YSR congress party appears to be peaking at the right moment, with a Rejuvenated cadre. The Siddham campaign is a great success. The TDPs momentum which peaked early in late December appears to have weakened as a result of the indecisiveness with the alliance. TDP cadre, who were
Anantapur Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 5/7 constituencies from Anantapur PC
- TDP will retain the Uravakonda seat
- A tough contest will be seen in Rayadurg constituency between the major parties
#Anantapur
#Singanamala
#Kalyandurg
#Guntakal
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is doing extremely well in Telangana. Our latest data indicates that the BJP may become the single largest party in vote share and seat share in the upcoming Lok sabha elections
#LokSabha2024
#BJP
#Telangana
#Elections2024
Prashant Kishor, what have you become?
A renowed political strategist giving interview for a small YouTube media channel run by a pro-TDP anchor only highlights 2 things:
- The desperation levels of him & TDP clearly indicate they are losing big and trying to manipulate voters
Hindupur Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 5/7 constituencies from Hindupur PC
- TDP will retain the Hindupur Assembly Constituency
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP & YSRCP parties in Penukonda
#Raptadu
#Madakasira
#Hindupur
#Penukonda
Janasena party to contest in 24 Assembly and 3 parliament seats as part of alliance with TDP
Vote transfer is not going to happen on ground
#Andhraelections2024
#TDPJanasena
From our qualitative and quantitative studies, we understand that there are only 2 types of voters in Andhra Pradesh
1. Pro Jagan
2. Anti Jagan
Election result will be based on above 2 factors and nothing else
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
#AndhraPradeshElections2024
Key observations on TDP-JSP- BJP alliance in Andhra Pradesh
- In 2014, there was observable Modi euphoria, CBN was seen as experienced administrator needed for new state & Pavan Kalyan had significant pull in the Young Kapu community voters
- However, Public were let down by
Eluru Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
* YSRCP is winning 4/7 constituencies from Eluru PC
* TDP is winning Eluru Assembly Constituency
* A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Kaikalur & Ungutur Constituencies
#Eluru
#Polavaram
Tuni Assembly
YSRCP - 48%
TDP alliance - 42%
Survey conducted in Dec 2nd week. We have assumed TDP will contest the seat in the alliance
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
Nellore Rural
YSRCP - 49.5%
TDP alliance - 44%
Note: We have assumed TDP to contest seat in the alliance. Survey was conducted in Dec 2nd week
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
AP update
We have finished our survey in 57 constituencies across the state and below are our findings
YSRCP - 49.6%
TDP - 38.7%
JSP - 8.2%
YSRCP - 34 seats
TDP & JSP alliance - 23 seats
Below is the count of assembly constituencies we surveyed across AP by Lok Sabha
Rajahmundry Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
• YSRCP is winning 5/7 constituencies from Rajahmundry PC
• TDP alliance is winning Rajahmundry City AC
• A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Rajahmundry Rural constituency
Raptadu Assembly
YSRCP - 49%
TDP alliance - 47%
Note: We have assumed TDP to contest in alliance in the seat and survey was conducted in December 2nd week
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
Achanta Assembly
YSRCP - 48.9%
TDP alliance - 45.7%
Note: We have assumed TDP to contest in alliance and survey was conducted in Dec 3rd week
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
Narsaraopeta Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 4/7 constituencies from Narasaraopeta PC
- TDP alliance is winning Chilakaluripeta Assembly Constituency
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Pedakurapadu & Sattenapalli
Chittoor Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
• YSRCP is winning 5/7 constituencies from Chittoor PC
• TDP alliance is winning Kuppam AC
• A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Nagari constituency
#Chittoor
#GDNellore
#Kuppam
#Nagari
Srikakulam Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 4/7 constituencies from Srikakulam PC
- TDP alliance is winning Tekkali & Icchapuram Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Amadalavalasa Constituency
TDP has committed a Himalayan blunder dealing with the volunteer system & pension distribution
- TDPs wavering stand on Volunteer system from abolishment to increasing their salary, didn't fetch them any support & added to their lack of credibility
- Old age pensioners are
Machilipatnam Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 3/7 constituencies from Machilipatnam PC
- TDP alliance is winning Penamaluru & Pedana ACs
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Machilipatnam & Avanigadda constituencies
Chandrababu Naidu's Experience: Insufficient to avert miswords like "Tipper Driver"
Comments from the TDP chief towards the YSRCP candidate during elections may not resonate positively with the public, especially considering the YSRCP's emphasis on 'Class War'.
Such remarks
Guntur Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- TDP alliance is winning 4/7 constituencies from Guntur PC
- YSRCP is winning Guntur East & Guntur West ACs
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Tenali AC
#Guntur
#Ponnur
#GunturEast
Chodavaram Assembly
YSRCP - 48.7%
TDP alliance - 42.8%
Note: We have considered TDP to contest in alliance, survey was conducted in Dec 2nd week, hearing rumours of YSRCP changing candidate here
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
Vijayawada Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 3/7 Constituencies from Vijayawada PC
- TDP alliance is winning Vijayawada Central & Mylavaram ACs
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Vijayawada East & Nandigama
Anakapalli Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning 3/7 constituencies from Anakapalli PC
- JSP is winning Anakapalli & Pendurthi Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Yelamanchili & Chodavarm
Kakinada Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- YSRCP is winning Tuni & Prathipadu Assembly Constituencies
- TDP alliance is winning Pithapuram & Jaggampeta ACs
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Kakinada City, Kakinada Rural &
Telangana State: Pre-poll prediction
- BJP & INC are winning 4 Parliament Constituencies each (out of 17) in the State
- BJP is leading with an edge (margin of 2-5%) in 3 PCs
- INC is leading with an edge (margin of 2-5%) in 3 PCs
- AIMIM will retain the Hyderabad Constituency
Bapatla Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- TDP alliance is winning 3/7 constituencies from Bapatla PC
- YSRCP is winning Bapatla & Chirala Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Santhanuthalapadu & Vemuru
Hello Patrons,
We apologize for going completely wrong in predicting Andhra Pradesh Assembly results,
we have conducted a thorough post election analysis & identified the areas we've gone wrong
Improving on the mistakes , we have upgraded our predictive modelling technique
- BJP joining the TDP-JSP alliance is helping YSRCP to further consolidate voter sections
- In Godavari districts alone, YSRCP is winning an upwards of 16 upto 20 Assembly seats & a minimum of 3 Loksabha Seats (3/3)
Breaking News
BRS Party wins Mahabubnagar MLC. This is quite shocking and can have a significant impact on Telangana politics in coming days since Telangana CM Revanth Reddy hails from the same district
#Telangana
#MLC
Major observations:
- YSR Congress Party has taken a decisive lead over opposition in the last 2 weeks. Contrary to expectations, the delay in election date has helped YSRCP gain momentum on ground
- Women voters; especially in rural areas are going to vote en masse for YSRCP
- Opposition's wavering stand on Volunteer system & welfare schemes have added credibility and strength to YSRCP
- YSRCP has significantly gained vote bank in the BC community, especially among the lower income groups (2/3)
Amalapuram Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- TDP alliance is winning 3/7 Constituencies from Amalapuram PC
- YSRCP is winning P.Gannavaram & Ramachandrapuram Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Amalapuram &
Narasapuram Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- TDP alliance is winning 3/7 constituencies from Narasapuram PC
- YSRCP Party is winning Achanta & Tadepalligudem Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in Bhimavaram &
Visakhapatnam Parliament Constituency: Pre-poll prediction
- TDP alliance is winning 4/7 Constituencies from Visakhapatnam PC
- YSRCP is winning Srungavarapukota & Visakhapatnam North Assembly Constituencies
- A tough contest will be seen between TDP alliance & YSRCP party in
Prathipadu Assembly (East Godavari)
YSRCP : 44
TDP alliance: 48
Note: We are hearing YSRCP could change candidate here. His approval rating is low, we will again redo the survey later. We have assumed TDP to contest here in alliance
#AndhraPadesh
#YSRCP
#TDP
#Janasena
Big Breaking:
BJP, JSP & TDP are inching towards the alliance & official announcement is expected by this Sankranthi
As per the reports,
- BJP to contest in 6 & Janasena to contest in 2 Loksabha Seats and
- BJP to contest in 10 & Janasena to contest in 25 Assembly Seats