E Orthodox Inquirer. UND PhD Cand, Early 20th Great Plains. GA Southern MA & BA. Once and future Georgian. Avatar: Rep. Charles Pelham.
Malem fero malis.
I didn't vote for Trump in 2016.
I didn't vote for Trump in 2020.
I will not be voting for Trump in 2024.
I think the hush money trial has been a farce.
I will not vote for Biden for President.
I will not vote for any Democrat on my ballot.
I am politically homeless.
The worst hit county in the country on a per capita basis is Blaine County, ID, with 410 cases and 1864.1 cases per 100k people.
It isn't just the big cities, people.
Trump lost Georgia for many reasons. My spreadsheet, a work in progress, will explore some. Here's one:
Wealthy, educated Rs in the Atlanta and Athens MSAs showed up--just not for Trump. Nearly 20k voted for Perdue but not Trump, who lost by ~14k.
#electiontwitter
#Election2020
If Adam Laxalt wins in Nevada and Kari Lake in Arizona—this in addition to J. D. Vance in Ohio—will the position that Trump is a midterm “loser” or that Trump is “over” be even remotely tenable? Shouldn’t we wait till it’s over before offering half-baked summary judgments?
@Tee18512846
@nypost
"I was hit by radio frequencies and/or pulsed radiation but I'm just going to lie and say I got a stroke while masturbating" is a really plausible story.
@CortesSteve
That we're thinking of rejecting refugees from a war we started, many of whom risked their lives, finances, friends, and families to help us, is evidence enough of the cultural rot in this country, including on the Right.
So yes, I'll raise my hand.
@EricMGarcia
This is Amos Akerman. One of President Grant's Attorney Generals, he led the administration's efforts to suppress the KKK. He convinced Grant to declare martial law in SC and personally led US Marshalls on hunts for Klansmen.
He was also a former colonel in the Confederate Army.
@EricMGarcia
Abraham Lincoln had a dog named Fido, and it basically became a tribute to our 16th President to give your dog that name after he was assassinated, becoming so popular that it is still the stereotypical dog name today.
Fido was also assassinated...by a drunk.
White suburbanites to the GOP: "Don't run Trump or a bunch of crackpots and we'll vote for you"
GOP Base: "WE WANT A WINNER NOT A LOSER. WE WANT TRUMP!"
White suburbanites: "Uhhh..."
GOP Base: "TRUMP WANTS KARI LAKE, HERSCHEL WALKER, AND MASTRIANO. THEY'RE WINNERS NOT LOSERS!"
If Brian Kemp wins big this year and takes Herschel over the top with him, make sure to thank this lady for her work setting up Greater Georgia and mobilizing conservative voters.
No I am not kidding.
What irks me so much about Roberts compared to Anthony Kennedy's is that Kennedy's swings to the court's left or right at least seemed to follow some basic principles. Not above criticism, but he was following his beliefs. Roberts swings based on concern for politics.
-Recorded the phone call with Trump that is a major part of the Georgia Indictments and the 2nd Impeachment
-Left for dead
-Wins his primary by 19 points
-Wins reelection by almost 10
-Best GOP showing in the ATL suburbs since his own 2018 runoff
Imagine being Brad Raffensperger
So, I made a chart of all of Lin Wood's political donations prior to May 4, 2016, when Trump all but wrapped up the Republican nomination after the Indiana Primary. It wasn't until he gave $2700 to John Kasich that he gave more to Rs than Ds.
@EricMGarcia
This is Michael McCrary. He played with the Seahawks from 93-96 and the Ravens from 97-02. In 2000, he won the Byron "Whizzer" White Award.
As a child, he was the plaintiff in the Runyon v. McCrary SCOTUS case integrating private schools...an opinion from which White dissented.
~32% of Georgia is Black
5 of GA's Congressmen are Black Democrats, equating to 35.7% of the 14 seat delegation.
4 of the state's seats are majority Black. A 5th is a D+10 majority minority seat.
This is not about fairness. It is about forcing another Dem seat to be drawn.
Just in: A federal judge has struck down Georgia’s congressional and legislative maps, ruling that they violate Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. Georgia lawmakers have until Dec. 8 to draw new lines, setting up a special legislative session.
#gapol
I am a Republican from the Atlanta suburbs.
I am so sick of Donald Trump.
I am sick of his drama.
His whining.
His insults.
His conspiracies.
His personality cult.
His grifter friends.
And so much more.
Every other Republican who ran in 2016 was better than him. Even Jeb.
I'm not surprised that the Biden administration isn't pretending to be moderate. I am mildly surprised at how quickly they dispensed with any pretense of doing so.
@EricMGarcia
On that note, here's another former Confederate who did the right thing: Representative Charles Pelham of Alabama, who narrowly escaped being lynched for supporting the Civil Rights Bill of 1875.
@BeschlossDC
@dougmillsnyt
It went from 19 rose bushes to 200...because a rose garden should have a lot of, you know, roses?
Anyways, a man of your scholarly pedigree ought to know that the new greens might look a little drab their first year in the ground. They need a year or two.
Y'all can clown on Masters all you want but:
1) he had the common decency to admit he got his butt kicked and went home, unlike Lake; and,
2) he's only going to split the crazy vote between him and Lake, possibly allowing a quality sane alternative to sneak by.
A friend of mine is a Black Democratic activist in the South, but we've known each other for years before our activist days.
The thing he tells me about winning Black voters is basically that just getting the GOP to show up and talk to them regularly will get them to 15-20%.
@TheFalcoholic
The Atlanta Braves are WORLD SERIES BOUND.
The Atlanta Hawks are NBA TITLE CONTENDERS.
UGA Football is
#1
IN THE COUNTRY.
The Atlanta Falcons WON A FOOTBALL GAME.
Republicans who have criticized Ron DeSantis for taking on Disney:
Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Sununu, Chris Christie
Republicans who have NOT criticized Ron DeSantis for taking on Disney:
Jeb Bush, Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney, Tim Scott
Hmmmmm....
Supposedly after passing this bill, a Black state senator came up to the GOP members and said he agreed with them on the trans bill and other social issues, but if he voted for the law, the Dems would take away his money and primary him.
@varadmehta
Also, if Murkowski's effort to contrive the most complicated system for determining an elections winner in the Americas doesn't count as rigging an election to save her own skin, I don't know what does.
@FreeManDespair
Degrading and damaging for sure. I wouldn't call this rape, though, as she agreed to the arrangement, immoral and debasing though it might be.
@darrenrovell
@TheHighFade123
If you could set yourself and your family up with a cool $1.19 million per year for 25 years while so many players go bankrupt, why wouldn't you keep it? Heh.
As I see it, Brian Kemp has done basically as good a job as Ron DeSantis has in governing their respective states, especially when you consider how the GA GOP has a smaller margin for error.
Don't understand why some people call Kemp a RINO.
TFW: You're Brad Raffensperger and exit polls say you got 80% of white voters without college degrees this year and Trump only got 79% in 2020.
(He also got 64% of college grad whites to Trump's 55% in Georgia)
Trump's effect on Republicans in cities and suburbs.
In critical Atlanta counties & Savannah's Chatham, every single person who moved there from 2012-2020 could have voted Dem...and they'd still be 81k votes short of Biden's totals.
ONLY 3670 NEW VOTES SINCE ROMNEY IN 2012.
@CoachFinamore
@MiamiHEAT
George Mikan is criminally overlooked by today's fans, but Shaq paid for his funeral because "Without number 99, there is no me."
California Governor Gavin Newsom is in Sarasota this morning meeting with New College of Florida students and faculty. The college has become the epicenter of the culture wars after FL Gov Ron DeSantis initiated a conservative transformation.
For the 3rd time, I'm not voting for Trump.
I will not vote for Biden.
I will never support a Dem for President.
I will vote GOP down the ballot, but I will not vote for Trump.
I likely won't vote for Don Jr in the future.
I don't want the Trumps leading the GOP.
Liberty County is the largest county in Georgia to be totally in. A rare blue stronghold outside of Savannah in SE GA. 15,368 votes in 2018 for gov; 14,553 this year.
Kemp had 5557 of them and 36.16% of the vote in 2018.
This time, it's 5882 and 40.82%.
That is good news.
All this talk from some Republicans about Ron DeSantis making too many concessions to "populism" is just another way of saying, "I don't like the GOP base and wish we had a different one."
GOP voters are not so stupid that they cannot sense this condescension.
If Raphael Warnock weren't the pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church, he wouldn't be a US Senator today. He might have gotten 3% of the vote in the 2020 jungle primary if he'd been in a position to run at all.
@RexChapman
Ask yourself this
@RexChapman
and I ask my fellow Georgians the same.
If Herschel Walker never played football for UGA would they be voting for him?
The answer is so simple and to go one step further the GOP never would have run him.
It’s comical and heartbreaking.
If Burgum really wanted to do the GOP a solid, he'd take his $1.1 billion dollars, get together with other loaded conservatives like Youngkin and (yes) Loeffler, and invest in GOTV and in finding smart conservative candidates.
That's what Loeffler has been doing in GA.
If you went out and talked to a normie, not-online Republican who voted for Reagan and will vote for Trump, they'd tell you they like both because both want smaller govt, lower taxes, and a strong national defense.
Deep sea currents don't change rapidly.
The youngest Reagan voters turned fifty-eight this year. Fifty. Eight. That's five (5) with an eight (8) next to it. 5. 8. They will start collecting Social Security before the decade is out. Of course they won't be controlling the party much longer.
If I had to identify a single moment as the turning point where the Georgia GOP finally got its act together and things started to go Brian Kemp's way, it would be the MLB removing the All Star Game from Georgia.
I have no problem with the notion of DeSantis as *the choice* for conservatives in the GOP tired of Trump; I just wish we didn't disrespect the great record of governors like Kemp and Youngkin in the process.
In particular, Kemp has done a great job in a state Biden won.
Here's the difference between The Dispatch and The Bulwark: The Dispatch people can still find Republicans in good standing in the party they like; the Bulwark can only find has-beens and never-weres who have adopted the Democratic Party's views in full.
In a just world, Stacey Abrams's comments on fetal heartbeats and ultrasounds would be treated as a Todd Akin tier gaffe, not the least for its implication that women ought to avoid ultrasounds of their pregnancies as some sort of scam.
Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world....
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
Gaetz: "It's to the benefit of this country that we have a better Speaker of the House than Kevin McCarthy. Kevin McCarthy is a feature of the Swamp. He has risen to power by collecting special interest money and redistributing that money in exchange for favors."
@MaxNordau
Teach DeSantis how to what?
-Barely get past Dubya's numbers in PA, MI, or WI?
-Alienate the highest turnout demographic in the country--white suburbanites?
-Go through Cabinet secretaries more often than some people change underwear?
-Lose reliable red states like GA and AZ?
Also, Anthony Kennedy was willing to side with the conservative wing of the Supreme Court on some controversial rulings if he thought the conclusions were correct. Roberts needs to check what the media has said first.
This is how we lose elections, folks. Don't follow Trump's advice. Get out to vote in 2024, no matter what kind of state you live in--red, blue, or swing.
DeSantis 2024.
In a sane election cycle, DeSantis, Kemp, and Youngkin would all be running for President with Trump nowhere in sight, and we'd be debating which of these three outstanding governors is worth the GOP's 2024 nod.
Instead, we have the situation we're in.
Whoever the House GOP leader ends up being ought to send thank you notes to these four people for having the kind of strong coattails needed to help drag some marginal seats to the GOP.
@EsotericCD
Teenage me was wrong about a lot of stuff, but shoutout to 13 year old me for nailing the fact that getting involved in Iraq was unnecessary and not supported by the evidence.
Special elections aren't typically a reliable indicator of the results in a November general. Take the 2014 midterms, a GOP wave year.
Republican Gabriel Gomez got 44.6% vs Dem Ed Markey in 2013, only for winner Ed Markey to clobber the GOP's Brian Herr in November 2014
Most self-respecting pollsters, even those on the left, would look at a result like this and say, "No, this is too stupid; throw it out."
The Listener Group OTOH...
@baseballcrank
Open carry was literally the preferred method of carrying in public during the time of the Founders, as it was gentlemanly to let everyone know you were armed.
Concealed carry was what thieves and murderers did, and it was even banned in some places.
May I humbly suggest that if the GOP base is choosing its Presidential nominee based on who sucks up the most to RFK Jr, a lifelong Democrat who has never pretended to be a Republican, then we are royally forked as a party? We will get our asses destroyed in 2024, and deserve it.
My Dad, happy Trump voter in the 2016 general and in 2020, had a couple of thoughts on the possibility that Trump would be indicted over taking classified docs:
-It is politically motivated.
-If Trump didn't want to be indicted, he shouldn't have taken them and made it easy.
Hey
@DouglasLukasik
and
@MichaelWatsonDC
, let's make sure to ask people like Raphael Warnock, Maggie Hassan, and Catherine Cortez Masto how they feel about returning to this.
"They can go to our school that's online. They can opt not to return to the regular school, but to go to the school where they don't have to go to school at all other than via Zoom."
-
@sdschools
President Whitehurst-Payne on those who don't want to mask.
To the average GOP voter who isn't highly online, there is little/no difference between Trumpism and the pre-Trump conservatism of the Tea Party or Contract with America. Trumpism *is* traditional conservatism to them.
RDS gets that; Haley doesn't, & her supporters really don't.
How I see the lanes:
Trump: pure MAGA lane.
RDS: a lane that is a blend of MAGA and traditional Republicanism.
Haley: the traditional Republican lane.
If I’m right, and if we still have a race by March, I would bet that it will be between Trump and Haley.
@RonColeman
Do you honestly think any state, anywhere would be so stupid as to drop 200k votes into a single candidate's column at one time without bothering to give the other candidates a token few, IF the votes were fraudulent? Way too obvious.
A look at how Brian Kemp & Donald Trump did in Forsyth County, GA. I did this because I wanted to see how much Kemp improved over Trump's numbers in South Forsyth, where much of the county's Asian pop lives.
The significant increase in precincts makes a swing map difficult
@bonchieredstate
The Pine Tree Flag that Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey is complaining about is the official maritime ensign of his own state and has been since the American Revolution.
Looking at the map, it seems to me that it's not the GOP *not* having a wave, but the GOP having terrible candidates in key purple states that sabotaged the GOP's potential.
For one, We might end up flipping 20 Dem House seats, but the Dems are flipping 6-8 of ours right back.
@KeystoneObsrvr
@2Aupdates
@varadmehta
You can tell the "gun reform" movement really is just about disarmament because other measures that are entirely valid to protecting people from gun violence are always shot down as bad, unnecessary, victim-blaming, etc.
-school security
-juvenile record checks
-mental health
I find the urge to make Paul Ryan out to be to epitome of all that was wrong with the pre-Trump GOP bizarre. He was second fiddle to Mitt Romney in 2012, and he didn't take over as Speaker until late in year 7 of the Obama Presidency, when Trump was already A Thing.
@neontaster
There's a lot of annoying things about Hannah Gadsby, but one of the most grating is that there absolutely is a market for public speakers wanting to talk about her pet issues without pretending to like a comedian.
@varadmehta
The GOP platform for 2024, whatever heartburn it might give conservatives, is designed to get >50% of the country onboard with the party's ideas. I don't like most of the changes, but it's about getting past the finish line in first place.
I just want to remind you folks that the main reason Laura Loomer is not officially employed by the Trump campaign is that Marjorie Taylor Greene successfully convinced Himself that she was too much of a nut.
Think about that.
It's amazing how much of a fantasy land the conservative critics of McCarthy live in. Hard to deliver conservative results when you have a 5 seat majority and at least a dozen of your own caucus are looking to knife you because reasons at any given opportunity.
Georgia's most obnoxious Trump hardliner is having such a big mad that Kemp is cruising to reelection without Trump's support that she wrote in *checks notes* Ron DeSantis when she voted.
@BadMedicalTakes
Even if there was a significant risk of cardiac arrest due to the vaccine, I have no idea why people think it would show up 2+ years after taking the shot, when all of the stuff in the vaccine would be long gone from the body.
Yeah, I considered Haley when RDS was struggling during the summer, but in the end, I could get past her inability to eat into Trump's support and her inability to commit to conservative policies when it matters. And I don't trust a Trump admin official to lead the GOP.
The official UCLA College GOP account wants us to support Jackson Hinkle because he's an "America First Trump conservative", but also calld America "one of the most evil regimes on the planet".
If both are true, why exactly are we supporting Hinkle...or America?
Saw the RFK Jr Super Bowl Ad. Whatever you think of him (I don't care for him), we need more vintage/retro looking ads like that. Too many today are overproduced and melodramatic slop.
@JohnDalyBooks
Why is it "disrespectful"? If evidence says Trump broke the law in how he kept or handled these classified documents, then he should be convicted, and if the offense is severe enough, then he shouldn't be pardoned.
What's keeping Herschel up is a combo of the following:
1. Kemp is really popular
2. Herschel is still the most popular living sports star in the state
3. People like Herschel so much because of point 2 that some soft GOP types find it hard to vote against him, scandals or not.
Brian Kemp's support among Georgians based their feelings about abortion, per exit polls:
Always legal: 13%
Legal in most cases: 40%
Illegal in most cases: 90%
Always illegal: 87%
And based on their view of Dobbs:
Enthusiastic: 91%
Satisfied: 79%
Dissatisfied: 39%
Angry: 13%
Doug Burgum won't be the GOP nominee, but if you're curious about who he is:
1. He's the "You Betcha" equivalent of Glenn Youngkin. (Uff da)
2. He doesn't like Trump.
3. He's a literal billionaire.
4. He's not looking to fight culture wars, but he'll sign the legislation.
Republicans in Georgia rejected Trump, but not other Rs down ballot.
Take Fulton County Commission District 2, in North Fulton. R Incumbent Bob Ellis won reelection rather easily as Trump lost the district by several points, and Perdue lost more narrowly.
#ElectionTwitter
@FanSidedNFL
Considering how Teddy's career was derailed for nearly two whole seasons by one of the worst knee injuries this century, I'm willing to cut him some slack here.
Stop worrying about every last poll that comes in, folks. Doesn't matter if it's an R firm, a D firm, or non-partisan. The polls that matter are happening across America right now--and will continue until next Tuesday.
It will all work out, you'll see.
(And vote GOP)
@CarlPaulus
"initially lost the popular vote" is a great way of saying "George W. Bush made both his appointments after he won a second term with a majority of the vote".
From April, 1943-July, 1944, Kaiser Shipyards built 50 Casablanca-class escort aircraft carriers from shipyards that didn't exist before WWII.
They were on time and on budget, and the US Navy dropped its initial objections to such ships once they saw how useful they were.
January 12, 1930: Contract awarded to build the Empire State Building.
January 22, 1930: Site excavation begins.
September 19, 1930: Steel structure completed, flag raised at the top.
May 1, 1931: Building opened.
If you think George Bush and Michelle Obama are from the same party, turn off the computer and go touch grass. You are serving no one by continuing to talk about politics.
True enlightenment is understanding that George Bush and Michelle Obama are from the same party.
As the great George Carlin said, “It’s one big club and you’re not in it.”
These people are all criminals. They are corrupt.
We should never hold back on the Republican Party
My friend, an engineer with multiple degrees, is a suburbanite Atlanta Republican who was once a big Donald Trump supporter. Now, he's ready to move on and thinks Trump has "problems".
He's lukewarm on RDS and wishes Brian Kemp would run for the nomination.
Voters aged 25-29 in Georgia, per exit polls:
18: Abrams +46
22: Abrams +11
Aged 30-39:
18: Abrams +23
22: Abrams +7
Kemp lost ground with ages 18-24 & 40-49, but the above groups were where he made the biggest gains.
The Millennial vote is what got Kemp reelected.