🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱 @JoeNC05 Twitter profile

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

10 months

My Final Iowa Prediction Trump 51 DeSantis 21 Haley 19 Vivek 5 Other 4

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

@_sn_n He can run 3rd party!

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 months

I'm voting for Biden

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Georgia is very, very winnable for a generic Republican

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

7 days

Why I'm voting for Harris: After a horrible 4 years, the GOP had a chance to pick from many good candidates and win a realignment election. Instead, they nominated an angry old man who doesn't share our values and cares only about himself and his revenge. I can't sign off on that

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

This is looking between disappointing and very disappointing for GOP right now

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

It's criminal how so many people just ignore this result when talking about GA

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Fetterman is gonna be SO vulnerable in 2028, PA GOP better not fuck it up

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I bet trump voted for Crist.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I will never vote for Donald Trump.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 months

It's become rather normalized as the cycle goes on, but I want to reiterate how astonishing and pathetic it is that Republicans are struggling in Ohio while Dems are medium to heavy favorites in literally every swing state. This is not normal. This party has to change.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

The Reckoning is coming in NC

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

My thoughts on Early voting where we have good data Nevada: near-Catastrophic for Dems: barely leading the Early vote Georgia: Good for Rs, black turnout weak North Carolina: Probably good for Rs, volume is way down Arizona: Good for Rs, lower volume than 2018 and better%

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

No, Trump can not beat Biden in 2024. Period.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

4 years

Would Romney have been a better president than Trump?

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

1 year

The results in VA are absolutely not a refutation of Youngkin. To win either chamber, R's would have to win numerous seats deep in Biden territory. They did about as well as expected, winning most of the light blue seats and narrowly losing each chamber.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Barring a loss in a recount, looks like GOP will hold the PA state house by 14 votes.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Let me introduce you to: Black Belt Native reservations Northeast rurals Northern WI and MN RGV

Nick Adams

@NickAdamsinUSA

3 years

There are zero blue states, only blue cities.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Press s to spit on New York

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Ron Johnson is winning in a blowout

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

4 years

Extremely good 13-2 Ohiomander. This follows all the laws, and only splits 9 counties

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Congratulations to Joseph R Biden for turning me into a Neocon

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Stolen.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

So it looks like the pro rape candidate will lose after all

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

how to turn Texas blue with this 1 weird trick

Brigitte Gabriel

@ACTBrigitte

2 years

President Trump and Kari Lake looking fantastic at Mar-a-Lago! Would you like to see a Trump/Lake ticket in 2024?

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Dems trying to end Republican urban counties

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

So Maricopa is 73% in then. To extrapolate statewide, that would mean there are ~665k outstanding, Masters down by 90k, he needs a 13.6 point margin. That seems surprisingly doable?

Data Orbital

@Data_Orbital

2 years

MARICOPA BALLOTS REMAINING UPDATE: ~400k total ballots remaining. 275k were dropped off on Election Day. 125k were mailed back from Saturday to Tuesday. Election Day drop off batch likely strongly favor Republicans & the ballots that were mailed back will lean Republican.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Let's play a game of "Would they have beaten Josh Shapiro Easily?"

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

bro its worse than 2020 how is this a good thing for you

Michael McDonald

@ElectProject

2 years

The Fetterman campaign is banking some mail votes in Pennsylvania 👀

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

The GOP is a laughing stock right now. This kind of behavior is totally unsustainable.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

@leezeldin God Bless your heroic effort that saved our night.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

My 30,000 ft view of last night is that Republican turnout was pretty strong, certainly enough to win. We have a BIG Indy problem.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Black% dropped another half a point in Georgia, not looking good for Dems

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Someone said this yesterday, but trump getting beat down in a primary would probably improve the GOP image with independent voters.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Top 10 photos taken moments before disaster

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

you're next

Ronna McDaniel

@RonnaMcDaniel

2 years

Nancy Pelosi has officially been fired!

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

The GOP is broken. It must adapt or die. Right now it is definitively on track to die.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Saying an area is "trending left" is a terrible excuse for weak performance. Republicans NEED to reverse leftward trends in the suburbs, you can't repeat this map for the next 10 years and expect to compete.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Some people on here are just not capable of envisioning a R leaning environment and it's just so stupid interacting with them

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 months

The GOP is such a disaster this cycle. It's embarrassing that this even exists.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

NV Congressional turnout NV-1 (Titus): R+5 (91% in) NV-2 (Amodei): R+44 (67% in) NV-3 (Lee): R+10 (100% in) NV-4 was uncontested for Dems

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

HUGE SCHOCKING DEVELOPMENT IN GA: Dems Believe Warnock winning Debate while GOP impressed with Walker. Who would've guessed!

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Call me crazy but it sure looks like 2010 2.0 the way things are unfolding

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

@yogurt_chunk

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

It kinda gets overlooked because of ME-2, but it seems more and more like Trump's 3 point loss in Maine at large in 2016 was a fluke. Mills won by more than Biden, and Biden won comfortably. ME-1 seems to be getting bluer which is a huge problem.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Given the state of the country and Biden's unpopularity, Trump's drag on the GOP is truly of unprecedented magnitude for the midterms to have played out as they did

Tom Bevan

@TomBevanRCP

2 years

Meanwhile, Biden's approval rating in the RCP Average has slipped back to 41.0%, the lowest point since August 20.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Unless the early voting turns around I'm like 90% sure CCM is toast

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

1 month

To be clear: this is not an indication of Trump winning, it's an indication of how much a normal Republican would be crushing the Dems right now. Trump is a massive anchor pulling us away from this outcome

Tom Bevan

@TomBevanRCP

1 month

👀👀 Gallup: First time Republicans have led on Party ID in Q3 of presidential year.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Top 10 most likely to flip Senate Seats: 1. AZ 2. NV 3. GA 4. NH 5. PA 6. WI 7. CO 8. NC 9. OH 10. WA

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 months

Tonight solidified Harris gains with college educated voters

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

4 years

I only post facts

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I think we are getting an R+5 environment, 53 senate seats, and low 240s in the house. It seems gravity has taken over, and Dem's are going to struggle greatly

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

"That's not good for democrats" -Van Jones lol

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

This is actually one of the best examples of your vote doesn't matter.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Let's take a moment to admire how stupid these categorizations are (NYT, 2020 President)

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Somehow (mostly thanks to Summer Lee and Brian Fitzpatrick) the PAGOP won the popular vote

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Worked

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Flips I currently expect for Rs: AZ 1 FL 7,13,5 GA 7 NC 6 VA 7, 2 TN5 TX 34, 28 MO 5 CA 49, 45, 10 WA 8 IL 17 OH 13, 9 WI 3 MI 5, 8 PA 17, 7 8 NJ 7 NH 1 NV 4 ME 2 IN 1 30 total for now

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Mooney is not great, but you don't beed a total rock star to best Manchin. It should be Allright

Alex Bolton

@alexanderbolton

2 years

Rep. Alex Mooney (.) announces on that he is officially running to challenge Sen. Joe Manchin in 2024. "I'm all in," he tells radio host Hoppy Kercheval.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

I'm not trying to personally insult him but I think we can all have a good laugh at this nonsense ( From 2020)

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

If Herschel Walker is the nominee in Georgia he will get crushed and you morons who support him will deserve it for nominating a fucking idiot who is one of the few republicans capable of doing worse than trump in the suburbs

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Dems at just 34% in a Trump+5 congressionl seat (CA-22)

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

There is not one solid piece of evidence that indicates this is not on the way

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

this update seems surprisingly good for Laxalt?

Decision Desk HQ

@DecisionDeskHQ

2 years

DDHQ Race Update (est. 91% in): NV US Senate Adam Laxalt (R): 436,854 (49.40%) Catherine Masto (D): 421,042 (47.61%) None Of These Candidates: 10,302 (1.17%) Follow more results here:

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Val Demmings be like

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

1 year

He is going to be sorely missed, whether people realize it or not. One of the most effective leaders in modern US history.

Aaron Fritschner

@Fritschner

1 year

Mitch McConnell wearing the same tie today that he wore for his first post-August floor speech last year, but his appearance is otherwise pretty different

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

I very rarely resort to this, but this is the last straw. Primary time

The Post Millennial

@TPostMillennial

3 years

Gov. DeWine urges Ohio schools to require that kids wear masks in class.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Any republican who doesnt want O'Dea to win is an idiot

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 months

What a stupid, stupid decision. A slap in the face of swing voters who are looking for a reason to vote for the most left wing nominee in history over the deranged old man.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Probably just be personal bias, but i just have a hard time wrapping my head around the idea of Fetterman winning. Would really just defy my intuition.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

If you are a Republican, you should be 100% behind Tate Reeves.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Sad. Pls get rid of Romney and Murkowski at least.

The New York Times

@nytimes

3 years

Breaking News: The Senate voted 53 to 47 to confirm Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson, making her the first Black woman elevated to the Supreme Court.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I swear to god if I see another person say dems are outperforming their mail votes from 2018 I am going to scream

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Its over. Oz wins.

Holly Otterbein

@hollyotterbein

2 years

NEW: There are an estimated 8,700 Republican mail-in and absentee ballots left to count, says PA’s Department of State. This is “based on a comparison of vote totals to Republican ballots returned and information we received from counties throughout the afternoon,” per DOS spox.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Wow, Barry Goldwater got 27 million more votes that George Washington, he was clearly the best candidate ever

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Abolish Social Security

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Say it with me, Florida Senate is safe R

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

You've gotta be fucking kidding me

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

6 months

@ET_Californian >ex CIA >terrible things seem to happen to people in your way Hmmmm...

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Republicans will win PA Senate by over 2%, no matter who the nominee is. And they are more likely to go higher than lower.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

This day, 1 year ago

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Early 2024 House.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

Trump winning Pennsylvania by 17 points with 60% in is an emotional high that may never be matched in my lifetime

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Thread: Final 2022 Predictions, Toplines ---- Senate: 53R (+3), 75% Chance 47D (-3), 25% Chance ---- House: 244R (+31), 99% Chance 191D (-31), 1% Chance ---- Governors: 30R (+2) 20D (-2)

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

The NC senate map is really, really bad. bad black turnout basically stopped it from being closer than 2020

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Lean R

PollWatch

@PollWatch2020

2 years

Susquehanna Shows Oz +1 in PA Oz 47.6 Fetterman 46.6

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Obviously it's not over yet, but given the way early voting looks, it is really telling about the structural disadvantages that GOP has incurred under trump that it seems to be doing worse in GA runoffs than the generals.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Independent minded friend of mine voting Oz/Mastriano after supporting Clinton and Biden. Debate pushed him over the edge

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Very, very smart move from Laxalt

Josh Kraushaar

@JoshKraushaar

2 years

#NVSEN : Adam Laxalt's (R) position on abortion is awfully telling on the politics of the issue: "The people of NV have already voted to make abortion rights legal in our state, and so no matter the Court’s ultimate decision on Roe, it is currently settled law in our state."

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I'm sorry but this is just asinine

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 years

the Orlando snake returns

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

If he runs, Jim Justice is going to win, but I really don't like him. He'd basically a democrat.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

3 months

Fellas, just vote for Harris and end this nightmare. We can do so much better than this. The Senate will be Republican and maybe even the house, but this cannot continue. Get rid of the crazies so we can focus on solving the real and pressing issues in this country.

Rachel Coyle

@RachelCoyleOhio

3 months

NEW AUDIO -- Trump's VP nominee JD Vance calls rape and incest "inconvenient" Clip: Full interview:

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

@ET_Californian the level of ticket splitting, if Rs can somehow get their act together they definitely have a winning coalition most of the time.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

North Fulton county is just begging for a normal Republican to vote for

J. Miles Coleman

@JMilesColeman

2 years

North Fulton saw close to a 20% swing between the Gov. race last month and the Senate runoff. The Warnock campaign did a great job, while Kemp didn't have Walker's issues. Kemp carried everything but Sandy Springs. Warnock carried everything but Milton.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Polls are really shifting right. Seems more than just a blip to me. We will see if it continues but things are looking way better than even just 2-3 weeks ago

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

Vance is polling several points ahead of trump in 2020. Ohio isn't a swing state anymore. it's safe R in a red leaning year, and still pretty safe in a neutral or even D leaning one.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I expect Dems to win 51 Senate seats at this place. obv. no numbers from Nevada, GA could definitely be a runoff, but I don't see any national positives for GOP. something went haywire.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

I'm so tired of people arguing more moderate, non-trumpy candidates won't have more success, it's almost as if they ignored everything we saw from this election cycle.

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🇮🇱Joe 🇮🇱

@JoeNC05

2 years

The republican party has some real underlying problems. Unless and until trump's influence is negligible, there is clearly a big branding problem that is affecting all kinds of candidates. Dems are doing way better than they should in these swing state house races

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