So you're telling me that these VC ass clowns are now kneeling on their yoga mats praying that this house of ponzi they spent the last decade milking should get bailed out by the same folks that they've been dumping their excrements on?
GO FUCK YOURSELVES
Oh so hyped for those Q3 letters
"Unprecedented first 9 months of the year"
"Our companies continue to execute and grow"
"We are invested alongside our LPs and feel the pain"
"5 year time horizon"
"Charlie Munger said..."
"When the clouds eventually dissipate..."
Jamin Ball & David Sacks should start a fund. Not only would it have the most questionable “talent” in SV, it would also legit be Ball Sacks Capital
@jaminball
@DavidSacks
LPs have had the privilege of receiving stomach-churning volatility while massively underperforming over eight years - a small price to pay for Fred honing his craft and being intellectually stimulated each and every day.
@HaydenCapital
Saga Partners Q2'22
✅28-page ̷r̷a̷m̷b̷l̷i̷n̷g̷ update
✅Graham and Munger references
✅Clay Christensen's Theory of Disruption
✅Our companies are investing through their income statements
✅Our philosophy remains unchanged
✖️We were wrong
@SagaPartners
@richard_chu97
Your Lps might want to see you outperform the S&P first, not some anon account called "SnarkyPM". But challenge accepted since I'd love to solve world hunger. See below for my four.
Give FinTwit your top 4 investments and why you own them – if your four outperform over the next 12 months, I will donate $10K to the food bank of your choice next thanksgiving.
Is there anything more ironic than being told that your company has drifted into the ‘land of excess’ by the SPAC-peddling king of easy money chasing himself?
@altcap
We just published an Open Letter to Mark Zuckerberg and the Meta Board urging them to tighten their belt and sharpen their investment focus. The plan would 2x annual FCF to $40B, double down on AI, and put a cap on metaverse related investments.
Gosh what were some earlier signs that Hayden was gonna blow up? A collection of quotes from this philosophizing Icarus at the peak of his own head-up-the-ass market top (summer 2021)
@HaydenCapital
Greenhaven Road Q2'22
✅Multiple compressions don’t count
✅Do pray everyday for some multiple expansion
✅Rest assured our losses are only ‘unrealized’
✅Looooooooooves operating leverage
✅Private equity in public markets
✖️Mistakes were made
@GreenhavenRoad
I'm pausing all billing for my newsletter and providing full transparency (trades, portfolio, research) for free until further notice.
People are hurting financially and I want to provide free access to what I'm doing for those who are interested.
In particular, Invest Like the Best with
@patrick_oshag
and Capital Allocators with
@tseides
have become absolutely required listening for buy-siders. Though Masters in Business and Columbia's Value Investing With Legends also pull in some great guests.
Gavin Baker is the CIO and Managing Partner of Atreides Management, a tech/consumer crossover fund that he founded in 2019. Prior to Atreides, Gavin spent nearly two decades at Fidelity, with the last eight years as PM of the $17bn Fidelity OTC Fund. During his tenure, the fund
My conversation with Anne-Marie Peterson, from Capital Group
Everyone I meet from Capital has been there forever and absolutely loves investing
Every time I’ve talked to Anne-Marie I leave energized by her enthusiasm for what she does
We talk about all things investing
Enjoy
NOOOOO DON’T DUNK ON HIM
HES AN HONEST AND KIND PERSON
lmao you flock of hopeless tools. You got any idea how much this casino king pocketed running Vegas on IBKR????
@HaydenCapital
1) The nonstop dunks on
@HaydenCapital
bummed me out a little.
Don’t know him and admit to not having read his letters or watched his interviews, but he strikes me from afar as an earnest young guy who scrapped it out and built a business the hard way.
This is a hill I will die on. If you were long or short $CVNA anytime in the past couple of years then your thesis has not concluded. Saying you could predict $400 to $8 is the same as saying you could predict $20 to $400. Covid/Inflation/Russia/Chips/Stimulus etc.
If you’re investing with a 100-year time horizon, nothing that happens today matters. Market goes up. Market goes down 20%. There’s a crash. It doesn’t matter.
As others have mentioned already, Einhorn deserves respect for not closing shop and starting over.
Dude’s been under his high-water mark for seven years.
Fought his way back. Respect
@davidein
!
My conversation with
@SBF_FTX
Few (zero?) people have ever created multiple businesses with so much scale this quickly
It is like he is speed-running Factorio in real life
We discuss the function of markets, derivatives, crypto and much more
Enjoy!
1. If you happen to like what I write on $CDLX and $CVNA I'm passively looking for a new seat. Preferably generalist/tech LO analyst but open to other strategies. My goal with any position is to be one of the most informed owners and highly flexible with my mindset.
I’m always amazed how investors don’t understand that a business’s competitor’s poor results make that business’s results better by comparison. Ex monopolies, competition in business is all a relative game.
1) The nonstop dunks on
@HaydenCapital
bummed me out a little.
Don’t know him and admit to not having read his letters or watched his interviews, but he strikes me from afar as an earnest young guy who scrapped it out and built a business the hard way.
Passed +600% on the 1yr perf. Still think $CDLX is cheap and could easily end the year $40-60 on the back of AmEx launch with significant positive optionality from COF/Discover/Citi as well as rev share benefits, topline growth, and lower ad churn
@qkcap
I personally don't judge validity of analysis based on short term stock price moves. Could just as easily call myself a genius bottom ticker for buying a chunk at $3.60 and being up 40% in 24 hours.
The lack of any actual point with criticism gets rather boring.
Kind of crazy that Dave Calhoun, who has served on the board of Boeing since 2009, was chosen as CEO and that five of Boeng's current board members than been there 7+ years
No large company needs to clean house more than Boeing IMO
It's damaging our country
$UBER reports earnings this week and needs to double down on efficiency like $META. Should drive future growth with zero hiring. Eng / SBC still too big. Smaller, faster, more profitable Uber will increase comp advantage. I believe they will - time is now.
@bgurley
#timetogetfit
2023 prediction
Every emerging manager turning super "thankful" for their near-death experiences.
Surely they will all come out as "better investors"
@HaydenCapital
$CVNA Positives:
1 Renewing $ALLY MPSA
2 GPU slightly above expectations due to wholesale GPU, with retail GPU a touch weak
3 Cost cuts across the board due to efficiency gains
4 Above will also flow through to GPU with CA IRC and coastal ADESA as well as higher efficiency recon
🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
LPs are like "family"
Looking for 10-baggers
Incessant quoting of Mauboussin and other gigabrains
Quotes Picasso in letter
"I sold before company 5x'ed on me but that was a great call"
Talks about "capacity to suffer"
@KvetchNRelease
Spent a good chunk of time looking into this and I believe so, but always a possibility of getting rugged.
Point was more so directed at the claims that CVNA was founded purely to siphon wealth off via related party. That is nonsensical.
A wise account told me that, at a certain point, it’s irresponsible to tweet about specific stocks
And it’s true. People were buying and selling stocks based on what I said. Deeply uncomfortable. So I don’t tweet about individual stocks much anymore
Excited to be on stage in LA tonight with
@Downtown
to kick off
@FutureProofAC
. Talking Invest America 🇺🇸 - why an investment acct for every child born will strengthen & unite 🇺🇸, drive financial literacy, and ensure that all citizens share in the amazing upside of America. 🚀
Now accepting free membership for the NOTCFA® Institute
As CFAs have proven time and time again that they are unworthy in the real market, the global investment community has decided on a new designation to stand apart from the growing financial carcasses of CFA holders
A good reminder that as cyclical semiconductors are, it is upward cyclical.
Sometimes when we pull ourselves back to the bigger picture, and get perspective, it helps us get better clarity.
🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
Taking excessive pride in one's quarterly letters
Claiming to add value to company management
"Volatility is good for us"
"I am an artist and my portfolio is a blank canvas"
Claiming to be a craftsman
$NVDA up after hours. Company didn’t miss which is good, but not growing fast enough to justify the current valuation so I have no desire to own shares and no FOMO.
Jensen smartly playing up the AI trend even though it likely won’t materially impact revenue anytime soon.
Feels
Here's my conversation with Balaji Srinivasan (
@balajis
). We talk for almost 8 hours about how to fix government, social media, science, and the FDA. This was a wild and fascinating ride through ideas of how to build systems that empower human flourishing.
🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
"Team" = quarterly rotating roster of excel monkey interns even greener than the 30- year old PM
Traveling to Asia = surely unique insights
Solution to a 64% portfolio drawdown? More conviction needed
@JetSkiGolfLife
It would be interesting if you contributed anything of your own
You don’t pack much of a punch when you haven’t shared a single original thought of your own even once
meet your 'man in the arena' - a mid-level product manager who spends most of his waking hours tweeting and responding to anons while his team writes 6 lines of codes a year and holds woke workshops
@JetSkiGolfLife
You’ll wake up some day and realize it’s better to contribute something yourself. You can crack another joke as a reply, but it won’t change the fact that one day you’ll wake up and say fuck…maybe I should take a swing myself. You might fail but at least you’ll be living.
the question to "how the fuck do you do nothing else besides intern level number crunching and squiggle analysis and make partner at Altimeter", solved
$BILL - upside to TPV and txn revs from divvy cross sell (greater than expected penetration rate, big take rate expansion). Street mismodeling costs - don’t understand operating leverage in core business