James Marsh @JamesMarsh79 Twitter profile

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James Marsh

6 months

Tail Hedging - Learn to Insure Stocks Against Large Declines

Hey, Hey!Thanks for checking out my course. Please read the description carefully. This is an introduction to “Tail Hedging” using a simple, but powerful strategy. Stock markets have large, rare...

risk.tailhedging.com

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Last Seen Profiles

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@WyomingBob

James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Breaking news- US tests negative for capitalism

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Disconnect between workers and leaders about returning to the office As ⁦ @nntaleb ⁩ says - most CEOs are actors. Covid is showing they have zero leadership ability in crisis

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

It must be shocking to do well in school, get a job, and realize your success is mostly about faking your importance in a bureaucracy.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Thanks, dude. How about in early February?

The Hill

@thehill

4 years

Sen. Romney: "I'd like to learn from those countries that were successful. Let's not follow Italy, let's follow South Korea."

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Peter Thiel loves when people tell him his ideas are dumb. He knows he will not have to worry about competition.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

This situation reminds me of when @nntaleb was trapped in Lebanon during the beginning of the civil war and everyone said it would be over in a few months.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

With a population of 144 million, any corporation that is not selling to Russia anymore is not just virtue signaling, they are sacrificing profits.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 months

Hedge funder Mark Spitznagel says there's 'something immoral' about America’s reliance on debt — and future generations 'will bear the burden’ | Fortune

Hedge funder famous for his ‘black swan’ strategy says there's 'something immoral' about America’s...

"We have been just incredibly irresponsible to future generations,” Universa Investments' Mark Spitznagel told Fortune. “We should all feel really, really bad about it."

fortune.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Sociopath

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

This is what @nntaleb has been saying

Human Progress

@HumanProgress

5 years

According to the U.S. economist Thomas Sowell, "Most working Americans, who were initially in the bottom 20% of income-earners, rise out of that bottom 20%. More of them end up in the top 20% than remain in the bottom 20%."

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

If Obama was in power, we would be listening to Sunstein and Thaler. Eight weeks later the country would have collapsed. Let that sink in.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

I think this says more about sacrifice for others. Zuby is a psychopath.

ZUBY:

@ZubyMusic

3 years

This is still my favourite meme of the entire 'pandemic'.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

i think this proves Nassim's point about size.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

It's surreal that the “my pillow” guy made a zillion dollars because his crack problem gave him inadequate sleep necessitating a better pillow. Never give up.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Every major airline knew the risks of a pandemic. Internal risk management just ignored it. #airlines

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

If stock markets can drop 23% (US 1987), or 50% (Argentina) this year, correlations and factor investing is almost worthless

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 month

@karol This is the kind of statement that creates anti semitic attitudes when non existed before.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

I think I’m going to write 1500-2000 words on what I learned trying implement Nassims tail strategy as regular trader with minimal sums

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Finally someone who understands the role actors play “court jesters” @nntaleb

The Hill

@thehill

4 years

Kurt Russell: Actors shouldn't talk politics

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

@sovereignbrah my dad is 5 years older and can do more than that on the bench. also not on trt. Thats only 125llb

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Please get the F off the platform

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

My mother has more muscles

Paul Krugman

@paulkrugman

5 years

It’s infrastructure week

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

Benoit Mandlebrot

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

This idiot

Tim Draper

@TimDraper

4 years

The fear is far worse than the virus. The governments have it wrong. Stay open for business. If not, so many more people will die from a crashing economy than from this virus. #corona #dustbowl #food #clothing #shelter

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

wealth doesn't have to be big houses, fancy cars, and lots of consumption. Wealth could be debt free, good health, and more free time.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Looks like loan forgiveness: tax payers take the losses and people paid the money back get nothing

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb

5 years

Furthermore, such a program should also compensate those who did not borrow. And charge the universities and real estate developers for the costs of the bailout. #Skininthegame

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

The excellent @rorysutherland book "Alchemy" reinforced my belief that economic growth does not come from rational design. We don't have a formula for getting growth. It is a messy, complicated process, and the result of small irrational bets.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Rory Sutherland

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

I remember when @nntaleb @financequant debated the risks of an outbreak at #rwri , nassim mentioned that hospitable might not even be open because staff wouldn’t show up. Wise

The Wall Street Journal

@WSJ

5 years

Thousands of Hong Kong hospital workers voted to press ahead with a five-day strike starting Monday

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

Clawback and jail

zerohedge

@zerohedge

1 year

SVB Exec's Stock-Sales Probed By DOJ, SEC

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 months

@BenjaminCrew1 I remember when that place was Boston Market, And a French chain before Foxtrot. Bad businesses

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 months

Six Quant Finance Pioneers Walk Into the Odeon Bar and No One Has a Stock Tip - Bloomberg

Six Quant Finance Pioneers Walk Into a Bar, and No One Has a Stock Tip

Listening in as mathematicians, traders, and bestselling writer Nassim Nicholas Taleb talk about uncertainty, risk and the probabilistic life.

www.bloomberg.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Proves @nntaleb point. Large caps skewed to downside and small to the upside

Charlie Bilello

@charliebilello

5 years

Microsoft was the largest company in the world in 2000, and today it is once again. None of the other 9 companies from the top 10 in 2000 remain there today. $MSFT

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

My first thought after Covid started: Bankruptcy galore. That has been 100% wrong. So far

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Drove around a town in Wisconsin with a medium sized college. It’s immediately obvious how industrial sized landlords have been Buying rentals for decades around the area because cash flow is guaranteed by student loans. Now, the students are gone. It was time for a change.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

Fun afternoon

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 months

@DeItaone And SBF was a great entrepreneur 😅

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

“There are some studies showing that just opening a window decreases the risk of infection. For example, [there was a study examining] a bus outbreak. And people sitting next to the window were not infected.”

Ventilation and viral loads: the key misunderstandings of how coronavirus spreads

www.sciencefocus.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

@ElectionLegal lindyman humble brag

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

Hey hey, I just stopped by the service for Jaffer Ali. I spoke to his cousin and told him how much everyone from Real World Risk loved and appreciated him. #rwri Rest In Peace Jaffer 🙏

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

@PaulSkallas They might look older, but we are fatter

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Saw a short interview with @nntaleb talking about how close to a 1980 style bust if crude drops another 10 bucks. We are very close and few are talking about it.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Nothing kills something you want to learn faster than enrolling in school to do it

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

I don't understand how Bloomberg quant talks can have Nassim talk about how fat tails make tools like MPT, mean variance, and factor investing not valid, but then have a "a respected quant" from Blackrock talk about factor investing next. @EmanuelDerman @nntaleb @business

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

@ryankon Corporations know how to play people like fiddles

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

7 months

Mark Spitznagel Does Things Differently, And It Certainly Seems To Be Working | The Ticker Leelanau is near Traverse City. My family has a place about 40 miles away

Mark Spitznagel Does Things Differently, And It Certainly Seems To Be Working

Mark Spitznagel is not a conformist. He’s farming like a 19th century Frenchman, and in his day job, his views are “diametrically opposed

www.leelanauticker.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Cancel culture is scary. Self employment is the only way to survive.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

What are the odds that the internet goes out for 50% of the world due to the war?

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

I’m at cheese festival in Point Loma. One of the vendors is a speciality bread maker. He was an engineer before he got Into bread making. He thought it would be easy for him because it was only a few ingredients. Took him two years to make anything respectable. Step out of

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Unforeseen side effects

Reuters

@Reuters

4 years

Condom shortage looms after coronavirus lockdown shuts world's top producer

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Attacking a hangover requires three things : 1. Coke 2. Exercise 3. Sleep

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Nassim Taleb wrote a book about Melvin Capital. It’s called Fooled by Randomness. Check it out.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

hey hey, Tomorrow at 4pm est, I am hosting a Twitter space with Scott Patterson @pattersonscott to discuss his new book "Chaos Kings". If you are interested in the different methods some of the best traders in the world use to make their fortunes during rare market crashes,

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Quara- life

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Once you try entrepreneurship, you quickly realize why business school and entrepreneurship gurus are not worth the money. Risk takers can never fully express tacit knowledge.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 months

Data Science is mostly bullshit. Data Science is mostly bullshit. Data Science is mostly bullshit.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

If innovation brings funding instead of the reverse, have we created the opposite of a healthy system in Venture Capital? @nntaleb . It seems that way to me.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb cheered capitalism, championed entrepreneurs, and recommended adapting to the pandemic at the BI Global Trends Festival. Here are his 8 mentioned ⁦ @SS_strength ⁦ @GrantSSC ⁩

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Population growth will slow dramatically, if not decline, in hard hit Covid countries. Another convex response. @nntaleb

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

7 months

Umberto Eco on social media and idiots

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 months

@unusual_whales That is not the point. full time residents are tired of too many short term residents.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

8 months

@nntaleb -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, -1, +150, -1, -1, -1, -1

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Is debt-based growth is actually growth, or is it just an illusion?

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

I don't know much about LinkedIn, but it seems like fake networking

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

🍗Niederhoffer sold some short-term put options for .02 cents, and the market had a tail event that forced him to repurchase the options for 36 dollars! Avoid selling tail puts. 😆

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 months

@XXL She's right. AI is already a problem

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Modern Science Could Hit Roundup Maker Monsanto Where It Hurts - Bloomberg

Modern Science Could Hit Unethical Companies Where It Hurts

The underhanded tactics Monsanto and other chemicals makers use to hide the dangers in products like Roundup are perfectly legal. But it’s getting harder to keep the mounting evidence secret.

www.bloomberg.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

George Soros

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

we should tie "success" to the amount of free time + good sleep divided by hours worked.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

Credit Suisse was 166 years old. Time crushes everything eventually.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

225lb strict press. Almost passed out, but I did it.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

9 months

Information might end up being the new smoking. Initially feels good, but the side effects come later. Rather than adding info, more time should be spent removing it

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

“Bonds will hedge you against nothing “ - Taleb

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

@balajis Please move to Russia

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

@nntaleb @washingtonpost Don’t want to ruin your day, but William Cohan called you an economist in vanity fair. New article about Universa Investments

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

10 months

"Following several days of long and intensive negotiations on trade, the Malaysian and American ambassadors marked their commitment to each other by sharing a ceremonial piece of coconut cake."😃

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Dr @nntaleb Why are hedge funds struggling so badly? poor liquidity, reg changes, Fed, algos? I have been baffled by this.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

A year or so ago I asked @nntaleb and @financequant why HFs were not performing. They said the alpha doesn’t exist in most strategies. Now we see it with LS strategy blowups. LS hedge funds may never recover.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

@nntaleb

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

7 months

Black Swan Author Nassim Taleb Warns About Swelling US Debt Pile - Bloomberg

Nassim Taleb Says US Faces a ‘Death Spiral’ of Swelling Debt

Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb said the US deficit is swelling to a point that it would take a miracle to reverse the damage.

www.bloomberg.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

"Profit is finite, risk is infinite." Mark Spitznagel- "Safe Haven"

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

If nothing ever fails, we can never tell if we are improving.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Another psychopath

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

Rory Sutherland

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 months

@dlknowles I almost never hear chicagoans talking about nyc

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

2 years

Stopped by the family farm on the way to Champaign, IL

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 months

@nfergus Two thousand and eight showed the US lacked character. Instead of embarking on a difficult, but necessary restructuring our leaders decided the printing press and public debt were the solution. Today, we cannot do either much longer. Future generations should know who to blame

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

I am in agreement with @rorysutherland Wash your car if you have the urge to get a new one

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 years

Form check. 405x4

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 years

Luckily, due to the vaccine, the 500,00 new Covid cases yesterday were equivalent to a common cold for all but a very few unfortunate.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

7 months

I think this looks kind of cringe, but didn't know they would write this. 🤨

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Stolen from Taleb

zerohedge

@zerohedge

4 years

Matt King: "Inflation, like bank runs, follows the Ketchup Theory - Shake and shake the ketchup bottle – none will come, and then a lot will"

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

1 year

@nntaleb He is probably scared in person

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

3 months

@dieworkwear This is gold

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

Covid-19 pandemic will ‘bring socialism to US’ and transform the world – Nassim Taleb to RT

Covid-19 pandemic will ‘bring socialism to US’ and transform the world – Nassim Taleb to RT — RT...

In a remarkable twist, the raging coronavirus pandemic has forced even countries like the US to adopt “socialist” welfare programs, acclaimed author and risk analyst Nassim Taleb has told RT.

www.rt.com

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

GMOs could be even worse risk than pandemics. Pandemics have existed for thousands of years and some measures can be taken to stop it, but new tech with unknown risks will present even worse problems. GMO's multiplicative.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

If we could stop the economy and print money to fill the void, then why are we working?

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

too bad this wasnt in a place with patrons that might not let you leave with your teeth still in your mouth

The Hill

@thehill

4 years

Tech CEO caught on video yelling at Asian American family resigns, enrolls in "anti-racist program"

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

5 months

If you think no one cares about you, I do. I might only be a Twitter acquaintance, but I care.

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James Marsh

@JamesMarsh79

4 years

the amount of money my parents paid for me to go @VillanovaU and my brother to go to @Columbia was insane and without loans. Hard to swallow student loan foregiveness.

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