WOW! Rest of this month shows potentially 5-8 inch totals parts of Paraguay, C South Brazil and even over C Argentina! Stay tuned. Big time soaking (not for all) across Brazil, Argentina and portions of Uruguay and Paraguay the next 2 weeks!
Mother Nature taketh and giveth. The next 16 days across Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and S Brazil. Glorious at times flooding rainfall. Stay tuned. Lets see if modeling stays consistent. Never in stone but nice to see this from the models! Can’t rain everywhere so pick your spot
Not only in S Plains of the U.S. but drought country in Argentina to see glorious rainfall end of this month. 16 day output for Argentina is delightful. Ahh….Mother Nature!
How dry Brazil, how wet Argentina? All eyes soon on S America as Argentina crops rebound and Brazil "issues" seen. Potentially. NMME seasonal anomalies for heart of growing season precipitation over S. America.
Some damage suspected. They can’t catch a break across key Argentine crop regions. Coldest field temps sub-freezing. 0 to -2C for isolated coldest spots Saturday morning.
Important rains Buenos Aires, Uruguay and portions of Entire Rios of .50+ inches week
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? Days 8-15 from now? Note much less Central Argentina of 0-.45 inches next 16 days. Hopefully fills in better than this. More for S Brazil. Plenty!
Rio Grande do Sul and S Brazil/Paraguay from today’s global output has some large accumulations mainly week
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into start of November. WOW! La Niña or not!
La Nina is coming...like it or not! Arrives from some consistent modeling with 62% liklihood (NOAA CPC recently) June onward. How strong is the question and as it often has an effect on Atlantic Hurricanes the question also becomes how tough an Atlantic Hurricane season?
New modeling has some glorious downpours of 1-3+ inches for parts of Argentina. 25% miss out over much of the action over the next 2 days. Another freeze on the way?
Are we starting to see a shift in the intensity of zone 3.4 cooling this Summer from CFSv2 members? Note blue lines and "latest 8 forecast members). La Nina....? Hmmm...
This map keeps sticking in my mind. A week ago….Large areas of Argentine vegetation in tough shape compared to last year particularly and Center-west Brazil too! Hmmm.
Will this happen or not? Today until mid-month across South America. Soaking (2 systems a week from now?) across C Argentina. Plenty into SE Brazil too.
How bad the 3 month precip drought in Argentina. Now, this weekend record cold event of modern times for February hit. Dry ground more susceptible to cold may have accentuated radiational cooling too. What a growing season in summary and for some a long way to go yet. Stay tuned.
Flooding rains into C Argentina with rains 8+ days from now into S Brazil/Paraguay. Rains slow to show as the action stays confined to Argentina. Stay tuned amazing turn around in moisture fortune for Argentina starting late Saturday and lasting more than 10 days!
Damage done in Argentina! Too late for many there and not in stone for next 2 weeks (latest global forecast this morning). Recovery for S Brazil and Paraguay? Rio Grande do Sul the big winner? N Argentina the big winner? Stay tuned but damage done. Too late and still too little?