Matt Weller CFA, CMT @MWellerFX Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

@Guaidashu6325

@bokeplokalmalam

@H0bcntw2uPI6Zp2

@InsurtechF

@ItsTradeNation

@RoseRose5414

@lucylud_likeret

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@Ruby1172205

@cghheenensk

@CeciliaMilone

@landbert_pieces

Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

21 days

@PopCulture2000s the CGI looked better 23 years ago tho

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

4 months

@awealthofcs have you tried making coffee at home

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

9 months

@adamlevitan My perennially 11th place dynasty team desperately wanted that 7 on the river

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 months

Bitcoin ETFs have pulled in $7.5B in less than 2 months since getting approved on January 10th. Since then, Bitcoin has seen 16X higher returns (!) on weekdays (n=38), when the ETFs trade, than weekends (n=14). This is not statistically significant yet, but worth noting.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 months

@starwarstufff

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@Ihartitz If I was in the NFL I would just compare my teammates to random appliances. "Aidan Hutchinson was an unstoppable waffle skillet out there today" " I couldn't tell if that was my boy Miles Sanders or one of those apple slicers on the field Sunday, if ya know what I'm saying"

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@buccocapital Am I the only one that absolutely HAS to watch the whole board room scene every time I see this meme?

"I'm telling you, this is it!" – Margin Call (2011)

CEO John Tuld (Jeremy Irons) is briefed on the imminent crisis by division head Jared (Simon Baker), risk analyst Peter (Zachary Quinto) and floor head Sam (...

www.youtube.com

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

The 10-day correlation between stocks $SPX and long-term bonds $TLT is 0.95. This is the highest 10-day correlation between the two since TLT's inception in 2002. Both stocks and bonds are getting crushed together, to an extent we haven't seen in decades. 😬

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 months

@MattGoldich

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@Nate_Tice @Ihartitz Homeboy is still celebrating his "sack" as we speak

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

21 days

@antifaschismuss @PopCulture2000s yeah I made my point poorly - it looked much better at the time than it does now

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 days

@internbrah @WClementeIII That's my quant

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@JosephPolitano Whoa I didn't realize there were two X-axes too! 😂😂

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

25 days

@RapSheet Edgar Allen Poe wrote "The Black Cat." Panthers are black cats. Carolina CONFIRMED!!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 months

The #VIX is at a fresh post-COVID low at 12.1. The low reading in this measure of the S&P 500's implied volatility suggests that traders are pricing in... ...an average daily move of just 0.76% in $SPX ...and an average weekly move of just 1.7% 😪😪

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 months

@adamlevitan "90% of the housing stock is owned by people over 90" Man, all these people raging at the Boomers really should have been directing their anger at The Greatest Generation all along...

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@macrocephalopod

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

See if you can spot the $GBPUSD flash crash

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 months

I've seen a lot of consternation about the S&P 500 being "eXtReMeLy OvErBoUgHt" Granted, the best $SPX returns have been from when the index is "oversold" (weekly RSI < 36). But did you know that the next best returns have been from "overbought" RSI readings (>75)? 🤯

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@DeItaone

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 years

Cool long-term #EURUSD chart from @ForexLive , and congrats on 10 years gents!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 years

So my father-in-law just bought $CRON. If you're wondering where we are in the cycle, he was asking me about buying Bitcoin in December.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

5 months

@dailydirtnap It looks far bigger on a log chart than a linear chart tho

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@spectatorindex We all know who is who here!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

5 years

Ben has been on top of every narrative shift around #COVID19 so far and nails the increasing prevalence of the "cure may be worse than the disease" narrative here.

Ben Hunt

@EpsilonTheory

5 years

In less than a week, the narrative shifted from "CV-19 is a public health crisis" to "CV-19 is a financial crisis.” It's driven by the same missionaries who called CV-19 a "media-fueled panic" 2 weeks ago and "just the flu" 4 weeks ago. New on ET ...

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 The European Central Bank #ECB raised interest rates by 50bps (0.50%) to 3.50%. 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 years

Market wrap: 🔷 US indices closed sharply lower on the day: $DJIA -2.8%, $SPX -2.8%, $QQQ -2.6% 🔷 #Gold (-0.7%) and #WTI (-2.1%) both fell as well. 🔷 #USD was the day's strongest major currency; #AUD was the weakest.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 years

@darrenrovell There was never a $1.02M bid. The highest bid was $631K. Reading tables is hard.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 months

@Odettescuck @andeholmes @ChrisChavez 👍 Good summary - I'd add the caveat that a "strategic" / slower pace tends to favor "kickers" (fast finishers) in particular

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 years

Microsoft $MSFT earnings: 🔷 EPS came in at $2.48 vs. $2.03 expected 🔷 Revenues were $51.7B vs. $50.8B eyed. The stock is trading down -5% in the initial after hours reaction.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 months

Overall this morning's US data was mixed: • US Advance Q1 GDP: 2.8% vs. 2.0% eyed • Initial Jobless Claims: 235K vs. 237K anticipated • Durable Goods Orders: -6.6% m/m vs. 0.3% expected The more timely readings (claims & durable goods) were weaker than backward-looking GDP.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 months

@hubermanlab Me trying to get my 3rd and 4th Bloody Mary down by 11:59am because Huberman told me not to drink in the afternoon

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

4 months

@RyanSAdams Gigachad Saylor owns more BTC than any sovereign

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment came in at 59.5 vs. 60 expected. 1-year inflation expectations fell to 4.6% from 5.0% earlier. Will this tip the Fed back toward a 75bps rate hike next week?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

@tier10k @laurashin This is low key the biggest loss for Democrats today

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

Wen @CNBC "Markets in Turmoil" special?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@BillSimmons

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

US dollar analysis: $USDJPY coiling ahead of CPI, Fed, and BOJ - see the key levels to watch to start the week!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

@BloombergUK Did he watch Mission Impossible too?!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

Thanks Cam - it was a privilege!

Trading Nut Podcast

@MetatraderCam

8 years

@MWellerFx shares his Red Zone Scalp #forex #tradingstrategy & more in this epic podcast

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 months

@Odettescuck @andeholmes @ChrisChavez No. They're trying to win.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 months

Forex Seasonality – April 2024: $GBPUSD’s Most Bullish Month, $USDCAD’s Most Bearish

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

25 days

@RapSheet Edgar Allen Poe wrote "The Balloon-Hoax" featuring Monck Mason. Jordan Mason is the running back for the 49ers. Davante to San Fran CONFIRMED!!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 months

The Only #Bitcoin Chart You'll Ever Need™ We're nearing the average gain in the post-bottom/pre-halving Yellow stage of the historical cycle (+300% vs. +375% & +350% in the last 2 cycles) Potential for a pullback/consolidation around the halving, but big picture bullish 🐂

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

Small sample size, but there's been a clear trend in the dollar's performance by president over the last 30yrs $DXY

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

The median #FOMC member is still projecting 125bps of tightening in before year end (presumably 75bps in November, then 50bps in December) - no sign of a pivot (or even a pause!) yet!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

BAD NEWS: No morning video from me today. ☹️ GOOD NEWS: It's because I'll be on @Coindesk TV's "First Mover" giving an update how the macro environment is influencing #Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptoasset space. Catch me here around 9:15-9:30 ET

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 month

The best breakouts never pull back #gold

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 years

@hardmoneymag @alifarhat79 Not over the last 10 years. They've had the same performance. Neither has gotten more valuable nor less valuable.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 months

DJT with opinions on $USDJPY's 34-year high

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

9 days

I accomplished a HUGE 2024 goal this weekend, running a Half Marathon in < 90mins (1:29:27). Super proud of the effort and all the training that went into this race - now to recover and set the next goal. #DoHardThings #Get1PercentBetterEveryDay

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

#Nasdaq100 analysis: NDX retests key 12,900 level - will it break or bounce from here? $QQQ

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

Whoa - $USDJPY's 10.4% rally over the last 4 weeks is the biggest 4-week rally in at least 45 years!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

The headline US CPI report for July printed at 0.0% m/m (8.5% y/y) vs. expectations of a 0.2% m/m print (8.7% y/y). The core CPI reading came in at 0.3% m/m (5.9% y/y) vs. expectations of a 0.5% m/m print (6.1% y/y).

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 months

@dollarsanddata I'm not trying to insult you. I'm sorry if it came off that way. Even without predicting future taxes, a 100% guarantee that you avoid paying taxes at your marginal rate today in favor of paying them at your effective rate in the future is likely to be a massive benefit. No

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 months

@Odettescuck @andeholmes @ChrisChavez Yes. *IF* you're capable of running the fastest time. The guy who we're talking about *IS* capable of running the fastest time and tried that. It didn't work. It's risky.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

Proud to say I've officially earned my CFA charter - It's been a crazy two years, but every hour spent studying was worth it! @CFAinstitute

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

I'll be on @CoinDesk TV "First Mover" around 9:15 ET today chatting the fallout from the FTX collapse, implications for #Bitcoin and #Ethereum , and the macroeconomic backdrop for crypto! Tune in here:

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 months

@stevemagness I know a guy who says I SHOULD wait and he has 6 girlfriends so I'm going to listen to him.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

#FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key for the #Fed -

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

9 months

The Only #Bitcoin Chart You'll Ever Need™ We're still tracking the historical cycle to a "T", and we're not even in the 1.5-year bullish post-halving "Green Zone"

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

I'll be on @Coindesk TV's "First Mover" around 9:10 ET discussing 4 reasons why *THE* bottom for this crypto cycle is likely in and where #Bitcoin could be headed next. Broadcast live on Twitter @CoinDesk !

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

Quick $GBPUSD notes inspired by James' tweet: $GBPUSD has fallen ~2.8% over the last 10 days (2 weeks). This ranks as the ~5th percentile of 10-day price changes over the last 20 years. It's almost the worst $GBPUSD selloff since the Truss Collapse last year by this measure.

James Stanley

@JStanleyFX

1 year

$GBPUSD haven't seen Cable sell-off this fast since Liz Truss lost to a head of lettuce any support has been a mere speed bump

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

HUGE addition to our team - give James a follow if you're somehow not already!

James Stanley

@JStanleyFX

2 years

Very happy to announce that I've joined @FOREXcom weekly webinars are back starting in March - Tuesdays at 1PM, let's go! to register ->

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

9 years

“ #Gold ”en pennant in play for bulls - $GLD

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 months

Key levels galore as we await PPI at 8:30 ET and then CPI tomorrow. Here's $EURUSD testing bearish trend line resistance (for the 7th time!) near 1.08

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

Finished my first ever Half Marathon today. Couldn't have had a cuter cheering section! ♥️

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 US #CPI (Jan) prints at 6.4% y/y vs. 6.2% eyed. Core CPI was 5.6% vs. 5.4% expected. 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

Crude #Oil Analysis: #WTI and #Brent Dump to Multi-Month Lows -

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 months

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 US ISM Manufacturing PMI prints 50.3 vs. 48.5 expected. First reading above 50 since September 2022! 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

This is a sharp point by @FX_Button - if all of these things can't drive #oil prices lower, it sure seems like nothing will... #OOTT

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 months

#Bitcoin is carving out a potential head-and-shoulders pattern month to date. A break of the neckline at $61K projects a measured move target down toward $50K. 😬

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

US Core PCE (April) printed at 4.9% y/y as expected, down from 5.2% last month. At the margin, this suggests that inflation may be fading and could reduce the need for interest rate hikes from the #Fed later this year.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

US dollar analysis: Will #NFP help the USD rise from the dead? See the key leading indicators for the US jobs report and what they're suggesting we'll see on Good Friday! 👇

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

Don't shut the door on #BOJ intervention just because $USDJPY is off its highs. My custom JPY index, which measures the strength of the yen against major rivals, is hitting all-time record lows today (back to 2005)!

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

Not to tread on @TheStalwart 's beat, but it is absolutely UNREAL that the stock market hasn't opened yet.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 months

Is #Gold finally breaking out of its 4-year "Cup and Handle (and Handle)" pattern? Could be a big bullish sign for a longer-term rally toward $2500 if the yellow metal holds its gains through this week..

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 months

Last week marked the 1st time since COVID that the 10yr Treasury Yield fell 100bps in 8 weeks. Before that, the last occurrence was back in 2011! Going back to 1990, such moves have occurred in the middle of bull markets (1995) OR near major market bottoms (2008, 2011, 2020)

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

Inflation may be 9% for the US as a whole, but our family's expenses just went up 33% ... and I couldn't be happier! Welcome Rhett Matthew Weller! ♥️👼

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 months

📈📉US CPI INSTANT REACTION📉 🥶 US #CPI (Apr) comes in a tick soft at 0.3% m/m (3.4%) y/y 🛍️US Retail Sales also missed expectations at 0.0% m/m vs. 0.4% eyed 👀 $EURUSD has broken above key resistance near 1.08. All eyes on 8-week highs near 1.0875

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

$AUDUSD is breaking below the neckline of its year-to-date H&S pattern - the "measured move" price objective sits down below 0.6600

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

*POWELL: WON'T HESITATE TO RAISE RATES ABOVE NEUTRAL IF NEEDED US indices selling off on this headline - we haven't explicitly heard this from Powell before. $DJIA $SPX $NDX

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

#Fed Powell prepares to pontificate to policymakers, #AUDUSD probes 0.6700 support -

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

5 months

Tomorrow is the first time since June 2020 that both #CPI and the #FOMC meeting were on the same day. The $VIX is relatively sanguine at just ~13 ahead of the fireworks.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

8 years

Love $AUDNZD on the long side - working on 2nd bullish engulfing candle this week after breaking falling wedge

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

3 years

#MysteryChartOfTheWeek 1) Are you buying or selling here? 2) Any guesses on the asset?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

💻💻 Microsoft earnings 💻💻 🔷 EPS prints at $2.45 vs. $2.23 expected. 🔷 Revenues came in at $52.9B vs. $51.0 eyed. $MSFT is trading UP +4% in the initial after-hours move.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 months

📈📉DAILY MARKET VIDEO📈📉 🛍️ US CPI comes in a tick cool, but unlikely to impact Fed decision 🏦 Kamala Harris seen "winning" last night's debate - now even odds to win the election 🥇 #Gold edges back from record highs but broader bullish view intact

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

Don't look now, but #WTI crude oil is testing its lows from September and earlier this week near $77.00 ahead of the US holiday. A break here could expose $70 in short order...

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 years

Interesting chart mentioned in @patrick_oshag 's podcast - the number of CFA charterholders per stock is surging

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

23 days

#Gold coiling at $2650 - technical bias remains bullish for now

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

$GBPUSD is approaching the top of its range 600-pip, 4-month range near 1.2450. Will it finally break out this time?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

2 years

$USDCAD has been on the march higher over the past couple weeks - the North American pair is nearing its highest level since 2020 near 1.2950 with the #Fed and #NFP on tap this week.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

7 months

@T3MaxxiAlt Works in the desert too

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

11 years

"The position size on my trades is determined by the stop, and the stop is determined on a technical basis" B. Kovner #MattsTradingQOTD

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

Gold Price Analysis: #Gold to See 6th Down Day as Real Yields Hit 14-Year Highs?

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

6 months

Add this to your "possible bottom formed" indicators: The S&P 500 $SPX just saw its strongest 3-day period (+3.1%) since last November. Strong buying pressure is NOT bearish.

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 month

This is SO good that I told @JStanleyFX to keep the whole course to clients only ... but he insisted on making the first 3 lessons free for everyone. Seriously, check them out and tell me if I'm wrong 👇

FOREX.com

@FOREXcom

1 month

Learn #forex on your schedule! 📅 The Trader's Course is online and offers flexible learning with 3 free intro lessons covering fundamental and technical analysis and price action. Start your journey today! ➡️

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Matt Weller CFA, CMT

@MWellerFX

1 year

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 US CPI (April) prints at 4.9% vs. 5.0% expected. Core CPI comes in at 5.5% as expected. 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

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