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@Jonpy99

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Shturm with Motorcycles Stored equipment spreadsheet:

Joined March 2018
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
6 months
Thread of threads: 1/ Prewar BTRZ count:
@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
1/ Prewar AFV and tank count of Russian BTRZs (BTRZ stands for Armor Repair Plant) in collaboration with @HighMarsed . Before diving into the count, BTRZs aren't actual storage facilities, but factories where equipment previously in storage is set to be refurbished for service.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ It's time to show the rest of BMPs and BTRs left in Russian storage. Here's my final thread on AFV counts.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ On sheds, scrapyards and parking lots: short thread on some caveats about Russian military storage bases.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
1/ Small thread on some insights on stored Russian military trucks.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
1/ Thread on the status of stored BTRs in mid-2024 with the collaboration of @CovertCabal . Some trends starting to appear in storage bases regarding older BTRs, and they are very interesting.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
1/ Last thread on Russian AFVs in storage. As you all can guess, the final thread is on BMPs.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
1/ Thread on future prospects, trends, predictions and refurbishment and production rates of Russian AFVs.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ It's finally time to publish some actual figures from the updated AFV count made by @HighMarsed and myself. First thread is on MT-LBs, the humble workhorse of the Russian military, and how it's close to storage depletion.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Thread about my estimations on what currently remains in Russian storage. Consider that even the most recent footage from @Vishun_military is already 2-4 months old, and almost everything else is far older.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
1/ Now it's time for one of the two last major AFV threads: let's dicuss stored Russia BTR-60/70/80s.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
1/ Some more updates on depleted Russian storage facilities thanks to @waffentraeger (this time with his consent, heh). First the 7027th base at Pospelicha. Not a single piece of equipment left there, just an active surveillance radar station from the 590th Anti-Aircraft Missile
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
1/ Thread on the state of Russian BMDs in storage in mid 2024 in collaboration with @CovertCabal . Some interesting trends to analyze here.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Updated BMD count. Let's how the Russian airborne IFVs in storage are looking after more than two years of peer warfare.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
2/ Like I said in the past, Russia has an immense number of stored trucks, probably in the 40-50k ballpark. However, most are junk, parked there for decades without proper maintenance.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
29 days
1/ So, some more Russian smaller storage bases being depleted. I mentioned the one at Novaya Stanitsa this morning.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
6 months
11/ Another interesting base is the one located near Novaya Stanitsa. You can clearly see in these pics how the equipment sharply decreased by June 2023. I'm just gonna post an analysis on this base by another account as it already has the numbers:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
1/ Russia keeps removing armored vehicles even from artillery depots, including MT-LBu artillery support vehicles.
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
5 months
1/ Russia has severely depleted one of their largest towed artillery storage bases. In updated images it is visible that they have removed about 60% of the stored guns and half of the remaining guns might be unusable. Data and IDs below.⬇️
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Analysis on @Vishun_military footage of the 22nd, 227th/769th, 1295th, 111th, 1311th, 3018th/6018th and 2544th Russian storage bases.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
I just finished counting @Vishun_military 's footage of all major storage bases they bought to help them with AFVs. Without revealing anything, Russian storage situation is a lot more dire than I thought. Many bases are close to depletion and other still hold hundreds of armored
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
They keep removing scrapped equipment from their bases at the same time they also keep cannibalizing what little working equipment is left in storage. You'll know more about this next week.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ On sheds, scrapyards and parking lots: short thread on some caveats about Russian military storage bases.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
3 months
And now this base too is almost depleted and there are just 54 MT-LBs left there.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
16/ 230th: October 2022 (nothing removed since 2021) vs Yandex footage.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
19 days
Belarusian 45th Missile and Munitions Arsenal in 2020 and 2023. You can guess where all that ammo went.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
28 days
1/ Small thread on Russian stored ARVs and their dynamics.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
5/ This doesn't mean that Russia will run out of trucks. No, if there's one kind of military vehicle easy and cheap to manufacture in huge numbers, those are trucks. And if the worst came to pass for them, civilian trucks still exists. In fact, civilian trucks are not sanctioned
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
1/ A couple days ago @CovertCabal released his MT-LB count video, done in collaboration with me. I was celebrating my birthday AFK this weekend, but now it's time to make a thread about it.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
We have so much proof of everything Russia produces... except T-90s. Not a single picture of them actually producing new T-90 hulls, just turrets.
@AndreiBtvt
Andrei_bt
4 months
На видео КМЗ засветился корпус «Курганца» в процессе производства. Также можно наблюдать производство БМД-4М. «Курганец» несмотря на про��лемы (, ) в виде поплавков все же имеет шанс пойти в серию.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Updated 2024 BTRZ count and analysis. This time with actual updated footage thanks to @Vishun_military and @waffentraeger .
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
1/ Last thread about the mid-2024 AFV count update in collaboration with @CovertCabal . This one is about MT-LBus and also BRDM-2s, as those don't seem worthy of a thread for themselves.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
16 days
103rd BTRZ. This place had a lot of T-62s waiting to be refurbished. Spot the differences:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
4/ It's been more than a year since Russia started resorting massively to vehicles such as UAZ-452.
@naalsio26
Naalsio
10 months
20 August 2023 Russian UAZ-452 'Bukhanka' with Kontakt-1 ERA
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
6/ However, the huge attrition on their truck fleet has forced them to unmothball trucks, which is just another proof that the equipment situation for the Russia army is not, let's say, ideal. Let's look at some examples in the following tweets.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Updated BTR-50 count. This thread is gonna be very short, as there were never many BTR-50s in storage in the first place, but it is what it is.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
5/ Since the war started, scrapyards, which previously held junk for years without it being moved, suddenly started emptying in many places. I want to show some exampled of this: first, I'm linking again my previous post of the 1295th:
@Jonpy99
Jompy
8 months
@HighMarsed An interesting thing we noticed at the 1295th: a lot le T-55 hulls have been removed from the local scrapyard since the war started
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
29 days
Worth remembering that Russia has taken a lot of pontoon equipment from storage during the past 2 years.
@bayraktar_1love
Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦
29 days
Destroyed column of Russian equipment that was supposed to build a pontoon crossing over the Seym River near the village of Zvannoe, Kursk region.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
2/ I mentioned a while ago that I was planning a thread on these topics, and finally it's here. This is mostly about explaining some interesting subjects about Russian stored equipment and how it can help unsolve part of the mistery of how much more potential equipment remains
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Time for the last of my individual AFV counts for now. This time is the BRDM-2, the obsolete Soviet armored scout car.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
4/ Practically all storage bases have a local scrapyard where they destroyed mothballed equipment that was not classified as fit anymore for various reasons: it could be too obsolete, it could exceed CFE numbers, it simply was beyond their capacity to mantain such number of
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
3/ First I want to talk about scrapyards. On the thumbnail is the most famous one, the local scrapyards of the 1295th base at Arseniev, of which I have talked several times and that's a great example of this particular subject.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
11/ I forgot about this: at the 1295th scrapyard they have kept taking broken T-54/55 and BTR-50 hulls for some reason.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
2/ Here you have the numbers at the remaining storage bases storing BMPs and BTRs which I haven't covered until now, with outdated dates in orange. First BMPs:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
It's locked by pro Russian mods. Which is specially funny when you realize the Russian version of the same article has the updated 2024 numbers lol.
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
2 months
1/ Someone should update the "List of equipment of the Russian ground forces" on Wikipedia with Military Balance 2024 numbers. ⬇️
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
7/ I already mentioned the 1015 Factory for Repair of Military-Technical Property a few days ago:
@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
9/ As you can see, it's entirely depleted too. It stored a lot of trucks.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
3/ And the numbers in storage. As you can see, almost a third of the prewar BTRs in storage are gone by now, and that's despite them not being the main focus of AFV reactivation:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
7/ The 2546th/103rd: prewar and during the war.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
3 months
Even more evidence of stored MT-LBs running out. I'm just reviewing all the minor storage bases @waffentraeger found. This is 82nd Seperate Repair and Restoration Bataillon. Comparison between 21.05.2022 and 25.10.2022:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
16 days
Armored artillery support vehicles still being pulled out from storage facilities. See these PRPs and MT-LBus at the 40th Arsenal. Image discovered by @waffentraeger .
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
Constant T-62 shipments. Looks like the 103rd managed to increase it's pace of work.
@Rhaescuporis
D'Mithridates
2 months
Another batch of 12+ T-62M Obr. 2022 MBTs from the 103rd BTRZ en route to the frontline. According to the car's plate number the video was shot in the Republic of Bashkortostan
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
9/ At some other bases the number of scrapped hulls has increased tho. The 94th arsenal it's one such case, due to the cannibalization of artillery: prewar vs during the war.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
4/ Worth noting that well over 1,000 BMPs were little more than broken hulls, clearly only useful as spare parts donors.
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
9 months
2/ I have added some ground footage of the 111th and 2456th below and I think it is save to say that likely many more of the remaining BMPs will never see combat, especially from the 769th, 111th and 2456th.
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Jompy
5 months
8/ The 2544th: prewar vs during the war.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
4/ Like I hinted the other day in the BMP thread, Russia has started to slowly demthball older BTRs in greater numbers than before, at the same time that stored BTR-80s are almost gone and those that remain are mostly broken hulls.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
8/ Before showing the full effects of the rapid depletion of well-preserved stored BMPs, I'll nonetheless say that we have already seen Russian demothball or move around older pieces of equipment such as BTR-70s or BRDM-2s. More on this on future threads.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
11/ This isn't conclusive at all, but I find very interesting that early during the many several of the biggest storage bases saw an unprecedented drop in the number of stored scrap, and at many other broken hulls were rearranged in rows. I can't assure it, but I guess part of it
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Updated MT-LBu count. There haven't been a lot of movement of MT-LBus in storage, but still, let's see how things have changed since 2021.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
6/ In the most recent footage they haven't removed more equipment from the scrapyed; instead, they have moved junk from the active part of the base to said scrapyard.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
10/ In most recent footage which I can't share the number of broken hulls has dramatically increased at many bases tho, as I said yesterday.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
I just finished counting @Vishun_military 's footage of all major storage bases they bought to help them with AFVs. Without revealing anything, Russian storage situation is a lot more dire than I thought. Many bases are close to depletion and other still hold hundreds of armored
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
2/ @HighMarsed and I found 5,766 BMPs of all kinds in storage before the war
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
8 months
1/ Full count and identification of AFVs and other armored vehicles at Russian storage bases (pre-war), made together with @Jonpy99 . We found almost 14000 vehicles across 39 bases. I have added all individual counts and additional info below.⬇️
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
8/ Another trucks storage site is the 6532nd. Compare the number of stored trucks between July 2021 and May 2023.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
5/ After having posted in recent threads the total numbers of MT-LBs, MT-LBus, BRDM-2s and BTR-50s counted by me and @HighMarsed , and also the number of BMPs and BTR-60/70/80s at the bases analyzed along with @Vishun_military , now it's time to look at the remaining armor left in
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
3/ And BTRs:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
6 months
1/ Small thread on AA systems in Russian storage. We have only found one AA storage base: the 75th Arsenal at Serphukov (54.931848 , 37.413619).
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
12/ Now that we have talked about scrapyards, it's time to talk about the next subject: sheds.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
15/ It's indeed almost certain that the most modern and best preserved stored equipment would've been stored inside garages. However, I doubt that most sheds actually were used to stored equipment. Most likely, a biggest share of them were used for critical facilities such as
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
Wtf man this is so rare.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
4/ Here are the prewar quantities @HighMarsed and I found:
@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
Actual numbers after a second count to confirm them are the following:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
5/ So let's see this in depth. First of all, the 2544th (the one in the previous tweet). Russia already removed roughly 50 BTR-70s from this base in late 2022, but during the first half of 2024 they also pulled out another half hundred.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
24/ Finally, the last, but not least important topic I want to talk about today: how the way stored equipment is lined up can tell us a lot about their state and usefulness.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
11 days
There's a lot of such ammo arsenals all over Russia, hopefully Ukraine starts playing them more attention from now on.
@vcdgf555
Evergreen Intel
11 days
Toropets Arsenal is a huge site, about 3 miles long and at places ~1 mile wide. This one is going to burn for a while.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
6/ As you can see, BMPs are mostly stored at the usual tank and IFV bases, such as the ones I already covered with newer footage bought by Vishun, aka the 22nd, 1295th, 111th, 2544th, 769th and 3018th/6018th.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Analysis on @Vishun_military footage of the 22nd, 227th/769th, 1295th, 111th, 1311th, 3018th/6018th and 2544th Russian storage bases.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
3 months
The fact that Russia keeps making new BMD-4s after it's been proved to be a terrible design for modern warfare, instead of scrapping the production line and retooling it to make even more BMP-3s is atrocious. Good for Ukraine, tho.
@markito0171
C4H10FO2P ☠️
3 months
🇷🇺BMD-4
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
8/ No surprise tho, BTRs stored there are wrecks, just like everything else.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
6 months
This article is AWESOME. So many good quality images from recent months. And so revealing too, in the last quarter of 2023 they took a lot of stuff from every major storage base.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
25/ You see, I'm running out of time, so I'll finish this last part of the thread later today. Hope you have enjoyed it so far.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
18/ But that's not the only point about hangars that supports this theory. Another intersting thing is that they have kept demolishing them at an steady rate for years, even after 2022.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
10/ Let's look at another one, a possibly active base south to the 80th arsenal: August 2021 and September 2023.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
9/ Or one section of the 774th base: September 2020 and May 2023.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
16/ @Ath3neN0ctu4 recently found many interesting pics of storage bases, including multiple ones inside hangars that point out exactly to this:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
23/ To sum this up, hangars probably didn't hold as much equipment prewar as many estimated, and they probably aren't even that useful when the Russian military is actively demolishing many of them, and has been doing this for well over a decade due to a lack of funds and use.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
3/ as well as another 864-869 BMPs in BTRZs.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
1/ Prewar AFV and tank count of Russian BTRZs (BTRZ stands for Armor Repair Plant) in collaboration with @HighMarsed . Before diving into the count, BTRZs aren't actual storage facilities, but factories where equipment previously in storage is set to be refurbished for service.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
3 months
Time to reassess my predictions and see how far off I was this time.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
1/ Thread about my estimations on what currently remains in Russian storage. Consider that even the most recent footage from @Vishun_military is already 2-4 months old, and almost everything else is far older.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
Something weird which is one of the main reasons why I gonna do an engineering equipment count IS that I barely saw some dozens ARVs in storage, and they mostly are still there because their condition must be bad. I wonder where are they getting all those ARVs then.
@jvekseel
Resurrected in death
2 months
Russian echelon with artillery tow trucks ATS-59G removed from storage (1969 year of production). @Jonpy99 @HighMarsed @waffentraeger Source:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
10/ At the current rate of losses, I'd be thoroughly surprised if Russia still retain any BMP-2 in storage by this year's end. But we also have to account that not every hull will be worth restoring, some will inevitable be only good to cannibalize them.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
5/ We also found ~600-700 BMP-based support vehicles, such as BREM-2s or PRP-1s, which aren't actual combat vehicles but we included in the count.
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
8 months
3/ The 94th holds a lot of BMPs and other armored vehicles which are likely not regular BMPs but rather PRPs or other variants. Only few of them have been removed.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
10/ By now 7 working BTR-80s and 33 broken ones remain, out of 429 when the invasion of Ukraine started. You can see that most of them are pretty rusty.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
One more depleted storage base, and there are many more looking as empty as this one by now. In fact, even most active bases are empty by now, which wasn't the case for most of 2023.
@waffentraeger
Waffentraeger
4 months
As promised the next 🧵, about the (now exhausted) Rocket and Artillery Weapons Arsenal in Karabasch. 1/14 55°24'08"N 60°12'36"E
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
16 days
Guess they're not keeping a fleet in being after all.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
16 days
They're also slowly removing the remaining MT-LBs in storage. See the remaining ones at the 4990th, some of them look pretty cannibalized:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
6/ This is specially interesting because no other equipment stored at this base been touched in over a year. 197 BTR-70s, or 65% of the prewar amount here remain now.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
34/ The 2544th stayed exactly the same. Actually, nothing was moved but BTR-70s. More on that tomorrow.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
9/ Another major base where BTRs dropped in these last 6 months is the 22nd. I've talked many times about this one, it mostly stored modern armor before the war started, like T-80U/UDs, BMP-3s and BTR-80s.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
9/ And some actual BMPs are also stored in small numbers in bases that HighMarsed and I are unsure if are storage or active bases: the 245th, 187th, 5349th/104th, 7022th, 230th, 237th, 243th (bis) and 247th. These small bases have been almost entirely depleted by now.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
10 days
I've decided that I'll do all the threads I noted on my recent "to-do list" tweet and the I'll call it. I just don't like this hobby as much as I did in the past. I'll keep the spreadsheet but that's it, I won't update after 2024.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
7/ And also at the 349th and 103rd/2546th, which are gonna be covered in this thread.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
@CovertCabal 37/ I'll soon get one final thread with my estimates on cannibalization and remaining equipment in Russian storage. Other than that, unfortunately Vishun couldn't get updated footage of the 349th and 2546th/103rd storage bases, that by the latest footage I counted still held over
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
11/ Now that that's explained, let's get into the actual analysis. First I'll start with the 394th. Based on ground footage from a decade ago, equipment stored here is pretty rundown, but the lack of good footage make it impossible to prove it:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
7 months
6/ With all that said, numbers clearly dropped. There isn't that much on figures per se to say, as HighMarsed already did on his own a pretty good analysis on stored BMPs a few months ago and we barely found any new satellite footage this time around.
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
9 months
1/ Russia has removed 1081 BMPs from storage bases since 2021 and at least 765 of the remaining 3730 vehicles are visibly broken beyond repair (satelite imagery), but the real number is likely higher which I explain in this thread. All individual assesments are linked below⬇️
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
19/ Some satellite footage of this attached as examples: first, a comparison of the 230th:
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
5 months
8/ Most of the other BMPs are stored in artillery depots, like the 94th arsenal. Probably all armor stored there are artillery support vehicles like PRP-3s in the case of BMP-based armored vehicles:
@HighMarsed
Highmarsed
9 months
There are 356 BMP based vehicles at the 94th (June 2023) . The vehicles look a bit different from regular BMPs and Russia usually doesnt store IFVs at the artillery bases, which is why I think these are some kind of support vehicles, although I cant confidently ID them
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Jompy
5 months
27/ Back to work. As I was saying, the way equipment is lined up in rows can tell us a lot about their readiness. "Good" equipment is usually pretty well lined up, while "bad" equipment is left as it was parked a long time ago. Compare the armored vehicles at the 3018th/6018th
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
2 months
While everyone is cheering for the Kursk offensive, let's not forget the most important battle being fought right now.
@JohnH105
John Hardie
2 months
Updated @Deepstate_UA map of Russian advances on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. The Russians are ~8 km from Myrnhohrad and ~15 km from Pokrovsk.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
13/ That's not to say that Russia will run of trucks. Again, that's just impossible, and then again most stored trucks will remain in their sites because they're most likely broken and repairing them is probably more expensive than just buying new ones.
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@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
I just reran my stored BMP numbers accounting for all BMPs at those two bases being broken and then also 344 BMP-based non-combat vehicles at the 94th arsenal. Based on these numbers, but early 2024 Russia had 1,200 BMPs (mainly BMP-1s abd BRM-1s) left in storage.
@Jonpy99
Jompy
4 months
1/ Looks like the 349th and the 2546th storage bases have almost all their prewar equipment still stored there.
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Jompy
5 months
3/ However, in the most recent footage there were only 921 left.
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