Naveen Patnaik resigns as CM.
I think whoever is new BJP CM of OD should go first to meet Naveen and seek his blessings.🙏
Naveen is a legend. One of the most respect-worthy leaders of India.
Radha Niranjani, princess of the Pudukottai Royal family, has joined BJP.
Her mother had got 10% voteshare as AMMK candidate in 2019 in Tiruchirappalli.
Extraordinary rise of Annamalai. Less than 3 years in TN Politics, taking part in decision making over KN State alongside stalwarts like BSY, CM Bommai, Fadnavis. Not to mention the big three at the head of the table.
Quite unprecedented in India.
Shahpur Kandi barrage completed. Ravi river water will now no longer flow into Pak. Water to be used for irrigation of J&K and Punjab.
29 year old project held up for over 2 decades till 2018 finally completed.
Shocking trends from as yet incomplete SSN survey in Namakkal LS.
BJP nearly 20% so far.😲 Gaining H votes mostly at ADMK's expense.
DMK meanwhile beginning to lose minority votes to ADMK and NTK.
Both good trends for BJP.
4 more Regional Parties want to join NDA. All 4 very high profile and have been ruling Parties in their States.
BJP not particularly keen on any of them as of now because of various levels of baggage.
Journo Mani blames INC for Modi wave.
Says INC did nothing for people for 60 years. Basic services for people are being fulfilled by Modi now. That is why Modi is so popular.
Nonsense seat sharing by BJP in BH ...
BJP 17
JDU 16
LJP 5
HAM 1
RLM 1
So in 2025 again Nitish as NDA CM. And in 2027 Nitish as MGB CM.
BH is in a time loop.
Terrific team now in place for TN BJP ...
1> 4 effective MLAs.
2> Nainar Nagendran as Assembly leader.
3> L Murugan as Central MoS.
4> K Annamalai as State Prez
Plus interesting developments in Puducherry.
Complete sea-change from just 2 years ago.
Ageing is always terrifying. Sad to see recent videos of Naveen Patnaik.
I always remember him as the charismatic, gentlemanly leader who suddenly emerged in the late 90s. Perfect complement to ABV as part of Odisha NDA.
An iconic era of a quarter century maybe nearing the end.
Considering the way elections in WB are ...
TMC on backfoot.
BJP creditable performance against heavy odds. All credit to workers and leaders. A fighting unit.
INC, Left gaining M votes from TMC.
If M splits, it is very good for BJP, but I feel 2024 will be polarised TMC v/s BJP.
Finally cvoter also giving BJP 15.3% in TN.👍
I thought they would conservatively give less than 10%.
India Today gives Annamalai credit for sharp rise in BJP. Says he is becoming "cult figure".
No idea how relevant an indicator this is, but BJP has won all 25 seats in Mumbai Co-op Housing Federation Election.
It covers 22,000 co-op housing societies of whom 3500 can vote.
May or may not reflect BJP's support in Mumbai Middle Class.
The Fadnavis era takes a break as he resigns as CM. One of those rare occasions when a CM got re-elected by voters, but still couldn't be CM.
A big Thank You for all he has done for MH, & hoping for a quick return.
Demography is Destiny.
BJP creates history. First Party to win 3 successive 5-yr terms in HN.
Urbanized HN is one of the demographically best States for BJP. Even Dominant Castes will move in BJP's favor as Urbanization expands.
Those caste equations changed over 6.5 years. And BJP base in HN is still of recent origin.
But the one thing heavily in BJP's favor is urbanization of HN.
Good chance of Dominant caste voters moving to BJP over time, once current reaction is over.
Well, OP Choudhary gets the most important Finance Ministry along with Commercial Tax, Housing, Environment and Planning-Economics-Statistics departments.👍
As per a pollster who got the wild swings of TG correct over past 2 years ...
For LS 2024, INC v/s BJP polarisation has already begun.
INC gaining votes and seats.
BJP gaining votes but not seats.
BRS falling to 3rd place in most seats.
Early days but trend will likely solidify.
The current round of State Elections used to be one in which BJP could be ignored ... non-player in 4 States & erratic 3rd force in Assam.
Now it is a dominant force in 2 States with a potential breakthrough in a 3rd.
Shows how much BJP's electoral frontier has expanded.
BJP PB chief Sunil Jakhar makes it clear that BJP will no longer be "junior". He says alliance with SAD was made in 90s due to situation then.
Now "Punjab is ours".
Hopefully BJP leaders will either politely welcome Vijay into politics, like Annamalai has done.
Or keep quiet.
BJP's fight with Vijay will be in 2026. Not in 2024.
Yogi ends 100 year vanvaas of Vantangiya community. For the first time Govt services reach them ... electricity, water, welfare.
Even before becoming CM, Yogi had begun work and kept away Naxalites from the area. His Hindu Vidya Peeth manages education.
Many, even among non BJP supporters, now saying BJP will win 25+ LS seats in WB.🔥
Let us see. Seeing mahaul it is possible. But depends on election day confidence among voters.
As per a pollster who got the wild swings of TG correct over past 2 years ...
For LS 2024, INC v/s BJP polarisation has already begun.
INC gaining votes and seats.
BJP gaining votes but not seats.
BRS falling to 3rd place in most seats.
Early days but trend will likely solidify.
All speculations end.
BJP announces that it will fight all 13 PB LS seats.
SAD says alliance with BSP to continue.
INC, AAP to have alliance only in Chandigarh.
So PB heading for 4-cornered contest.👍
SSN survey ... Dharmapuri rural ...
DMK+ 40%
ADMK 22%
PMK 18%
DMDK 8%
NTK 6%
BJP 5%
BJP was literally NOTA Party in these rural areas. 5% if true is pretty good.
As per these figures, if PMK gets full vote transfer from ADMK ... would be close contest.
Circle of Time ...
2001 - TMC broke alliance with BJP as BJP would be a burden in it's fight against CPM. It instead allies with INC.
2021 - CPM & INC are gone and TMC is set to lose to BJP.
Seems final stages of alliance formation ...
OPS demands TN declare holiday on Jan 22nd.
TTV re-iterates nothing wrong in allying with BJP. Says DMK will be taught a lesson.
As per a media report .. BJP Central leadership sets path forward for BJP TN ..
1> Annamalai to be given extension till 2026
2> NDA to be expanded without including ADMK
3> Having grown from 6th to 3rd place, next target to go past 2nd place ADMK in voteshare
Journo Mani has written off DMK. While he says DMK+ may still sweep LS 2024, he feels DMK is now ever more toxic for INDI alliance outside TN. Modi will use DMK as a punching bag.
And that in 2026 election there will be massive anger among people against DMK in TN itself.
In WB, BJP workers and leaders put their lives on the line to fight it out.
In PB, BJP fights every single bypoll seriously as a stepping stone.
In TN, all Annamalai wanted to do was fight one bypoll. And for even that he was disallowed by others.
Rahul Narvekar has resuscitated his career. Had moved from SS to NCP, lost the election and seemingly headed nowhere.
Then joined BJP, became MLA, and now all set to become Speaker.
Family-wise well connected. Now may have bright future as he is still young.
Does not look like BJP wants SAD alliance. Spokesperson said BJP will win all 13 seats in PB.
And more leaders from other Parties including SAD, and former bureaucrats joined BJP.
BJP continues to be aggressive in PB, appoints Sunil Jakhar as new State Prez.
Whatever the result may be, BJP is batting on front foot. That is to be appreciated.
BJP PB officially passes resolution for contesting all 13 LS seats in 2024. Says no to alliance.
Welcomes increase in voteshare in Jalandhar bypoll and lead in 2 segments. LS 2024 equations will be even more favorable compared to a bypoll.
Says sensitive PB needs BJP for harmony.
Pradip Gupta again gives cryptic message on KN ...
1> No info that INC is ahead.
2> Last 8 of 10 verdicts have been pro-incumbency.
3> Corruption an issue only if it directly affects people.
4> BJP never won majority but led in 170 in 2019 due to Modi.
4> Full majority likely.
Revanth Reddy's remarks against Stalin junior are not going to help INC in 2024.
But it may be a signal that INC is beginning process of examining other options for 2026.
End of the Khattar era. He now will move to LS.
HN politics has been about the "Lals".
Manohar Lal was the only Lal who actually got re-elected though.
The other Lals lost as incumbents.
Manohar Lal is the "Lal of the Lals".
TN is not on Mars planet. TN is an Indian State. It has same voting patterns as other States. When the underlying ecosystems shift, Parties get replaced.
Just like in WB, TG, AP etc.
Shocking trends in betting markets for BMC election...
BJP 120
SS 35
MNS 18
This would be a meltdown for SS. While this scale of victory for BJP could happen in an Assembly election, can BJP ensure middle class turnout for a municipality poll?
@srijiyogesh
@BryanDeanWright
It is possible. I'm in general agreement that it could work.
I'm also in very strong agreement that US soldiers have been in the past unnecessarily used as cannon fodder at great risk to life & limb.
Rangaraj Pande has become more positive about BJP chances in TN.
He seems to be hinting that BJP could overtake ADMK and may win a few seats.
Earlier his target was BJP overtaking NTK.