Joakim Hannisdahl Profile Banner
Joakim Hannisdahl Profile
Joakim Hannisdahl

@JHannisdahl

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Following
3,093
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Founder & CEO at Gersemi Asset Management. All publications are my own personal opinions. No investment advice

Oslo, Norway
Joined March 2017
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My apologies for being absent recently After months of threats towards me personally and serious accusations/slander spread to investors and to the media, Cleaves finally took me to court earlier in November. The ruling came today, and I won on all points🍾 Full speed ahead!
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Super-cycle is a term not to be used lightly I alluded towards an #oil #tanker #shipping super-cycle from 2023 in my research already back in 2020 Emerging data have since supported that analysis & the probability of a super-cycle is now tangible My most recent forecast below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Just updated the below graph in regards to getting the investor presentation ready for distribution next week Keep in mind that the graph does not reflect the longevity of each segment's peak cycle #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#Oil #tanker spot rates surges on to incredible levels! #VLCC +24% to $235k/d #Aframax +75% to $66k/d #LR2 +25% to $109k/d #LR1 +31% to $80k/d #MR +55% to $41k/d #SR +22% to $58k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Oil #tanker #shipping earnings rising faster than an SLS rocket reaching for the moon🚀 Star performers today: Suezmax +16% to 122k/d🚀 LR2 +44% to 54k/d🚀
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
What a crazy day! Massive backlog on all communication platforms. Will get back to you all asap As for now, taking a breather and focusing on a slightly neglected family Currently rating the future a BUY
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +54% to $63k/d #Aframax +12% to $21k/d #MR +14% to $10.7k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
As highlighted in recent media coverage, I've now started in my new position as CEO of Cleaves Asset Management Focus is on launching a shipping-focused long/short hedge fund where I will invest pari passu with other investors Feel free to reach out if you want more information
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
My #shipping portfolio currently stands at a new all-time-high of 595 (indexed), +5.0% w/w, +18% YTD and +495% since inception (37% CAGR). Wish you all a joyous weekend.
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I have prepared the following statement together with my lawyers in light of recent communication from Per Olav Karlsen and Cleaves Securities:
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
Shared some thoughts on #oil #tanker #shipping with investors yesterday 𝐴𝑙𝑙 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑠 𝑎𝑟𝑒 ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑙𝑦 𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑛 𝐼 𝑎𝑚 𝑙𝑜𝑛𝑔 𝑜𝑖𝑙 𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑘𝑒𝑟𝑠
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 years
I usually don’t like tooting my own horn, but I am currently ranked as the #1 shipping equity analyst globally on Bloomberg. I want to thank you all for your support #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My #shipping portfolio ended the week at a new all-time-high of 518 (indexed), +1.5% w/w, +68% YTD and +418% since inception (35% CAGR) Wish everyone a great weekend
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: ⚠️ #VLCC +78% to $220k/d as charterers panic in AG⚠️ #Suezmax +6% to $65k/d #Aframax +-7% to $63k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Every wondered how the the major #shipping #trade lanes look like? A live snapshot below of #VLCC , #Capesize , #LNG & #VLGC . Each dot is one ship #DryBulk #Oil #Tanker #LPG
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I wish all my Norwegian investors a wonderful national day🇳🇴
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I just wanted to share that I have now divested all my #VLGC exposure. I had 10% of my port in BWLPG. Sold it all at NOK 92.265 avg today. I noticed the FFAs are coming down, and with my lackluster view on 2023 and recent gains, I stick to my longstanding plan My new port below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
7 months
Our satellite data shows a sustained & substantial decline in #shipping #SuezCanal transits via the #RedSea Especially #container & #car carriers are hard hit with transits approximately 50% & 77% lower y/y, respectively. #Oil tankers, #LPG & #LNG carriers also down y/y
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Many asking me how long it takes for their registration to be approved: It's an exponential # of registrations each month,& my colleagues are doing an Herculean effort to give you all access. Please be patient & remember we're giving away research for free
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Oil #tanker #shipping fleet utilization came in at an estimated 99.5% in 4Q22 vs my forecast of 99.1% from Oct. Avg spot rates at $63,831/d compares with my $61,915/d forecast Newbuild ordering 86% below my forecast leads a historic low tanker orderbook vs fleet at only 4%
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My portfolio ended the week at 503 +2% w/w, +64% YTD and +35% CAGR since inception Wish everyone a pleasant weekend
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
Spending tonight updating my econometric model on #oil #tanker #shipping Negligible fleet growth in an already very tight market leaves little room for demand growth Even if my model miss by 50%, it would mean a fantastic market 𝐼 𝑎𝑚 𝑙𝑜𝑛𝑔 𝑜𝑖𝑙 𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑘𝑒𝑟𝑠
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Super-cycle is a term not to be used lightly I alluded towards an #oil #tanker #shipping super-cycle from 2023 in my research already back in 2020 Emerging data have since supported that analysis & the probability of a super-cycle is now tangible My most recent forecast below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
𝗗𝗿𝘆 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗸 𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 (𝗕𝗨𝗬) - 𝗣𝗹𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝗗𝗿𝘆 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗟𝗲𝗳𝘁 Top picks: #2020bulkers $GOGL $SBLK Full #free report here: #DryBulk #Shipping $DSX $EGLE $GBLK $GNK
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I expect a challenging 1H23E for #dry #bulk #shipping (BDI avg 909) followed by a strong 2H23E (BDI 2093) I still see downside risk to asset prices by 3Q23, but I believe we are close to the low for equities I currently have a 31% long allocation towards dry bulk & favor Capes
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 years
And if anyone was wondering: Yes, I'm still ranked #1 globally within #shipping #equity #research by Bloomberg. I'm also ranked #1 in every single shipping segment I cover. Will soon publish a ~250-page holistic report with our top picks for 2020. #oil #tanker #drybulk #lng #lpg
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
My #shipping #portfolio reached a new all-time-high on Wednesday at 546 before closing the week at 541 (indexed), +2.2% w/w, +8% YTD and +441% since inception (35% CAGR)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
The #shipping fund relaunched yesterday🥳 It has been a bumpy road with many setbacks along the way, but as I learned when living in Costa Rica: The most challenging roads can lead to the best places Full speed ahead!
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
US #WTI crude #oil collapsing! Now -$35/bbl for May delivery as storage in Cushing said to be full. Simply astonishing & an y-axis-exploding event. Re-purposing our Brent-based #contango model to WTI theoretically implies TCE $751k/d for 6mo #VLCC storage 😲 #OOTT #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Some very significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +106%! to $193k/d (+584% since Friday!) as Saudi exports surge #Suezmax +57% to $45k/d #Aframax +12% to $42k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
With #oil prices +20-25% after Trump claims oil supply would be cut, #contango shifted sharply down. It now supports #VLCC rates ~$82k/d for 6months, down from ~$140k/d on Saturday. Oil supply cuts are however not confirmed by neither Saudi nor Russia. #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My intermediate private portfolio ended the week at a new all-time-high of 510 (indexed), +1.3% w/w, +66% YTD and +410% since inception (35% CAGR) Wish everyone a great weekend
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
My #shipping portfolio reached a new all-time-high on Thursday at 567 before closing the week at 561 (indexed), +3.7% w/w, +12% YTD and +467% since inception (36% CAGR)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Just an update on my portfolio, as I have been unable to share my recent trades: Sold GOGL at 94.7 Bought back BW LPG at 87.3 Rebalanced my oil tanker exposures given peer pricing and my sub-segment outlook
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Just some fun to transition us into the weekend🛢️ Wish you all a pleasant one☀️
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Capes tied up in FE discharge is back to pre-pandemic levels Brazilian iron ore exports are still very low Cape spot rates are strong at ~2x cash break-even We expect a significant increase in Brazilian IO exports into 2H22 Could see Capes >$100k/d before year end #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
I wish to thank you all for your support & fruitful discussions during 2020 Continued under-investment in shipping over many years has led to some of the lowest orderbooks on record Wish you all a wonderful Holiday Season! 🎅
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
10 months
VLCC +21% to 28k/d🚀 Suezmax +103% to 33k/d🚀 Aframax +31% to 32k/d🚀 Disclaimer: We are long #oil #tanker #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
10 months
Vintage VLCC spot rates are closing in on $30k/d, with eco scrubber tonnage at 40k+ amidst strong activity both West and East
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
9 months
Crude #oil #tanker #shipping continued the positive momentum from last week, with yesterday's spot rates quoted clearly up VLCC +12% to 38k/d Suezmax +17% to 46k/d Aframax +15% to 48k/d
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
10 months
Another stellar day for crude #oil #tanker #shipping amidst a flurry of activity this week both ex-AG and in the Atlantic VLCC +22% to 34k/d🚀 Suezmax +18% to 39k/d🚀 Aframax +30% to 42k/d🚀 Pleased to have $TNK as our largest long position
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I am very pleased to see our shipping fund reach a new all-time-high today, +32% since inception (CAGR 42%)🍾
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My shipping portfolio management ended the year at 502 (indexed), +63% y/y and +402% since inception (34% CAGR) Looking forward to the new year and getting my long/short #shipping #fund up and running again
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
The #VLCC party shows no signs of abating🥳 TD3C +27% according to Baltic. TD3 +31% according to Galbraith 🚀 Wish you all a pleasant weekend🍾
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
#𝗢𝗶𝗹 #𝗧𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗲𝗿 #𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 (𝘂𝗽𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗨𝗬) - 𝗟𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗧𝘂𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹 Full free report here: #OOTT $ADSC $DHT $EURN $FRO $HAFNIA $HUNT $INSW $NAT $OET $TNK
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
After the recent fall in prompt dated #crude #oil prices, the contango has widened, now supportive of ~$32k/d for 6mo #VLCC . We hear of renewed interest in floating storage & deals concluded in high $30s #shipping #OOTT $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $FRO $HAFNIA $HUNT $INSW $NAT $OET $TNK
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
All stars aligning for #Oil #Tanker #shipping Oil supply returning post-pandemic✅ Changing trading patterns from geopolitics✅ Positive news on Iran nuclear deal✅ We used the weakness until 1630CET adding to our already abundant position in the segment(+41% from cost month-1)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Some very significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +116% to $93k/d #Suezmax +35% to $29k/d #Aframax +19% to $38k/d #LR2 +24 to $38k/d #LR1 +22% to $27k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#Oil #Tanker ( #BUY ) - Extraordinary Times: #OPEC has pushed earnings to extraordinary levels. Equities also extraordinary, but w opposite sign Full 131-page report (free): #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Good times have been had, but the best times are most likely ahead I wish everyone a great weekend!🥳
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
I've always wanted to party onboard a VLCC. If you guys promise not to use any bunkers or lube, I'll meet you in AG for the shipping-party of the decade. My treat at $3,163 for the night and next day's clean-up. No smoking allowed, though🚭
@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker #shipping spot movements: #VLCC -18% to $3k/d #OOTT $ADSC $DHT $EURN $FRO $HAFNIA $HUNT $INSW $NAT $OET $TNK
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
The fund will not partake in Russian oil trading as things stand now Spent some time improving our in-house algos to better monitor this trade Have also fully divested TNP over the past few days Updated portfolio composition below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
In our never-ending efforts to improve our #research reports, I spent the evening developing these nifty graphs, further detailing the spot rates & scrubber premiums per vessel class. Succeeding earlier #scrubber graphs our in #Shipping #Weekly #oil #tanker #drybulk
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
MR rates are surging in the Atlantic on the back of a tight tonnage list & increased refinery runs in the US The TC2 (Transatlantic) surged 95% today to $44k/d, up 301% since Friday MR rates in the Pacific are also strong around $39k/d I 'm long #oil #product #tanker #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Things change fast in shipping, especially during war-time. Since I've shared a few of the fund's investments over the past week, I feel it is transparent to highlight that we have already closed many of them. Please find the current portfolio below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
"Cleaves Shipping Fund, a shipping-only long/short equity fund managed by Joakim Hannisdahl, gained 11.3% in July to extend its 2022 advance to 36.9%. The shipping fund is currently this year’s best-performing member of the Nordic Hedge Index"
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Oil #tanker #shipping extending the rally #VLCC +198% to $13k/d🚀 #Suezmax +34% to $90k/d🚀 #Aframax +38% to $60k/d🚀
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
I just love it when the y-axis goes into million denomination on Bloomberg🤑 Suez & Afra are the star performers, not entirely unexpected. There is a reason why $TNK and $NAT are the two largest long positions in my portfolio Other #oil #tanker #shipping earnings also very high
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Terrific-Thursday for Capes🎉 Spot: Baltic #Capesize index +27% to $16k/d🚀 Brazil/China +23% to $15k/d🚀 C5 +12% to $8.96/t🚀 FFAs: Feb +10% to $16k/d🚀 Mar +12% to $24k/d🚀 Apr +4% to $27k/d🚀 #DryBulk #Shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Hearing several encouraging C5 numbers this morning: First low 8s, then 8.4, now 8.6. Yesterday's index was 8.01. FFAs up this morning. Should be another fun day for #drybulk #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
7 months
Estimated #oil #tanker #shipping fleet utilization in 4Q23 at 94.6% exceeded our 90.2% forecast, mainly due to higher than expected demand. Earnings, asset prices and equities were consequently higher NB contracting 35% lower than our forecast Se table below for details
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
The #oil #tanker #shipping orderbook vs fleet now stands at only 4.4%, the lowest on record by a wide margin Newbuild contracting during 3Q22 came in at 1.8m dwt, 85% below our forecast from early July of 12.2m dwt. The orderbook shrank 4.6m dwt (14%) during 3Q22 Looks good...
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
#Oil #Tanker #shipping spot rates are flying high, w vintage non-scrubber VLCCs about to break the $100k/d threshold amidst a very active USG Smaxes bounced post-index Friday on a prompt requirement amidst tight tonnage, w the strong level confirmed on "normal" fixtures today
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#oil price #contango now supportive of #VLCC rates of $150k/d for 6mo and $103k/d for 1y #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
VLCCs are really moving these days, now stellar earnings across all #oil #tanker vessel classes. Expect asset prices to move up significantly over the next few months. This could be fun🥳 #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
6 months
There is a new #Bloomberg ticker in town: $GERSHIP #shipping #fund
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot rate movements today: #VLCC +20% to $126k/d #Aframax +7% to $78k/d #LR2 +14% to $43k/d #LR1 +7% to $31k/d #MR +8% to $24k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
The fund closed the week at a new all-time-high🥳 I wish everyone a great weekend!
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
Baltic #Capesize index +15% to $53k/d🚀 Brazil/China +17% to $44k/d🚀 New all-time-high on the 5TC! wow... Cyclone #Chantu is disrupting vessel scheduling, undermining available tonnage #DryBulk #Shipping #2020bulkers $DSX $EGLE $GBLK $GNK $GOGL $SBLK
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +6% to $233k/d #Suezmax +15% to $74k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
My #shipping portfolio ended the week at 509 (indexed), +2.6% w/w, +65% YTD and +409% since inception (34% CAGR)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
The situation for Capes is still very encouraging, with Far Eastern congestion rising and with very few ballasters in the Atlantic amidst strong Brazilian #ironore exports The week ahead could be interesting for #DryBulk #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Current Brazilian #ironore export run-rate in September is close to a monthly all-time-high, while the number of Capes bound for Brazil is unusually low. No wonder why #drybulk #shipping spot and FFAs are surging today
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +11% to $213k/d #Suezmax +28% to $58k/d #Aframax +20% to $51k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP Wanted to put it into context (apologies for the "mouse"-writing...)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
Added more #DryBulk #shipping exposure today. A lot of headwinds these days, but pricing appears attractive ahead of 2H23E Equities are trading similar to historical lows on P/NAV. Low fleet growth ahead 𝐼 𝑎𝑚 𝑙𝑜𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑟𝑦 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑘 𝑁𝑜 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑑𝑣𝑖𝑐𝑒
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
8 months
VLCCs posted another day of strong gains amidst increased activity ex-AG and ex-WAfr An eco scrubber spec is now earning a very healthy ~$70k/d TCE. Comparative to ie $DHT's cash break-even at $21k/d and P&L break-even at $27k/d #oil #tanker #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +17% to $249k/d #Suezmax +101% to $116k/d #Aframax +6% to $54k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
7 months
Updated satellite data on #shipping #SuezCanal transits via the #RedSea
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
7 months
Our satellite data shows a sustained & substantial decline in #shipping #SuezCanal transits via the #RedSea Especially #container & #car carriers are hard hit with transits approximately 50% & 77% lower y/y, respectively. #Oil tankers, #LPG & #LNG carriers also down y/y
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Oil #tanker #shipping surges on today🚀 #Suezmax +497% to $67k/d🤯 #Aframax +47% to $44k/d🚀 $TNK and $NAT are amongst the names we have added to our portfolio recently, already 11% and 20% profit, respectively
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#oil price #contango now supportive of #VLCC rates of $110k/d for 6mo and $73k/d for 1y #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +10% to $55k/d: First positive delta since 21 Apr. Brokers are optimistic for the coming days📈 #LR2 -4% to $149k/d #SR -15% to $20k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Abysmal sentiment in the broader market Correlation to #shipping is statistically insignificant, although higher during large down movements like seen lately Our medium-term view of shipping is ~unchanged by recent macroeconomic events A snippet of our universe in table below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Capesize spot rates said fixed significantly higher in both basins. Looking forward to today's index at noon CET #DryBulk #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 months
Updated data on #shipping #SuezCanal transits via the #RedSea
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
#VLCC #oil #tanker #shipping spot rates are on fire🔥 An active AG & good demand in the Atlantic, against a tight tonnage list is enabling owners to demand ever higher rates TD3C now $93k/d (vs generic cash break-even ~$39k/d) means green pastures for the Very Large Cash Cows🐮
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Not too much change in the #oil #contango curve lately, but thought some followers would appreciate an update nevertheless #tanker #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
10 months
Another stellar day for crude #oil #tanker #shipping amidst a flurry of activity this week both ex-AG and in the Atlantic VLCC +22% to 34k/d🚀 Suezmax +18% to 39k/d🚀 Aframax +30% to 42k/d🚀 Pleased to have $TNK as our largest long position
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
10 months
VLCC +21% to 28k/d🚀 Suezmax +103% to 33k/d🚀 Aframax +31% to 32k/d🚀 Disclaimer: We are long #oil #tanker #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
#DryBulk #shipping FFAs are surging this morning. The Pacific is said to be very firm for Capes, leading to a lack of ballasters into the Atlantic 𝐼 𝑎𝑚 𝑙𝑜𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑟𝑦 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑘
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
VLCC spot rates might have finally found some support, with ships being silently fixed off-market & more activity in the Atlantic Suez & Afras are showing incredible strength, especially when considering the weak VLCC earnings #oil #tanker #shipping #OOTT
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#DryBulk #shipping vessel values are rising further, especially for the Capes. See below for details Still, there is significant room for upside given high NB prices and strong earnings
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Most significant #oil #tanker spot movements today: #VLCC +38% to $27k/d #Suezmax -12% to $11.1k/d #LR1 -13% to $6.7k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Today is another good day for Cleaves Shipping Fund's investors. NAV is now 111 (+15% YTD). We see great potential for #shipping in 2022. Godspeed to us all
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
Clean #oil #tanker spot rates surges on on floating storage enquiries #Suezmax +18% to $92k/d #Aframax +26% to $84k/d #LR2 +38% to $151k/d #LR1 +30% to $103k/d #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
VLCC spot rates surging over the past two trading days amidst strong activity and a slimming tonnage list, especially in the Atlantic Baltic TD3C +60% to $52k/d Baltic TD15 +52% to $51k/d Picked up some DHT. I am still long #oil #tankers and very positive towards the segment
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#Oil #Tanker update (downgraded to #SELL ): 𝗕𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 Weak outlook. A low orderbook eventually saves the day in 2023E Full free 127-page report: #shipping #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $HAFNIA $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 months
VLCC spot rates continued to climb, as expected, amidst strong volumes ex-AG and a strong fixture ex-Brazil Brokers expect the positive sentiment to carry over into next week TD3C +7% to $75k/d (~$90k/d eco scrubber) #oil #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 months
A surge in activity ex-MEG saw VLCC spot rates surge today. The tonnage list is tight, especially for prompt dates. Thus, owners seem to be in the driving seat at the moment, looking to push earnings even higher TD3C +30% to $70k/d (~$85k/d eco scrubber)🚀 #oil #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
1 year
My #shipping portfolio closed the week at 529 (indexed), -0.2% w/w, +5% YTD and +429% since inception (35% CAGR)
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
#Oil #tanker #shipping spot rates are rising again, from high levels
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Exciting times... Strict rules on marketing My DM and e-mail are open #shipping
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
5 years
#Oil #Tanker #Shipping Report 2020 (BUY) - Highest Since 2008, More to Come (115-pages): Phase 1 of cyclical expansion is over. Asset price rise & dividends could push shares +96% #OOTT $FRO $ADSCME $DHT $EURN $TNK $OET $HUNT $NAT $STNG $INSW $TNP
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
4 years
#Shipping #Weekly : Crude #oil #tanker earnings collapsed this week, as we expected. CotW on floating storage. #LNG & #LPG facing very weak markets. #DryBulk is dormant but w an expected bright future ahead. Seldom seen such contrasts... Free report below
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
3 years
Forgot the rockets...🚀🚀🚀
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@JHannisdahl
Joakim Hannisdahl
2 years
Vale reduces their FY22 #ironore guidance from 320-335mt to 310-320mt. This aligns with our longstanding forecast of 310mt from Vale for '22E. Thus, no change to our positive outlook for #DryBulk #shipping
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