ad is questionable.
So we've run it twice, once as a neutral game and once as a Glasgow home game. Make up your own mind!
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#GuinnessPro14
A bit of a Six Nations preview for you all in early Jan.
All the match predictions, team analysis, and overall projections for the tournament on one handy dashboard.
Let us know any thoughts or additions - enjoy!
#GuinnessSixNations
The predictions ahead of the Heineken Cup matches this weekend.
At the time of writing, Scarlets had forfeited their match against Bristol, giving the Bears a 28-0 w/o.
#HeinekenChampionsCup
The predictions ahead of the final weekend of the summer tours, as well as the results from last.
Some big upsets last weekend, what's the thoughts ahead of the deciders...?
#SummerTours
#NZLvIRE
#AUSvENG
#RSAvWAL
#ARGvSCO
Updated World rankings for yesterday's results.
South Africa back to World number 1 with their win over Scotland and New Zealand's loss to Ireland. England also climbing with their win over Australia.
#AutumnNationsSeries
#IREvNZL
#ENGvAUS
#SCOvRSA
The results from today relative to the predictions made by the Algorithm.
Let down somewhat by North America, I don’t think anyone can deny they both collectively left some points out there, especially Canada...
#RugbyWorldCup
#RWC2019
#ENGvUSA
#ITAvCAN
The predictions ahead of the Champions Cup matches this weekend, as well as the results from last weekend.
10 from 12 - a good one! Thoughts ahead of this weekend?
#HeinekenChampionsCup
The predictions ahead of this weekend's 6N matches.
What you were expecting...? A surprise for us certainly.
The Algo picking out Scotland's poor form in Cardiff historically, and France-Ireland-Paris nail biters.
Both are basically 50:50s. Exciting!
#GuinnessSixNations
Only one sleep to go! Just one more sleep. So exciting!
The predictions for the first weekend of World Cup rugby.
Thoughts?
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#RWC2019
How the world rankings will look come Monday.
Given there is a little doubt over the status of the Japan match I've run it as both a neutral and a home game.
If it's a neutral game, Japan will break into the top 10 - huge!
#rugby
#rugbyunited
#rankings
#PacificNationsCup