Yes folks, the internal polling (which looks like ours) was probably this bad 6 to 8 weeks ago, as well.
The difference is that the Democrat-media machine wouldn't allow that narrative because they wanted to give her a chance to make it up.
Looks like opinions are split on this debate performance.
I remind you that we and the NYTimes have Donald Trump winning the national popular vote.
I'm guessing this whole thing was just an exercise in legacy media beclowning itself.
@ABC
yes, you.
If Trump is winning, like our polling and the internal polls supposedly suggest...
The next thing you are going to see is every media outlet who is able to giving an olive branch to Trump.
OH NOOooo... !!
This wasn't supposed to happen!
Our latest nightly data point (50% post-Kamala-interview) shows Trump opening up his biggest lead in 10 days.
We are polling Trump v. Harris daily.
Here are the updated results as of yesterday.
Every mainstream pollster mysteriously stopped polling national numbers on 8/4.
Weird.
I talked to someone smart today and they said it was time to start looking for ways the Harris campaign is telegraphing their impending loss.
Interesting.
ABC / IPSOS, which owns 538 who kicked us out, uses a proprietary panel of ~60k Americans.
They say Harris is winning by 6.
Our methodology reaches well over a million Americans. Trump +2.
Weird.
Trump +18 in Iowa to Trump +4 has got to be one of the most stunning and ridiculous Democrat comebacks in the history of politics.
I've polled over 11k respondents about Harris, and she just doesn't poll that differently than Biden.
As revealed on War Room this AM and coming within hours - courtesy of
@AmericanThinker
Trump +3 in PA.
Other high-quality polls in PA:
Trafalgar Trump +3
Atlas Intel Trump +3
NY Times Siena Trump +4
Apparently a forthcoming
@Peoples_Pundit
Trump lead
We are are Trump +2 and have him winning independents.
They are Harris +4 and have her winning independents.
The teamsters put out numbers showing their membership leans 20 points Trump.
Discuss.
When you see any maps today that show PA red but NC blue, remember this:
-The last time NC went blue was 2008.
-The polling looks worse for Harris in NC than in PA.
This
@60Minutes
interview is fascinating:
-heavily HEAVILY cut.
-doesn't present full
@vp
answers.
-some hard pitches interlaced with puffery.
-Did I say heavily cut? There's an A, B, C and D cam that get rotated through rapidly.
-challenging her on the border was chef's kiss.
The "Loser Narrative" begins...
MSM outlets can no longer paint Kamala Harris as the odds-on-favorite, so those with a shred of credibility left are preparing viewers for the, at this point...
Inevitable Trump win.
If the narratives go where I think they might, it is going to be a weird few weeks for Trump supporters.
He's never been the favorite in the "polls" in October.
These last few months have not been healthy for our country.
Back in May, a stunning 41% said a Civil War was coming soon.
Now, for the first time in both GA and PA, Democrats top the list as America's biggest enemy, replacing China.
Russia is like an afterthought.
ABC News put out a poll that gave Harris a favorability advantage 19 POINTS bigger than the rest of the polling industry.
And to think, an ABC employee accused US of having undisclosed conflicts!
Voters in 2 battleground states now agree.
Democrats are now the
#1
enemy facing America, selected out of a list of:
Iran
China
Russia
Democrats
Republicans
Numbers coming shortly.
Looks like my followers called it.
Nate silver just jerked his model left.
If quinnipiac is what did it, then I'm worried about the integrity of the model
This is a big deal.
Kamala Harris is now losing in both RCP and Polymarket betting odds, despite the fact that most mainstream polls have her up big, and it's primetime DNC.
How could this be happening?
The goal of the debate wasn't to change minds.
It was to give unscrupulous pollsters media cover to ratchet things further left.
We called this almost 2 weeks ago.
Don’t believe the polls. The only polls that are credible are the private polls of the candidates. They guide the candidates on where to go & what to do. VP Harris wants to debate Trump on CNN. This means her polls say SHE’S LOSING.
Heard on
@CNN
:
"Trump is more favorable than he has ever been"
Yep, pretty much.
@ABC
if you want your polls to be right, you probably should figure out why Trump's favorability is almost 30 points worse than Harris' in your poll.
Trump just had his biggest nightly lead over Kamala Harris since July 22nd and has led every night since the 25th.
If this holds up, the media won't be able to cherry pick polls with her winning all August.
Updated:
One more reason I think the polls are going to miss to the left.
Primetime viewership:
MSNBC Oct '16 1.7M
MSNBC Oct '20 2.7M
MSNBC Sep '24 1.4M
CNN Oct '16 1.9M
CNN Oct '20 2.4M
CNN Sep '24 0.9M
Wow - this is exciting.
Trump's momentum in the last 2 hours was just checked.
Was the market overbought? Or did someone just come into work in CA and freak out?
People have said "cracks are starting to appear" in Harris' polling.
We haven't quite seen it yet, but maybe these last three nights mark the beginning?
FOX’s late August 2020 numbers:
AZ: Biden +9
GA: Biden +2 (June, no polls after)
NV: Biden +11
NC: Biden +4
So, an underestimation of Trump by 6+ points in every state except Georgia (which underestimated him by 2)