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Andrew Percival Profile
Andrew Percival

@PDawg206

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College Football #MetricsConsensus #CFBSchedules #CFBMatchMaker #CFBPicker #CoachEvaluation #CFBTV #NFLCensus #SouthernDominanceDay #StayAt4 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇺🇦

Seattle, WA
Joined April 2012
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
6 months
2023 #CFBPicker final results I made an index averaging the ordinal ranks of 31 tracked full-season models. @BlakeTAtkinson was best, finishing top 5 in all 9 KPIs, top 3 in 8 of 9. @ESPN_BillC 's SP+ was best among models w/ no knowledge of line movement & injuries. 1/6
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Andrew Percival
10 months
On a week where a lot of prominent coaches acted like clowns, I'm so proud that this guy is running the Washington progrum.
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Andrew Percival
7 months
The Heisman should not be any more complicated than... (1) How many games did LSU win? (2) How many does LSU win with a replacement level portal QB? (3) How many games did Washington win? (4) How many does Washington win with a replacement level portal QB? #Penix4Heisman
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Andrew Percival
2 years
2022 Final #MetricsConsensus , Conferences 1 SEC 1.03 2 Big 12 0.84 3 Big Ten 0.64 4 Pac-12 0.38 5 ACC 0.28 6 AAC -0.13 7 Sun Belt -0.46 8 CUSA -0.75 9 MWC -0.77 10 MAC -0.93
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Andrew Percival
2 years
Congratulations to the 2022 final AP #8 Washington Huskies.
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Stats are for losers. Losers of 3 games. #Penix4Heisman
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Andrew Percival
8 months
I love this man, and all UW fans should as well. ✅️ Awesome player who helped give Washington our beloved Rose Bowl win in 2000 ✅️ Excellent coordinator for Washington in some special years ✅️ One of the best coaches in America
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Andrew Percival
8 months
In 13 years of Pac-12 football, for one of CFB's great bluebloods 1 conference title 1 conference destroyed #FightOn
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Andrew Percival
8 months
I am ECSTATIC that Washington is the final Pac-12 champion. Oregon fans have less love & respect for the conference that gave them 100 years of major CFB than Washington fans. Before Nike. Before they were the 2nd best program in CFB from 2007-2014*. New money is dumb money.
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Andrew Percival
11 months
I am confident that the avg WSU student cares more about WSU athletics than the avg UW student cares about UW athletics. That's not an indictment of UW, just a reflection of how different the institutions are. I'm not impressed by the behavior (lack of empathy) of UW/UO fans.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
Best team in the Pac-12 2015 : Stanford 2016 : Washington 2017 : Washington 2018 : Washington 2019 : Oregon 2021 : Utah Oregon really didn't have a multi-year reign over anything. 2020 a complete throw out in the Pac-12.
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Andrew Percival
2 years
Kyle Whittingham just said what I've heard him say before. I love how he leans into this. "We're the most diverse team in America. We're almost exactly one-third Caucasian, one-third African American, one-third Polynesian." #NFLCensus
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Andrew Percival
5 years
The top 4 teams in all 8 metrics in the #MetricsConsensus are some order of Clemson LSU Ohio State Alabama All 8, unanimous. And the same is true of @beta_rank_fb .
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Andrew Percival
6 months
Chills
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Andrew Percival
4 years
Let's compare how 2016 Washington and 2020 Notre Dame handled the Alabama juggernaut on CFB's biggest stage. Pictures taken 2 seconds apart on the game clock. Will forever be proud of how that Washington team competed that day. They belonged.
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Andrew Percival
8 months
FUCK THE METRICS!
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Andrew Percival
6 months
Still surreal.
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Washington is 120 minutes away from a NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Jayden Daniels plays recess ball. Michael Penix fires rockets with precision and accuracy. #Penix4Heisman
@UW_Football
Washington Football
7 months
Todays the Day 🏆 Let’s go 9️⃣🏹 #Penix4Heisman x @themikepenix
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Andrew Percival
7 months
The iconic St. Louis Cathedral The iconic gold Washington helmet and the weasel
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Andrew Percival
7 months
This might be the best video they've ever done, wow.
@UW_Football
Washington Football
7 months
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Andrew Percival
10 months
YESSS Washington receives it's first 1st Place vote in the @AP Poll since 1997. An incredible accomplishment. CC: @ralphDrussoAP
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Andrew Percival
8 months
For months, @Genetics56 argued against the addition of Washington & Oregon in the Big Ten. Often in ways that were definitive & beyond "if X changes, then Y changes." Now that Washington & Oregon are enjoying their moment, we get this. The trail of tweets is stunning. 1/8
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Andrew Percival
7 months
I did not even know that Rome Odunze has better numbers than Marvin Harrison Jr. I care so little about individual stats that I didn't even know that. But given that apparently we evaluate individual players with #Stats #Stats #Stats , why didn't Rome win the Biletnikoff?
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Andrew Percival
3 years
Shoutout to @Utah_Football for doing their part on the field since joining the @pac12 in 2011. Despite not being one of the brands, Utah has been one of the real prizes of conference realignment. Fascinating macro-dynamic - who will be better from 2021-2050, Utah or Nebraska?
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Andrew Percival
3 years
1/2 | Prizes of Realignment Avg SRS Rank, X-2020 23.1 Texas A&M 33.3 Utah 34.3 TCU 41.6 Nebraska 44.3 Missouri 47.9 Louisville 50.1 Pittsburgh 68.3 Maryland 73.1 Syracuse 74.8 Colorado 88.3 Rutgers X = year they changed leagues #CFBInfographics
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Andrew Percival
6 months
It has been a 6 week rollercoaster. But when the dust settles, I will cherish the 2023 Husky football season for the rest of my life. To make the NCG, in the last year of this CFB era, was special. Here are screen grabs from the amazing @seattletimes print replica app. 1/13
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Andrew Percival
6 months
On @Delta 929, just saw a Washington fan agree to trade his aisle seat for a middle seat to allow a Mother-Father-Infant trio to sit together. That's how Dawg fans be. #PurpleReign
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Andrew Percival
3 years
Another year, another #CFBPlayoff where 2016 Washington put forth a stronger performance vs the #MetricsConsensus SEC #1 . That's 7 for 7 now. Every year from 2015-2021. 2016 Washington belonged. And they performed like it.
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Andrew Percival
10 months
I want Washington to have a parenthesis after their points total in a few hours here. If Washington receives a 1st place vote in the AP Poll today, it will be the first time that's happened since September 15, 1997. When it was ranked #2 & received 19 1st place votes.
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Andrew Percival
1 year
Why do Oregon fans always live in the past?
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Andrew Percival
4 years
This picture means a lot to me! #HometownHero
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Andrew Percival
11 months
"My favorite sports team is the Washington Huskies football team." A NESLL Little Leaguer on ESPN today during the opening lineup intros.
@komonews
KOMO News
11 months
Northeast Seattle look to move on in the Little League World Series this afternoon as they face a team from Nolensville, Tenn.
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Andrew Percival
6 months
Proud UW sidewalk alum. Powerful CFB brands have a HUGE (well over 50%?) percentage of their fan base who did not attend the institution. UW is nothing without support from the community as a whole. No CFB power is.
@Ryan21L
Ryan L (Blue Check Mark)
6 months
@AshleyLolaRyan @minakimes Bandwagon fans are annoying. Why do you diminish loyalty and people who do the hard thing. I don’t know why I am surprised. Like I said before, it is easier to be a Husky fan than a Husky grad.
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Andrew Percival
11 months
Power 2 my ass. Utah feels like a program that is destined to be top 25 in quality, for eternity, no matter the circumstances. Let's get this SRS MAX. #GoUtes
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Andrew Percival
3 years
The Big House was awesome. Lived up to the expectations. My favorite team got thumped tonight but it was still a special evening. College football is great.
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Andrew Percival
7 months
The USA is so vast. The West, especially Seattle, is especially isolated. Drive time 37 hours : Barcelona to Moscow 38 hours : Seattle to New Orleans So much easier to be a CFB fan elsewhere. Would drive from Midwest to South for a big game in a heartbeat. #SouthernAlaska
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Andrew Percival
5 years
RIP Coach Hayden Fry Top half of the Big Ten finishes in SRS for Iowa... - 0 for 18 in the 18 years before his hire - 15 for 20 during his tenure The man could really coach. Led Iowa to the upper-echelon of college football after two decades in the wilderness.
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Andrew Percival
5 years
I am at the practice right now. The first incompletion was a beautifully thrown ball that the WR dropped. The 2nd one was a spike bc they are practicing 2 minute drill. The dangers of individual player stats. #WatchTheTape
@Kylewaltos24
Kyle waltos
5 years
Eason goes 1-3 in his first drive with the No. 1’s.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
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Andrew Percival
7 years
This is the best player in the Pac-12.
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Andrew Percival
2 years
Brock Huard is really good as a game analyst.
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Andrew Percival
11 months
"My name is Campbell Foster and my favorite team is Washington Huskies football."
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
11 months
"My favorite sports team is the Washington Huskies football team." A NESLL Little Leaguer on ESPN today during the opening lineup intros.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
#MetricsConsensus Top 25 Finishes, CFP Era 6 USC (14, 15, 16, 17, 19, 20) 5 Washington (15, 16, 17, 18, 19 4 Utah (15, 18, 19, 21) 4 Oregon (14, 15, 19, 20) 4 Stanford (14, 15, 16, 17) 2 ASU (14, 20) 2 WSU (16, 18) 2 UCLA (14, 15) 1 Colorado (16) 0 Arizona 0 Ore St
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Andrew Percival
4 years
If Emeka commits to UW, party at the Burgermaster on Aurora on Friday night. I'll buy the root beers.
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Andrew Percival
5 months
Catching up on my pods, and @davidubben just said this about the 2016 Washington Huskies. "For about a quarter they were in the playoff."
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Andrew Percival
5 years
P5 programs with 0 major bowl wins since 1946 California Indiana Iowa State Mississippi State NC State North Carolina Rutgers South Carolina Texas Tech Vanderbilt Virginia Wake Forest Washington State
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Andrew Percival
7 months
A #PurpleReign kind of week. Sat - Boys In the Boat downtown - light rail to airport - redeye Sun - land in Jackson MS - drive to NOLA (stops at Jackson State, Mississippi Coliseum, Amite LA) - NYE in the Quarter Mon - #SouthernDominanceDay in afternoon - Sugar Bowl at night
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Andrew Percival
5 years
The result of every single FBS game since 1946 is depicted in these graphs that I made. @ESPN_BillC
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Andrew Percival
9 months
L
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Andrew Percival
8 months
13-0 Big Ten 13-0 Washington 13-0 Florida State 12-1 Texas ---------- 12-1 Alabama A national title would be REALISTICALLY in reach for a Washington team that is still only a fringe top 10 advanced metrics team. #StayAt4
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Andrew Percival
5 years
@CFBTalkDaily Texas A&M Missouri Nebraska Corado
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Andrew Percival
2 years
Holy s*** this is what you call pageantry.
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Andrew Percival
4 years
Congratulations to Chris Petersen for an outstanding career. His #CoachEvaluation * scores : 51.3% at Boise State (8 yr) 69.6% at Washington (6 yr) Out of over 550 HC tenures of 5+ yr since 1946, 2 others also scored greater than 50% at 2 diff jobs. Ara Parseghian Nick Saban
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Greg Lewis on the Honks "I'm gonna start with number 7. Number 7 stoned their linebacker. Their linebacker right now is probably sitting somewhere in a chair with a bad neck talking about somebody call the police on number 7, because he assaulted me all game long."
@rdubchow
RC
7 months
behold! a cut up of all of @Dill_7k ’s pass pro plays in the pac-12 championship game 🙌🏼
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Andrew Percival
3 years
The Huskies got this one.
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Only way to prove this is to all go to UW and win a national championship.
@EJHollandOn3
"EJ Holland"
5 years
Seattle can play with anyone. Just ask ⁦ @SavvySmalls_9 ⁩ and ⁦ @geescottjr ⁩. #Pylon7on7
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Andrew Percival
5 years
According to SRS, Ohio State is 6.41 points better than the next best team in CFB right now...if that holds it would be the largest SRS gap in modern CFB history b/w #1 & #2 . Next largest 2016 Alabama 5.54 over Clemson 1949 ND 5.35 over Cal 1974 Oklahoma 5.25 over Alabama
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Andrew Percival
2 years
CFB fans in the state of Washington are gonna look back at 2016-2018 as the most fun 3 year stretch in our fan lives. It's not as fun without the COUGS being good, capable of winning all 3 Apple Cups. Getting them to that level was a hell of an accomplishment. RIP Mike Leach
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Andrew Percival
2 years
I remember being jealous when Utah booked that home & home with Florida. But they paid a price. They play 6 true road games this year, the only CFP contender to do so. Come CFP time, if Utah has done their part (conf champ w/ 0-1 L) they deserve significant credit for this.
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Andrew Percival
6 months
Alabama has an income tax. Washington does not. Am I correct that DeBoer will lose ~ 5% of his salary to Alabama state income taxes? I know cost of living is not equal & that DeBoer did not make the move for $, but I would like to have these facts straight nonetheless.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
I am CFB first, Washington 2nd. But putting on the UW hat (as I wait to board a flight to Detroit) ... I'm shocked & embarrassed about yesterday. And disappointed in recent recruiting misses. But some of y'all need to settle down. Proudly in the "it's way too soon" camp.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
"The Huskies, it's a hard time. Everybody's hurting... They'll get it straightened out quickly. It's a tremendous fan base. It's a beautiful setting. The school's awesome. I have no,doubt that they'll get this thing going again quickly." Chris Petersen on Washington
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Phenomenal work by @davidlgutman . I will mourn the Pac-12 for the rest of my life. I recall leaving work early the day USC & UCLA left, the bombshell that triggered all of this. I am so proud that Washington is the final champion.
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Andrew Percival
9 months
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Andrew Percival
8 months
I absolutely love to see the last Pac-12 regular season game end with a win for Justin Wilcox and the University of California, at the Rose Bowl. It's all very fitting. The flagship of the largest state in the region lead by a man from an OG West Coast football family.
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Andrew Percival
1 year
Not your fault 🏆🏆🏆🏆 Oregon 🏆🏆 Washington 🏆🏆 Utah 🏆🏆 Stanford ------------------------- 🏆 USC UCLA Also not your fault .548 Arizona State .514 Washington State .434 Arizona .421 California .399 Oregon State ------------------------- .338 Colorado
@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
1 year
If the Colorado news is true ... AAC lost 27% of the teams, 74% of the champions + Big 12 lost 20% of the teams, 60% of the champions ++ Pac-12 lost 25% of the teams, 9% of the champions +++ + since 2013 (league formed) ++ since 2012 (TCU joined) +++ since 2011 (CU joined)
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Andrew Percival
3 months
RIP to the Dawgman legend AANDY. I have always wondered who this fascinating man was, now we know.
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Andrew Percival
2 years
Kirby is obviously talking about Chris Petersen.
@LateKickJosh
Josh Pate
2 years
Good people will leave College Football if the wrong people remain in charge. This was the most important thing @KirbySmartUGA said after winning the title.
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Andrew Percival
9 months
Watching game on TV, shoutouts: - Dillon Johnson ran hard & smart, nothing flashy but a very good player - numerous opps for Oregon INTs (pick 6's) avoided bc UW receivers handled hot & errant throws...could've been 2+ - elite broadcast, angles I've never seen at Husky Stadium
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Washington is 2019's quintessential polarizing team for metrics vs non-metrics SRS 21st Sagarin 13th Team Rankings 17th Doktor Entropy 16th ESPN FPI 15th In all 5 of those metrics, they are not only the best 4-loss team in the country, they are also better than any 3-loss team.
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Andrew Percival
9 months
The realignment saga of WSU/OSU is bringing out the worst in UW (& UO) fans, it's embarrassing. UW may not be irrelevent in the 10k foot view of college football, but it is irrelevent in the 20k foot view. Per capita, WSU/OSU get better support than UW. It's not their fault.
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Ok I'm now ready to get on this flight. LGG #PurpleReign
@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
7 months
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Andrew Percival
2 years
"Vita Vea is one of those dominant interior players, we've seen a few in the history of this league." Cris Collinsworth
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Avg SOS Rank Percentile, 1946-2018 USC 86.9% Notre Dame 86.9% UCLA 83.4% Michigan 82.7% Florida 81.9% LSU 80.5% Illinois 80.4% Stanford 80.3% Purdue 80.1% Ohio St 79.4% Michigan St 79.0% California 78.8% Texas 78.6% Washington 78.5% (SOS from sports-ref) #CFBInfographicProject
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Andrew Percival
7 months
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Andrew Percival
9 months
Washington #MetricsConsensus win probabilities 53.6% vs Oregon ------------------------- 99.7% vs ASU 98.9% vs Stanford 57.1% at USC 76.6% vs Utah 62.5% at Oregon State 80.4% vs WSU Expected Wins 10.8 w/ a win vs Oregon 9.8 w/ a loss vs Oregon This game has huge CFP leverage.
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Andrew Percival
3 years
This is a guy much of Husky Twitter used to crap on. They called him "the accountant" and other disparaging names. That's an L that needs to be owned.
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Andrew Percival
5 years
(1/3) 2020 SOS analysis according to the #MetricsConsensus (MC) * Opp MC Avg ** A&M 0.39 Texas 0.33 Opp MC Avg, Toughest 4 games A&M 1.65 Texas 1.25 * 5 year backweighted (2014-2018 = 1-2-4-8-16) ** higher means harder @AngryAgTweets @TexAgs @BarstoolTexasAM @CFBNerds
@kyleumlang
Kyle Umlang
5 years
Texas A&M counters 2019's tough schedule with one of the easiest cupcake filled schedules I've ever seen. If they were to ever have another shot at 10 wins, 2020 is their year 2020 Home Games Abilene Christian North Texas Colorado Fresno State Ole Miss Vanderbilt LSU
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Andrew Percival
2 years
This is the worst day in Husky football history.
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Andrew Percival
4 years
If you are an elite recruit from the state of Washington and you have pride in being from here, there is only one decision you can make.
@UW_Football
Washington Football
4 years
Rep the CITY. Rep the STATE. #PurpleReign x #BowDown
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Current G5 programs w/ the best Win Pct at the FBS level, 1946-2018 Team Pct / Yrs Boise State .776 / 23 Toledo .592 / 57 BYU .590 / 73 Fresno State .582 / 50 South Florida .576 / 19 Appalachian State .572 / 15 Georgia Southern .565 / 5 UCF .560 / 23 #CFBInfographicProject
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Andrew Percival
7 months
Still fuming that Penix didn't win the Heisman. What a prestigious & lucrative club to be in. And still in shock some thought Oregon State was a mark AGAINST him. Hell, his Heisman moment for me was the 3rd down back shoulder dime to Rome that iced that game. #Penix4Heisman
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Andrew Percival
6 months
A sad day. I will never speak an ill word about Coach DeBoer. Thank you for - out of nowhere - 2 fun years. But coaches are replaceable. He was not guaranteed to continue at the same level of success. Regardless of the people involved, CFB regresses everybody their place.
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Andrew Percival
1 year
Grinding the backfilling of accurate stadium information on every FBS game back to 1946. How cool is this? Thompson Stadium, Navy's home pre-1958. Reminds me of Husky Stadium.
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Andrew Percival
4 years
1/5 | 2020 Pac-12 projected win totals from the #MetricsConsensus 6 games North 5.0 Washington 4.6 Oregon 3.3 Washington State 3.0 Stanford 2.1 California 0.5 Oregon State South 5.2 Utah 4.1 USC 3.2 Arizona State 1.8 Colorado 1.8 UCLA 1.4 Arizona
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Andrew Percival
7 months
What I remember about this bowl was halftime of a Sonics game at Key Arena, the Wake Forest and Oregon football teams came out on the court for a free throw shooting contest. The Oregon team was booed loudly, they lost the FT shooting competition and lost the football game.
@ClassicsCFB
College Football Classics
7 months
Wake Forest vs Oregon (2002) Seattle Bowl
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Andrew Percival
3 years
😂😂😂😂😂 Oregon fans, know your place. Which is a nice, top 20 caliber program.
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Breaking news.... both @insidetroy & @daviddavidwoods pick Washington to win the Pac-12 and make the College Football Playoff... @Pac12Podcast
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Andrew Percival
2 years
On two common talking points for Washington fans, the advanced metrics ... Metrics ENDORSE : 1991 "split" title was an injustice, Washington was significantly better Metrics REFUTE : 1984 BYU national title was a crock, Washington was better & it wasn't close
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Andrew Percival
4 years
And I'd take your money.
@johncoll13
John Collins
4 years
@PDawg206 I'd take Ball St over any Pac 12 team
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Andrew Percival
3 years
Washington is #1 in the Pac-12. And the gap between Washington & #2 is wider than the gap between #2 & #5 . Beautiful graphic from one of the most gifted data viz people out there.
@kyleumlang
Kyle Umlang
3 years
February Viz | Radial Tree This viz shows Point Differentials by team for every FBS conference since 2014 (latest P5 conference realignment). Scroll over any team to see PF/PA or change the tree entirely by filtering. Viz: #NewYearsResolution #MrDataCFB
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Andrew Percival
4 years
Clay Helton has complete control over his progrum.
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Andrew Percival
5 years
Tough L for Indiana in the #GatorBowl , but congrats to Tom Allen for an excellent year. His #CoachEvaluation score* will stand ~ 42% through year 4 in Bloomington. IU made a quality hire. * a formula evaluating coaching performance through advanced metrics, max 100%, min -100%
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Andrew Percival
6 months
What an absolutely incredible read here. Some quotes in there that just break my heart as a fan. I hope somehow someway the players on this team get the celebration that they deserve but never got in the wake of the DeBoer bombshell.
@ChristianCaple
Christian Caple
6 months
Injuries forced Faatui Tuitele to retire from football, but the Washington d-tackle hopes to stick with the sport. Thought this was an illuminating exit interview.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
9 months
The sudents have done their job.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
4 years
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
6 years
The astounding dominance of the Deep South in high-leverage, postseason CFB since 2006... 23 qualifying games, 7 progrums vs 15 opp 21-2 SU 18-4-1 ATS 4-1 SU as dogs 10-1 SU in matchups w/in 1 AP slot @SDS @Ivan_Maisel @38Godfrey @SBN_BillC @finebaum @SouthernPigskin @SEC_Chuck
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
2 years
One of Husky Twitter's bigger misses in recent years. Not enough respect for this man. Especially given what he did for us as a player. And that the technical critique was that he was one of those soft former QB pass happy / out x&o you types.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
8 months
Colorado's gonna have the same number of conference wins this year that they had last year.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
4 years
With the 8pm kick vs Oregon State on Saturday, Washington will be the last FBS team in 2020 to play. By the time the ball is in the air, there'll have been 329 completed FBS vs FBS games, totaling ~ 19,740 minutes / ~ 41 days of football. It's time for the Huskies to play.
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@PDawg206
Andrew Percival
4 years
The Huskies didn't deny us 3.5 hours of enjoyment today. They denied us 7.
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