Exciting new book series: Exeter Strategic and Security Studies
Publishes titles on traditional topics of war and statecraft and more recent dimensions of international security
Editor: Me!
DM to propose a title if interested
And please RETWEET to proliferate
@PatPorter76
Something in there too about technological development accelerating at an unprecedented rate with profound consequences for humankind and world politics.
“Scholars overestimate the capability of autonomous drone swarms. They underestimate their dependence on other weapon systems. Finally, they presume that autonomous weapons will favour the offence. This paper rejects all three claims.”
My 'higher ups' have rather imprudently promoted me to Associate Professor.
Thanks to all those whose coattails I have ridden. You know who you are (esp.
@cannon_brendon
)
Interested in how military robots are shaping war today and tomorrow?
New for 2024 (you’d be forgiven for thinking this Lynne Rienner book cover is from the 1960s).
At 50% off for a limited period/
Safely arrived from Colorado. A little present for a February Monday morning.
Shame I couldn’t open this with Peter Layton who is inconveniently in Queensland.
A little deviation from my usual line of effort, but fun to write all the same. And great to be in Armed Forces & Society, an outlet I’ve admired for yonks.
-
#IndianAirForce
Chief: India is actively pursuing acquisition of ISTAR, a high-tech ground surveillance aircraft and battlefield support system
-
#India
is going to buy 5 Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) aircraft at $3 bn
Pic: LiveFist
Huge thanks to the folks at
@UCalgary
’s Center for Military, Security, and Strategic Studies (
@CMSSCalgary
) for hosting my talk on robots and war yesterday.
Very appreciative for the lively attendance for a July event.
Far too often morality is judged according to the ‘goodness’ of motives and original aims, almost without regard to the outcomes. Eloquent case here to situate morality in the ends. Obtaining a decent peace is highest moral imperative we can pursue.
There’s a lot of high dudgeon these days. But moralism ≠ moral.
A moral foreign policy is one that meets its core responsibilities. Neglecting that is not only imprudent. It’s immoral.
Why do some emerging military technologies generate hype? And so what if they do? Is hype necessarily a bad thing?
A punt at some answers to these questions in my latest paper in International Relations here:
@redunley
“A person standing alone can be attacked and defeated, but two can stand back-to-back and conquer. Three are even better, for a triple-braided cord is not easily broken.” - Ecclesiastes 4:9-12
#Quad
🇮🇳🇦🇺🇯🇵🇺🇸 leaders announce new “Quad Partnership for Cable Connectivity and Reslience”
More to follow from on how this initiative might strengthen cable systems in the Indo-Pacific.
I'm obsessed with protecting Americans' long-term interests, which demands preventing China from dominating Asia. That leads me to laser-focus on Taiwan. Positions that seem balanced or moderate now will seem foolish, lethargic, and indeed irresponsible if China decides to move.
@salisbot
@BDHerzinger
Bahahaha.
For “consistency” how about a trip to State Duma members to push for negotiations to bring about peace.
It’s so obvious that peace is an inherent good. Why can’t everyone just get along?
Tonight I am toasting to World Peace.
We must stay in Vietnam so the Soviets do not get emboldened!!!
How about fixing the deteriorating military balance in Europe instead?
Same logic applies today.
Make 2024 a great year by turning that big idea into a book proposal for this exciting series.
Follow the link for more information:
Please repost for colleagues!
!!!New Book Series in Strategic and Security Studies! See blurb about series in link below and earlier tweet.
RETWEETS to disseminate will be hugely appreciated.
Exciting new book series: Exeter Strategic and Security Studies
Publishes titles on traditional topics of war and statecraft and more recent dimensions of international security
Editor: Me!
DM to propose a title if interested
And please RETWEET to proliferate
Thought here about the link between common weapons within an alliance and the ability, when needs arise, for the alliance to transfer same weapon type to support others outside alliance. Avoids menagerie arsenal for receiver and spreads depleted stocks across alliance members.
Sharing the burden of supplying vehicles to 🇺🇦 beteen many countries s better than isolated do it alone. The
#Leopard2
tank is used by 13 🇪🇺 nations. It is the logical choice to equip 🇺🇦.
👇
@jana_puglierin
@_RafaelLoss
& my idea 4 a 🇪🇺 Leopard initiative
@ElbridgeColby
@bf_morris
In Honolulu now. These words are correct:
“Commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) Admiral John Aquilino testified this year that trends in the Indo-Pacific are going “in the wrong direction.”
Mammoth effort by
@jppjagannath1
to get some many great titles under this series. Good job! Delighted to have had the opportunity to publish a book with
@cannon_brendon
with the series:
Post 3-Years, with immense Pride & Satisfaction: “
#Routledge
Studies on Think Asia” has emerged stronger, a preferred publishing series on security & strategic affairs covering
#Asia
,
#IndoPacific
&
#WorldAffairs
. Look for some finest publications here:
With
@Mauro_Gilli
on this one. Superb primer by Bryan Clark on the
#EW
move-countermove cycle in
#UkraineRussiaWar
since Feb and long before. And one of the most readable
@IEEESpectrum
pieces I have read. Great job.
Sorry Bridge (
@ElbridgeColby
). My earlier remarks were an attempt at sarcasm. My only defense is that it is a reaction to having been force fed a unpalatable diet of futurist claims that malware is the artillery of today and tomorrow. All the usual caveats that cyber is important
Publication day is finally here! And while I’m massively excited that my first book is out, I also hope it raises awareness about the long history (& shortfalls) of precision weapons & the story behind how drones have come to dominate contemporary warfare:
Felicitations to
@cannon_brendon
& Kei Hakata on the publication of their tidy+timely book, Indo-Pacific Strategies. Personally delighted (as one of the band of contributors) the book's forward is inked by former PM
@AbeShinzo
.
Everything is new under the sun, apparently. Massive proclivity in commentariat to make all things revolutionary and never seen before. Good job by some (
@alessionaval
in particular) to provide an antidote to this latest round of hype.
'Now the war in Ukraine has made unmanned [vessels] an integral part of naval warfare'. Francis Drake, and many before him, feeling very much robbed right now. The lack of historicity in the naval profession is not unknown, but remains breathtaking.
Some analysts separate intent from capability, gauging them independently, often privileging the former over the latter. In my mind, capabilities, especially rapidly changing capabilities, are often one of the best indicators of intent.
No one can know the future. But China is clearly building a military distant power projection - aircraft carriers, overseas bases, space, etc. That’s the most concrete indicator of what they will do in the future.
Nice
@cannon_brendon
+ Kei Hakata! Includes my little foray into Geopolitics. Indebted to
@blagden_david
's plucky 2011 correspondence in
@Journal_IS
on distinctions between great power unit type. Would recommend the short piece to anyone who'd listen to me. That's not many, alas.
With any publication cycle, weeks-old recommendations overtaken by events. Many of options put forward arguably still hold up, esp as grounded in historical precedence. Great work by my co-authors
@DevoreMarc
&
@TotalMilHistory
& a little dabbling by me.
"A big generational leap in the field of missiles."
Iran making big claims about the Fattah missile today. No small dose of hype about its new hypersonic.
When Lincoln was a boy he fell into
@knobcreek
when he and his friend Austin Gollaher were climbing across a fallen tree to chase partridges on the other side of the water. Austin later recalled: "Abe went about half-way across, when he got scared and began trembling. I hollered
How did Britain protect Eastern Arabia in
#WWII
from
#Axis
bombers, submarines and sabotage missions?
Find out in my War in History article w Athol Yates here:
Great start to the day when you find this duo (
@LRB
+
@Journal_IS
) plonked on your desk. Trying hard not to dive straight into Brendan Rittenhouse Green and
@ProfTalmadge
’s piece on military implications of
#China
taking control of
#Taiwan
Our new finding aid covers the records of the British Political Agency,
#Kuwait
, from 1904 to 1949, an important period in the
#history
of the country and the wider region
Some say Taiwan is indefensible: I think that's wrong.
Some say defending Taiwan can be done without dramatic changes: I think that's wrong.
We can defend Taiwan, but it requires laser focus and fundamental change.
It was an honour to serve as Specialist Adviser for this. It’s ended-up as a very substantial review of UK military capability and strategic position, touching on issues of technology vs mass, nuclear posture, Euro-Atlantic vs Indo-Pacific, innovation, resources, and more. A 🧵…
The first
#Ukrainian
anti-submarine corvette of ADA class "Hetman Ivan Mazepa" was launched in
#Turkey
The ship equipped with a modern combat control system, navigation, sonar and electronic warfare systems, there is a hangar for a helicopter.
On the UK Strategic Defence Review’s ‘External Reviewer’ model…
Heartened by
@FTusa284
’s optimism, but there are two key risks to this approach that need mitigating:
1. The peril of groupthink, and
2. The very notion of outsourced ‘Reviewers’
To tackle the latter first…
1/23
Who were the five largest arms importers in 2019–23?
1) India 🇮🇳
2) Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
3) Qatar 🇶🇦
4) Ukraine 🇺🇦
5) Pakistan 🇵🇰
Together, they received 35% of total global arms imports in 2019–23. New SIPRI data on global
#ArmsTransfers
out now ➡️
@ElbridgeColby
There is much to be explored in the idea that capabilities are an indicator of intent. For too long we have treated them as separate measurements of threat. But the choice to acquire and develop certain capabilities surely betrays intent.
“if someone prevents just a couple of ships from carrying our refined petroleum needs into our ports, Australia will shut down very fast indeed. The pain in our economy from expensive petrol would be nothing compared with the pain of having no petrol.”
If you don't want to take it from me, how about from 👇
"Should a conflict simultaneously break out with China in Asia and Russia in Europe, the US may not be able to deploy adequate reinforcements to Europe. European allies need to be able to pick up the slack." 1/
MIT Tech Review's attempt to look for promising technologies poised to have a real impact in 2024.
Looking back at past prognostications of 'breakthrough' technologies shows the severe limits of gauging future pace tech will mature (and find end-users).