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Michael Caley Profile
Michael Caley

@MC_of_A

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I host the Double Pivot Podcast ( @doublepivotpod ) and I write the Expected Goals newsletter I do local politics with @newkingsdems he/him (mcofa79 at gmail)

Brooklyn, NY
Joined October 2013
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
25 days
a new Expecting Goals study! we are back and we are rolling as fast as we can the goal is to work through the process of building a statistical projection engine in soccer we start with Building the Monkey (link is in my profile)
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
3 months
Proposal: eliminate both France and Portugal and set the semi-final as rematch of Germany-Spain
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
I can't find the post anymore but it was like Average Florida Election Senator: Reanimated Hitler (R): 53% Banky McModerate (D): 46% Ballot question #1 : Institute full communism Yes: 62% No: 38%
@umichvoter
umichvoter 🏳️‍🌈
2 months
New FLORIDA poll by UNF (A rating), July 24-27 🟥 Donald Trump 49% 🟦 Kamala Harris 42% 🟥 Rick Scott 47% 🟦 Debbie Mucarsel Powell 43% Legalize recreational marijuana amendment 🟩 Yes 64% 🟥 No 31% Limit government interference with abortion amendment 🟩 Yes 69% 🟥 No 23%
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Michael Caley
2 months
the man is incapable of doing anything but mid-quality forum posts "what makes you smile?" "I smile when I get asked stupid questions like that <forced laugh>" that was a softball from a friendly reporter you dipshit talk about your family
@samueljrob
Sam Robinson
2 months
Fox 2’s Charlie Langton to Republican VP nominee JD Vance: “What makes you smile? What makes you happy?”
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
3 months
getting paid 10m a year to play football with your brother in the Basque country sounds pretty nice tbh
@FabrizioRomano
Fabrizio Romano
3 months
🚨🇪🇸 Nico Williams on his future: “I’ve just signed new deal at Athletic few weeks ago, I feel very good there”. “I’m very happy at Athletic”, told La1. “It’s very strange to receive questions on my future”.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
6 months
can't wait for the huge top-of-the-table clash between a team managed by Pep Guardiola and a team managed by Mikel Arteta
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
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@billscher
Bill Scher
2 years
U. of North Florida poll, FL reg voters Trump 50 Biden 43 DeSantis 51 Biden 42 6 wk abortion ban, no exceptions Support 22 Oppose 75 Concealed carry Support 21 Oppose 77 Ban CRT/DEI on campus Support 35 Oppose 61
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
I heard people talking about this but I was not ready for how pronounced it is, this is daffy duck shit
@brenonade
Brennan Murphy
2 months
Trump sounds like he has a lisp
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
19 days
a 22 year old woman with a college degree is a liberal, the world will truly never stop surprising us
@KevOnStage
Kevín
19 days
Them folks in Caitlin Clark’s IG comments withdrawing their support for her cuz she liked Taylor Swift’s post endorsing Kamala.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
7 months
single-issue voter on the issue of "personally tried to get me killed"
@Acyn
Acyn
7 months
Pence: I will not be endorsing Donald Trump
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
@RottenInDenmark Jackman is one I really believe didn't roid up, he was a big dude already and he didn't really get bigger just did insane diet and dehydration shit to make his already buff body "ripped" like that
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
4 months
why won't he just give back his money to FC Barcelona it's a mystery
@Sport_Witness
Sport Witness
4 months
🇪🇸🚨 Clement Lenglet | West Ham said to be interested in Barcelona player ➡️ Barca and the Catalan press still confused why he won't just give up the wages he deferred during peak pandemic #whufc #coyi
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
has a man ever looked less like he was going to drink the beer he was holding
@itvfootball
ITV Football
1 year
Harry Kane enjoying his first Oktoberfest experience at Bayern Munich 😄🍺
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
there it is! Woodrow Wilson and the numbers don't add up <chef kiss>
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
the 🐐 question has always been extremely simple -Messi and Ronaldo do about the same number of goals -Messi does far, for more non-goal stuff than Ronaldo there's just not room for reasonable debate, never was
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
12 days
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@aashisjo
Aashis Joshi
14 days
I urge degrowth & other climate action researchers to keep in mind that all extraction adds damages to people & ecosystems somewhere, & challenge them to rise above techno-modernist ideology to envision radical alternative ways of organizing our lives & societies. 1/
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
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@chrisgeidner
Chris “Law Dork” Geidner
1 year
BREAKING: In a surprise ruling, the Supreme Court, in a 5-4 decision, AFFIRMS a lower court ruling that found Alabama violated Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act by diluting Black people's votes with the state's redistricting plan.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
one way you can tell Trump has nothing to do with Project 2025 is that he can demand the removal of its director
@RonFilipkowski
Ron Filipkowski
2 months
Trump Campaign issues a nasty statement after Project 2025 Director resigns, which clearly proves they were the ones who demanded it and are only upset about it because it was so unpopular with the public.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
-what's your job? I'm... the president... of business
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@TimesSport
Times Sport
1 year
🔺 EXCLUSIVE: Chelsea are set for more upheaval, with their president of business Tom Glick expected to leave after only ten months at the club
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Michael Caley
1 year
not often you can specifically credit one reporter with making something happen, but it is clear that absent Crafton's reporting, they were bringing Greenwood back
@AdamCrafton_
Adam Crafton
1 year
NEW: 🚨Manchester United today announce Mason Greenwood to continue career elsewhere, u-turning on plan communicated by ceo Richard Arnold to executive leadership on August 1. Follows reporting from @TheAthleticFC & backlash by fans, charities & MPs
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
the choice facing Germany is do they allow a long recession with even longer term effects on national industry, which enables the far right to gain power in Germany for the first time in nearly a century, or do they run a mildly negative fiscal balance for a short period of time
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
1 year
“Some of Germany's biggest companies have begun to ditch the fatherland, triggering fears of deindustrialization.”
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
young Republicans are all on Nazi group chats with each other and they're screenshotting everything to use as revenge material in case they ever feud these stories will be endless
@noturtlesoup17
amanda 🐢
1 year
A leaked group chat run by New York Young Republican Club President Gavin Wax featured support of race realism, Zyklon B and oven jokes, defense of Richard Spencer, and slurs. Participants included white nationalist James Allsup & Proud Boy Shane Trejo.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
"greatest soccer player of all time spends twilight of his career enmeshed in high stakes soft power competition between rival dictatorships" seems about right for the modern game
@FabrizioRomano
Fabrizio Romano
1 year
🚨 Paris Saint-Germain have decided to suspend Lionel Messi with immediate effect for two weeks, sources confirm. The suspension will take place now after Messi’s trip to Saudi NOT authorized by the club as per @RMCSport . Messi side, still waiting on official communication.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
who signed off on this good lord there's no content or analysis here, it's just "on the one hand there's lots of evidence he committed rape, on the other hand his elite striking ability" like why does this exist
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
3 months
hard to shake the feeling that Reid and Pelosi would have pushed Biden out of the race by now if this had happened under their watch
@JakeSherman
Jake Sherman
3 months
🚨PELOSI on Biden on @Morning_Joe : "It's up to the president to decide if he is going to run. We're all encouraging him to to make that decision. Because time is running short." LEMIRE: Do you want him to run PELOSI: "I want him to do whatever he decides to do. And that's the
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Michael Caley
7 months
it's all so arbitrary lol clearly Everton broke the financial rules, but did they break them in a 10 points way or a 6 points way? no one knows because it's all made up
@David_Ornstein
David Ornstein
7 months
🚨 EXCLUSIVE Everton points deduction for breach of Premier League profitability & sustainability rules reduced from 10 points to 6 after independent panel appeal hearing into original punishment. 2nd charge appeal hearing still to come @TheAthleticFC #EFC
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
there is every possible content warning on this, it's horrific stuff extremely detailed accusations -- including documents, witnesses and photographs -- of physical abuse by Antony all support to Gabriela Cavallin for speaking out
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
@jfreemyer I think somewhere deep inside there is a more or less normal guy who loves his family and he has spent the last half decade putting on this mask because he thinks it will get him the power and prestige he wants that's why he's so bad at it too
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
"David Alaba's father in law is one of the most famous chefs in Germany and he was just arrested as one of the leaders of a far right group plotting a violent overthrow of the German government"
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
this is basically a free money printer for football clubs and only a small percentage of them are firing it up
@ArsenalWFC
Arsenal Women
1 year
Same fixture. 10 years difference. 🗓️ 2013: 1,406 ❤️ 2023: 60,063
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
ok here they are 1) Kevin De Bruyne 2) Son Heung Min (only player with G/xG better than Messi and >1000 shots) 3) Radja Nainggolan 4) Dries Mertens 5) Hakan Calhanoglu 6) Josip Ilicic 7) Arjen Robben 8) Eden Hazard 9) Lionel Messi 10) Gareth Bale
@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
ok best finishers since 2010-11, up the sample requirement to 750+ shots 1) 96 G on 65 xG 2) 167 G on 118 xG 3) 52 G on 38 xG 4) 127 G on 95 xG 5) 60 G on 46 xG 6) 96 G on 75 xG 7) 94 G on 74 xG 8) 96 G on 75 xG 9) 440 G on 352 xG 10) 147 G on 118 xG they're ~all famous go
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
one of the greatest of all time going out on a straight red -- football heritage
@TheAthleticFC
The Athletic | Football
2 months
Has Marta played her last game for Brazil? She was shown a straight red for a high foot in her side's final Olympic group stage game against Spain.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
4 months
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
3 months
Trump wants Biden to stay in the race *so bad*
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
5 months
say you have a team that -sold its superstar -did not replace him -did bring in a new manager and is now on track to finish with -higher table position -better goal difference -better npxG difference you would probably say that manager has done a pretty good job at baseline
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
this is the genius of pep guardiola facing a press they play long ball to the big man, he controls and lays it off to the little man bringing innovation after innovation to our game
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
that "who is a positive male role model if Andrew Tate is cancelled" guy is a 700 follower life coach who paid for twitter and now his shitty post is all over my tl because the algorithm juiced it initially and now it's got viral qt energy this is what's making this place suck
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
first top manager sacked for explicitly Freudian reasons?
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
the difference between Juventus and Man City is that because Juventus are run as a real business entity, they had to keep careful track of their accounting fraud, making it possible to be discovered Man City is not a business so its books can be just entirely fake
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
4 months
honestly what the fuck
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
locking in
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
someone saying something stupid right after losing a sporting event is not that uncommon then all the worst people in the world tried to turn her into a vehicle for their hate crusade, and I'm glad she's trying to turn it around
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@BBCWorld
BBC News (World)
2 months
I want to apologise to Khelif - Italian boxer Carini
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Michael Caley
2 years
this is my mom in front of the affordable housing complex she made sure got built in her neighborhood she died this weekend and I miss her so much a loving, generous woman with a seemingly infinite capacity to fight for things she thought were right
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
well that is about as clear as a message could get, jesus christ
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
4 months
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
"people who are unusually susceptible to being scammed" feel like they're becoming increasingly prominent in our politics
@metzgov
bryan metzger
2 months
Isaac Chotiner interviewing the head of Arab Americans for Trump
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
Valencia turned down a *what*
@CBSSportsGolazo
CBS Sports Golazo ⚽️
1 year
West Ham are interested in USMNT's Yunus Musah, according to @jamesbenge . 🇺🇸 Valencia turned down a $37 million offer from Chelsea this past winter. 👀
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Michael Caley
1 year
it is really, really funny that the appeals panel delayed the points deduction until it was clear exactly how many points would knock juventus out of the champions league
@juvenewslive
Juventus News Live
1 year
🚨 The revised points penalty arrives tomorrow. The feeling is that it will be -12, the goal is to take away Champions League qualification. [CdS] #Juventus
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Michael Caley
1 year
the Manchester United public relations department is carrying out two jobs right now -- slow walk any response to the abuse allegations against Antony while protecting the club's involvement, and with all requisite speed destroy Jadon Sancho
@UtdDistrict
UtdDistrict
1 year
🚨 | One source said that there is little sympathy for Jadon Sancho inside the #mufc dressing room, saying: "The players have had enough of him." [ @MarkOgden_ ]
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Michael Caley
2 years
this shit crazy
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
9 months
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@Snowden
Edward Snowden
9 months
If I had to explain how the American Century collapsed in just 3 points, I might say: * Impoverishing the worker via union-busting & off-shoring * Unleashing the state by abandoning the gold standard * Continuously erasing essential liberties post-9/11 What are your 3?
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Michael Caley
1 year
he actually turned down the Saudi money, gotta give him some credit / can't wait to see what kind of insane financial shenanigans MLS pulled here
@GuillemBalague
Guillem Balague
1 year
Messi has decided. His destination: Inter Miami Leo Messi se va al Inter Miami
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Michael Caley
2 months
this is, like, the obvious baseline for a politician on the biggest day of their professional life but we haven't had a normally capable politician at the top of a presidential ticket in so long this reads like superheroic stamina
@josh_wingrove
Josh Wingrove
2 months
Harris “spent more than 10 hours Sunday placing calls to over 100 party leaders, Members of Congress, governors, labor leaders, and leaders of advocacy and civil rights organizations,” per a source familiar.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
9 months
@coysblue47 Son is the only player with over 1000 shots since 2010 and a better finishing rate compared to xG then Messi
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
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@FabrizioRomano
Fabrizio Romano
1 year
🚨 Understand there’s concrete chance for Thomas Partey to leave Arsenal this summer. Clubs are interested and there are discussions about his exit. #AFC Current contract expiring in June 2025 and no talks to extend as of today. Arsenal priority remains Declan Rice.
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Michael Caley
2 years
this is one of the most unhinged things I've ever read what is happening in her brain
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@HellGateNY
Hell Gate *subscribe today!*
2 years
"Dr. King called upon us to be just and to be fair, and to not judge people. And that has not been afforded to an individual named judge Hector LaSalle," @GovKathyHochul told a Sunset Park congregation on Sunday. Read the full transcript here:
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
9 months
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@Matt_Law_DT
Matt Law
9 months
Jordan Henderson is not thought to have earned anything from his time in Saudi yet - and may never do so. Exclusive story with @SamWallaceTel
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Michael Caley
2 years
it is very important that everyone know Gerard Deulofeu actually reached his potential at age 27 and is one of the best forwards in Italy now
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
an underrated part of Messi's greatness is that he just never got hurt Neymar, for occasional 1000-minute bursts, has been pretty close to Messi's level. but he can't maintain it, and Messi just did that for 12 years nonstop
@FabrizioRomano
Fabrizio Romano
2 years
BREAKING: Neymar’s season is over. A surgery will be carried out in the coming days in Doha. 🚨🔴🔵🇧🇷 #Neymar ➕ Neymar will not return to collective training for 3-4 months, PSG confirm.
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Michael Caley
12 days
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Michael Caley
1 year
possibly the most unhinged graphic I've ever seen from a team account
@Alhilal_EN
AlHilal Saudi Club
1 year
The medical tests “NEYMAR ” underwent, confirmed the Anterior Cruciate Ligament and Meniscus tear injury in his knee, he will be going through surgery and then a treatment program that will be determined later.. Return Stronger @neymarjr 💙 #AlHilal
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Michael Caley
3 months
people say they McMegan lost her fastball but here she is turning a normal case against a weakened presidential candidate into Bircherite Yalta trutherism so
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Michael Caley
1 year
Messi and Busquets are old, but last season Messi put up superstar goals and assists numbers again in France and Busquets was one of the best deep lying midfielders in Spain they're both a step early on the retirement league path and it very much shows
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Michael Caley
1 year
these clubs are no longer owned by the state, they have been privatized and sold to the public investment fund owned by the state
@PIF_en
Public Investment Fund
1 year
As part of today’s announcement of the Sports Clubs Investment and Privatization Project, four Saudi clubs – Al Ittihad, Al Ahli, Al Nassr, and Al Hilal – have been transformed into companies, each of which is owned by #PIF and non-profit foundations for each club.
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Michael Caley
11 months
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@ZRAFC
Z
11 months
Kai Havertz will plays as a left-back against Turkey this evening. When in possession of the ball, the Arsenal midfielder is supposed to interpret his role in a very offensive way. [ @kerry_hau ]
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Michael Caley
1 year
I give it 2-3 more weeks of this relationship before a Swiftie has made a major contribution to football analytics
@MarlowNYC
Marlow Stern
1 year
the swifties are on one today 😭
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Michael Caley
3 months
@petty_luke like I 100 percent get it when you're making normal midtable wages, the earning lifetime for a professional athlete is terrifyingly short but with Athletic Club's, uh, distinctive player restrictions they can pay wages that make it make sense
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Michael Caley
2 years
give this guy 2000 minutes at forward get sacked pretty much
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Michael Caley
1 year
Soucek and Gallagher would be the world's first false midfield
@FabrizioRomano
Fabrizio Romano
1 year
West Ham have submitted official bid for Conor Gallagher. Proposal in the region of £40m. 🚨⚒️ #WHUFC Chelsea have not sent official answer yet as discussions will take place in the next hours/days.
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Michael Caley
1 year
sometimes I think people forget what a truly bad international manager is like
@Sungmo_Lee
Sungmo Lee
1 year
Klinsmann on 1 : 1 draw and Son's 'no.8' role. "We could have scored 4 goals today, which is disappointing." "I'm thinking about 2 top system in Asian Cup and giving Son Heung-min a 'no.8' role as well as most of the teams will come out with defensive tactics against us."
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
so these allegations of domestic violence are really bad, and they're also an allegation of a football *club* being complicit in the violence in a new way
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Michael Caley
2 years
Ilhan is making exactly the face that you'd make if Matt Gaetz were explaining his stupid plans to you but it was in your interest that Matt Gaetz succeed in his stupid plans
@nicholaswu12
Nicholas Wu
2 years
Rep. Matt Gaetz had been making the rounds on the D side today talking to members. He told Rep. Omar the anti-Kevin group got all they wanted but still weren’t voting for him yet, per source familiar Photo cred to Getty/Win McNamee
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Michael Caley
1 year
son hattie
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Michael Caley
2 months
this is the political equivalent of Neymar's goal against Croatia
@ChuckCallesto
Chuck Callesto
2 months
They want this to GO AWAY... NEVER FORGET..
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Michael Caley
2 months
best theory is he took his dentures out, this is an extremely dental lisp and he's a very old man
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Michael Caley
3 months
*leg murder tackle takes a player out of the game under five minutes in* English referee: can't give a yellow it's too early
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Michael Caley
22 days
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Michael Caley
3 months
the problem is not the press conference the problem is the polls, which project an apocalyptic result. and there was nothing in the press conference to suggest a candidate who can prevent that
@nicholaswu12
Nicholas Wu
3 months
NEWS - "Today I ask President Biden to withdraw from the presidential campaign,” Rep. Scott Peters (D-Calif.), wrote in a statement obtained by POLITICO. “The stakes are high, and we are on a losing course.” w/ @DaniellaMicaela @sarahnferris
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Michael Caley
2 years
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Michael Caley
1 year
Prigozhin thought
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
lollllll
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@SenGillibrand
Kirsten Gillibrand
2 months
My friend @KamalaHarris is a champion for freedom and a proven leader who is ready to defeat Donald Trump and defend our democracy. I’m proud to endorse her — and I’m eager to join her in this fight. Donate to her campaign now:
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Michael Caley
1 year
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@sistoney67
Simon Stone
1 year
Once Saturday is out of the way, there will be a focus on the issue around Greenwood and how Man Utd deal with it.
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Michael Caley
2 months
this is where I'm at too he sucks but the mercenary logic is just completely unassailable
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@ettingermentum
ettingermentum
2 months
KAMALA VP TIER LIST IS OUT👇👇👇
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
do you remember the big freakout about "texting and driving"? that was because there was a big increase in pedestrian fatalities in auto accidents and people guessed it was because of distracted driving then they did a big study and found out it was just SUVs killing people
@DanRiffle
Dan Riffle
2 years
In addition to weight, cities should also be regulating vehicles by grill height. It’s bad getting hit in the legs and falling onto the hood, but a 20 mph collision with a pedestrian is more likely to be lethal when impact is in the chest or head and you fall to the pavement.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
Caicedo arriving at the Bridge in a long coat, watches from the stands, and at halftime he takes it off to reveal which team's kit is underneath and he subs in
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
actual
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@GarethBale11
Gareth Bale
1 year
Racism has no place in football or society! @LaLiga need to take serious and unequivocal action to stop this from happening. All my support to @vinijr
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Michael Caley
2 years
if a poll spits out a more or less impossible result, the response should be to interrogate *the poll* not speculate on the causes of the impossible result as a social reality
@BradWilcoxIFS
Brad Wilcox
2 years
NEW: STRIKING gender gap in romantic relationships reported by @pewresearch . "Recent years have seen a historic rise in 'unpartnered' Americans" hitting young men esp. hard. Now: ✔️34% of young women (18-29) single ✔️63% of young men (18-29) single
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
I understand *why* but it sure is something that all this reporting is happening on a Partey transfer and no one is allowed to mention the context that he might not be legally free to play football in England next season
@TheAthleticFC
The Athletic | Football
1 year
Arsenal and Thomas Partey’s representatives are both working on potential exit solutions for the midfielder. There is interest in the 30-year-old from clubs in Saudi Arabia. More from @David_Ornstein
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
3 months
a penalty given for a foul after the shot! this game is truly about what can be, unburdened by what has been
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 years
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@SallyGold
Sally Goldenberg
2 years
"Big Brother is protecting you." - @NYCMayor on NYPD technology he intends to expand in the coming year. A look at his first year in office as it relates to policing, w/ @joeanuta .
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
it was.... odd how many spurs commentators didn't think the most likely captain was the longtime star who captains his international team
@David_Ornstein
David Ornstein
1 year
🚨 EXCL: Son Heung-min appointed Tottenham captain. Cristian Romero + James Maddison assistants. Decision by Ange Postecoglou & club well received by squad. Trio seen as players/characters to bring improved spirit + progress in new era @TheAthleticFC #THFC
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Michael Caley
1 year
how many Katie McCabes are there in world football -- players who are both the best and most violent member of their team?
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
1 year
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@NathGissing
Nathan Gissing
1 year
Exclusive: Chelsea are closing in on a deal for Brighton’s Moises Caicedo. Bid submitted for £115 million. #CFC #BHAFC
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Michael Caley
11 months
you cannot accurately describe the present state of American politics without being really really mean this newsletter hits the mark
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@ettingermentum
ettingermentum
11 months
Republicans are incapable of governing. It's because they're stupid.
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@MC_of_A
Michael Caley
2 months
polling is predictive of electoral outcomes
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@SymoneDSanders
Symone D. Sanders Townsend
2 months
Polling is not predictive. It doesn’t tell you what is going to happen like Miss Cleo with a crystal ball. Polling is indicative of where people are at a given time.
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