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Pabst Street Capital Management

@PBRStreetGang7

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2,168
Following
2,682
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Value & Values

United States
Joined July 2019
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
Let’s talk about how our emotions intersect with our investment behavior. And learn about the behavior of others at the same time. Thread! 🧵
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
This is a big deal. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Everything’s better with fire 🔥
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
The sexual misconduct allegations involve SpaceX. Why is *Tesla* lawyering up? $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
New short thesis just dropped $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
Read the CNBC Story again. And then again. I don’t expect much from the bulls (and I have not been disappointed!) but even Tesla’s bears are missing the finer points. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
As Musk tanks his own share price his cult of followers will begin to turn on him. This is generally what happens with messianic leaders, obviously we have seen it before. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
Extremely serious allegations here. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
@OldMateEngineer You either haven’t read the story or you don’t understand what you’re reading.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Okay, so, he’s a liar. We can all agree these are lies. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
You can even call it Full Self Driving!
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
Let’s go through the Tesla whistleblower allegations as reported today by CNBC: 1. Scrap classified as WIP 2. Used car deliveries potentially reported as new car deliveries 3. Poor internal controls 4. Frequent changes&bugs in tracking system 5. Conflicted Auditor
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
I fail to understand how this thing still trades at $165. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
LOL
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
Musk must be hurting $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 month
This seems right to me $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
6 months
It’s a cult $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
LOL $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Musk proposed buying $TWTR to get his money *out* of $TSLA. Musk will IPO the “new & improved” Twitter in a year or two. That’s all this is. Musk wants his money out of Tesla.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Amateur “all-in” investors never take responsibility for their losses. It is always someone else’s fault. $AMC $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Tell me you don’t understand financial markets without telling me… $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Listed US Model Y inventory has doubled since start-of-Quarter. Listed US Model 3 inventory has more than doubled. Despite the price cut. Folks, there’s a demand problem. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
This account should be banned Seriously Stalking & harassment incidents should result in a permanent ban @lindayacc
@iFightForKids
Alex Rosen
1 year
I confronted @PeterHotez and asked why he is too scared to debate @RobertKennedyJr on the @joerogan podcast! W/ @merissahansen17
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
11 months
It fascinates me that Tesla’s Online Grifters have largely avoided tweeting about the DOJ news. Sawyer, for example, regularly tweets *BREAKING* headlines. Not this time! BoomerMama? Nope TeslaHerbert? Nope Bizarre. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
Anyone who has followed Tesla for any length of time already knew this, but I am happy to see it in writing. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Amusing thought for the day.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
FSD works great if you . . . manually reduce the speed
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Another price cut. LOL $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Tesla Autonomous Driving employees, fearing retribution, said Tesla’s FSD was susceptible to basic errors that would cause crashes. Musk overruled them and fired those who spoke up. Employees, fearing retribution, said there was an immediate uptick in FSD crashes. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
I do feel sympathy for Tesla's volunteer stock promoters. They cannot sell now because to sell is to admit they were wrong, and pain of public embarrassment is greater than pain of losing money. So they stay It's a stock cult, and the fundamentals of a stock cult are behavioral.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
11 months
A new $TSLA Bull Case.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Rob Mauer broke news on his Friday podcast that TeslaChina was reducing production 20%. On Monday’s podcast, Mauer revealed that he received significant backlash for breaking that news, including strongly-worded DMs and longtime patreon subscribers stopping their support. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
$TSLA Bulls have extrapolated from Peak Margins, and the company is now set to face much lower margins at the same time it’s warranty accounting & lease accounting begin to unwind. The “E” in your “P/E” is a pipe dream.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
Folks. It’s a stock cult. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Tesla pumpers have created an all-in & buy-more culture, and they have harmed themselves and their friends.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Tesla “bulls” returning their lemons due to quality issues is always fun. As are the comments.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
This platform has become totally unsafe for Musk critics.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
Two big takeaways from Troy: 🧵 1. Tesla is demand limited everywhere. This was obvious in the new order data a year ago, and now it’s obvious to everyone. And, 2. Tesla’s profits & free cash from the previous three years have been generated from underinvestment in R&D. 🧵 $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
I’ve followed ShitCo’s for long enough to offer a template of how this plays out: Phase 1: 1. ShitCo sues critic 2. Critic fights back, demands discovery 3. ShitCo offers to settle for an apology from critic 4. Critic refuses, demands discovery 5. ShitCo drops lawsuit $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
LOL
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
5 years
Tesla Fremont on track to build 108K vehicles this quarter. 🔥 Sales likely to be 104-106K. These numbers represent substantial increases vs our earlier estimates. In particular we are tracking higher than expected S/X production. This is big! $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
11 months
Tesla’s Grifters have a lot of tweets this morning about the benefits of cutting prices. That fascinates me. A year ago when I told them Tesla would need to cut prices due to demand problems, they didn’t believe me. Now it’s their bull case. LOL. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Running Red Lights on FSD. Twice. On one drive. In these two pictures one can observe that a slow-moving Tesla in FSD had plenty of time to stop for yellow *and* time to stop for the red, but did not stop. 🧵 h/t @UnicornR_Real
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
The Chancery Daily is correct. Musk wants to stay But is unable to pay Until the 10-Q is away This filing is a tell That before he can sell Musk must ring the 10-Q bell I am here to boast Your call options are toast $TSLA $TWTR @chancery_daily
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
Dozens (if not hundreds) of similar stories in the forums from ‘23 Model Y owners. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
7 months
Tesla dropping their range estimates. Following a Reuters report that Tesla lied about vehicle range. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
3 years
Started / Going
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Tesla’s Bulls do not understand their own company. They make no attempt to understand it. They do not want to understand it. They just want the stock price to go up. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Tesla has cut prices to make Teslas competitive with Used Teslas. And it’s a race to the bottom. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
There is a real “don’t sell” pressure campaign from Tesla’s stock promoters forming now. Fascinating stuff, for anyone who missed AMC, GME, BBIG, & GTAT. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Why would Tesla the corporation respond to a lawsuit settlement that does not involve Tesla. $TSLA
@Tesla
Tesla
1 year
@latimes This article is biased and misleading. Mr. Hothi accepted a “998” offer under California law. These offers are used to shift the cost of litigation to the losing party. If Mr. Hothi had not accepted it, he could have been on the hook for significant legal costs when he eventually
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
The $TSLA bull case used to be fun! It used to be 20 Million cars sold each year. And *fun* cars like Roadster2. The Tesla bulls used to talk about RoboTaxis and full autonomy. Now the bull case is relative margins. It’s, “we can cut prices more than competitors!” LOL
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Signs of stress among retail holders & traders of Tesla. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
All proceeds go to creators* *except the money Twitter keeps.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Rob Mauer said yesterday on his podcast that GigaShanghai would slow production by 20% beginning a week from Sunday, December 11. Mauer claims to have a reliable source for this information, and Rob is a credible guy, so for the moment let’s assume it’s true. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Here it is: The Perfect Tweet
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
One more time for those in the back $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
LOL oh Geeze I can’t anymore $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
If a bear said this . . . $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Vindman is, of course, Jewish. And this tweet from Tesla & Twitter’s CEO is incredibly anti-Jewish. The people who support him, whether in their purchase decisions, advertising decisions, or investment decisions, are supporting this. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
You know I am not into technical trading and chart analysis, but if you are, you may want to consider that $TSLA has respected resistance at the 5 day EMA. Goodbye to TeslaGrifterMama, who is down about 50% since going “all-in” a couple years ago.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
5 months
Is this a . . . recall? $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Musk’s Ship of Theseus There’s a new scam in the Used Tesla market, and it highlights a bigger and potentially fast-growing problem. Thread 🧵
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Another price cut. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
This idiot wants to doxx people now. She links to a VIC pitch, short $TSLA. The author makes the case that margins will continue to decline, which has proven true. GrifterMama tells her followers this is “vile” and, again, the doxxing problem. She is down ~50% and Papa more.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
The Starlink reports are true. Sad. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
5 years
Tesla factory unlikely to lose power *even if most of Fremont does* because of agreement with PG&E (Subscribers have asked - and now you know, too!) $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
5 years
We believe the first Model Y vehicles ready for sale to the public have already been produced in Fremont, and we will see mass production begin very soon. Possibly this week or next! $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
What on earth
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Another Price Cut 🚨 $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
There were 51 reported Tesla Autopilot/FSD crashes in July, and airbags deployed in 46 of those crashes. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Tesla’s accounting is geared to unit deliveries growth. Without that growth the numbers turn very quickly. No longer a high-margin growth story, but a very-low-margin capital-intensive stagnation story. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
FSD didn’t run the stop sign. FSD is safer than a human driver. LOL (Screenshot credit @TaylorOgan )
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
6 months
Don't worry about Elon Musk's $55 Billion Package. He was always going to leave, anyway. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
My strongest support. I think this is a great idea. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
6 months
Nobody earns points for pointing out Musk’s lies or bigotry. But, wow. It’s unreal to me that anyone would associate themselves with Musk. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
I wonder the extent this recent push for Tesla Advertising was a planted narrative. Advertising allows Musk to transfer Tesla shareholder money to privately-owned Twitter. Similar dynamic to buying Solar City.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Today’s FSD Update: A Story $TSLA @NHTSAgov @SecretaryPete
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
In time, the hard core of Tesla-the-Stock enthusiasts will come to resent Musk & Tesla. And, indeed, their previous selves for not recognizing signs of a bubble’s peak, and particularly the massive insider selling. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Firstly, LOL Secondly, Tesla’s “Autonomy” systems are designed as Open Loop systems, which will either be shot by a regulator or else competed to zero by Closed Loop systems. Thirdly, LOL $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
7 months
Reality: 120,000 cars needing the same safety-related repair should lead to a recall. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Hello, police? I would like to report a murder.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
That is a really key point from Dan. Either Tesla has worked on these safety-critical problems for months and failed, or Tesla hasn’t tried.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
10 months
“Those who sell will regret it later.” Folks. It’s a stock cult. Those who sell are heretics. You’re not a heretic, are you? $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
I won a contest. I am very excited to receive my prize as well as the recognition & adoration that follow with it. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Weaker margins, as a bull case $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
Tesla knowingly misled NHTSA during the suspension failure investigation, if this reporting from Reuters is true. $TSLA @SenBlumenthal @SenMarkey
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
9 months
I am excited for Media Matters. They will have discovery, and a chance to depose Musk.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
They’re just the world’s dumbest people aren’t they $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Used Tesla / New Tesla Used models are carried on the books at . . . $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
8 months
It doesn’t matter. Tesla acknowledged that autosteer was defective. That’s what matters. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Troy’s delivery estimate pre-price cut was 426k. After massive price cuts & sales incentives actual deliveries was 422k. Another inventory build & the backlog is gone. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
A little too on-the-nose, Ray.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Musk lies often. His fans don’t mind, they think he is *their* liar. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Funny. $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
1 year
Holy crap that’s a bad number $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
5 years
Our Tesla Numbers: Q4 sales - 112.5k Q4 production - 106k Fremont Only Usually Tesla begins producing for subsequent quarter sales in last week/ten days of current quarter. Not so in Q4 2019! $TSLA
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
3 years
I won’t be the first to point this out, but numbers matter and accuracy matters. Tesla said nearly 60k cars had FSD Beta, and in fact the number is 53k. Tesla said 15k Model 3 in Australia, making it the best selling car in Australia, and in fact it was 12k.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Last Thoughts on Tesla $TSLA is a risky stock to own, let’s dive into what’s going on (before I delete my account!) A thread 🧵
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
4 years
For those of my Tesla followers not located in the Bay, it’s hard to overstate the bad rep Tesla is getting over refusing to shut down. Whether you agree or not, locals want the factory closed and the workers paid, as other businesses here are doing.
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@PBRStreetGang7
Pabst Street Capital Management
2 years
Simply stunning. New Tesla Model Z. 🔥 $TSLA
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